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CLT

Charlotte 13 at Marshall 30

MRSH
2018 · Week 11 · Nov 10, 2018 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.7MRSH 73.0%Justin Rohrwasser 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q1 5:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:00 · Justin Rohrwasser 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 25Pregame prior+22.4Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:42: Evan Shirreffs run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +4.1 pts (now 28%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Jonathan Cruz 40 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +3.3 pts (now 27%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 13:48: Jonathan Cruz 35 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +4.8 pts (now 36%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:59: Brenden Knox run for 4 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +10.4 pts (now 81%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:37: Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 10 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +8.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 7CLT made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 5:00MRSH 4th & 4 at CLT 6, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    73.2%−1.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00CLT 4th & 6 at CLT 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 15 at CLT 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:13MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 49, up 3
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:46CLT 4th & 8 at CLT 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:43MRSH 4th & 4 at CLT 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:26CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:21MRSH 4th & 5 at CLT 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    70.8%−4.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:00CLT 4th & 8 at MRSH 23, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    18.6%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:48CLT 4th & 8 at MRSH 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:59CLT 4th & 18 at CLT 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−2.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:39MRSH 4th & 6 at CLT 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.4%−7.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:39CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−1.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:48MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%−0.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:35CLT 4th & 4 at CLT 18, down 17
    Close callPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:29MRSH 4th & 19 at MRSH 41, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:17CLT 4th & 14 at CLT 21, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3CLT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:42CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:34MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:59MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:37MRSH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:1823% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
76.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 12 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
76.6%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+6
76.6%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+4
76.6%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
76.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+12
76.6%
Ishod Finger run for 12 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
76.6%
Ishod Finger run for 4 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+19
76.6%
Benny LeMay run for 19 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
76.6%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Marsh 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+4
76.6%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Marsh 2Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+1
76.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.5%
Evan Shirreffs run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:4273% → 73%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
73.2%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
73.2%
Anthony Anderson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
73.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 11 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
73.7%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+21
73.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 21 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
74.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+6
74.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 6 yds to the Charl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
74.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Anthony Anderson for 6 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
74.0%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
73.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Nafees LyonSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
73.0%
Justin Rohrwasser 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
72.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Chris Phillips for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
72.3%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
72.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for no gain to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
72.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Alex Highsmith) to the Charl 29Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
73.2%
TEAM punt blocked by Darius Hodge blocked by Darius HodgeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 2:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
75.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 2:3426% → 25%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
74.5%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+3
74.5%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+22
74.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 22 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
73.8%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Frankie Hernandez and Omari Cobb for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 33
0
74.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 33
+2
74.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 2 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+10
74.8%
Kyle Corbett punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 33 , Marcel Williams returns for 10 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
73.7%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
73.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for 9 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+2
74.2%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
74.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
74.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+2
74.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 2 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
73.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
73.5%
Ishod Finger run for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q2 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
73.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Rico Arnold, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
74.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:46
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
74.6%
Kyle Corbett punt for 39 yds, downed at the Marsh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
74.2%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 7
50
+3
74.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 3 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
74.1%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
73.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
72.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 5 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
72.8%
Ishod Finger run for no gain to the Charl 18Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+10
73.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 10 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
72.5%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+3
72.9%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
73.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
73.9%
Kyle Corbett punt for 35 yds, downed at the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:0873% → 78%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
73.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
73.5%
Tyre Brady pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+41
72.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 41 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
75.2%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the Charl 21Similar
Q2 6:29
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
75.2%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 6:29
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
74.5%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:21
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
77.5%
Justin Rohrwasser 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11FG
17 plays · 47 yds · 4:2125% → 27%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
75.1%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+11
75.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 11 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q2 4:21
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
73.7%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
74.2%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Benny LeMaySimilar
Q2 4:21
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+13
74.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 13 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
73.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+15
74.6%
Ishod Finger run for 15 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
73.2%
Evan Shirreffs run for 11 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
73.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-9
73.4%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Marquis Couch for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 19
OPP 34
+5
76.8%
SHIRREFFS, Evan pass incomplete to RINGWOOD, Tyler, QB hurry by HAMES, Channing, PENALTY MAR offside (COUCH, Marquis) 5 yards to the MAR29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 14
OPP 29
+6
76.8%
Evan Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
73.2%
Jonathan Cruz 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
71.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 20 Anthony Anderson fumbled, forced by Ed Rolle, recovered by Charl Timmy HorneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5833% → 36%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
67.2%
Ishod Finger run for 2 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 14:46
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
67.2%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 14:46
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
68.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Mark Quattlebaum, broken up by Ty TylerSimilar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
63.9%
Jonathan Cruz 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:4968% → 81%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
68.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 11 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
69.1%
Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
70.6%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+5
71.1%
Brenden Knox run for 5 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+4
70.7%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
71.2%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
71.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie Johnson, broken up by DJ AndersonSimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 9
OPP 39
+11
70.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for 11 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
71.8%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
71.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie Johnson, broken up by Juwan FoggieSimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 9
OPP 27
+23
70.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for 23 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.1%
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
77.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Chris PhillipsSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
77.8%
Ishod Finger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 9:59
3RD & 11
OWN 22
-7
78.9%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 9:59
4TH & 18
OWN 15
+4
79.5%
Kyle Corbett punt for 31 yds , Marcel Williams returns for 4 yds to the Charl 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:4782% → 85%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
82.1%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
82.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 6 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+8
81.5%
Brenden Knox run for 8 yds to the Charl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
82.4%
Brenden Knox run for 6 yds to the Charl 21Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+11
82.4%
Brenden Knox run for 11 yds to the Charl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
82.4%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Charl 9Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
82.4%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Charl 6Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
81.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
84.6%
Justin Rohrwasser 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
83.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-7
84.1%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Juwon Young and Ryan Bee for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 17
OWN 13
+4
85.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Victor Tucker for 4 yds to the Charl 17 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 13
OWN 17
+9
85.5%
Kyle Corbett punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Marcel Williams returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 2:3586% → 95%
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
50
-5
86.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 15
OWN 45
0
85.6%
Brenden Knox run for no gain to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+13
85.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Brenden Knox for 13 yds to the Charl 42Similar
Q3 3:12
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+30
85.6%
Brenden Knox run for 30 yds to the Charl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
86.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
95.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 10 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:376% → 5%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.5%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.2%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Jaelin Fisher) to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+14
94.7%
Benny LeMay run for 14 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
94.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
94.3%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
-2
94.3%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Ishod Finger for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 49
-8
94.4%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Chase Hancock for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 41
+19
94.9%
Kyle Corbett punt for 44 yds , Nick Mathews returns for 19 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:1596% → 97%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
96.3%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+4
96.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
96.5%
Isaiah Green run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
96.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 45 yds, downed at the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
96.2%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
96.3%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 8
OWN 14
+4
96.3%
Evan Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
96.3%
Kyle Corbett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Nick Mathews at the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 3:0897% → 99%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
97.3%
Brenden Knox run for 9 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+3
97.4%
Brenden Knox run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
50
+1
97.4%
Brenden Knox run for 1 yd to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-10
97.3%
KNOX, Brenden rush for 7 yards to the CHA42 (ROLLE, Ed;FAIN, Tyler), PENALTY MAR holding (MADDEN, Cain) 10 yards to the MAR41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 19
OWN 41
-1
97.2%
Brenden Knox run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 4:37
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+1
98.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 4:29
4TH & 19
OWN 41
+9
98.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 43 yds , Mark Quattlebaum returns for 9 yds to the Charl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Hasaan Klugh pass complete to Aaron McAllister for no gain to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.2%
Hasaan Klugh sacked by Frankie Hernandez for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+1
98.3%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
98.3%
Kyle Corbett punt for 48 yds, downed at the Marsh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+8
98.9%
Brenden Knox run for 8 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
98.9%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 2:27
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-2
98.9%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:59
Brenden Knox run for 4 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q3 0:37
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 10 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
+8.8
FG · Q3 13:48
Jonathan Cruz 35 yd FG GOOD
-4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com