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2018 · Week 12 · Nov 17, 2018 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFUMBLEFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:38 · Kyle Corbett punt for 56 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 9 yds to the FlaIn 35 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense−3.9Score differential−1.6Garbage-time factor−2.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3Pregame prior−2.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:38: Napoleon Maxwell run for 39 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +13.4 pts (now 63%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:33: Benny LeMay run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +14.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. TD · Q4 14:56: James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 3 yds for a TD (James Morgan pass for Two-Point Conversion) — FIU win probability +18.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 9:33: Benny LeMay run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +15.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:14: Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Chris Phillips for 12 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, (2 Yards) to the FlaIn 1 (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +22.3 pts (now 26%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6
  1. Q1 8:49FIU 4th & 5 at CLT 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 3 at FIU 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    41.1%−3.0
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:03FIU 4th & 4 at CLT 11, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.7%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    52.8%−4.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:37CLT 4th & 1 at FIU 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    38.4%−2.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−8.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:37FIU 4th & 8 at CLT 42, down 1
    Close callPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    51.0%−0.5
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:26CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:38CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:25FIU 4th & 9 at CLT 46, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    63.4%−0.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:49CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:20FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 43, up 13
    Close callPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:04CLT 4th & 7 at CLT 38, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:04CLT 4th & 2 at FIU 24, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%−0.6
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:05FIU 4th & 6 at CLT 30, up 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    89.9%
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:49CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:37CLT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:38FIU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:54FIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:33CLT Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:56FIU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:33CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:04FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.9
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:14CLT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.0%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1146% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.8%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
45.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 11 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+45
45.8%
Benny LeMay run for 31 yds to the CHARLOTTE 28 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Dorian Hall) to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
45.8%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
47.4%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2FG
12 plays · 67 yds · 4:0053% → 52%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
47.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 21 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
46.9%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
47.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 8 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+10
46.9%
Anthony Jones run for 10 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
46.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 10 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
46.7%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+10
46.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 10 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
46.7%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 8
0
46.7%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the Charl 8Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
46.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Ed RolleSimilar
Q1 8:49
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
47.8%
Jose Borregales 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3FUMBLE TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:1648% → 48%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Richard DamesSimilar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
47.7%
Benny LeMay run for 15 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
48.2%
Ishod Finger run for no gain to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
48.0%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+14
47.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
48.5%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+61
47.8%
Ishod Finger run for a loss of 2 yards Ishod Finger fumbled, forced by Teair Tart, recovered by FlaIn Sage Lewis , return for 61 yds (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4DOWNS
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2946% → 49%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
46.4%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+9
46.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Victor Tucker for 9 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
46.5%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the Charl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+33
46.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 33 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
48.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
49.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+5
48.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (Tayland Humphrey) to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
49.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 3:17
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+2
49.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q1 3:17
3RD & 2
OPP 16
-1
48.5%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 17
0
48.5%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the FlaIn 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FG
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:5253% → 57%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+54
47.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 54 yds to the CHARLOTTE 29 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
45.1%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+8
45.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 8 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
45.1%
Anthony Jones run for 8 yds to the Charl 9Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 9
-2
45.1%
Anthony Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
45.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q2 12:03
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
43.1%
Jose Borregales 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2645% → 54%
Q2 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+67
44.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Victor Tucker for 67 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
47.7%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
47.7%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q2 12:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
46.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.2%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
51.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 17 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
50.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 14 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
49.6%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 1 yd to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+1
49.7%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the Charl 42Similar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
49.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Shemar ThorntonSimilar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
51.8%
Stone Wilson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
54.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 11Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 11
+2
54.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+2
53.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
53.1%
Kyle Corbett punt for 40 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for no gain to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 1:5148% → 63%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
51.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+7
50.9%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 7 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
50.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 2 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+39
37.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 39 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
42.3%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
41.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for no gain to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+9
41.0%
Kyle Corbett punt for 56 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 9 yds to the FlaIn 35 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:3562% → 64%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
38.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+13
36.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 13 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
35.3%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
35.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+1
36.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 1 yd to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 9
OPP 46
0
36.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12END OF HALF
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:4938% → 39%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
38.4%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+7
38.6%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
38.8%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
39.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+8
38.2%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
40.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Jaelin Fisher) to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 15
OWN 36
+4
39.3%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:5962% → 77%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+41
38.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 41 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
35.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+26
35.1%
Maurice Alexander pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 26 yds to the Charl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
23.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 6 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
28.4%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
28.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+5
27.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (Teair Tart) to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-1
28.5%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+25
28.2%
Kyle Corbett punt for 54 yds , Maurice Alexander returns for 25 yds to the CHARLOTTE 44 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Noah Curtis) to the FlaIn 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
23.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 11 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
22.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+8
23.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 8 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
22.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
23.9%
Stone Wilson punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 4:3526% → 43%
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+28
25.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 28 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
26.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+9
27.4%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
28.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
28.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+10
28.1%
Benny LeMay run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
29.7%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 9:08
2ND & 14
OPP 33
+32
28.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Victor Tucker for 32 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.3%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3767% → 89%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
33.2%
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
31.8%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 4:33
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
33.0%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
31.9%
Anthony Jones run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+8
30.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 8 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+38
30.4%
Anthony Jones run for 38 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
29.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+6
29.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
29.5%
D'Vonte Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 3Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
11.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 3 yds for a TD (James Morgan pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:2315% → 33%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
14.7%
Aaron McAllister run for 12 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
15.5%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
15.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+8
16.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
50
+17
16.7%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Chris Phillips for 17 yds to the CHARLOTTE 33 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
17.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+11
17.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
18.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+8
18.1%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
18.1%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
33.4%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2979% → 95%
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
21.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
19.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Christian Irving for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+5
18.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Tyler Fain) to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
5.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 52 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:507% → 26%
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
6.7%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Teair Tart for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+11
6.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 11 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
6.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (Jermaine Sheriff) to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
6.9%
KLUGH, Hasaan rush for 10 yards to the CHA45, PENALTY CHA holding 10 yards to the CHA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+9
6.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Tyler Ringwood for 9 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
6.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Mark Quattlebaum, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+4
6.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Benny LeMay for 4 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+12
6.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
50
+7
7.5%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 7 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-3
8.2%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Kevin Oliver and Jermaine Sheriff for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+14
7.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 14 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
8.6%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 5 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-6
8.7%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Kevin Oliver for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+9
3.4%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 9 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+5
3.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
3.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
26.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Chris Phillips for 12 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, (2 Yards) to the FlaIn 1 (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0795% → 94%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
4.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+1
4.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Charl 27Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 3
OPP 27
-3
4.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 6
OPP 30
0
5.6%
Stone Wilson punt for 28 yds, downed at the Charl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+11
9.9%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Rico Arnold for 11 yds to the Charl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
10.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass intercepted Dorian Hall return for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:14
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Chris Phillips for 12 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, (2 Yards) to the FlaIn 1 (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+22.3
TD · Q4 14:56
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 3 yds for a TD (James Morgan pass for Two-Point Conversion)
-18.5
TD · Q4 9:33
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com