Try the model
RICE

Rice 13 at Louisiana Tech 28

LT
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Joe Aillet Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:56 · Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+43.0Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:02: Jaqwis Dancy run for 11 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +4.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:32: Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 68 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Keonatye Garner) to the LaTch 1 (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +9.0 pts (now 24%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:59: Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +10.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:13: Jaqwis Dancy run for 18 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 8 (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +7.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:52: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +5.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7RICE made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 20 at LT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:56RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:02LT 4th & 7 at LT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:25RICE 4th & 2 at LT 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56RICE 4th & 6 at LT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56LT 4th & 6 at RICE 47, down 3
    Close callPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:11RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:04LT 4th & 2 at RICE 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.3%−1.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    82.7%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:04LT 4th & 1 at RICE 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−1.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:12RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:06LT 4th & 7 at RICE 46, up 4
    Close callPunted · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−0.5
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:00RICE 4th & 12 at LT 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:32LT 4th & 10 at LT 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:58RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 9:59RICE 4th & 5 at LT 41, down 4
    Close callPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 3 at LT 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.3%−1.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−0.9
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:13RICE 4th & 10 at LT 11, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    4.7%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 3:02LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 13:32RICE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:59LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:13LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:52LT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+19
93.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 19 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
93.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 9 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 49
-1
93.9%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
50
-15
93.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 35
-3
93.9%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 32
0
93.9%
Davan Dyer punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
93.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
93.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 5 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+5
93.4%
Shawn Stankavage run for 5 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
93.3%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-2
93.3%
Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
93.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q1 12:56
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
93.4%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
92.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 4 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-1
92.7%
Kam McKnight run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 19Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
92.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:02
4TH & 7
OWN 19
0
92.5%
Davan Dyer punt for 37 yds, downed at the Rice 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:198% → 8%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
92.1%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 45Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+7
92.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 7 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
92.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q1 7:25
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
91.8%
Jack Fox punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5INT
7 plays · 48 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
91.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
91.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 11 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
92.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
92.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jaqwis DancySimilar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+3
91.9%
SMITH, J'Mar sacked for loss of 7 yards to the LATECH24 (EKPE, Anthony), PENALTY RICE offside (ABERCRUMBIA, Z.) 3 yards to the LATECH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+34
91.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 34 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+30
92.3%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted Prudy Calderon return for 30 yds to the Rice 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:289% → 9%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
91.2%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
91.2%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+12
91.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass intercepted L'Jarius Sneed return for 12 yds to the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FUMBLE
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
91.5%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 39 J'Mar Smith fumbled, recovered by Rice Treshawn ChamberlainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 3:269% → 12%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
90.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 10 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
90.4%
Parker Towns pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 10 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
90.3%
Aston Walter run for 13 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-2
90.2%
Aston Walter run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 12
OPP 30
+4
90.2%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+2
90.4%
Aston Walter run for 2 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+42
88.5%
Haden Tobola 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.9%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
88.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
89.1%
Kam McKnight run for 5 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
89.2%
Kam McKnight run for 11 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
89.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
89.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
89.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jaqwis DancySimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
89.2%
Davan Dyer punt for 43 yds, downed at the Rice 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
87.4%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 5Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+16
87.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to D' Angelo Ellis for 16 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
87.0%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
86.8%
Parker Towns pass incomplete, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q2 11:11
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
87.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 11:11
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
87.4%
Jack Fox punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 5:5186% → 89%
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
86.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 8 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
87.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
86.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
85.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 3 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
85.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+4
85.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 2
OPP 43
+5
84.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
85.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
85.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 7:04
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+14
84.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 14 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 1
OPP 29
0
85.4%
Kam McKnight run for no gain to the Rice 29Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+18
85.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 18 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
89.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 11 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:5012% → 12%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
88.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 3 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 7
OWN 27
-3
88.1%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by James Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+2
88.3%
Parker Towns run for 2 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
88.4%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
86.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 20 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q2 2:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
87.5%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
87.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
86.5%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14MISSED FG
7 plays · 62 yds · 0:5413% → 13%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+8
87.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 8 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 2
OWN 14
+29
87.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 29 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+27
86.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 27 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
84.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-2
84.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
86.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+50
86.8%
Jack Fox 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:2815% → 24%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
84.8%
Aston Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+3
84.9%
Shawn Stankavage run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+68
75.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 68 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Keonatye Garner) to the LaTch 1 (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
76.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
77.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 13:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
75.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 13:32
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
75.0%
Davan Dyer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
74.2%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
73.9%
Parker Towns pass incomplete to Jordan Myers, broken up by James JacksonSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-1
74.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
76.0%
Jack Fox punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:2877% → 87%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
50
0
76.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 10:27
2ND & 10
50
+49
76.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 49 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
83.5%
Parker Towns run for 8 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 2
OWN 38
0
82.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+5
82.3%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
82.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+11
82.8%
Aston Walter run for 11 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
81.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Zach HannibalSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
81.5%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+5
82.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 5 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
82.7%
Jack Fox punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:3883% → 92%
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
83.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+14
82.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 14 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
83.8%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to OKORIE, Praise for 46 yards to the RICE18 (CHAMBERLAIN, T.), PENALTY LATECH holding (REED, Ethan) 10 yards to the LATECH26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 20
OWN 26
+7
83.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 7 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+18
82.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 18 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
85.1%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
85.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Justin HendersonSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+12
84.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 12 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
85.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
85.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+16
84.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 16 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
92.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 18 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 8 (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 7:009% → 11%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
90.9%
Shawn Stankavage run for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
89.7%
Aston Walter run for 7 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
89.6%
Aston Walter run for 13 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.7%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the LaTch 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
89.0%
Aston Walter run for 5 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+2
89.1%
Shawn Stankavage run for 2 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+13
89.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 13 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+16
87.8%
Juma Otoviano run for 16 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
87.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+2
88.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 2 yds to the LaTch 11Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
89.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 9:13
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
88.8%
Haden Tobola 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:2191% → 97%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+44
90.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Wayne Toussant for 44 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
92.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 7 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+1
92.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the Rice 33Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+6
91.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
92.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+12
92.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 12 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
97.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 10 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
96.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
96.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass intercepted Collin Scott return for 15 yds to the Rice 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24INT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
97.4%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+4
97.4%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+3
97.3%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.4%
Israel Tucker run for no gain to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
97.4%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+32
97.3%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted Prudy Calderon return for 32 yds to the Rice 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:253% → 2%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
97.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 9 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+5
97.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 5 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-11
97.8%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by Willie Baker for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 21
OWN 35
+14
97.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 14 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+16
97.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass intercepted Collin Scott return for 16 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:59
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+10.8
TD · Q3 13:32
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 68 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Keonatye Garner) to the LaTch 1 (Jack Fox KICK)
-9
TD · Q3 1:13
Jaqwis Dancy run for 18 yds for a TD LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 8 (Bailey Hale KICK)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com