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USM

Southern Miss 39 at UTEP 7

UTEP
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUSM aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUSM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:46 · Mitchell Crawford punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Home team on offense−52.0Pregame prior−7.0Score differential−39.0Garbage-time factor−19.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−11.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:57: Briggs Bourgeois 39 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +1.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 9:18: SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8 — USM win probability +2.0 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 0:23: Steven Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — UTEP win probability +0.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 14:12: Briggs Bourgeois 39 yd FG GOOD — USM win probability +2.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:35: Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 17 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 8USM made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:57USM 4th & 10 at UTEP 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.0%
    72% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:40UTEP 4th & 16 at USM 35, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:40USM 4th & 7 at USM 38, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:25UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 34, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:12USM 4th & 12 at UTEP 22, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−3.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:12UTEP 4th & 9 at USM 21, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:12USM 4th & 15 at USM 28, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:05UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 7, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:02USM 4th & 13 at UTEP 41, up 19
    Close callPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:35UTEP 4th & 15 at USM 45, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:05USM 4th & 2 at UTEP 48, up 26
    Close callPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 9, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:24USM 4th & 1 at UTEP 30, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.4
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:46UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 20, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:25UTEP 4th & 14 at UTEP 28, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:56USM 4th & 3 at USM 33, up 39
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 0 of 1USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:18USM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 10:35USM Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:57USM Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:35USM Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 0:07UTEP Touchdown, down 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:0383% → 81%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
16.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 20 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
16.8%
Steven Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+11
16.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 11 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
16.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 4 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+8
16.8%
Jack Abraham run for 8 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
16.8%
Steven Anderson run for 11 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
16.8%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
0
16.8%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by Kahani SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
-2
16.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Trivenskey Mosley for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
18.6%
Briggs Bourgeois 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2INT TD
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3919% → 18%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.6%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
18.6%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+41
18.4%
Brandon Jones pass intercepted for a TD Rachuan Mitchell return for 41 yds for a TD SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8 (Briggs Bourgeois PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 9:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
16.5%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4MISSED FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2918% → 17%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
18.1%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 18 yds to the SoMis 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-2
18.4%
Brandon Jones sacked by Racheem Boothe for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 31Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 12
OPP 31
-5
18.4%
Brandon Jones sacked by Ty Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 36Similar
Q1 9:09
3RD & 17
OPP 36
+1
18.1%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Quardraiz Wadley for 1 yd to the SoMis 35Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 16
OPP 35
+53
16.9%
Jason Filley 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.1%
Tate Whatley run for no gain to the SoMis 35Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
16.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 3 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
16.1%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 7
OWN 38
0
16.2%
Zac Everett punt for 28 yds, downed at the UTEP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
16.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 9
OWN 35
-1
16.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 34Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
16.7%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
16.7%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:3284% → 85%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
15.8%
Quez Watkins run for 1 yd to the SoMis 21Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+12
15.8%
Steven Anderson run for 12 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
15.7%
Steven Anderson run for 7 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+5
15.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 5 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
15.4%
Steven Anderson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
15.4%
Steven Anderson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
15.4%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim JonesSimilar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+17
15.4%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 17 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
15.4%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 17 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
15.4%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
15.4%
Steven Anderson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.2%
Steven Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+19
16.7%
Brandon Jones pass intercepted Ky'el Hemby return for 19 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5185% → 88%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
15.1%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
15.1%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim JonesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-4
15.2%
Jack Abraham sacked by Trace Mascorro for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+39
12.5%
Briggs Bourgeois 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10MISSED FG
15 plays · 54 yds · 6:0015% → 16%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
14.5%
Brandon Jones run for 13 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
14.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
14.9%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Terry Juniel for no gain to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+8
14.6%
Brandon Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
15.2%
Brandon Jones run for 19 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
15.7%
Brandon Jones run for no gain to the SoMis 33Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
15.6%
Brandon Jones pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+11
14.7%
Brandon Jones pass complete to David Lucero for 11 yds to the SoMis 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
15.2%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the SoMis 22Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
15.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the SoMis 18Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-3
15.0%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 21Similar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
16.4%
Jason Filley 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
16.9%
Steven Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 20Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+3
17.0%
Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+10
17.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Trevor Terry for 10 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
16.8%
Steven Anderson run for 4 yds to the SoMis 37Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-9
16.6%
Jack Abraham sacked by A.J. Hotchkins for a loss of 9 yards to the SoMis 28Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 15
OWN 28
0
17.6%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Steven AndersonSimilar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 15
OWN 28
0
17.7%
Zac Everett punt for 71 yds, downed at the UTEP 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
13.6%
Brandon Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+1
13.6%
Brandon Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 4Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+3
13.5%
Brandon Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 5:05
4TH & 4
OWN 7
0
13.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 50 yds, downed at the SoMis 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
12.2%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 1 yd to the SoMis 44Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+18
12.2%
Tate Whatley run for 18 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-11
11.7%
Tate Whatley run for a loss of 11 yards to the SoMis 48 Tate Whatley fumbled, forced by Kalaii Griffin,Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 24
OWN 48
+6
12.3%
Jack Abraham run for 6 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 18
OPP 46
+5
12.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Trivenskey Mosley for 5 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 3:02
4TH & 13
OPP 41
0
12.8%
Zac Everett punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
10.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
10.8%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Erik Brown for 9 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
11.2%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-3
10.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+9
10.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 9 yds to the UTEP 44 Quardraiz Wadley fumbled, forced by Ty Williams, recovered by SoMis D.Q. ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15TD
6 plays · 44 yds · 2:2993% → 98%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
7.5%
Steven Anderson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+10
7.2%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 10 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
7.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 7 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+5
7.1%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
7.1%
Steven Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+17
2.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 17 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 30 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
2.5%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 10 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
2.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+7
2.5%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 7 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
2.6%
Brandon Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
2.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+12
2.6%
Brandon Jones run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Defensive holding (D.Q. Thomas) to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
2.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the SoMis 36Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-8
2.8%
Brandon Jones sacked by Racheem Boothe for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 44Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 14
OPP 44
-1
2.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 45Similar
Q3 10:35
4TH & 15
OPP 45
0
2.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Quez Watkins at the SoMis 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
1.4%
Steven Anderson run for 11 yds to the SoMis 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.4%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
1.5%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jordan MitchellSimilar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+17
1.5%
Steven Anderson run for 17 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
1.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 5 yds to the SoMis 49Similar
Q3 5:05
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-7
1.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 42Similar
Q3 5:05
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+10
1.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 10 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
1.5%
Zac Everett punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:071% → 1%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
1.1%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+5
1.1%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Erik Brown for 5 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 14
-5
1.2%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
1.0%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 9
-4
1.0%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 47 yds , Quez Watkins returns for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 34 Quez Watkins fumbled, recovered by SoMis Quez WatkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19DOWNS
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:2199% → 100%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
1.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 4 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+23
1.0%
Tate Whatley run for 23 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
0.9%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+1
0.9%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+3
0.9%
Tate Whatley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 11:24
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
0.4%
Steven Anderson run for no gain to the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
0.4%
Brandon Jones pass intercepted Ky'el Hemby return for 33 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21TD
1 play · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
0.3%
Tate Whatley run for 16 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
0.3%
Brandon Jones sacked by Rachuan Mitchell for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 10:46
3RD & 13
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 13
OWN 20
0
0.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 62 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
0.3%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 5 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+3
0.3%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 3 yds to the SoMis 26Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+10
0.3%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 10 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
0.2%
Trivenskey Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 35Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+34
0.2%
Tate Whatley pass complete to Quez Watkins for 34 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
0.2%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+24
0.2%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 24 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
0.1%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by Racheem BootheSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+13
0.1%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 13 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Erik Brown, broken up by Ernest GunnSimilar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for no gain to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-4
0.1%
Brandon Jones sacked by Sherrod Ruff and Nick Dawson for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 5:25
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
0.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 57 yds , Quez Watkins returns for no gain to the SoMis 26 Quez Watkins fumbled, recovered by SoMis Quez Watkins , return for 12 yds to the SoMis 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
0.2%
Tyler Barnes run for 3 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
0.2%
Tyler Barnes run for 3 yds to the SoMis 32Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+1
0.2%
Tyler Barnes run for 1 yd to the SoMis 33Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Tyler Flathau punt for 25 yds, downed at the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:200% → 0%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
0.1%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+17
0.1%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 17 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
0.1%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Erik Brown for 41 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:35
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 17 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)
-4.7
FG · Q2 14:12
Briggs Bourgeois 39 yd FG GOOD
-2.7
TD · Q1 9:18
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 8
-2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com