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UCF

UCF 56 at UConn 17

CONN
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2018 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.3CONN 10.9%Michael Tarbutt 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 3 · Q2 9:17
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:17 · Michael Tarbutt 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 64Pregame prior−36.6Home team on offense−5.6Score differential−2.8Garbage-time factor−1.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 9:17: Michael Tarbutt 44 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +1.3 pts (now 11%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:24: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +4.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:04: David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK) — CONN win probability +3.9 pts (now 13%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:35: McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +4.7 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:33: Otis Anderson run for 10 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK) — UCF win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UCF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:04CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:08CONN 4th & 5 at UCF 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    10.1%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:49UCF 4th & 6 at UCF 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:17CONN 4th & 6 at UCF 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:20CONN 4th & 2 at UCF 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%−0.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q3 7:09CONN 4th & 6 at UCF 27, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:10CONN 4th & 2 at UCF 36, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:54CONN 4th & 5 at UCF 14, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:47UCF 4th & 2 at CONN 36, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:44CONN 4th & 1 at UCF 16, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UCF made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:01UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:00UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:24UCF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:04CONN Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:35UCF Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:33UCF Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:30UCF Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:47UCF Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:04UCF Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:11CONN Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1FUMBLE
7 plays · 45 yds · 1:467% → 8%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
6.8%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 16Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+26
7.0%
David Pindell run for 26 yds to the UConn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
7.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 2
50
+14
7.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 14 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
7.4%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-3
7.5%
Zavier Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 39 Zavier Scott fumbled, recovered by UCF Richie GrantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 2:0293% → 92%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
7.4%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+7
7.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 7 yds to the UConn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
7.5%
McKenzie Milton run for 11 yds to the UConn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
7.6%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+7
7.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 7 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+5
7.7%
McKenzie Milton run for 5 yds to the UConn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
7.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick SnelsonSimilar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
7.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 11 yds to the UConn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
7.8%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 4 yds to the UConn 11Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+9
7.9%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Keyshawn Paul) to the UConn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
7.6%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 2 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:468% → 8%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
7.8%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 40Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
8.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle BussSimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
7.9%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+1
7.9%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 42 yds , Otis Anderson returns for 1 yd to the UCF 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 0:5792% → 93%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+13
8.0%
McKenzie Milton run for 13 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
8.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+8
8.0%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 8 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+23
8.0%
Taj McGowan run for 23 yds to the UConn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
7.1%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 34 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:428% → 8%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
7.6%
Khyon Gillespie run for 6 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
7.7%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
7.8%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 6 yds to the UConn 45Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-1
8.0%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 44Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
8.0%
David Pindell run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
50
-1
8.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 49Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+2
8.2%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+4
8.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 4 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 5:08
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
8.4%
Luke Magliozzi punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 37 yds · 3:1192% → 92%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
7.9%
McKenzie Milton run for 2 yds to the UCF 10Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+6
7.9%
Otis Anderson run for 6 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+6
8.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
8.0%
McKenzie Milton run for 8 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+11
7.9%
McKenzie Milton run for 11 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
7.9%
Greg McCrae run for 6 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+3
7.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 1
50
0
8.0%
Greg McCrae run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 1:55
4TH & 1
50
-5
8.1%
UCF Penalty, Delay of Game (McKenzie Milton) to the UCF 45Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
8.2%
Mac Loudermilk punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UConn 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 7:258% → 11%
Q1 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
8.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 28Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+3
8.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 3 yds to the UConn 31Similar
Q1 0:40
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+5
8.7%
UCF Penalty, Defensive Offside (Keenan Johnson) to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
8.8%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UConn 34Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+1
8.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 35Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+12
8.8%
David Pindell run for 12 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
9.3%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UConn 49Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
9.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 6 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-5
9.5%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Tyler Davis) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 7
50
+8
9.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 8 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
9.3%
David Pindell run for 11 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
9.6%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, False Start (Tyler Davis) to the UCF 36Similar
Q2 10:35
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+4
9.5%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+5
9.8%
David Pindell run for 5 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
9.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kyle BussSimilar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
10.9%
Michael Tarbutt 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 0:4189% → 94%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
10.7%
Otis Anderson run for no gain to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+21
10.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 6 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST down CONNECTICUT Penalty, Personal Foul (Keyshawn Paul) to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+45
10.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 45 yds to the UConn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
5.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:117% → 13%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
7.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
50
+5
8.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 5 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
8.3%
David Pindell run for 2 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q2 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
8.3%
Zavier Scott run for 1 yd to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+12
8.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 12 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+14
8.7%
Kevin Mensah run for 14 yds to the UCF 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
8.8%
David Pindell pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+10
8.8%
David Pindell run for 10 yds to the UCF 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
8.6%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UCF 5Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
12.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 1:2089% → 94%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
11.3%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 12 yds to the UCF 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
10.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 26 yds to the UConn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+31
10.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 31 yds to the UConn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.5%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q2 3:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.5%
McKenzie Milton run for no gain to the UConn 5Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
5.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11INT
11 plays · 50 yds · 2:057% → 8%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
7.4%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 33Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
7.5%
David Pindell run for 8 yds to the UConn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
7.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 5 yds to the UConn 46Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
7.8%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+13
7.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 13 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
8.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
8.0%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 7 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+9
8.3%
David Pindell pass complete to Tyraiq Beals for 9 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
8.4%
David Pindell pass intercepted Richie Grant return for 3 yds to the UCF 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
5.4%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 3 yds to the UCF 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:2294% → 98%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
6.1%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q3 14:48
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
6.0%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 5 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q3 14:30
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+17
5.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Michael Colubiale for 17 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
5.7%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
5.9%
Otis Anderson run for 7 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+8
5.7%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tristan Payton for 8 yds to the UConn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
5.4%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Keyshawn Paul) to the UConn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
5.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 3 yds to the UConn 10Similar
Q3 12:33
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+10
1.7%
Otis Anderson run for 10 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 5:211% → 1%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
1.4%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Kevin MensahSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
1.4%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 4 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+9
1.3%
David Pindell run for 9 yds to the UConn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
1.3%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 39Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
1.3%
Kevin Mensah run for 4 yds to the UConn 43Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+12
1.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Hergy Mayala for 12 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+14
1.2%
David Pindell run for 14 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
1.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 9 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 1
OPP 22
-1
1.2%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 23Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 2
OPP 23
-4
1.1%
David Pindell run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 7:09
4TH & 6
OPP 27
0
1.0%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Zavier ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 2:3099% → 99%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
1.2%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 4 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+6
1.1%
Adrian Killins Jr. run for 6 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
1.0%
Marlon Williams run for 2 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
0.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 5 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+33
0.9%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Adrian Killins Jr. for 33 yds to the UConn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.8%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Gabriel DavisSimilar
Q3 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
0.9%
Taj McGowan run for 3 yds to the UConn 20Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+9
0.8%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 9 yds to the UConn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.6%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tre Nixon for 11 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 2:231% → 1%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Hergy MayalaSimilar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
1.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 9
50
-10
1.0%
CONNECTICUT Penalty, Offensive Holding (Ryan Crozier) to the UConn 40Similar
Q3 3:20
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+17
0.9%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 17 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+24
0.7%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 7 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (17 Yards) to the UCF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
0.8%
David Pindell run for 7 yds to the UCF 12Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 3
OPP 12
-2
0.7%
Kevin Mensah run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 14Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
0.6%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Tyler DavisSimilar
Q3 1:54
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+4
0.6%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 4 yds to the UCF 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
0.5%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 7 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+27
0.4%
Greg McCrae run for 27 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
0.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Tristan Payton for 5 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+7
0.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Dredrick Snelson for 7 yds to the UConn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Dredrick SnelsonSimilar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
0.4%
Taj McGowan run for 8 yds to the UConn 36Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 2
OPP 36
0
0.4%
McKenzie Milton pass incomplete to Michael ColubialeSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+36
0.4%
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Greg McCrae for 36 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18FUMBLE
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
0.2%
David Pindell pass complete to Zavier Scott for 8 yds to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 2
OWN 30
0
0.2%
David Pindell run for no gain to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+13
0.2%
David Pindell run for 13 yds to the UConn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.2%
Zavier Scott run for no gain to the UConn 43Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+47
0.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 47 yds Kyle Buss fumbled, recovered by UCF Nate EvansSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
5 plays · 90 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
0.3%
Greg McCrae run for no gain to the UCF 10Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
0.3%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Marlon Williams for 2 yds to the UCF 12Similar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+10
0.3%
Greg McCrae run for 10 yds to the UCF 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
0.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. pass complete to Marlon Williams for 8 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+70
0.2%
Darriel Mack Jr. run for 70 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20TD
17 plays · 79 yds · 6:390% → 0%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
0.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 8 yds to the UConn 29Similar
Q4 9:20
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+1
0.1%
David Pindell run for 1 yd to the UConn 30Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+1
0.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 1 yd to the UConn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
0.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Kyle Buss for 8 yds to the UConn 39Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+8
0.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 8 yds to the UConn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
0.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Keyion DixonSimilar
Q4 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-1
0.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for a loss of 1 yard to the UConn 46Similar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+11
0.1%
David Pindell run for 11 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
0.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Kevin Mensah for 5 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+13
0.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Aaron McLean for 13 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-2
0.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Heron Maurisseau for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 27Similar
Q4 4:26
2ND & 12
OPP 27
0
0.1%
David Pindell pass incomplete to Heron MaurisseauSimilar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 12
OPP 27
+11
0.1%
David Pindell pass complete to Keyion Dixon for 11 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q4 3:44
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+2
0.1%
Kevin Mensah run for 2 yds to the UCF 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
0.1%
David Pindell run for 14 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21Uncategorized
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for 7 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+5
0.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for 5 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
0.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for 6 yds to the UCF 43Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
0.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds to the UCF 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:35
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Otis Anderson for 5 yds for a TD (Matthew Wright KICK)
-4.7
TD · Q2 8:24
McKenzie Milton pass complete to Gabriel Davis for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wright KICK)
-4.3
TD · Q2 4:04
David Pindell pass complete to Tyler Davis for 5 yds for a TD (Michael Tarbutt KICK)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com