Try the model
WKU

Western Kentucky 15 at Florida Atlantic 34

FAU
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · FAU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:07 · Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Zyon Gilbert
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Pregame prior+3.3Home team on offense+22.4Score differential+10.1Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:14: Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 15 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss PAT BLOCKED) — WKU win probability +2.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 7:55: Devin Singletary run for 40 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +7.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:28: Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +6.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:17: D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds for a TD Timeout WESTRN KENTUCKY, clock 06:17 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WKU win probability +2.4 pts (now 6%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:19: Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 77 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 5 at WKU 23, tied
    Close callWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    88.0%
    70% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:45WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21FAU 4th & 5 at WKU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:21WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:13FAU 4th & 12 at WKU 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:01FAU 4th & 1 at WKU 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.7%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−0.9
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−3.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:55FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:51WKU 4th & 8 at FAU 23, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−2.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00WKU 4th & 10 at FAU 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−3.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 46, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−2.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:55WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 41, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:46FAU 4th & 2 at WKU 39, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.4%−2.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    86.5%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:27FAU 4th & 4 at WKU 4, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%−0.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    79.6%−9.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:27WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 42, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.9%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:28WKU 4th & 3 at FAU 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−2.7
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:07WKU 4th & 13 at FAU 13, down 12
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    3.2%−3.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:19WKU 4th & 18 at WKU 18, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:45FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:14WKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    16.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:55FAU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:28FAU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:17WKU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.7%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.8%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:19FAU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1589% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 9 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
88.5%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
88.5%
Devin Singletary run for 31 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
88.5%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+1
88.5%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+2
88.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+15
88.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 15 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
88.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
88.1%
Joshua Samuel run for 7 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
88.0%
Steven Duncan run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
88.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 4 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
88.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 6 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
87.9%
D'Andre Ferby run for no gain to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+2
88.0%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 11:45
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
88.0%
Steven Duncan run for no gain to the WKent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:1388% → 88%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+14
88.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 14 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
88.0%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+1
88.0%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 4
OPP 23
+7
87.9%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-1
88.0%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 17Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 11
OPP 17
+6
88.0%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
87.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+29
87.5%
Vladimir Rivas 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
87.3%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 19Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
87.4%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
87.5%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
87.6%
Alex Rinella punt for 40 yds , DeSean Holmes returns for no gain to the FlAtl 29 DeSean Holmes fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 4:0787% → 87%
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
87.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 1 yd to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+35
87.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 35 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
87.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+18
87.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 18 yds to the WKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
87.7%
WHYTE, Kerrith rush for 1 yard to the WKU23, PENALTY WKU substitution infraction 5 yards to the WKU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:20
1ST & 5
OPP 19
+4
87.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 4 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+5
87.7%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
87.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for no gain to the WKent 10 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+3
87.7%
Chris Robison run for 3 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
+5
87.7%
Willie Wright run for 5 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 5:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
87.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Devin SingletarySimilar
Q1 1:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
86.9%
Vladimir Rivas 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5913% → 17%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+61
87.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 61 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
86.1%
Joshua Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 14
-1
86.0%
Steven Duncan run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 12
OPP 15
+15
83.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 15 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7INT
21 plays · 60 yds · 6:1784% → 85%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
84.3%
De'Andre Johnson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
84.3%
De'Andre Johnson run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+6
84.3%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
84.5%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
84.9%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+5
84.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
84.9%
Willie Wright run for 6 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
85.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
85.1%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to John Raine for 13 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
85.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 2
OPP 21
-1
85.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+7
84.9%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Willie Wright for 7 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
85.3%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
84.8%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 9:01
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
84.3%
De'Andre Johnson run for 4 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q2 9:01
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
83.8%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
85.0%
JOHNSON, D rush for 4 yards to the WKU0, clock 07:57, PENALTY FAU illegal block (SINGLETARY, D) 15 yards to the WKU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 19
+1
84.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for 1 yd to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+38
84.7%
De'Andre Johnson pass intercepted Ta'Corian Darden return for 38 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+24
81.8%
Steven Duncan pass intercepted Shelton Lewis return for 14 yds to the FlAtl 34 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-8
83.3%
De'Andre Johnson sacked by Jeremy Darvin for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 19 De'Andre Johnson fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Antonio Riles , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+10
82.5%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 10 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+1
82.3%
Sebastian Riella punt for 33 yds , Drell Greene returns for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:1118% → 20%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
81.7%
Joshua Samuel run for 8 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+4
81.2%
Joshua Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
81.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 6 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+8
81.0%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 8 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
80.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 10 yds to the FlAtl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
80.3%
Steven Duncan run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+4
80.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 4 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-1
81.2%
Garland LaFrance run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 23Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+3
80.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 3 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11FUMBLE
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:5481% → 81%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
81.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 9 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
82.2%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
82.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 29 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
83.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Willie Wright) to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 15
OPP 40
-4
82.6%
Chris Robison sacked by Jalen Madden for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 19
OPP 44
0
82.2%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 19
OPP 44
-8
81.4%
Chris Robison sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 38 Chris Robison fumbled, recovered by WKent Evan Sayner , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:2220% → 22%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
79.7%
Steven Duncan run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 32 Timeout WESTRN KENTUCKY, clock 00:22Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+9
78.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 9 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
78.5%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
78.9%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
80.0%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
77.7%
Alex Rinella 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.5%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
77.9%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
78.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 4 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
77.8%
Joshua Samuel run for no gain to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
78.2%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 15 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
76.2%
Joshua Samuel run for no gain to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
76.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 46
0
78.5%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 46
+32
79.5%
Alex Rinella punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FLAATLANTC 17 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 3:0577% → 87%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
77.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Kerrith Whyte Jr. for 2 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+8
77.2%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
77.6%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 36Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
78.6%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
79.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+2
79.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 2 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
79.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 7 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
0
79.9%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+40
87.3%
Devin Singletary run for 40 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
84.4%
Joshua Samuel run for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
84.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 5 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
84.1%
Steven Duncan run for 2 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
84.0%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Joshua Samuel for 1 yd to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 7:55
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
84.5%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Kyle Fourtenbary, broken up by Da'Von BrownSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
85.6%
Alex Rinella punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Willie Wright at the FlAtl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16FG
15 plays · 73 yds · 6:1988% → 90%
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
88.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 6 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+14
88.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
89.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+12
89.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 12 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
89.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+1
89.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+4
89.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 4:46
4TH & 2
OPP 39
+5
88.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
89.9%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 9 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 1
OPP 25
0
89.9%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 4:46
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+15
89.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 15 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
89.9%
Chris Robison run for 5 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
90.5%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
89.8%
Chris Robison run for 2 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 13:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
90.1%
Vladimir Rivas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
89.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 15 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
87.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
88.4%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
88.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 13:27
4TH & 8
OWN 42
0
89.9%
Alex Rinella punt for 23 yds, downed at the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4391% → 98%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
90.7%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
91.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+49
91.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 49 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
91.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.9%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:113% → 6%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.2%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
97.1%
DUNCAN, Steven pass incomplete to DEANE, Mik'Quan, PENALTY FAU pass interference (LEWIS, Shelton) 15 yards to the WKU42, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.0%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Mik'Quan Deane, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+11
97.0%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
96.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 9 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+17
96.8%
Garland LaFrance run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (Akileis Leroy) to the FlAtl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
96.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 3 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 10:28
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+2
96.5%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+2
96.7%
Steven Duncan run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q4 10:28
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+7
96.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 7 yds to the FlAtl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 7 yds for a TD Timeout WESTRN KENTUCKY, clock 06:17 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:105% → 4%
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
95.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 13 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
94.6%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
94.7%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 6:17
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+22
95.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 22 yds to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
94.4%
Steven Duncan sacked by Ernest Bagner for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q4 6:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
94.7%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by James PierreSimilar
Q4 4:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
95.4%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin JernighanSimilar
Q4 4:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
0
95.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Zyon GilbertSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 87 yds · 1:3897% → 99%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
96.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+3
96.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
99.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 77 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22Uncategorized
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:352% → 1%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
98.4%
Steven Duncan sacked by Tim Bonner for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 12
OWN 24
-6
98.4%
Steven Duncan sacked by David Belvin III for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 18
OWN 18
0
98.5%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Kris LeachSimilar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 18
OWN 18
+23
98.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 23 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.3%
Steven Duncan run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+6
98.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:55
Devin Singletary run for 40 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+7.5
TD · Q4 10:28
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q4 2:19
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 77 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com