Try the model
FIU

Florida International 45 at UTSA 7

UTSA
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Alamodome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-2.3UTSA 12.0%Jose Borregales 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 17 - HOME 0 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Jose Borregales 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 79Home team on offense−20.7Pregame prior−15.9Score differential−8.2Garbage-time factor−5.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:50: James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 19 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +4.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:28: Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +6.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Jose Borregales 23 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +2.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:41: James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 7 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +6.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:57: James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 12 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8FIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:13FIU 4th & 1 at UTSA 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    72.5%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:13UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:16FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:04UTSA 4th & 4 at FIU 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.2%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:04FIU 4th & 1 at UTSA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    69.0%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    68.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:50UTSA 4th & 16 at UTSA 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:25FIU 4th & 4 at UTSA 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    72.4%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    69.3%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:28UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00FIU 4th & 1 at UTSA 6, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.6%−2.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 17 at UTSA 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−1.6
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    84.6%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:17UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 5, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:41UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 34, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:49FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 41, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:50UTSA 4th & 9 at midfield, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:57UTSA 4th & 6 at FIU 15, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:56FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 28, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q2 13:50FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:28FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:41FIU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:57FIU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:42FIU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:22UTSA Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1INT
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
21.7%
Jalen Rhodes run for 7 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+3
21.7%
D.J. Gillins pass intercepted Edwin Freeman return for 3 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2MISSED FG
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0478% → 77%
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
22.0%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+7
22.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 7 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q1 14:17
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+1
22.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 16Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+33
22.9%
Jose Borregales 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
23.1%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
23.1%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Marquez McNair for 5 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-1
23.0%
D.J. Gillins sacked by Edwin Freeman for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
22.9%
Yannis Routsas punt for 45 yds, downed at the FlaIn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
23.9%
D'Vonte Price run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
24.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Anthony Jones, broken up by Jarrod Carter-McLinSimilar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+2
24.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 2 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 9
OWN 30
-2
24.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 8 , Matt Guidry returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 28 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal block (9 Yards) to the TexSA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 4:3725% → 28%
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
24.7%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+17
24.7%
Brenden Brady run for 17 yds to the TexSA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
24.8%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Marquez McNair for 23 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
25.3%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Brenden Brady for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 45
0
25.3%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Marquez McNair, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+9
25.2%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Marquez McNair for 9 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
25.3%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
25.4%
Matt Guidry run for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
25.3%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
27.6%
Jared Sackett 47 yd FG MISSED UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:1473% → 77%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
26.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
26.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-3
26.3%
Maurice Alexander run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+16
26.9%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 16 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
26.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-9
26.1%
James Morgan sacked by DeQuarius Henry for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 19
50
+18
26.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 18 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+1
26.5%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
25.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+7
27.2%
D'Vonte Price run for 7 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+4
27.5%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
23.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 19 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
24.8%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
24.7%
D.J. Gillins pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-5
24.2%
D.J. Gillins sacked by Rocky Jacques-Louis for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 19Similar
Q2 13:50
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
24.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
14 plays · 63 yds · 4:5776% → 83%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
24.2%
Anthony Jones run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
23.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+31
23.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 31 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
23.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
23.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 6 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
23.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+7
24.3%
Stone Wilson run for 7 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
23.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Jose Borregales) to the TexSA 20Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
23.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the TexSA 19Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
23.4%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+16
23.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 16 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
23.4%
JONES, Anthony rush over right guard for 2 yards to the UTSA1 (GODFREY, Darryl), PENALTY UTSA substitution infraction 1 yards to the UTSA2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
23.4%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the TexSA 2Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
17.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.5%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Matt Guidry for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
18.7%
D.J. Gillins run for 1 yd to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
18.5%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Marquez McNair for 6 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
19.0%
D.J. Gillins run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+2
18.6%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 37Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+8
18.6%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 8 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
19.4%
Yannis Routsas punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FG
15 plays · 83 yds · 3:3882% → 88%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
17.9%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+5
18.0%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+8
17.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 8 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
17.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 6 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+4
16.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
17.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+45
16.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 45 yds to the TexSA 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
16.1%
James Morgan run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 18Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+12
14.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 12 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 1
OPP 6
0
15.1%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the TexSA 6Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+23
12.0%
Jose Borregales 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+18
13.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 18 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
12.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
13.0%
Anthony Jones run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+20
13.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 20 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
12.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
12.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 36
0
13.1%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 36
-5
13.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
14.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 yds, downed at the TexSA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
12.9%
Brenden Brady run for no gain to the TexSA 3Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+2
12.8%
Brenden Brady run for 2 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
12.7%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q3 11:17
4TH & 8
OWN 5
+2
12.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 47 , Maurice Alexander returns for 2 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13TD
4 plays · 47 yds · 2:0389% → 96%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+34
10.9%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 34 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
10.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+4
10.5%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
3.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 7 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14INT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
4.8%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Brenden Brady for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 19Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+9
4.7%
D.J. Gillins run for 9 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q3 7:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
4.7%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 6 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q3 7:41
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+8
4.9%
Halen Steward run for 8 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
5.0%
D.J. Gillins pass intercepted Dorian Hall return for no gain to the FlaIn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
3.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Anthony Jones, broken up by Dadrian TaylorSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
3.0%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q3 4:49
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
3.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Brenndan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:49
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
3.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Greg Campbell Jr. at the TexSA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.7%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
3.7%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Brenden Brady, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+16
3.7%
D.J. Gillins run for 1 yd to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Sage Lewis) to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
3.8%
D.J. Gillins run for 7 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+5
4.0%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
4.0%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+3
4.1%
Brenden Brady run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-5
4.1%
D.J. Gillins sacked by Teair Tart for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 9
50
0
3.9%
Yannis Routsas punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 3:0998% → 100%
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
2.2%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+4
2.2%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+16
2.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 16 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
2.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+42
2.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 42 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
2.0%
Anthony Jones run for no gain to the TexSA 12Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.5%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 12 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 56 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.4%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Marquez McNair for 5 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+7
0.4%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 7 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
0.4%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 2
50
+18
0.4%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 18 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
0.4%
D.J. Gillins run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
0.4%
D.J. Gillins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+6
0.4%
Brenden Brady run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
0.4%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Carter McCarthySimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
0.4%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Carter McCarthySimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+4
0.4%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Brenden Brady for 4 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+1
0.4%
D.J. Gillins run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
0.3%
D'Vonte Price run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+4
0.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
0.3%
Christian Alexander run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
0.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 11
OWN 25
-10
0.3%
ALEXANDER, C. rush up middle for 15 yards to the FIU40 (PHILISTIN, Jim), PENALTY FIU holding (DEMERY, D.) 10 yards to the FIU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+13
0.3%
Christian Alexander pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 13 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
0.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Greg Campbell Jr. at the TexSA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+32
0.1%
D.J. Gillins pass intercepted for a TD Rocky Jacques-Louis return for 32 yds for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 8 (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
0.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22INT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
0.1%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Vance Vallair) to the TexSA 12Similar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
0.1%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 3 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+19
0.1%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to B.J. Daniels for 4 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, targeting (Shawn O'Gorman) to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+41
0.1%
D.J. Gillins pass intercepted Rishard Dames return for 41 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
0.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q4 2:49
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+3
0.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
0.1%
Christian Alexander run for 17 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:530% → 0%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
0.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
0.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
0.1%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+13
0.1%
D.J. Gillins run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
0.1%
Bryce Rivers pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 36 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 25END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:41
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 7 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-6.8
TD · Q2 7:28
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-6
TD · Q2 13:50
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 19 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com