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MER

Mercer 14 at Memphis 66

MEM
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
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Win probability · MEM
modelMEM aheadMER aheadconfidence bandkey playMEM scoreMER score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:40 · Matt Shiel punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.2Pregame prior+19.6Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:46: Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 8:32: Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 45 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +1.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 7:04: Kaelan Riley pass intercepted for a TD T.J. Carter return for 35 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +4.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MER has the ball).
  4. TD · Q1 1:16: Darrell Henderson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +8.0 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:01: Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK) — MEM win probability +3.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MEM made the numbers' call on 3 of 5MER made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:40MER 4th & 12 at MER 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:08MER 4th & 9 at MER 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:59MEM 4th & 2 at MER 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    64.2%−0.6
    62% to make
    Punt
    61.2%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MER 4th & 15 at MER 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−3.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:43MER 4th & 15 at MER 20, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−2.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:06MER 4th & 6 at MER 30, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:11MEM 4th & 2 at MER 8, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    88.7%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:01MER 4th & 3 at MER 32, down 49
    Close callPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:53MER 4th & 4 at MER 27, down 56
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:46MEM 4th & 5 at MER 44, up 56
    Close callPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:31MEM 4th & 4 at MEM 36, up 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:13MER 4th & 21 at MER 19, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:46MEM 4th & 4 at MER 4, up 56
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:52MER 4th & 16 at MER 9, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MEM made the numbers' call on 9 of 9MER made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46MEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:32MEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:04MEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:16MEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:43MEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 10:17MEM Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:01MEM Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 0:00MEM Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:34MER Touchdown, down 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:10MER Touchdown, down 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 3:03MEM Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MEMDrive 1TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 4:1471% → 72%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
71.0%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 6 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+5
71.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the Memph 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
71.0%
Darrell Henderson run for no gain to the Memph 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
71.0%
Tony Pollard run for 5 yds to the Memph 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+26
71.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 11 yds to the Memph 34 for a 1ST down MERCER Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
71.0%
Darrell Henderson run for 5 yds to the Mercr 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
71.0%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 2 yds to the Mercr 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+4
71.0%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 4 yds to the Mercr 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
71.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 7 yds to the Mercr 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+7
71.0%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 7 yds to the Mercr 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
71.0%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 15 yds to the Mercr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
71.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 6 yds to the Mercr 5Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
72.1%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 5 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
71.6%
Tee Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Mercr 23Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
71.6%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete to Marquise IrvinSimilar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-5
71.7%
MERCER Penalty, false start (Austin Sanders) to the Mercr 18Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 12
OWN 18
0
71.8%
Tee Mitchell run for no gain to the Mercr 18Similar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
71.9%
Matt Shiel punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Memph 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 3TD
3 plays · 59 yds · 0:4272% → 74%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
72.3%
Brady White pass complete to Tony Pollard for 6 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+8
72.5%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 8 yds to the Mercr 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
74.3%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 45 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 4INT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2826% → 22%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.7%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Tee Mitchell for 1 yd to the Mercr 26Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
73.7%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Chris Ellington for 5 yds to the Mercr 31Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+35
77.8%
Kaelan Riley pass intercepted for a TD T.J. Carter return for 35 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 1:5422% → 20%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
77.7%
Tee Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Mercr 40Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-5
77.8%
MERCER Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Mercr 35Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 14
OWN 35
+5
78.0%
Tee Mitchell run for 5 yds to the Mercr 40Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
77.9%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete, broken up by Austin HallSimilar
Q1 5:08
4TH & 9
OWN 40
-2
79.8%
Matt Shiel punt for 45 yds , John Pop Williams returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 3:4380% → 89%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
80.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+2
79.9%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 2 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+16
79.7%
Brady White pass complete to Damonte Coxie for 16 yds to the Memph 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
80.0%
Brady White pass complete to Mechane Slade for 8 yds to the Memph 39Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+7
80.7%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 17 yds to the MEMPHIS 44 for a 1ST down MEMPHIS Penalty, Offensive holding (Trevon Tate) to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+19
80.7%
Darrell Henderson run for 19 yds to the Mercr 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
80.8%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
80.8%
Darrell Henderson run for 9 yds to the Mercr 26Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 1
OPP 26
-1
80.7%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 27Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 2
OPP 27
+3
80.5%
Darrell Henderson run for 3 yds to the Mercr 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
80.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 2 yds to the Mercr 22Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+22
88.9%
Darrell Henderson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:1610% → 9%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Tyray Devezin run for no gain to the Mercr 25Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.0%
Tyray Devezin run for 1 yd to the Mercr 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+15
91.2%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Marquise Irvin for 15 yds to the Mercr 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.8%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete to David Durden, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
90.9%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Chris Ellington for no gain to the Mercr 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
91.0%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete to David DurdenSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 41
-5
91.2%
MERCER Penalty, delay of game (Matt Shiel) to the Mercr 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
91.5%
Matt Shiel punt for 40 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:5292% → 91%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
92.0%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the Memph 25Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
91.9%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tony Pollard, broken up by Sidney OtiwuSimilar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+75
90.9%
Brady White pass complete to Patrick Taylor Jr. for 75 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.6%
Tee Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mercr 24Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
93.7%
Kaelan Riley sacked by Bryce Huff for a loss of 4 yards to the Mercr 20Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Marquise Irvin for no gain to the Mercr 20Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
93.7%
Matt Shiel punt for 42 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10TD
1 play · 62 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
94.7%
Brady White pass complete to Darrell Henderson for 62 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
96.3%
Kaelan Riley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
96.4%
Kaelan Riley pass complete to Tee Mitchell for 4 yds to the Mercr 30Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Kaelan Riley pass incomplete, broken up by T.J. CarterSimilar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 6
OWN 30
-4
96.4%
Matt Shiel punt for 36 yds , John Pop Williams returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Memph 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12TD
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:1095% → 99%
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
95.3%
John Pop Williams run for 8 yds to the Memph 38Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+11
95.3%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 11 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
95.4%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for 9 yds to the Mercr 42Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+11
95.4%
Darrell Henderson run for 11 yds to the Mercr 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
95.4%
Kenny Gainwell run for 8 yds to the Mercr 23Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 2
OPP 23
0
95.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Darrell HendersonSimilar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+7
95.3%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 7 yds to the Mercr 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
95.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Damonte CoxieSimilar
Q2 9:11
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
95.4%
Kenny Gainwell run for 3 yds to the Mercr 13Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 7
OPP 13
-9
95.4%
Brady White run for 6 yds to the Mercr 7 MEMPHIS Penalty, clipping (Kenny Gainwell) to the Mercr 22Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 16
OPP 22
+14
95.3%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 14 yds to the Mercr 8Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+3
95.3%
Brady White pass complete to Joey Magnifico for 3 yds to the Mercr 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
95.5%
Patrick Taylor Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 11 Patrick Taylor Jr. fumbled, forced by LeMarkus Bailey,Similar
Q2 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+6
95.4%
Brady White run for 6 yds to the Mercr 5Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.5%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
Tyray Devezin run for 2 yds to the Mercr 27Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
98.6%
Tyray Devezin run for 5 yds to the Mercr 32Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.3%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete to Tucker CannonSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.3%
Matt Shiel punt for 41 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14TD
6 plays · 73 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+45
98.6%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 45 yds to the Mercr 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
98.7%
Brady White pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 9 yds to the Mercr 19Similar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+8
98.7%
Brady White pass complete to John Pop Williams for 8 yds to the Mercr 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
98.7%
Brady White pass incomplete to John Pop Williams, broken up by LeMarkus BaileySimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+8
98.7%
Brady White run for 8 yds to the Mercr 3Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Brady White pass complete to Kedarian Jones for 3 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:591% → 1%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
99.0%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Stephen Houzah for 2 yds Stephen Houzah fumbled, forced by Jacobi Francis,Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
99.0%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete to David DurdenSimilar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+5
99.0%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Stephen Houzah for 5 yds to the Mercr 27Similar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Matt Shiel punt for 47 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Memph 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
98.9%
Timothy Taylor run for 1 yd to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
98.9%
Brady McBride pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+12
98.9%
Brady McBride pass complete to Mechane Slade for 12 yds to the Memph 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
99.0%
Timothy Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 37Similar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+14
98.9%
Brady McBride pass complete to Antonio Gibson for 14 yds to the Mercr 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
99.0%
Brady McBride run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 11
50
0
98.9%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Antonio Gibson, broken up by Malique FlemingSimilar
Q3 13:46
3RD & 11
50
+6
98.9%
Brady McBride run for 6 yds to the Mercr 44Similar
Q3 13:46
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
98.9%
Adam Williams punt for 38 yds, downed at the Mercr 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 17INT
7 plays · 58 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
99.5%
Tee Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Mercr 9Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 9
+8
99.5%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Marquise Irvin for 8 yds to the Mercr 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete to David Durden, broken up by Tamaurice SmithSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete to Stephen Houzah, broken up by Sanchez Blake Jr.Similar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+38
99.5%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Marquise Irvin for 38 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.4%
Robert Riddle run for 9 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+4
99.4%
Robert Riddle pass intercepted Thomas Pickens return for 4 yds to the Memph 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
99.5%
TAYLOR, Tim rush for 1 yard to the MEMPHIS31 (LeMarkus Bailey), PENALTY MEMPHIS holding (PEDDY, Brytain) 10 yards to the MEMPHIS20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:31
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+7
99.4%
Timothy Taylor run for 7 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+7
99.4%
Timothy Taylor run for 7 yds to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 8:31
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+2
99.5%
Brady McBride run for 2 yds to the Memph 36Similar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Adam Williams punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Mercr 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
Kaelan Riley run for a loss of 4 yards to the Mercr 26 Kaelan Riley fumbled, recovered by Mercr Tyray Devezin , return for 2 yds to the Mercr 26Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 14
OWN 26
-4
99.7%
Kaelan Riley sacked by Braylon Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the Mercr 22Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 18
OWN 22
-4
99.7%
Kaelan Riley sacked by JJ Russell for a loss of 4 yards to the Mercr 19 Kaelan Riley fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 6:13
4TH & 21
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Matt Shiel punt for 52 yds, downed at the Memph 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:31100% → 100%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.7%
Brady McBride pass complete to Kenny Gainwell for 8 yds to the Memph 37Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+7
99.7%
Brady McBride pass complete to Kenny Gainwell for 7 yds to the Memph 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Brady McBride run for no gain to the Memph 46 Brady McBride fumbled, recovered by Memph Brady McBrideSimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+18
99.7%
Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 18 yds to the Mercr 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.7%
Marquavius Weaver run for 3 yds to the Mercr 33Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+11
99.7%
Brady McBride pass complete to Kenny Gainwell for 11 yds to the Mercr 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.7%
Marquavius Weaver run for 4 yds to the Mercr 18Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Timothy Taylor run for no gain to the Mercr 18Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+17
99.7%
Brady McBride run for 17 yds to the Mercr 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.7%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q3 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
99.7%
Brady McBride run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mercr 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
99.8%
Riley Patterson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:120% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Tyray Devezin run for 3 yds to the Mercr 28Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+9
99.9%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Stephen Houzah for 9 yds to the Mercr 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.9%
Robert Riddle run for 4 yds to the Mercr 41Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-6
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mercr 35 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Mercr Robert RiddleSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 12
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
MERCER Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Mercr 30Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+20
99.9%
Robert Riddle run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.9%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Camiel Grant for 3 yds to the Memph 47Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+30
99.9%
Tyray Devezin run for 30 yds to the Memph 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete to Stephen HouzahSimilar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.9%
Robert Riddle pass incomplete, PENALTY MEMPHIS offside (TATE IV, John) 5 yards to the MEMPHIS12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 5
OPP 12
+2
99.9%
Tyray Devezin run for 2 yds to the Memph 10Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Tony Jones II for 10 yds for a TD, (Cole Fisher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22FUMBLE
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:21100% → 100%
Q4 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.9%
Cameron Fleming run for 2 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+13
99.9%
Cameron Fleming run for 13 yds to the Mercr 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Cameron Fleming run for no gain to the Mercr 44Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Connor Adair pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+10
99.9%
ADAIR, Connor pass incomplete, QB hurry by Xavier Perkins, PENALTY MER holding (Jamar Hall) 10 yards to the MER34, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
99.9%
Cameron Fleming run for 5 yds to the Mercr 29Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+57
99.9%
Cameron Fleming run for no gain to the Memph 15 Cameron Fleming fumbled, forced by Travonte' Easley, recovered by Mercr Michael Freeman , return for 57 yds to the Memph 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 23TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Robert Riddle pass complete to Marquise Irvin for 15 yds for a TD, (Cole Fisher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
99.9%
Marquavius Weaver run for no gain to the Memph 10Similar
Q4 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
99.9%
Marquavius Weaver run for 7 yds to the Memph 17Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+83
100.0%
Calvin Austin III run for 83 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MERDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
100.0%
Tee Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Mercr 18Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-2
100.0%
Kareem Rogers run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 16Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-7
100.0%
Robert Riddle sacked by Jacoby Hill for a loss of 7 yards to the Mercr 9Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 16
OWN 9
0
100.0%
Matt Shiel punt for 37 yds, fair catch by John Pop Williams at the Mercr 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mercr 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:16
Darrell Henderson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+8
TD · Q1 7:04
Kaelan Riley pass intercepted for a TD T.J. Carter return for 35 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q2 3:01
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 5 yds for a TD, (Riley Patterson KICK)
+3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com