Try the model
FAU

Florida Atlantic 49 at Florida International 14

FIU
2018 · Week 10 · Nov 3, 2018 · FIU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:54 · Stone Wilson run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 21 Stone Wilson fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Jose Borregales
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 56Home team on offense−2.3Score differential−0.9Garbage-time factor−1.2Pregame prior+3.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:21: James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 13 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +8.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:27: Devin Singletary run for 4 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +9.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:47: James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 19 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +15.5 pts (now 62%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:50: De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Jovon Durante for 28 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +17.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:04: Devin Singletary run for 7 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +14.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6FAU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:27FAU 4th & 5 at FIU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    45.0%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:27FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:54FAU 4th & 7 at FIU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.3%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54FIU 4th & 9 at FAU 12, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.0%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    51.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    47.2%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:12FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    50.6%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:27FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:47FAU 4th & 1 at FIU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−4.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    41.5%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:50FAU 4th & 11 at FIU 28, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.9 ptsWent for it · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.4%−1.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    45.3%
    60% to make
    Punt
    35.7%−9.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:09FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.4%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:04FIU 4th & 11 at FAU 31, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.9%−1.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%
    54% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:35FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 34, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q2 7:21FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:27FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:47FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:50FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 13:04FAU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.4
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:35FAU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:02FAU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:27FAU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2945% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
54.7%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+35
54.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 35 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
54.7%
Devin Singletary run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
54.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 4 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+7
54.7%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
54.7%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+3
54.7%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
53.8%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds Devin Singletary fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Devin Singletary for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2FUMBLE
9 plays · 74 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
54.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+14
54.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 14 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
54.2%
Anthony Jones run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
54.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+34
54.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 34 yds to the FlAtl 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
54.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
54.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.3%
James Morgan run for no gain to the FlAtl 2 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Rashad SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
53.2%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+3
53.2%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 6Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 6
OWN 6
+15
53.4%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to WRIGHT, Willie (DAMES, Richard), PENALTY FIU targeting (DAMES, Richard) 15 yards to the FAU21, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
53.1%
Jovon Durante run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+19
52.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 19 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
52.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+17
52.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 17 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
52.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Ladante Harris for 6 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+1
52.5%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 3
OPP 29
-2
52.6%
Ladante Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q1 9:27
4TH & 5
OPP 31
0
52.9%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
51.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by James PierreSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
51.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 5 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
51.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by Korel SmithSimilar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
51.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 63 yds, downed at the FlAtl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5MISSED FG
11 plays · 77 yds · 4:2949% → 51%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
51.3%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+6
51.4%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+16
51.7%
Devin Singletary run for 16 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
51.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+10
50.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
50.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+29
50.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 29 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
49.9%
Chris Robison pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
50.0%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 6
OPP 21
-1
50.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
48.7%
Vladimir Rivas 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 57 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
49.5%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+16
49.4%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, UR (15 Yards) to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
50.1%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
50.8%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+26
50.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 26 yds to the FlAtl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
52.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+3
52.0%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 26Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+13
51.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
52.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+4
51.7%
Anthony Jones run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
51.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 9
OPP 12
-8
50.1%
Stone Wilson run for a loss of 8 yards to the FlAtl 21 Stone Wilson fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Jose BorregalesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
46.8%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Kerrith Whyte Jr.Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
47.0%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+9
47.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 1
OWN 30
-1
47.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 29 yds · 1:0850% → 59%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
50.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 14 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
50.3%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
50.3%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
58.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 13 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5446% → 59%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
53.6%
De'Andre Johnson run for 29 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
51.2%
Devin Singletary run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
50.7%
JOHNSON, De rush for no gain to the FIU35 (LEWIS, Sage), PENALTY FAU holding (WEBER, Nick) 10 yards to the FIU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+2
52.0%
De'Andre Johnson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 18
OPP 43
+18
52.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
50.4%
De'Andre Johnson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+11
50.4%
Devin Singletary run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
50.4%
De'Andre Johnson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
40.7%
Devin Singletary run for 4 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
44.5%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
44.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+8
43.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 8 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
45.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 4:27
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+4
44.6%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 4:27
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
44.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Sterling PalmerSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
43.7%
Stone Wilson punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
40.4%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
40.7%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 6:1341% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+14
41.4%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 14 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
42.3%
Anthony Jones run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
42.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+15
41.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 15 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
45.1%
James Morgan run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
45.0%
Anthony Jones run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+5
44.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
46.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Anthony Jones for 5 yds to the FlAtl 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+6
46.4%
Anthony Jones run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
46.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
61.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 19 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5747% → 69%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
53.5%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Ladante Harris for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+25
51.4%
Devin Singletary run for 25 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
49.7%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Ladante Harris for 5 yds Ladante Harris fumbled, forced by Dorian Hall, recovered by FlAtl Ladante HarrisSimilar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+1
48.1%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
49.7%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+6
51.9%
De'Andre Johnson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
48.1%
Jovon Durante run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 11
OPP 28
0
46.6%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q3 5:14
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
49.0%
De'Andre Johnson pass incomplete to Ladante HarrisSimilar
Q3 4:50
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+28
31.5%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Jovon Durante for 28 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:4135% → 35%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
34.7%
Maurice Alexander run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
34.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+7
33.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 7 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
35.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
37.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
37.0%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
35.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 3:2270% → 91%
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
29.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+5
28.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
28.2%
De'Andre Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+13
28.8%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+36
25.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 36 yds to the FlaIn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+12
23.7%
Devin Singletary run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
23.7%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
8.8%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
13.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Collin Olsen for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+33
14.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 33 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
16.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Anthony Jones, broken up by De'Andre JohnsonSimilar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
16.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 11
OPP 31
0
15.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 11
OPP 31
0
14.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:2592% → 99%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
8.1%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+5
8.1%
De'Andre Johnson run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+9
8.0%
Devin Singletary run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+16
7.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 13
OPP 39
+33
7.3%
Devin Singletary run for 27 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Stantley Thomas-Oliver III) to the FlaIn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-3
7.3%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 29 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 8:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
1.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 6 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) FLORIDA INTL Penalty, OF ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18INT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
2.0%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 7 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+7
2.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for 7 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
2.2%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ Worton, broken up by Rashad SmithSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-5
2.1%
James Morgan sacked by Ernest Bagner for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 15
OWN 34
0
2.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Leighton McCarthySimilar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 15
OWN 34
+18
2.0%
James Morgan pass intercepted Jalen Young return for 18 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:5499% → 100%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
1.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+5
1.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
0.2%
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Jovon Durante for 24 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20INT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 6:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
0.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
0.1%
ALEXANDER, C. pass incomplete to THORNTON, S., PENALTY FAU OF (BAGNER, Ernest) 5 yards to the FIU32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
0.1%
Christian Alexander pass complete to CJ Worton for 11 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
0.1%
Christian Alexander pass intercepted Ocie Rose return for no gain to the FlaIn 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:25100% → 100%
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
0.2%
Malcolm Davidson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-15
0.2%
DAVIDSON, Ma. rush for no gain to the FIU47 (MERCIER, Jason), PENALTY FAU illegal helmet contact (SOUTHALL, Mar.) 15 yards to the FIU32, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
0.2%
James Charles run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+7
0.2%
James Charles run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
0.2%
Gerald Hearns run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
0.1%
Silver Saunders run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
0.1%
Rafe Peavey run for 11 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
0.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:50
De'Andre Johnson pass complete to Jovon Durante for 28 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-17.5
TD · Q3 8:47
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 19 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+15.5
TD · Q4 13:04
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)
-14.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com