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LT

Louisiana Tech 21 at Florida Atlantic 13

FAU
2018 · Week 9 · Oct 26, 2018 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+1.6FAU 63.5%Vladimir Rivas 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 10 · Q1 0:25
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:25 · Vladimir Rivas 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense+3.8Pregame prior+5.2Score differential+0.5Garbage-time factor+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:46: Jaqwis Dancy run for 20 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +7.9 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 0:33: Kam McKnight run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +10.7 pts (now 56%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:06: Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaTch 3 — FAU win probability +6.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q4 8:27: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +26.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:03: Jaqwis Dancy run for 8 yds to the LaTch 44 — LT win probability +12.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:11LT 4th & 11 at LT 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:06FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:45LT 4th & 7 at LT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:50FAU 4th & 3 at LT 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    64.5%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:25FAU 4th & 11 at LT 12, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    62.1%−3.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 4 at LT 27, down 10
    Close callPunted · 32.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:03FAU 4th & 24 at FAU 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−3.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:08LT 4th & 13 at FAU 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    31.2%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:14FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 28, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00LT 4th & 8 at LT 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:06FAU 4th & 12 at LT 32, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 51.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.9%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    50.2%
    51% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:25FAU 4th & 10 at LT 10, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−1.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−10.8
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:25LT 4th & 9 at LT 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:19FAU 4th & 13 at LT 36, down 1
    Close callPunted · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−1.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:20LT 4th & 10 at FAU 18, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−3.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−16.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:20FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 21, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−4.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:27FAU 4th & 6 at LT 36, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.2%−0.9
    42% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 13:11FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:46LT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:33LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:27LT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−1.0
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4957% → 58%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
56.9%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Willie Wright for 10 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
56.9%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+18
56.9%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Willie Wright for 18 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+31
56.9%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Willie Wright for 17 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, face mask (14 yards) (James Jackson) to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
56.9%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to DeSean Holmes for 6 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+7
57.9%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
14 plays · 23 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
57.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Bobby HollySimilar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-10
57.7%
DANCY, Jaqwis rush for 9 yards to the LATECH31 (PIERRE, James), PENALTY LATECH holding (CARPENTER, S.) 10 yards to the LATECH12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 20
OWN 12
+7
57.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 7 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 13
OWN 19
+13
57.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 13 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
57.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
57.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+5
57.7%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to VEAL, Teddy for 3 yards to the LATECH34 (SMITH, Korel), PENALTY FAU offside (BAGNER, Ernest) 5 yards to the LATECH36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+20
57.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 20 yds to the FlAtl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
57.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
57.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 9
OPP 43
-7
57.5%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Leighton McCarthy and Hunter Snyder for a loss of 7 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 16
50
+5
57.7%
DYER, Davan punt 50 yards to the FAU0, touchback, PENALTY FAU personal foul (SAUNDERS, Silve) 5 yards to the LATECH45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:11
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
57.7%
Davan Dyer punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
60.0%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+20
59.9%
Devin Singletary run for 20 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
60.5%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-4
60.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 14
OWN 38
+5
59.8%
PEAVEY, Rafe pass incomplete to MITCHELL, John, PENALTY LATECH offside (FERGUSON, J.) 5 yards to the FAU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
60.0%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 9
OWN 43
+20
59.7%
Sebastian Riella punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 45 , Teddy Veal returns for 20 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
60.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
60.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
60.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
60.8%
Davan Dyer punt for 48 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5FG
15 plays · 84 yds · 4:2561% → 64%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+29
61.1%
Devin Singletary run for 29 yds to the FlAtl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
61.4%
Rafe Peavey run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
62.0%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+6
62.1%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 6 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 2
OPP 47
-5
61.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Antonio Riles) to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+4
61.6%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Jovon Durante for 4 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+11
61.3%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 11 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
62.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 16 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
62.3%
PEAVEY, Rafe pass complete to WRIGHT, Willie for 3 yards to the LATECH18 (WASHINGTON, D.), PENALTY FAU holding (WALTON, Brandon) 10 yards to the LATECH31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 20
OPP 31
0
62.1%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 20
OPP 31
+20
61.8%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Willie Wright for 20 yds to the LaTch 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
62.3%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Jovon Durante, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-1
62.3%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Willie Wright for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 12Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 11
OPP 12
0
61.9%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q1 0:25
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
63.5%
Vladimir Rivas 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:2536% → 35%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
63.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 2 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
64.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 4 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
64.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
64.7%
Davan Dyer punt for 49 yds, downed at the FlAtl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
64.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
64.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
64.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 20
OWN 25
0
64.2%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 20
OWN 25
-4
64.1%
Rafe Peavey run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 21 Rafe Peavey fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Rafe PeaveySimilar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 24
OWN 21
0
63.5%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by James JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 24
OWN 21
+19
63.0%
Sebastian Riella punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Teddy Veal returns for 19 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0036% → 34%
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
50
+13
64.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
64.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 35Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
63.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Bobby Holly, broken up by James PierreSimilar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-5
64.5%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Ernest Bagner for a loss of 5 yards to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 13
OPP 40
0
66.5%
Davan Dyer punt for 36 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
66.3%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (John Mitchell) to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+26
66.3%
Devin Singletary run for 26 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
66.7%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
66.5%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Willie Wright for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 6
OWN 32
-4
66.2%
Rafe Peavey sacked by L'Jarius Sneed for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
65.1%
Sebastian Riella punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:2632% → 43%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
68.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
68.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Alfred Smith, broken up by Jalen YoungSimilar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+18
69.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 18 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
66.8%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 8
50
+9
66.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds to the FlAtl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+14
66.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Justin Henderson for 14 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
65.2%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+8
65.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 8 yds to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-4
65.2%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 14
OPP 20
+20
57.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 20 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0063% → 64%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
62.7%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Jovon Durante for 3 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
63.1%
Devin Singletary run for 15 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.7%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to John Mitchell, broken up by Darryl LewisSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
63.5%
Rafe Peavey sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 49 Rafe Peavey fumbled, recovered by LaTch Jaylon Ferguson , return for 0 yards , return for 5 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:1042% → 56%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
57.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-6
56.8%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Andrew Soroh for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 11
50
+45
58.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 45 yds to the FlAtl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
54.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 0:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
43.9%
Kam McKnight run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
53.5%
Rafe Peavey pass intercepted Darryl Lewis return for no gain to the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
47.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
48.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
48.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
49.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by James PierreSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+1
50.6%
Davan Dyer punt for 38 yds , Willie Wright returns for 1 yd to the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:4151% → 55%
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
50.5%
Devin Singletary run for 34 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
55.2%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the LaTch 29Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-3
55.1%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
51.2%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Jovon DuranteSimilar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+20
49.1%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Jovon Durante for 20 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
55.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaTch 3Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+1
55.2%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaTch 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-3
55.2%
Rafe Peavey run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
55.2%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 8Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
53.3%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to Harrison Bryant for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 10Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
55.0%
Vladimir Rivas 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0048% → 46%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
51.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
53.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Da'Von BrownSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
54.4%
Davan Dyer punt for 49 yds, downed at the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
53.3%
Devin Singletary run for 22 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
54.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+9
56.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
57.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 7 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+9
57.9%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
59.2%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to John Mitchell for 2 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 8:19
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+3
59.2%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 5
OPP 28
-5
57.4%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (Antonio Riles) to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 8:19
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-3
56.8%
Rafe Peavey pass complete to DeSean Holmes for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 8:19
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
51.8%
Sebastian Riella punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19MISSED FG
18 plays · 74 yds · 6:3949% → 52%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
51.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 7Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+8
51.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 8 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
52.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 3
OWN 15
+5
54.0%
DYER, Davan punt 43 yards to the FAU42, fair catch by SINGLETARY, D, PENALTY FAU illegal participation 5 yards to the LATECH20, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
50.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 8 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
49.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
50.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 5 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+5
48.4%
DANCY, Jaqwis rush for 4 yards to the LATECH40 (SMITH, Rashad), PENALTY FAU offside (CLANCY, John) 5 yards to the LATECH41, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
48.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+9
48.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
46.9%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
44.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+16
44.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 16 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
42.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 12 yds to the FlAtl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
42.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Jaqwis DancySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
42.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Justin HendersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
44.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
47.9%
Bailey Hale 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0050% → 46%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
49.7%
Rafe Peavey pass incomplete to Willie Wright, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
49.5%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-4
48.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
46.2%
Sebastian Riella punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 3:3955% → 86%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
44.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+3
44.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+28
44.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 28 yds to the FlAtl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+8
41.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 18Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 2
OPP 18
+1
41.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 17Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+1
43.1%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
41.2%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
14.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0021% → 22%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
21.4%
Devin Singletary run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+6
23.9%
Devin Singletary run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
23.8%
Rafe Peavey sacked by Jordan Baldwin and Immanuel Turner for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+3
21.5%
Chris Robison run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+15
20.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Connor Taylor) to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
25.6%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 8:27
2ND & 12
OPP 42
0
23.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for no gain to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 8:27
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+6
22.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to John Mitchell for 6 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 8:27
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
22.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison BryantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23END OF GAME
16 plays · 48 yds · 3:1490% → 97%
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
9.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 8 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+1
9.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 45Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
9.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-4
9.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+4
6.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 2:49
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+7
6.1%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the FLAATLANTC 47 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal motion ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 2:42
4TH & 3
OPP 47
+15
6.0%
DYER, Davan punt 37 yards to the FAU10, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FAU personal foul (TISDALE, Tyrek) 15 yards to the FAU32, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
4.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
3.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+18
3.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
3.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-1
3.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:27
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
-26.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 5:03
Jaqwis Dancy run for 8 yds to the LaTch 44
-12.6
TD · Q2 0:33
Kam McKnight run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
-10.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com