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UTEP

UTEP 24 at Louisiana Tech 31

LT
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:47 · Mitchell Crawford punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 49Pregame prior+36.2Home team on offense+2.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.5Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 12:30: Brandon Jones run for 6 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +8.2 pts (now 21%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 7:16: Kam McKnight run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +5.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:32: Brandon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +13.9 pts (now 26%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 11:23: Jason Filley 36 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +11.6 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:32: J'Mar Smith run for 43 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +18.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 9 of 9UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 7 at LT 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:03UTEP 4th & 16 at UTEP 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:33LT 4th & 8 at UTEP 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    90.5%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:34UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00LT 4th & 15 at UTEP 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    89.1%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:47UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:17LT 4th & 10 at LT 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:59UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:33LT 4th & 17 at UTEP 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:34UTEP 4th & 4 at LT 38, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−0.8
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:30LT 4th & 10 at LT 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:15UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00LT 4th & 17 at LT 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.4%−5.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:23UTEP 4th & 7 at LT 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−2.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%
    79% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−11.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:32LT 4th & 1 at UTEP 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    52.8%−12.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−9.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:32UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:53LT 4th & 11 at LT 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:22UTEP 4th & 20 at LT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.6
    75% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−3.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:00LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:55UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:34LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:30UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:16LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:32UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:32LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−1.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
93.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 12 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
93.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 3 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
93.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
93.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
93.5%
Davan Dyer punt for 49 yds, downed at the UTEP 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
93.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+5
93.0%
METZ, Ryan pass incomplete to JUNIEL,Terry, PENALTY LATECH offside (TURNER, I.) 5 yards to the UTEP19, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
93.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+6
93.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Treyvon Hughes for 6 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-9
93.0%
Ryan Metz sacked by Jaylon Ferguson and Immanuel Turner for a loss of 9 yards to the UTEP 13Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 16
OWN 13
0
93.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTEP 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
92.6%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
92.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 8
OPP 46
0
92.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Israel TuckerSimilar
Q1 10:33
4TH & 8
OPP 46
0
92.4%
Davan Dyer punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4INT TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:468% → 7%
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
92.2%
Ryan Metz run for 7 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q1 9:46
2ND & 3
OWN 12
0
92.2%
Ryan Metz run for no gain to the UTEP 12Similar
Q1 9:46
3RD & 3
OWN 12
-5
92.2%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 7Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+12
92.6%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted for a TD L'Jarius Sneed return for 12 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:058% → 9%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
92.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to David Lucero for 7 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
92.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Keynan Foster for 7 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+41
92.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Keynan Foster for 41 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
92.1%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q1 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
92.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+25
90.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Keynan Foster for 25 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2191% → 92%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+45
91.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 45 yds to the UTEP 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
91.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 11 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
92.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 19 yds for a TD UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
91.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 4 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
91.9%
Ryan Metz sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 4:34
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
92.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 39 yds, downed at the LaTch 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3192% → 91%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
91.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
50
+6
91.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
91.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
91.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 2:31
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-6
91.8%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Denzel Chukwukelu for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 43 J'Mar Smith fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
91.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
90.7%
Davan Dyer punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
90.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Josh Weeks for 22 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
90.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+6
90.4%
Ryan Metz run for 6 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 1
OPP 49
-1
90.3%
Ryan Metz run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 45 Ryan Metz fumbled, recovered by UTEP Warren RedixSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
90.9%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0091% → 90%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
90.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+24
90.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 24 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
91.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+5
90.9%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 5
OPP 46
-5
90.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 49Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
90.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 10
OWN 49
+40
90.2%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Terry Juniel at the LATECH 11 UTEP Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
89.9%
Ryan Metz run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 9:59
2ND & 11
OWN 10
0
90.0%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Keynan Foster, broken up by James JacksonSimilar
Q2 9:59
3RD & 11
OWN 10
-2
90.3%
Ryan Metz run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 8Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 13
OWN 8
0
90.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the UTEP 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0091% → 89%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for no gain to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
90.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 7
OPP 37
-10
90.3%
DANCY, Jaqwis rush for 4 yards to the UTEP33 (CHUKWUKELU, D.), PENALTY LATECH holding (RUSSEY, Kody) 10 yards to the UTEP47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:33
3RD & 17
OPP 47
0
89.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy Veal, broken up by Michael LewisSimilar
Q2 8:33
4TH & 17
OPP 47
0
89.3%
Davan Dyer punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 42 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
89.3%
Keynan Foster run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-5
89.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 14Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+12
89.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 12 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+12
89.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to David Lucero for 12 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
88.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+18
89.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Alan Busey for 18 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
88.3%
Ryan Metz run for 3 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+3
88.4%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
88.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
88.9%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FG
14 plays · 78 yds · 2:2289% → 90%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
88.7%
Kam McKnight run for 7 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 2:22
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+3
88.9%
Kam McKnight run for 3 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+28
88.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 13 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Jamar Smith) to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
89.7%
Kam McKnight run for 2 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-10
89.3%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to VEAL, Teddy, PENALTY LATECH holding (REED, Ethan) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 18
50
+8
88.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 8 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+15
88.7%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to SCOTT, George, QB hurry by CHUKWUKELU, D., PENALTY UTEP pass interference (BEVERLY, Kalon) 15 yards to the UTEP27, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
89.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 15 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
89.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+10
89.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the UTEP 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
90.2%
Bailey Hale 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:3011% → 21%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
89.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Treyvon Hughes for 10 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+23
88.8%
Ryan Metz run for 23 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
87.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 12 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
87.7%
Ryan Metz run for 4 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+10
87.7%
Ryan Metz run for 10 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
79.5%
Brandon Jones run for 6 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 82%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
82.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-4
82.0%
Davan Dyer punt for 46 yds , Terry Juniel returns for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:1318% → 17%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
82.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
81.9%
Brandon Jones pass complete to David Lucero for 3 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
82.4%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Keynan FosterSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+22
83.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 38 yds , Teddy Veal returns for 22 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:4385% → 92%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
85.2%
Israel Tucker run for 4 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+10
85.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 10 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
85.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 8 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+18
85.9%
Israel Tucker run for 18 yds to the UTEP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
85.9%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the UTEP 5Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
91.8%
Kam McKnight run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 5:449% → 26%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+29
90.6%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 29 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
89.3%
Keynan Foster run for 7 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+11
89.2%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Keynan Foster for 11 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
88.8%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 11
OPP 32
-2
88.8%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+15
89.6%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Terry Juniel for 15 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
87.8%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
88.1%
Brandon Jones run for 6 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+8
88.6%
Joshua Fields run for 8 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
87.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.8%
Brandon Jones run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.9%
Brandon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3278% → 74%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
77.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Israel Tucker for 1 yd to the LaTch 21Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-5
77.6%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Mike Sota for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 20 J'Mar Smith fumbled, recovered by LaTch J'Mar Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-7
76.2%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Denzel Chukwukelu for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
74.4%
Davan Dyer punt for 27 yds, downed at the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21FG
8 plays · 22 yds · 3:2927% → 38%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
72.9%
Joshua Fields run for 6 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 4
OPP 34
-2
71.0%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
73.5%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+15
75.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Darryl Lewis) to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
71.0%
Joshua Fields run for 1 yd to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
71.0%
Joshua Fields run for no gain to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+2
73.5%
Treyvon Hughes run for 2 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q4 11:23
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+36
61.9%
Jason Filley 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:5168% → 91%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
67.7%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+7
67.2%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 7 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+5
66.6%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to SMITH, Alfred, PENALTY UTEP offside (CHUKWUKELU, D.) 5 yards to the LATECH32, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
68.4%
Israel Tucker run for 3 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+2
68.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 2 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+11
68.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 11 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
71.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
71.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 8 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
72.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+43
90.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 43 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.0%
Brandon Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
89.2%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.9%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Treyvon Hughes for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 8
OWN 27
-4
90.4%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 40 yds , Teddy Veal returns for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 23 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 2:0892% → 93%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
91.5%
Kam McKnight run for 5 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
91.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
91.6%
Kam McKnight run for 2 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-8
91.6%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Mike Sota and A.J. Hotchkins for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 16
OWN 23
+5
94.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 11
OWN 28
+16
93.4%
Davan Dyer punt for 39 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 16 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25DOWNS
11 plays · 31 yds · 0:2511% → 8%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.3%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+22
89.7%
Terry Juniel pass complete to Joshua Fields for 22 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
84.6%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-2
85.3%
Brandon Jones sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+23
91.0%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Erik Brown for 23 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.2%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-15
85.1%
JONES, Brandon pass incomplete, PENALTY UTEP personal foul (GRAY, Josiah) 15 yards to the LATECH23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
+15
87.4%
Brandon Jones pass complete to Warren Redix for 15 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-12
88.5%
Brandon Jones sacked by Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 12 yards to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 20
0
92.2%
Brandon Jones pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
96.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:32
J'Mar Smith run for 43 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+18.8
TD · Q3 1:32
Brandon Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)
-13.9
FG · Q4 11:23
Jason Filley 36 yd FG GOOD
-11.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com