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VILL

Villanova 19 at Temple 17

TEM
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadVILL aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreVILL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:07 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:45: Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 15 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — TEM win probability +10.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 7:17: Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jarrett McClenton for 30 yds for a TD (Drew Kresge PAT BLOCKED) — VILL win probability +26.7 pts (now 58%) (top driver: VILL has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:45: Aaron Forbes run for 4 yds to the Villa 36 — VILL win probability +18.3 pts (now 60%) (top driver: VILL has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27: Timeout TEMPLE, clock 01:27 — VILL win probability +24.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: VILL has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:12: TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 48 — VILL win probability +19.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: VILL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5VILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 5:35TEM 4th & 9 at VILL 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 7:47VILL 4th & 14 at TEM 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    31.4%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:42VILL 4th & 4 at VILL 27, up 3
    Close callPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:03TEM 4th & 6 at VILL 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    72.3%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:09VILL 4th & 1 at TEM 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    29.0%−1.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    24.3%−6.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00TEM 4th & 6 at TEM 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:16VILL 4th & 2 at VILL 30, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%−1.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:36VILL 4th & 3 at TEM 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−1.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:52TEM 4th & 4 at VILL 12, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.9%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−13.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:17VILL 4th & 9 at TEM 30, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%−1.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    21.9%−5.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:27VILL 4th & 6 at TEM 38, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.3 ptsPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    77.5%−2.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%−5.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1VILL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 10:53VILL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:03VILL Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:45TEM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:17VILL Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VILLDrive 1TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:0713% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
86.6%
Aaron Forbes run for 18 yds to the Villa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
86.6%
Bednarczyk, Z. pass incomplete to Hodge, C., PENALTY TEM pass interference (38) 15 yards to the TEM37, 1ST DOWN VU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
86.6%
Aaron Forbes run for 6 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
86.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 3 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
86.6%
Aaron Forbes run for 2 yds to the Temp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
86.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Aaron ForbesSimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
85.7%
Matt Gudzak run for 12 yds to the Temp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
85.7%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jarrett McClenton for 13 yds to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 1 yd for a TD VILLANOVA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 8 (Drew Kresge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 2FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 5:0085% → 83%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
84.6%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-2
84.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 27Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+21
84.4%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Branden Mack for 21 yds to the Temp 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
84.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Branden Mack for 5 yds to the Villa 47Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-5
84.8%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
84.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for no gain to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+11
84.6%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 11 yds to the Villa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
84.8%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the Villa 33Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+3
84.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Villa 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
84.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Rob Ritrovato for 4 yds to the Villa 26Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 26
-3
84.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 3 yards to the Villa 29Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
84.8%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+46
83.1%
Aaron Boumerhi 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 3TD
12 plays · 76 yds · 4:2717% → 23%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
82.8%
Aaron Forbes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 23Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
82.9%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Ryan BellSimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+12
83.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 12 yds to the Villa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
82.7%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Adeyemi DaSilva for 5 yds to the Villa 40Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+9
82.5%
Aaron Forbes run for 9 yds to the Villa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
82.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Aaron Forbes for 9 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+12
82.3%
Justin Covington run for 12 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-7
82.3%
Zach Bednarczyk sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 7 yards to the Temp 37Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & 17
OPP 37
+15
82.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 15 yds to the Temp 22Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+5
82.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 5 yds to the Temp 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
77.0%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Brandon Chadbourn for 17 yds for a TD (Drew Kresge PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:5977% → 77%
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
77.2%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q1 0:59
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+3
77.6%
Ryquell Armstead run for 3 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
77.4%
Isaiah Wright run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 29 for a 1ST down VILLANOVA Penalty, personal foul (Julian Williams) to the Temp 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
77.8%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
76.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 7 yds to the Villa 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+2
77.3%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Villa 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 47
-5
77.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 48Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 48
+45
76.6%
Connor Bowler punt for 45 yds , Josh McGrigg returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Villa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 5MISSED FG TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:5524% → 24%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
76.4%
Aaron Forbes run for 3 yds to the Villa 9Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 9
-4
76.4%
Bednarczyk, Z. pass incomplete to Hodge, C., PENALTY VU false start (Greenidge, E.) 4 yards to the VU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+2
76.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Simon Bingelis for 2 yds to the Villa 7Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 9
OWN 7
+11
76.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 11 yds to the Villa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
76.0%
Zach Bednarczyk run for 9 yds to the Villa 27Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+35
75.5%
Aaron Forbes run for 35 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
75.1%
Jarrett McClenton run for 7 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+20
75.0%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 9 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST down TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (Sam Franklin) to the Temp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-4
75.0%
Matt Gudzak run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 15Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 14
OPP 15
0
75.0%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Jarrett McClentonSimilar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 14
OPP 15
0
75.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Jarrett McClentonSimilar
Q2 7:47
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+74
76.0%
Drew Kresge 31 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Quincy Roche Kimere Brown return for 74 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
75.5%
VILLANOVA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Villa 16Similar
Q2 7:42
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+5
75.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 5 yds to the Villa 21Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
75.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Ryan Bell, broken up by Isaiah Graham-MobleySimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+6
76.2%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 6 yds to the Villa 27Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+27
76.4%
Nathan Fondacaro punt for 57 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 27 yds to the Temp 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7DOWNS
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
76.6%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
75.9%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Chris Myarick for 8 yds to the Villa 49Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+9
76.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Branden Mack for 9 yds to the Villa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
77.2%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
77.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 4 yds to the Villa 36Similar
Q2 6:03
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
77.0%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 6
OPP 36
-4
76.2%
Frank Nutile sacked by Malik Fisher for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 8END OF HALF
15 plays · 38 yds · 3:5128% → 35%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Changa Hodge, broken up by Kimere BrownSimilar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
72.0%
Aaron Forbes run for no gain to the Villa 41Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
72.8%
Bednarczyk, Z. pass incomplete to Hodge, C. (CRUMP,LINWOOD), PENALTY TEM pass interference (CRUMP,LINWOOD) 15 yards to the TEM44, 1ST DOWN VU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
71.2%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Justin Covington for 5 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
71.1%
Justin Covington run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+9
71.5%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jarrett McClenton for 9 yds to the Temp 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
70.6%
Covington, J. rush for 11 yards to the TEM19 (BRADLEY,SHAUN;FRANKLIN,SAM), PENALTY VU holding (Grattan, P.) 10 yards to the TEM40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+7
71.5%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 7 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 13
OPP 33
0
70.7%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Jarrett McClentonSimilar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 13
OPP 33
+12
72.0%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 12 yds to the Temp 21Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+6
72.5%
Justin Covington run for 6 yds to the Temp 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
66.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Aaron Forbes for 1 yd Aaron Forbes fumbled, forced by Delvon Randall, recovered by Villa Aaron ForbesSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-5
64.6%
Zach Bednarczyk sacked by Michael Dogbe for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
70.1%
Ryquell Armstead run for 8 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-6
71.9%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 6 yards to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+16
68.8%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Branden Mack for 16 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
72.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 5 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-1
72.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
71.7%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Jeff SteebSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 47
+10
69.9%
Connor Bowler punt for 41 yds , Josh McGrigg returns for 10 yds to the Villa 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
66.8%
Aaron Forbes run for 2 yds to the Villa 24Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+1
66.8%
Aaron Forbes run for 1 yd to the Villa 25Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+5
67.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jarrett McClenton for 5 yds to the Villa 30Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
68.4%
Nathan Fondacaro punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Wright at the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:3766% → 82%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
66.1%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 9 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
68.9%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
67.9%
Todd Centeio run for 4 yds to the Temp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
68.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Branden Mack for 10 yds to the Villa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
69.5%
Ryquell Armstead run for 11 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
69.6%
Frank Nutile run for 2 yds to the Villa 34Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+11
70.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Branden Mack for 11 yds to the Villa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
70.7%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Chris Myarick for 4 yds to the Villa 19Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+5
70.7%
Frank Nutile run for 5 yds to the Villa 14Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
69.2%
Ryquell Armstead run for 2 yds to the Villa 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-3
70.7%
Ryquell Armstead run for a loss of 3 yards to the Villa 15 Ryquell Armstead fumbled, recovered by Temp Ryquell ArmsteadSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 13
OPP 15
+15
81.5%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 15 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 12INT
12 plays · 32 yds · 0:0023% → 25%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
76.6%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Aaron Forbes for 10 yds to the Villa 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
75.7%
VILLANOVA Penalty, false start (Simon Bingelis) to the Villa 33Similar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+11
77.0%
Aaron Forbes run for 11 yds to the Villa 44Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
74.0%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Jarrett McClentonSimilar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+9
74.5%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 9 yds to the Temp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
73.4%
Matt Gudzak run for 7 yds to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
73.1%
Matt Gudzak run for 2 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-2
73.3%
Jarrett McClenton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+6
75.2%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jarrett McClenton for 6 yds to the Temp 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
72.4%
Aaron Forbes run for 9 yds to the Temp 25 VILLANOVA Penalty, personal foul (Ethan Greenidge) to the Temp 40Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+15
75.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass intercepted Sam Franklin return for 15 yds to the Temp 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:4978% → 78%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
77.8%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah Wright, broken up by Christian BenfordSimilar
Q3 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
77.4%
Frank Nutile run for 8 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+20
78.5%
Todd Centeio pass complete to Ventell Bryant for 20 yds to the Villa 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
80.4%
Todd Centeio run for 2 yds to the Villa 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
80.3%
Frank Nutile run for no gain to the Villa 40Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+22
79.0%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Isaiah Wright for 22 yds to the Villa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
80.6%
Frank Nutile pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
80.6%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Branden Mack for 6 yds to the Villa 12Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
79.5%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Branden Mack, broken up by Chucky SmithSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
77.6%
Aaron Boumerhi 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 14TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:3527% → 58%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
73.2%
Aaron Forbes run for 4 yds to the Villa 24Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
72.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 4 yds to the Villa 28Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+8
72.8%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Changa Hodge for 8 yds to the Villa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
71.3%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Ryan Bell for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
50
+4
67.9%
Justin Covington run for 4 yds to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+15
68.1%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jevon Jones for 15 yds to the Temp 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
66.2%
Justin Covington run for 1 yd to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
66.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete to Changa HodgeSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
68.4%
Zach Bednarczyk pass incomplete, broken up by Dan ArchibongSimilar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+30
41.7%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jarrett McClenton for 30 yds for a TD (Drew Kresge PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0053% → 58%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
52.6%
Frank Nutile pass incomplete to Isaiah WrightSimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
52.1%
Frank Nutile pass complete to Jadan Blue for 18 yds to the Villa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
58.4%
Frank Nutile pass intercepted Jeff Steeb return for no gain to the Villa 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:1860% → 83%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
40.2%
Aaron Forbes run for 4 yds to the Villa 36Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+8
39.2%
Aaron Forbes run for 8 yds to the Villa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
37.9%
Matt Gudzak run for 3 yds to the Villa 47Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+6
37.8%
Justin Covington run for 6 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+5
36.7%
Justin Covington run for 5 yds to the Temp 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-4
36.9%
Justin Covington run for a loss of 4 yards to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 14
OPP 46
0
39.2%
Aaron Forbes run for no gain to the Temp 46Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+8
41.7%
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jevon Jones for 8 yds to the Temp 38Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+1
16.9%
Nathan Fondacaro punt for 31 yds , Isaiah Wright returns for 1 yd to the Temp 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+18
32.5%
Frank Nutile pass intercepted Elijah Trent return for no gain to the Temp 8 VILLANOVA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (18 Yards) to the Temp 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VILLDrive 18END OF GAME
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0587% → 85%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-4
13.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 48Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 14
OWN 48
-4
13.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 44Similar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 18
OWN 44
-4
14.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:17
Zach Bednarczyk pass complete to Jarrett McClenton for 30 yds for a TD (Drew Kresge PAT BLOCKED)
-26.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27
Timeout TEMPLE, clock 01:27
-24.8
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:12
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Villa 48
-19.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com