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UTEP

UTEP 16 at Western Kentucky 40

WKU
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:51 · Mitchell Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Drell Greene at the WKent 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense+17.4Score differential+14.6Pregame prior+13.3Garbage-time factor+4.9Blowout margin+5.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:27: D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Rinella KICK) — WKU win probability +3.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 6:56: Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 2 yds for a TD Timeout UTEP, clock 06:56 (Alex Rinella KICK) — WKU win probability +4.2 pts (now 77%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:28: D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Rinella KICK) — WKU win probability +6.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 12:58: Alex Rinella 22 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +2.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:45: Brandon Jones pass complete to David Lucero for 88 yds for a TD (Brandon Jones pass to David Lucero for Two-Point Conversion) — UTEP win probability +1.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:06WKU 4th & 4 at UTEP 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−<0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 4 at UTEP 37, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:58WKU 4th & 4 at UTEP 4, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.2%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    85.4%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:51UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 12, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:24WKU 4th & 19 at WKU 40, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:43UTEP 4th & 16 at UTEP 23, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:36WKU 4th & 15 at UTEP 15, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:06UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 15, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:20WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 45, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 34, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.8%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:26WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 36, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:37UTEP 4th & 2 at WKU 22, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:30WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 38, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:01UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 23, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:38WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 48, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:28UTEP 4th & 6 at UTEP 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:19WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 49, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:13UTEP 4th & 2 at WKU 2, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:06WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:27WKU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:56WKU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:28WKU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:42WKU Touchdown, up 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:33UTEP Touchdown, down 34 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:45UTEP Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    0.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5469% → 70%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.6%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
68.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 12 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
68.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+5
68.6%
Steven Duncan run for 5 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
68.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
68.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+12
68.6%
Joshua Samuel run for 12 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
68.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+4
68.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
68.6%
Joshua Samuel run for no gain to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+17
69.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
68.9%
Kai Locksley pass intercepted Roger Cray return for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 33 yds · 1:2670% → 73%
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
69.9%
Lucky Jackson run for 11 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
69.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+21
69.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 21 yds to the UTEP 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Rinella KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
71.5%
Kai Locksley pass intercepted Drell Greene return for 32 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:1873% → 77%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
73.2%
Steven Duncan run for 11 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
73.2%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
73.2%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 2 yds for a TD Timeout UTEP, clock 06:56 (Alex Rinella KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6INT
7 plays · 43 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
77.0%
Brandon Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
77.0%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+29
77.0%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Terry Juniel for 29 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
76.5%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 7 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
76.4%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Erik Brown for 4 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-6
76.1%
Brandon Jones pass intercepted Ta'Corian Darden return for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:5579% → 87%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
79.0%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 27
-1
78.9%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+8
78.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 8 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
79.0%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+15
79.0%
DUNCAN, Steven pass incomplete to PEARSON, J., PENALTY UTEP pass interference (SMITH, Kahani) 15 yards to the WKU49, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
79.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+38
79.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 38 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
86.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Rinella KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
88.5%
Brandon Jones pass intercepted Devon Key return for no gain to the UTEP 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:1787% → 92%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
87.1%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 39
0
87.0%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q1 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+2
86.9%
Steven Duncan run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+29
88.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 29 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
89.0%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
88.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 4Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.9%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q2 12:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
91.7%
Alex Rinella 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
93.1%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 18Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 9
OWN 18
0
93.1%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 18
-6
93.2%
Kai Locksley sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 12Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 15
OWN 12
0
93.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Drell Greene at the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
92.9%
Steven Duncan run for 2 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q2 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
92.9%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Kahani SmithSimilar
Q2 11:24
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-11
92.9%
Steven Duncan sacked by Sione Tupou for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 11:24
4TH & 19
OWN 40
+9
92.6%
Alex Rinella punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 29 , Terry Juniel returns for 9 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
94.6%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Keynan Foster, broken up by Dionte RuffinSimilar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
94.8%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 10
OWN 29
-6
94.8%
Kai Locksley sacked by Eli Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 9:43
4TH & 16
OWN 23
+9
95.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 39 yds , Drell Greene returns for 9 yds to the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 4:0993% → 97%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.4%
Joshua Samuel run for no gain to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+18
93.3%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 18 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
93.4%
Steven Duncan run for 22 yds to the UTEP 13 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Quin Jernighan) to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
93.4%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Mik'Quan Deane, broken up by A.J. HotchkinsSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
93.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Jordan Meredith) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+10
93.3%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 10 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+17
93.5%
Steven Duncan run for 17 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
93.3%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 6Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
96.3%
DUNCAN, Steven pass complete to DEANE, Mik'Quan for 6 yards to the UTEP0, clock 05:33, PENALTY WKU illegal forward pass (DUNCAN, Steven) 2 yards to the UTEP8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-12
96.3%
Steven Duncan sacked by A.J. Hotchkins for a loss of 12 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 5:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
+5
96.3%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside (Mike Sota) to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 4:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 15
+33
96.7%
Alex Rinella 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14INT TD
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:482% → 2%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
97.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 8
+5
97.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 1
OWN 13
+3
97.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.5%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+18
98.3%
Kai Locksley pass intercepted for a TD Gaej Walker return for 18 yds for a TD (Alex Rinella KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:262% → 2%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+1
98.3%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 9
OWN 13
+2
98.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Trent Thompson for 2 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
98.4%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Drell Greene at the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:3998% → 98%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.1%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Justin RogersSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
98.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Gino Appleberry Jr. for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 5
50
-5
98.1%
Steven Duncan sacked by A.J. Hotchkins for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 1:20
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
98.2%
Alex Rinella punt for 45 yds, downed at the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
98.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+4
98.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:272% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Keynan FosterSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
98.4%
Brandon Jones sacked by Ben Holt for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+15
98.4%
Brandon Jones run for 15 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+38
98.2%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Josh Weeks for 38 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
98.0%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 8 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+9
97.9%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 9 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
98.0%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Terry Juniel for 11 yds for a TD (Brandon Jones pass to Warren Redix for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.7%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
98.7%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
98.7%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Alex Rinella punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:571% → 2%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+48
98.6%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 48 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
98.2%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 7 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+1
98.1%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 2
OPP 22
0
98.3%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Warren Redix, broken up by Devon KeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.3%
Joshua Samuel run for 9 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 1
OWN 31
0
99.3%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for no gain to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
99.3%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 5 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.3%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.4%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Kahani SmithSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.3%
Alex Rinella punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-11
99.3%
Brandon Jones sacked by Masai Whyte for a loss of 11 yards to the UTEP 9Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+2
99.4%
Brandon Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 19
OWN 11
+12
99.4%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 12 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+53
99.3%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 38 yds, downed at the WESTERNKY 39 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23INT
14 plays · 64 yds · 3:53100% → 100%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.6%
Steven Duncan run for no gain to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+12
99.6%
Garland LaFrance run for 12 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
99.6%
Steven Duncan run for 13 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
99.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 10 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 3 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+4
99.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+8
99.6%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
99.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Mik'Quan Deane) to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+10
99.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 10 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+8
99.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 8 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.8%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
99.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Jordan Meredith) to the UTEP 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.8%
Steven Duncan pass intercepted Kalon Beverly return for no gain to the UTEP 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24TD
2 plays · 94 yds · 0:500% → 1%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+6
99.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+88
98.7%
Brandon Jones pass complete to David Lucero for 88 yds for a TD (Brandon Jones pass to David Lucero for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.8%
Joshua Samuel run for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
98.8%
Joshua Samuel run for 4 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+7
98.8%
Steven Duncan run for 7 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 3 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
98.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+4
98.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.9%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for no gain to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-15
98.9%
Garland LaFrance run for no gain to the WKent 49 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Gino Appleberry Jr.) to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 25
OWN 36
+12
98.7%
Garland LaFrance run for 12 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 13
OWN 0
0
98.7%
RINELLA, Alex punt 32 yards to the UTEP20, downed, PENALTY UTEP roughing the kicker off-setting, PENALTY WKU kick catching interference off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
98.8%
Alex Rinella punt for 47 yds, downed at the UTEP 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:041% → 1%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
99.4%
Brandon Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+15
99.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 15 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Josh WeeksSimilar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Josh WeeksSimilar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.5%
Brandon Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.5%
Joshua Samuel run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
99.5%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 5:05
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+3
99.5%
Steven Duncan run for 3 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 3:19
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
99.6%
Alex Rinella punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the UTEP 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 28DOWNS
7 plays · 83 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.8%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 6 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+30
99.8%
Brandon Jones pass complete to David Lucero for 30 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+43
99.8%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Erik Brown for 43 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.7%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.7%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by Canon JacksonSimilar
Q4 3:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q4 3:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.7%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Warren Redix, broken up by Jordon GonzalezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29END OF GAME
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
99.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:28
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Rinella KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q1 6:56
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 2 yds for a TD Timeout UTEP, clock 06:56 (Alex Rinella KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q1 8:27
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Rinella KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com