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FAU

Florida Atlantic 38 at North Texas 41

UNT
2018 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2018 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:29 · Sebastian Riella punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Keegan Brewer at the NoTex 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+23.0+11.50−11.5−23.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+6.9Home team on offense−2.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 10:08: Quinn Shanbour run for 5 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +12.0 pts (now 70%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:33: Quinn Shanbour run for 18 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +12.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:01: Devin Singletary run for 8 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +16.9 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 4:06: DeAndre Torrey run for 92 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +21.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:38: Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 55 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +28.6 pts (now 36%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 9FAU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 5 at FAU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:27FAU 4th & 4 at UNT 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:34UNT 4th & 9 at FAU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.3%
    74% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:34FAU 4th & 14 at FAU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:37UNT 4th & 11 at FAU 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.7%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    62.4%−5.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:37FAU 4th & 4 at UNT 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−0.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:39UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 33, down 1
    Close callPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:22FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 21, up 1
    Close callPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.9%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:03UNT 4th & 2 at FAU 2, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    58.4%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−7.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:29FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 9, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−2.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:16UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 40, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:47FAU 4th & 2 at midfield, up 1
    Close callPunted · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:37FAU 4th & 2 at UNT 13, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%−1.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    36.7%−9.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:27UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 40, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 66.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.4%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:20FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 30, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.4 ptsPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%−3.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00UNT 4th & 17 at UNT 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−6.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:42FAU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    32.7%−2.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:07FAU 4th & 14 at UNT 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−5.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−12.9
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:07UNT 4th & 3 at FAU 43, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.4 ptsPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    68.5%−6.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−4.4
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:13FAU 4th & 8 at FAU 37, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:23UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−10.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 9:27UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:57UNT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:36FAU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:52FAU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:39FAU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:08UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:33UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:01FAU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:06UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:38FAU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.9%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.3%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
63.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 1 yd to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
63.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John MitchellSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-2
63.3%
Sebastian Riella punt for 43 yds , Keegan Brewer returns for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 25 Keegan Brewer fumbled, forced by Jalen Young,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:2763% → 66%
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
63.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 23 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
63.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 43Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+16
63.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 16 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
63.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Nic Smith for 15 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
63.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 7 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q1 13:54
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+2
63.4%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q1 13:54
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+1
63.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
63.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 3 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
65.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
65.0%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
64.8%
Chris Robison run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
64.5%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 14
OWN 45
+2
64.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+8
64.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 8 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
64.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to John Mitchell, broken up by Kemon HallSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:3966% → 67%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
66.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 20 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+13
66.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 13 yds to the FlAtl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
66.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
66.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
66.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
66.7%
Cole Hedlund 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.1%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
66.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-1
66.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q1 5:34
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+3
66.7%
Sebastian Riella punt for 48 yds , Keegan Brewer returns for 3 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
4 plays · 66 yds · 1:0668% → 74%
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
67.5%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Defensive pass interference (James Pierre) to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
68.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 23 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+25
68.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 25 yds to the FlAtl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2127% → 33%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
73.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
72.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 9 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
72.8%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 2:57
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+1
72.3%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+56
67.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 56 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8FG
9 plays · 64 yds · 2:5968% → 75%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
67.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+49
68.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 49 yds to the FlAtl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
68.9%
Mason Fine run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+9
69.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 9 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
69.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-3
69.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
69.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin SmithSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
74.7%
Cole Hedlund 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 2:4527% → 37%
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
72.6%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+22
72.4%
Devin Singletary run for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
50
+8
71.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 18 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 32 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 42Similar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 2
OPP 42
+9
71.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 9 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
71.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
71.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 9
OPP 32
+5
71.7%
Chris Robison run for 5 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+25
72.1%
Chris Robison run for 25 yds to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
70.8%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
63.3%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
67.9%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Rashad Smith return for 1 yd to the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
57.0%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 29 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
60.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
60.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q2 10:39
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
59.9%
Mason Fine run for 4 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
59.8%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
59.1%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 15
-3
59.1%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+9
60.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 9 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 1
OWN 21
+9
60.3%
Sebastian Riella punt for 43 yds , Keegan Brewer returns for 9 yds to the NoTex 30 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 56 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
59.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 17 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
61.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+13
62.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 13 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
62.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+15
62.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Zyon Gilbert) to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+12
62.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 12 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
62.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Manase Mose) to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+7
62.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 7 yds to the FlAtl 8Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
62.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Elex Woodworth) to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
62.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 7 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
61.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 4 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
60.5%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5944% → 42%
Q2 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
56.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+2
56.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 9Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
56.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Taylor RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:29
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
57.8%
Sebastian Riella punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Keegan Brewer at the NoTex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0060% → 55%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
59.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen Guyton, broken up by Ernest BagnerSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
58.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 4 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-9
59.1%
Mason Fine sacked by Tim Bonner for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
55.3%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Willie Wright at the FlAtl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0045% → 46%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
54.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 7 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+17
53.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 17 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
52.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 2
50
0
51.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon Durante, broken up by Nate BrooksSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 2
50
0
51.9%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 2
50
0
53.6%
Sebastian Riella punt for 39 yds, downed at the NoTex 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
57.3%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Ocie Rose return for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19FG
6 plays · 22 yds · 2:1448% → 50%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
51.7%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 15
OPP 40
+19
53.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 19 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
51.4%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
51.4%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+1
52.6%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the NoTex 13Similar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+31
50.0%
Vladimir Rivas 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:2953% → 70%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+46
52.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 46 yds to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
57.6%
Nic Smith run for no gain to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 12:37
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+6
57.6%
Mason Fine run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q3 12:37
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+8
55.7%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, roughing passer (Jalen Young) to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
57.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.6%
Quinn Shanbour run for 5 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21INT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
64.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Kerrith Whyte Jr.Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
64.6%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q3 10:08
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+13
66.1%
Chris Robison pass intercepted Nate Brooks return for 13 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:4570% → 82%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
69.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
70.3%
Quinn Shanbour run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
69.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
70.3%
Quinn Shanbour run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+3
70.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
82.4%
Quinn Shanbour run for 18 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3220% → 41%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
79.6%
Willie Wright run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
80.0%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+26
81.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 36 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 45 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (Willie Wright) to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
78.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 13 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
77.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+8
77.1%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+23
76.0%
Devin Singletary run for 23 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
59.1%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3467% → 66%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
66.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 4:01
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
66.3%
Quinn Shanbour pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+8
64.9%
Quinn Shanbour pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 8 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
65.6%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Willie Wright at the FlAtl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
65.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
65.8%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 2:20
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+5
66.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Devin Singletary for 5 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q3 2:20
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
66.2%
Chris Robison punt for 53 yds, downed at the NoTex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3466% → 62%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+13
65.6%
Mason Fine run for 13 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-8
66.1%
Mason Fine sacked by Quran Hafiz for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 22 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by NoTex Mason Fine , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 22
0
65.0%
Nic Smith run for no gain to the NoTex 22Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 22
+1
63.4%
Mason Fine run for 1 yd to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 23
0
62.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 44 yds , Willie Wright returns for no gain to the FlAtl 32 Willie Wright fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 27MISSED FG
15 plays · 44 yds · 5:3535% → 30%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
65.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+10
67.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 10 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+1
62.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
63.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 2
50
0
60.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 2
50
0
61.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 2
50
+9
63.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 9 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
60.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+1
60.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 6
OPP 37
+18
61.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 18 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
58.6%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the NoTex 18Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-5
58.6%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 8:19
3RD & 14
OPP 23
0
65.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 14
OPP 23
+41
69.9%
Vladimir Rivas 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 34 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
71.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 12 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
72.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
50
+7
75.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 3
OPP 43
0
75.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
75.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
72.7%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0032% → 29%
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
68.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Raine for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+12
68.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 12 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
66.9%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 6:13
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
66.7%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 6:13
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
68.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q4 6:13
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
70.8%
Chris Robison punt for 55 yds, downed at the NoTex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 30TD
1 play · 92 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+92
92.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 92 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 31TD
5 plays · 73 yds · 0:287% → 36%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
92.7%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
93.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 3 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+15
92.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Garner) to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
64.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 55 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 32PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:1579% → 79%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
78.5%
Mason Fine sacked by Jalen Young for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 14 Mason Fine fumbled, recovered by NoTex Mason Fine , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+3
81.7%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+4
80.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
79.3%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 33INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0015% → 12%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
85.4%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 15
OWN 35
0
87.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+15
88.3%
Chris Robison pass intercepted Khairi Muhammad return for 15 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 34END OF GAME
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:0091% → 88%
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
91.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-2
89.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 14
OPP 39
-3
87.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:38
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 55 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-28.6
TD · Q4 4:06
DeAndre Torrey run for 92 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+21.9
TD · Q3 4:01
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-16.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com