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2018 · Week 9 · Oct 27, 2018 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Ta'Corian Darden
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Home team on offense−3.9Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor−1.0Pregame prior−6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:03: James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — FIU win probability +8.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:20: Alex Rinella 23 yd FG GOOD — WKU win probability +3.3 pts (now 30%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:06: D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +14.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:26: James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +5.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:54: Steven Duncan run for 1 yd for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the FlaIn 0 (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WKU win probability +3.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 11 at FIU 25, tied
    Close callWent for it · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28FIU 4th & 1 at WKU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    55.4%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:22WKU 4th & 23 at WKU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00FIU 4th & 1 at WKU 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−1.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    58.0%−1.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:45WKU 4th & 2 at FIU 4, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.8%−1.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    33.5%−7.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:45FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:07WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:20WKU 4th & 6 at FIU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:06WKU 4th & 6 at FIU 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:38FIU 4th & 2 at FIU 30, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:33WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 22, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:20FIU 4th & 5 at WKU 17, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 2:22FIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:03FIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:06FIU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:26FIU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:54WKU Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.5%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:55WKU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    2.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    2.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:35FIU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.5%
Davis Shanley run for 7 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
41.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
41.5%
Mik'Quan Deane run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+3
41.5%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+20
41.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 20 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
41.5%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+20
41.5%
Joshua Samuel run for 20 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
41.5%
Davis Shanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
41.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 25
0
41.5%
Davis Shanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 25
0
41.5%
Ryan Nuss pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 9:0658% → 61%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
42.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
42.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 11 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
42.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
42.2%
TEAM rush for no gain to the FIU45, fumble by TEAM recovered by FIU MORGAN, James at FIU28, PENALTY WKU offside defense (SAYNER, Evan) 5 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
50
+1
42.2%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+6
42.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 6 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+5
42.2%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 5 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
42.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
42.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
42.2%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+11
42.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 11 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
42.0%
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+1
42.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the WKent 11Similar
Q1 11:28
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+5
42.2%
James Morgan run for 5 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
42.0%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q1 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
42.0%
Maurice Alexander run for no gain to the WKent 6Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
38.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 6 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -13 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
40.0%
Davis Shanley sacked for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 18 Davis Shanley fumbled, recovered by WKent Davis Shanley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 2:22
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-12
39.9%
Davis Shanley sacked by Anthony Johnson for a loss of 12 yards to the WKent 6Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 29
OWN 6
+6
39.4%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 6 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 2:22
4TH & 23
OWN 12
0
39.2%
Alex Rinella punt for 33 yds, downed at the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:1362% → 61%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
38.1%
James Morgan sacked by Masai Whyte for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 47
0
38.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to D'Vonte PriceSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 47
+17
39.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 17 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
38.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Ta'Corian DardenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5MISSED FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:2540% → 41%
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
40.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 4 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+22
40.8%
Joshua Samuel run for 22 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
41.4%
D'Andre Ferby run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
41.4%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 3 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+9
42.0%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
39.5%
PENALTY WKU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY FIU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
43.0%
Garland LaFrance run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
43.0%
Garland LaFrance run for no gain to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+4
43.0%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 4 yds to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+4
42.0%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 4 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+22
40.9%
Alex Rinella 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
39.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
38.7%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
39.4%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:45
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+1
40.2%
Stone Wilson punt for 53 yds , Roger Cray returns for 1 yd to the WKent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
39.4%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
39.7%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
39.2%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Kyle Fourtenbary, broken up by Sage LewisSimilar
Q2 9:07
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
38.9%
Alex Rinella punt for 9 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:5864% → 73%
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
35.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+17
35.6%
D'Vonte Price run for 17 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
35.6%
D'Vonte Price run for no gain to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+11
35.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 11 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
35.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
26.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 4:4328% → 30%
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
28.4%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 4 yds to the WKent 29 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
29.7%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Kyle Fourtenbary, broken up by Olin Cushion IIISimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+19
29.1%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 19 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
30.3%
Garland LaFrance run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
31.0%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+4
31.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+5
30.4%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
31.0%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+5
31.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+4
30.4%
Joshua Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
31.0%
Joshua Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
27.4%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for no gain to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
26.7%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Anthony JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
29.9%
Alex Rinella 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
27.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:5471% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
29.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
0
29.1%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for no gain to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+8
29.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 8 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+52
28.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 52 yds to the WKent 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
13.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
16.7%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 7 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+3
17.2%
Joshua Samuel run for 3 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
16.9%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
18.1%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Mik'Quan DeaneSimilar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
17.9%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q3 12:06
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
17.4%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 1
OPP 43
-5
18.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Jordan Meredith) to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
17.9%
Alex Rinella punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 9:38
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
13.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 9:38
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+2
13.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+4
13.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for 4 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
14.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Drell Greene at the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
14.2%
Garland LaFrance run for 1 yd to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
14.1%
Davis Shanley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
14.0%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Jacquez Sloan, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q3 7:33
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
13.9%
Alex Rinella punt for 36 yds, downed at the FlaIn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15TD
15 plays · 58 yds · 6:1089% → 99%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
10.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
10.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+1
10.8%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
10.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Ben HoltSimilar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
10.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+7
10.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Ivan Thomas for 7 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
10.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 9 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+4
10.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
10.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
10.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 4 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
10.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IV, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
Q3 1:51
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+9
7.3%
BORREGALES, J. field goal attempt from 35 GOOD, clock 01:51, PENALTY WKU roughing the kicker (PEARSON, J.) 9 yards to the WKU9, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
6.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the WKent 8Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
6.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:321% → 5%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 0:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
1.0%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Mik'Quan Deane, broken up by Richard DamesSimilar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+14
1.0%
Davis Shanley run for 14 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
1.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 4 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
1.0%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
1.0%
Davis Shanley run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+10
1.1%
Garland LaFrance run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+19
1.1%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 19 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
1.1%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+9
1.1%
Davis Shanley run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Olin Cushion III) to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 1
OWN 0
+1
5.0%
Steven Duncan run for 1 yd for a TD FLORIDA INTL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the FlaIn 0 (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 6:3496% → 99%
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+12
3.7%
D'Vonte Price run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-9
3.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 30 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Ivan Thomas) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 19
OWN 20
+9
3.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Ivan Thomas for 9 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+8
3.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 8 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+20
3.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 20 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
3.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the WKent 43Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+21
3.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Evan Sayner) to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
3.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the WKent 21Similar
Q4 11:54
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+4
3.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
3.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
1.0%
Jose Borregales 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:251% → 5%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.1%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Mik'Quan DeaneSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+19
1.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 19 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
1.2%
Steven Duncan run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
1.3%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 9 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
1.4%
DUNCAN, Steven pass incomplete to SLOAN, Jacquez (LUBIN, Emmanuel), PENALTY FIU pass interference (LUBIN, Emmanuel) 15 yards to the FIU18, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
1.5%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
1.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 3 yds to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+7
1.4%
Steven Duncan run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
1.5%
Garland LaFrance run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
1.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.5%
D'Andre Ferby run for 1 yd for a TD (Steven Duncan pass to Kyle Fourtenbary for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 0:2098% → 100%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
2.3%
Shaun Peterson Jr. run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+58
0.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 58 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20INT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
0.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Kris Leach, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
0.8%
Steven Duncan run for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
0.8%
Steven Duncan pass intercepted Stantley Thomas-Oliver III return for no gain to the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 21END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-2
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:06
D'Vonte Price run for 6 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q2 5:03
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
-8.9
TD · Q3 0:26
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
-5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com