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RICE

Rice 17 at North Texas 41

UNT
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.4UNT 91.2%Haden Tobola 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 17 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Haden Tobola 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 80Pregame prior+31.4Home team on offense+5.2Score differential+1.2Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 0:00: Haden Tobola 27 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +1.4 pts (now 9%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:50: Wiley Green pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +8.7 pts (now 19%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:27: Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 5 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +7.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:50: DeAndre Torrey run for 14 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:35: DeAndre Torrey run for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 6:02UNT 4th & 21 at RICE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:40RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 44, up 4
    Close callPunted · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:09RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 33, down 3
    Close callPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:04RICE 4th & 3 at UNT 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    5.8%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:02UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 41, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:09RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:50RICE 4th & 1 at UNT 26, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00RICE 4th & 5 at UNT 10, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    8.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:50UNT 4th & 11 at RICE 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    83.7%−1.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:15RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:04UNT 4th & 19 at RICE 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−3.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−7.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:04RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:04UNT 4th & 4 at RICE 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.0%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−10.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 49, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:50RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:17RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:09UNT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:04UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:50RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:27UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:50UNT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:35UNT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:433% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.7%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
96.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+35
96.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 35 yds to the NoTex 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
96.7%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+8
96.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 8 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
96.7%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Walter for 1 yd to the NoTex 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+9
96.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 9 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
96.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Khairi Muhammad) to the NoTex 2Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.7%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
96.7%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.5%
Wiley Green run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:1596% → 95%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+37
95.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 22 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Zach Abercrumbia) to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
95.7%
RICE Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 5
OPP 33
+7
95.7%
Jaelon Darden run for 7 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
95.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
95.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Caleb Chumley for 12 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
95.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-1
95.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 16Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 12
OPP 16
-9
95.7%
Mason Fine sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 6:02
4TH & 21
OPP 25
+42
94.5%
Cole Hedlund 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:225% → 6%
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.6%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+9
94.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 9 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
94.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 9 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-1
94.5%
Wiley Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
93.8%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
93.9%
Jack Fox punt for 45 yds, downed at the NoTex 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
3 plays · 89 yds · 0:3194% → 94%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
93.6%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+21
93.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 6 yds to the NoTex 17 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
94.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 68 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
94.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Brendan Harmon for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 2:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-2
94.2%
Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 2:09
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
94.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Walter for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 2:09
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
94.4%
Jack Fox punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:5694% → 95%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+44
93.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 44 yds to the Rice 41 DeAndre Torrey fumbled, forced by Treshawn Chamberlain, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
94.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 13 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+17
94.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 17 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
95.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
94.8%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 19Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+19
94.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 19 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
94.6%
Aston Walter run for 9 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+7
94.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 7 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
94.5%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the NoTex 45Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+6
94.5%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
94.4%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Dion NovilSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
94.6%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Nate BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
94.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
94.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q2 9:02
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
93.9%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
94.2%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
94.2%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 6
OWN 14
-9
94.4%
Wiley Green sacked by Brandon Garner for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 5Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
94.6%
Jack Fox punt for 76 yds, downed at the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 30 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
93.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 18 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
94.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+11
94.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Anthony Wyche for 11 yds Anthony Wyche fumbled, forced by Prudy Calderon, recovered by Rice Tyrae ThorntonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11FG
16 plays · 39 yds · 5:057% → 9%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
93.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+3
93.1%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+10
93.1%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
92.8%
Austin Walter run for 7 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 3
OPP 28
-2
92.8%
Juma Otoviano run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 5:05
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+4
93.0%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 1:50
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
92.5%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
91.7%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
91.9%
Juma Otoviano run for 10 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
91.7%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the NoTex 13Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
91.8%
Wiley Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:35
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+3
92.2%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
91.2%
Haden Tobola 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:1011% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
89.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 11 yds to the NoTex 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
89.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+11
89.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 11 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
89.3%
Juma Otoviano run for no gain to the NoTex 3Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
80.6%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+30
85.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 15 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Prudy Calderon) to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
87.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
86.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 46Similar
Q3 12:50
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
85.7%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
84.8%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
82.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Giovanni Gentosi for 10 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
82.1%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
82.3%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-3
82.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
83.8%
Jack Fox punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16MISSED FG
15 plays · 31 yds · 5:1084% → 77%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
84.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
84.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-5
83.5%
Mason Fine sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 9:14
4TH & 12
OWN 40
+15
81.6%
RICE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Antonio Montero) to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
85.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
84.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
84.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 5 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
85.5%
Mason Fine run for 8 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-10
85.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 12
OPP 37
0
84.6%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+19
83.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 19 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
85.5%
Mason Fine run for no gain to the Rice 18Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
85.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-9
84.7%
Mason Fine sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 19
OPP 27
+44
77.1%
Cole Hedlund 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0025% → 22%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
75.4%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
75.8%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 3 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
76.2%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
77.6%
Jack Fox punt for 35 yds, downed at the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18FG
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:2877% → 81%
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
77.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 40 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+13
81.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 13 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
81.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 3 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q3 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
81.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
80.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
81.0%
Cole Hedlund 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0020% → 22%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
80.0%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 16 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
78.0%
Juma Otoviano run for 4 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
76.8%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
76.9%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
78.3%
Jack Fox punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 3:2581% → 92%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
80.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 7Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 7
0
80.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+8
79.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 8 yds to the NoTex 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
81.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, roughing passer (Treshawn Chamberlain) to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
81.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
81.4%
Evan Johnson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+50
80.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 50 yds to the Rice 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
84.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon Darden, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+12
84.9%
Mason Fine run for 12 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q4 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 5 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-14
93.0%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (Clay Servin) to the Rice 14Similar
Q4 9:27
3RD & 21
OWN 14
-2
93.2%
Wiley Green sacked by Joe Ozougwu for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 14 Wiley Green fumbled, recovered by NoTex Brandon Garner , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
97.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 14 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
97.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
97.4%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+1
97.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 8:50
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Jack Fox punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24TD
4 plays · 83 yds · 1:3998% → 100%
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
97.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Caleb Chumley for 12 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+27
97.7%
Evan Johnson run for 27 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+32
97.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 32 yds to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 12 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25END OF GAME
12 plays · 61 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+10
99.5%
Wiley Green pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 10 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.4%
Aston Walter run for no gain to the Rice 41Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Jordan Myers for 10 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
99.4%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 6 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-5
99.4%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 48Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+19
99.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 19 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.3%
Juma Otoviano run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+19
99.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 19 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Nate BrooksSimilar
Q4 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:50
Wiley Green pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 3 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q4 9:27
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 5 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q4 8:50
DeAndre Torrey run for 14 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com