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NICH

Nicholls 17 at Tulane 42

TULN
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Yulman Stadium
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Win probability · TULN
modelTULN aheadNICH aheadconfidence bandkey playTULN scoreNICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:19 · Zachary Block punt for 31 yds, downed at the NicSt 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Pregame prior+3.0Home team on offense+29.6Score differential+15.1Garbage-time factor+14.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.4Blowout margin−1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:46: Jonathan Banks 5 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +4.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:23: Gabe Fuselier 7 Yd pass from Chase Fourcade (Lorran Fonseca Kick) — NICH win probability +5.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:50: Darnell Mooney 12 Yd pass from Jonathan Banks (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +8.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:47: Dontrell Taylor 32 Yd Run (Lorran Fonseca Kick) — NICH win probability +7.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: NICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:47: Corey Dauphine 35 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick) — TULN win probability +6.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TULN made the numbers' call on 1 of 3NICH made the numbers' call on 1 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00NICH 4th & 3 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:18TULN 4th & 2 at TULN 25, tied
    Close callPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:56NICH 4th & 4 at TULN 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.1%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:07NICH 4th & 4 at TULN 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:46NICH 4th & 5 at TULN 41, down 11
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:19NICH 4th & 9 at TULN 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−2.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 10 at NICH 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    86.9%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  8. Q4 8:47NICH 4th & 8 at NICH 27, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.6%
    average punt
  9. Q4 4:19TULN 4th & 19 at NICH 37, up 18
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6NICH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:12TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:46TULN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:46TULN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:23NICH Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:50TULN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:47NICH Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:47TULN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 2:00TULN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NICHDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
85.2%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 18 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
85.2%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 6 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
0
85.2%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr., broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+1
85.2%
Chase Fourcade run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
50
0
85.2%
Winston Jones punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
84.8%
Darnell Mooney run for 6 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 13:18
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+2
84.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 13:18
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Zachary Block punt for 44 yds, downed at the NicSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:2016% → 17%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
84.1%
Chase Fourcade pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+12
84.1%
Kendall Bussey run for 12 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
84.0%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 13 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
83.9%
Chase Fourcade run for 10 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
83.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 1 yd to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+5
83.9%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Jordan Talley for 5 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
83.9%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dai'Jean DixonSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+46
83.2%
Lorran Fonseca 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:4484% → 85%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
83.5%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Evan Veron for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 16
OWN 23
+5
83.4%
Jonathan Banks run for 5 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+23
83.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 23 yds to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
83.8%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 19 yds to the NicSt 30 TULANE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the NicSt 40Similar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 1
OPP 40
+2
83.9%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the NicSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
83.9%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darius BradwellSimilar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
84.9%
Corey Dauphine 38 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 5FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:5916% → 19%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.4%
Kyran Irvin run for 4 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
84.2%
[Shotgun], PENALTY TLN offside defense (SAMPLE,C.) 5 yards to the NICH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
84.0%
Kyran Irvin run for 3 yds to the NicSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+55
84.2%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 55 yds to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
83.6%
Kyran Irvin run for 1 yd to the Tulan 7Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-11
83.6%
Chase Fourcade run for 4 yds to the Tulan 3 NICHOLLS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Chase Fourcade) to the Tulan 18Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+9
84.2%
Chase Fourcade run for no gain to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Robert Kennedy) to the Tulan 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
83.6%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the Tulan 9Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
83.6%
Chase Fourcade run for 1 yd to the Tulan 8 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Marvin Moody) to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
83.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the Tulan 2Similar
Q1 6:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
83.6%
Kendall Bussey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 3Similar
Q1 6:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
83.8%
Chase Fourcade run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 4Similar
Q1 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
81.1%
Lorran Fonseca 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
84.8%
Corey Dauphine 69 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr.Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
85.0%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 11 yds to the NicSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
84.4%
Kendall Bussey run for 18 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
83.9%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+3
83.9%
Chase Fourcade run for 3 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
84.0%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dontrell TaylorSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
84.4%
Winston Jones punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:2085% → 91%
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
85.3%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
85.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+18
85.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 18 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.9%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for no gain to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+31
85.7%
Darius Bradwell run for 31 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
86.0%
[Shotgun], BANKS,J. pass incomplete to TOLES,J., PENALTY TLN ineligible downfield on pass (BRIGGS,D.) 5 yards to the NICH32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:06
1ST & 15
OPP 32
+2
86.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+25
86.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 25 yds to the NicSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.7%
Jonathan Banks 5 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 9MISSED FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:2710% → 10%
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.0%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dontaze Costly for 8 yds to the NicSt 33Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
89.4%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the NicSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.8%
Kendall Bussey run for 2 yds to the NicSt 37Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+7
89.7%
Chase Fourcade run for 7 yds to the NicSt 44 Chase Fourcade fumbled,Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
89.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Nick Conley for 5 yds to the NicSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.4%
Dontrell Taylor run for 4 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+8
89.3%
Chase Fourcade run for 8 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+28
89.6%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 28 yds to the Tulan 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
88.9%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dontrell Taylor for 1 yd to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
89.3%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Dontrell Taylor, broken up by TEAMER,R.Similar
Q2 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-15
89.2%
NICHOLLS ST Penalty, personal foul (Gabe Fuselier) to the NicSt 46Similar
Q2 3:19
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
90.3%
Lorran Fonseca 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+15
91.0%
[Shotgun], BANKS,J. middle pass incomplete to MOONEY, Darnell, PENALTY NICH pass interference (Dickerson, Aust) 15 yards to the TLN44, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
91.2%
Darius Bradwell run for 13 yds to the NicSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.2%
Jonathan Banks run for no gain to the NicSt 43Similar
Q2 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
91.2%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Kenny Dotson for a loss of 19 yards to the Tulan 26 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by NicSt Evan Veron , return for 0 yards , return for 12 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 11TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:5911% → 17%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
89.3%
Chase Fourcade sacked by Will Harper for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+26
89.6%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dai'Jean Dixon for 26 yds to the Tulan 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
88.4%
[Shotgun], PENALTY NICH false start 5 yards to the TLN6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
88.4%
Chase Fourcade sacked by Zachery Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 7Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
82.9%
Gabe Fuselier 7 Yd pass from Chase Fourcade (Lorran Fonseca Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
86.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
86.7%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 23 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
87.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the NicSt 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+7
87.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 7 yds to the NicSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
87.5%
Corey Dauphine run for a loss of 3 yards to the NicSt 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+3
87.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Charles Jones II for 3 yds to the NicSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
86.9%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
86.0%
Zachary Block punt for 40 yds, downed at the NicSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 14INT
10 plays · 64 yds · 0:0014% → 16%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
86.5%
Dontrell Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 1Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 11
OWN 1
+9
86.7%
[Shotgun], Fourcade, Chase slant pass incomplete to Jeanpiere, Dami, PENALTY TLN pass interference (LEWIS,Donnie) 9 yards to the NICH10, 1ST DOWN NICH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+17
86.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr. for 17 yds to the NicSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
86.1%
Dontrell Taylor run for 3 yds to the NicSt 30Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-10
85.9%
[Shotgun], Fourcade, Chase rush quarterback scramble for 6 yards to the NICH36, out-of-bounds (TEAMER,R.), PENALTY NICH holding (Arceneaux, Chan) 10 yards to the NICH20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+11
86.5%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 11 yds to the NicSt 31Similar
Q3 11:51
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+20
86.5%
Chase Fourcade run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Willie Langham) to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
84.8%
[Shotgun], Fourcade, Chase sacked for loss of 7 yards to the NICH44 (HARRIS, Zachery), PENALTY TLN personal foul (JOHNSON,J.) 15 yards to the TLN34, 1ST DOWN NICH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
84.1%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr.Similar
Q3 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
84.1%
Chase Fourcade pass intercepted Terren Encalade return for no gain to the Tulan 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
15 plays · 95 yds · 7:2887% → 97%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
87.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 13 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+24
87.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 24 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
88.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 2
50
+6
88.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 6 yds to the NicSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
88.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the NicSt 40Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
88.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 5 yds to the NicSt 35Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-6
87.9%
[Shotgun], PENALTY TLN false start (LEGLUE, John) 6 yards to the NICH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+8
87.8%
Corey Dauphine run for 8 yds to the NicSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
88.4%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Laryon James and Sully Laiche for a loss of 5 yards to the NicSt 38Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
88.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Will Wallace, broken up by Darren EvansSimilar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+16
87.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 16 yds to the NicSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
88.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 9 yds to the NicSt 13Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
88.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the NicSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
88.3%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 1 yard to the NicSt 12Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+12
96.7%
Darnell Mooney 12 Yd pass from Jonathan Banks (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 16TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:034% → 11%
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Kendall Bussey run for no gain to the NicSt 25Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
95.7%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 15 yds to the NicSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
95.7%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Arron McKenneySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+14
95.7%
Chase Fourcade run for 14 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
95.6%
Kendall Bussey run for 7 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+6
95.3%
Kendall Bussey run for 6 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
95.8%
Dontrell Taylor run for 1 yd to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
95.8%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Stefano Guarisco, broken up by Will HarperSimilar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+32
88.7%
Dontrell Taylor 32 Yd Run (Lorran Fonseca Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 3:5591% → 98%
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
91.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 2 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+25
91.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 25 yds to the NicSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.1%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the NicSt 46Similar
Q4 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-3
92.1%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the NicSt 49Similar
Q4 12:42
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+13
91.4%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 13 yds to the NicSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
92.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the NicSt 35Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+35
98.2%
Corey Dauphine 35 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.2%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Kendall Bussey for 4 yds to the NicSt 29Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-14
97.1%
[Shotgun], Fourcade, Chase deep, left pass incomplete to Dixon, Dai'Jean (HARPER, Will), PENALTY NICH pass interference (Dixon, Dai'Jean) 14 yards to the NICH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+3
97.3%
Chase Fourcade run for 3 yds to the NicSt 18Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+9
97.4%
Chase Fourcade pass complete to Dontrell Taylor for 9 yds to the NicSt 27Similar
Q4 8:47
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
97.3%
Winston Jones pass incomplete, broken up by Jeffery Johnson Winston Jones fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:2998% → 99%
Q4 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-6
98.4%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the NicSt 34Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 16
OPP 34
+6
98.4%
Amare Jones run for 6 yds to the NicSt 28Similar
Q4 6:48
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-9
98.4%
Jonathan Banks run for a loss of 9 yards to the NicSt 37Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 19
OPP 37
0
98.5%
Zachary Block punt for 31 yds, downed at the NicSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 20INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
98.3%
Dontrell Taylor run for 6 yds to the NicSt 12Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 4
OWN 12
0
98.3%
Chase Fourcade pass incomplete to Damion Jeanpiere Jr.Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 4
OWN 12
0
98.3%
Chase Fourcade pass intercepted Chase Kuerschen return for no gain to the NicSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:3199% → 100%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
98.9%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the NicSt 15Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+14
98.9%
Amare Jones run for 14 yds to the NicSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Amare Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NICHDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
99.8%
Kyran Irvin run for 5 yds to the NicSt 23Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+9
99.8%
Kyran Irvin run for 9 yds to the NicSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
Kyran Irvin run for 2 yds to the NicSt 34Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+3
99.8%
Kyran Irvin run for 3 yds to the NicSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:50
Darnell Mooney 12 Yd pass from Jonathan Banks (Merek Glover Kick)
+8.4
TD · Q4 12:47
Dontrell Taylor 32 Yd Run (Lorran Fonseca Kick)
-7.1
TD · Q4 8:47
Corey Dauphine 35 Yd Run (Merek Glover Kick)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com