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MRSH

Marshall 28 at Florida International 25

FIU
2018 · Week 13 · Nov 24, 2018 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:15 · Jose Borregales 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Juwon Young Juwon Young return for no gain to the Marsh 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Home team on offense−2.0Pregame prior−4.9Score differential−1.1Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:25: Anthony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +7.1 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. PUNT · Q3 1:23: Stone Wilson punt blocked by Brandon Drayton blocked by Brandon Drayton Brandon Drayton return for no gain for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +16.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:45: Christian Alexander run for 8 yds for a TD (Maurice Alexander pass to Christian Alexander for Two-Point Conversion) — FIU win probability +24.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 8:42: Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 3 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +20.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:47: Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +25.7 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 9 at MRSH 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54FIU 4th & 25 at FIU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:53MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:32FIU 4th & 5 at MRSH 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−3.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:32MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:17MRSH 4th & 8 at FIU 8, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:47FIU 4th & 10 at MRSH 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−1.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    37.0%−6.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:54FIU 4th & 7 at MRSH 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:15FIU 4th & 8 at MRSH 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    35.6%−7.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:15MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.8%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:23FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:42FIU 4th & 9 at MRSH 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:54MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:41MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:25FIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:45FIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    34.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    34.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:42MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:47FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 26 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
39.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
39.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
39.0%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
39.0%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+8
39.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
39.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
0
39.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
39.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
39.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:0160% → 62%
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
40.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
40.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+9
40.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 9 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
40.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 24 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+26
39.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 26 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
38.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 16 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
38.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 10 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+25
38.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 25 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
39.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+1
39.4%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 1 yd to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 9
OPP 39
-16
39.2%
James Morgan sacked by Omari Cobb for a loss of 16 yards to the FLAINTL 45 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, intentional grounding (James Morgan) to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 25
OWN 45
+7
38.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 41 yds , Marcel Williams returns for 7 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
38.4%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 8
OWN 23
0
38.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani Levias, broken up by Olin Cushion IIISimilar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
38.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:53
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
38.9%
Robert LeFevre punt for 53 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for no gain to the FlaIn 14 Maurice Alexander fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Maurice Alexander , return for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5INT TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:0639% → 35%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
38.5%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+2
38.5%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+25
35.0%
James Morgan pass intercepted for a TD Omari Cobb return for 25 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:0935% → 36%
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.2%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
35.5%
Anthony Jones run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
35.7%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to WORTON, C., PENALTY MAR pass interference (GILMORE, Steven) 15 yards to the MAR46, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+37
36.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 37 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
36.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Marsh 8Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
36.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 3 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
36.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
36.1%
Jose Borregales 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani Levias, broken up by Richard DamesSimilar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
36.4%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
36.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Brenden KnoxSimilar
Q1 1:32
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
36.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 41 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for no gain to the FlaIn 44 Maurice Alexander fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Maurice Alexander , return for 15 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:0336% → 45%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
36.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 10 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
36.7%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+14
36.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 14 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
37.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling Palmer, broken up by Frankie HernandezSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
37.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 5 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+7
36.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 7 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
37.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 2 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+15
37.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 15 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
37.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the Marsh 1Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.5%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9MISSED FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 7:0859% → 60%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
41.2%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
40.4%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
40.8%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
40.7%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+13
39.9%
Brenden Knox run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
39.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 3 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+14
39.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 14 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+18
39.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
38.9%
Sheldon Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+3
39.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for 3 yds Artie Henry III fumbled, forced by Jamal Gates,Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+12
39.9%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to BRADY, Tyre, PENALTY FIU pass interference (LUBIN, Emmanuel) 12 yards to the FIU2, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
38.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q2 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
38.9%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
38.9%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q2 11:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
39.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Rishard DamesSimilar
Q2 4:17
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
40.3%
Justin Rohrwasser 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:3041% → 41%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
40.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
41.1%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 8 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
41.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+5
41.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+7
42.6%
D'Vonte Price run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
43.5%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 8 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+34
44.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 24 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, illegal helmet contact (Jaquan Yulee) to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
45.0%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the Marsh 10Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+4
45.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for 4 yds to the Marsh 6Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-5
43.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Dallas Connell) to the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
43.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Chase HancockSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+28
41.3%
Jose Borregales 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
38.3%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.7%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Richard Dames return for no gain to the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13MISSED FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:3945% → 42%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
44.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
44.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ Worton, broken up by Omari CobbSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+1
44.0%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 1 yd to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+7
42.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 7 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
46.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 11
OPP 29
0
46.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 11
OPP 29
+3
43.7%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 3 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
42.0%
Jose Borregales 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Juwon Young Juwon Young return for no gain to the Marsh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
39.5%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
39.6%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+2
40.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 2 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
41.7%
Robert LeFevre punt for 40 yds, downed at the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15INT
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0042% → 45%
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
41.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 28 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
45.3%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+3
45.1%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 9:03
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
44.8%
James Morgan pass intercepted Donyae Moody return for no gain to the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16INT
10 plays · 53 yds · 0:0063% → 65%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
36.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 8 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+5
35.5%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
35.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Anthony Anderson for 11 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
35.0%
Anthony Anderson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
34.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+12
35.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Anthony Anderson for 12 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
33.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 10 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
33.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-1
33.5%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 6
OPP 11
0
34.9%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Richard Dames return for no gain to the FlaIn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17PUNT TD
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2336% → 18%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
36.4%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+5
36.2%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q3 2:46
3RD & 4
OWN 11
0
35.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 4
OWN 11
0
18.4%
Stone Wilson punt blocked by Brandon Drayton blocked by Brandon Drayton Brandon Drayton return for no gain for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 3:3821% → 49%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
20.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+7
20.9%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Austin Maloney for 7 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
21.7%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+15
22.3%
D'Vonte Price run for 15 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
23.0%
Christian Alexander run for 1 yd to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+12
22.8%
Christian Alexander pass complete to CJ Worton for 12 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
24.7%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+15
24.7%
ALEXANDER, C. pass incomplete to WORTON, C., PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 15 yards to the MAR10, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
24.7%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
48.8%
Christian Alexander run for 8 yds for a TD (Maurice Alexander pass to Christian Alexander for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 4:0364% → 88%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
36.1%
Brenden Knox run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
35.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 16 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
33.8%
Brenden Knox run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 8
OPP 31
-2
33.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+10
35.8%
Brenden Knox run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
33.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+14
33.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Anthony Anderson for 14 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
33.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 3 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5514% → 45%
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
14.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
15.1%
Christian Alexander run for 6 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Malik Thompson) to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
17.2%
Christian Alexander pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 1 yd to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
17.0%
Christian Alexander pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
15.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q4 8:42
4TH & 9
OPP 41
+38
14.1%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 38 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
18.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q4 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21END OF GAME
16 plays · 65 yds · 3:4573% → 93%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
26.8%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
26.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 3:17
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+7
23.5%
Isaiah Green run for 7 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
20.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+8
18.2%
Marcel Williams run for 8 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+31
17.8%
Brenden Knox run for 31 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
15.3%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+11
8.5%
Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
7.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
7.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:47
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+25.7
TD · Q4 12:45
Christian Alexander run for 8 yds for a TD (Maurice Alexander pass to Christian Alexander for Two-Point Conversion)
+24.1
TD · Q4 8:42
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 3 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
-20.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com