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UNT

North Texas 21 at UAB 29

UAB
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:32 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 45
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense−10.3Pregame prior+3.9Garbage-time factor−1.9Score differential−4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:40: Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +7.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:48: Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +7.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:32: Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 24 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +9.1 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:29: Spencer Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +18.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:16: Spencer Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +17.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 7UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:03UNT 4th & 17 at UNT 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:32UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:27UAB 4th & 4 at UNT 17, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.1%−0.2
    80% to make
    Punt
    47.1%−4.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:48UNT 4th & 8 at UAB 36, up 4
    Close callPunted · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    47.1%−0.2
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:43UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 5, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.9%−2.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:32UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 35, down 11
    Close callPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:51UNT 4th & 11 at UNT 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.0%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 2 at UAB 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    62.4%−2.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:29UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 30, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−1.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:35UNT 4th & 1 at UAB 39, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−7.0
    36% to make
    Punt
    28.5%−6.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:26UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 38, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−3.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:10UAB 4th & 3 at UNT 9, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%−1.4
    89% to make
    Punt
    77.7%−11.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:10UNT 4th & 10 at UAB 27, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:58UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:40UNT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:48UAB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:32UNT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:29UAB Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 14:16UAB Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.0%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
57.0%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Roderick Young for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
57.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 5 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
57.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, downed at the NoTex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-9
57.1%
Mason Fine sacked by Garrett Marino for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 17Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 19
OWN 17
+2
57.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 17
OWN 19
0
57.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 17
OWN 19
0
57.3%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
57.5%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
57.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:32
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+8
57.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 8 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 11:32
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
57.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:1543% → 46%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
57.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+16
57.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 16 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
57.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
56.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 41Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
57.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 4 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+55
53.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 55 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FG
18 plays · 74 yds · 6:2554% → 55%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
54.2%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+1
54.3%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 17Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+3
54.1%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
54.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
54.3%
A.J. Erdely run for 10 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
54.5%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
54.7%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
54.9%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
55.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
54.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 10 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
55.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+24
55.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 24 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
54.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Spencer Brown for 4 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+2
54.0%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 4
OPP 17
0
53.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre Wilson, broken up by Tyreke DavisSimilar
Q1 1:27
4TH & 4
OPP 17
+34
54.9%
Nick Vogel 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:4746% → 56%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.3%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 1:27
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
54.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 9 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
53.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
-1
53.2%
Mason Fine sacked by Jamell Garcia-Williams for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+13
53.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 13 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
52.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+15
52.6%
FINE, Mason pass incomplete to GUYTON, Jalen, PENALTY UAB pass interference (WILLIAMS, D.A.) 15 yards to the UAB30, 1ST DOWN UNT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
52.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 19 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
44.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:3848% → 56%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+34
48.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 34 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
55.9%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
52.9%
TORREY, DeAndre rush for 2 yards to the UNT27 (DIGGS, Mar'Sean), PENALTY UNT holding (WOODWORTH, Elex) 10 yards to the UNT15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
53.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 6 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+22
53.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 22 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+19
51.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 4 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
51.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 3 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+1
50.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 11:48
3RD & 6
OPP 34
-2
51.4%
Mason Fine sacked by Craig Kanyangarara for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
52.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 28 yds, downed at the UAB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
49.7%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
50.1%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 4
OWN 14
-9
49.2%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Brandon Garner for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 7:43
4TH & 13
OWN 5
0
48.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10TD
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:0052% → 63%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
47.6%
Nic Smith run for 5 yds to the NoTex 44 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+10
49.0%
FINE, Mason pass incomplete to LAWRENCE, M., PENALTY UAB holding (HARRIS, Brontae) 10 yards to the UAB44, 1ST DOWN UNT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
47.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
47.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 10 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
46.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 6 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+24
36.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 24 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
37.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre Wilson, broken up by Khairi MuhammadSimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
37.3%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
37.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 4 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
37.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
36.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-1
36.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
36.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by D.A. WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
37.9%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0035% → 36%
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
35.3%
Jarrion Street run for 15 yds to the UAB 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-7
35.7%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Joe Ozougwu for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+7
35.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
35.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
34.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 2 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
35.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Greg White for 5 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
35.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
36.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 57 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
35.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+8
35.2%
A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 2
50
+3
36.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for 3 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
36.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jarrion Street for 3 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+22
36.8%
A.J. Erdely run for 22 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
38.2%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+3
38.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 3 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+10
36.7%
Jarrion Street run for 10 yds to the NoTex 1 Jarrion Street fumbled, forced by Nate Brooks, recovered by NoTex Nate BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16SF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
-1
34.8%
Mason Fine sacked by Garrett Marino for a loss of 1 yard for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
9 plays · 63 yds · 3:3335% → 58%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
35.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kailon Carter for 12 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
37.0%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
36.5%
Jarrion Street run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+19
35.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 19 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
39.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 11 yds to the NoTex 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+16
39.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kailon Carter for 16 yds to the NoTex 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
39.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
57.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
47.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
46.7%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:29
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
48.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin Smith NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+13
50.4%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 50 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 13 yds to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
10 plays · 67 yds · 4:1351% → 75%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
51.3%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+13
53.8%
Spencer Brown run for 13 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
55.1%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
54.6%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to WILSON, Andre, PENALTY UNT pass interference (MUHAMMAD, K.) 15 yards to the UNT36, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
55.9%
ERDELY, A.J. rush for 4 yards to the UNT32 (ROBINSON, T.), PENALTY UAB holding (COOK, Rishard) 10 yards to the UNT46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:29
1ST & 20
OPP 46
-9
53.2%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Joe Ozougwu and E.J. Ejiya for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 3:29
2ND & 29
OWN 45
+5
51.5%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 24
50
+15
49.9%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to WILSON, Andre, PENALTY UNT pass interference (ROBINSON, T.) 15 yards to the UNT35, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+32
57.4%
Jarrion Street run for 32 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
74.6%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:4133% → 37%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
66.9%
Nic Smith run for 13 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
65.1%
Nic Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+15
66.3%
UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Garrett Marino) to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
60.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 5 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+4
59.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
60.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
62.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete, broken up by Stacy KeelySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4576% → 74%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
76.3%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-4
78.6%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 11
OWN 38
0
75.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin Lisa, broken up by Jameel MooreSimilar
Q4 11:26
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
73.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 78 yds · 0:0033% → 43%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
66.8%
FINE, Mason pass incomplete to BUSSEY, Rico, PENALTY UAB pass interference (THOMAS V, S.) 15 yards to the UNT33, 1ST DOWN UNT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
65.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+7
62.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 7 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+31
62.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 31 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+12
57.5%
Mason Fine run for 12 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
57.5%
Mason Fine run for 7 yds to the UAB 4 Mason Fine fumbled, forced by Anthony Rush, recovered by UAB Mar'Sean DiggsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23FG
17 plays · 87 yds · 6:1477% → 98%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
76.7%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 5Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+36
76.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 36 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
80.5%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 1
50
+5
81.2%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
81.4%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+12
81.3%
Spencer Brown run for 12 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
81.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 8:24
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-1
81.8%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 28Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+12
79.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 12 yds to the NoTex 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+6
80.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 6 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 4
OPP 10
+1
88.1%
Lucious Stanley run for 1 yd to the NoTex 9Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 3
OPP 9
0
88.6%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the NoTex 9Similar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+26
97.6%
Nick Vogel 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 57 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
95.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 12 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
95.0%
Mason Fine run for 6 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+16
94.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 16 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
94.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 12 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
92.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
92.7%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
94.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q4 2:10
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+9
94.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 9 yds to the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:29
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)
+18
TD · Q4 14:16
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)
+17.2
TD · Q2 3:32
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 24 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)
-9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com