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RICE

Rice 17 at Florida International 36

FIU
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:11 · Jack Fox punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlaIn 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Pregame prior+5.1Home team on offense+28.2Score differential+11.4Garbage-time factor+7.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:37: Maurice Alexander run for 51 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +2.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:28: James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 33 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales PAT MISSED) — FIU win probability +2.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:30: James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 29 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +6.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:16: Evan Marshman run for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +8.3 pts (now 15%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:45: James Morgan run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +6.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 7:40RICE 4th & 1 at FIU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    9.0%−0.2
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:40FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:38RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:32FIU 4th & 6 at RICE 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.1%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:32RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00RICE 4th & 11 at FIU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    58% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:05FIU 4th & 9 at RICE 21, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    86.0%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:05RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 44, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 43, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    89.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:11FIU 4th & 7 at RICE 29, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:11RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, down 19
    Close callPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:03FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 44, up 19
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:40RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:37FIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:28FIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:30FIU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:16RICE Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:45FIU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:208% → 11%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
92.5%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 10 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
92.5%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
92.5%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+6
92.5%
Evan Marshman run for 6 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
92.5%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+14
92.5%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Trammell for 14 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
91.5%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Walter for 9 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+10
91.5%
Evan Marshman run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
91.5%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+5
91.5%
WALTER, Austin rush for loss of 1 yard to the FIU20, PENALTY FIU OF (OLIVER, Kevin) 5 yards to the FIU14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:21
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+2
91.5%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+5
91.5%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Walter for 5 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 7
+7
89.4%
Evan Marshman run for 7 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+11
89.6%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 11 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
89.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
89.6%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-5
89.5%
MORGAN, James pass complete to MALONEY, Austin for 22 yards to the FIU45 (WHITE, Jason), PENALTY FIU IF (PALMER, S.) 5 yards to the FIU18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 15
OWN 18
0
89.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q1 7:40
4TH & 15
OWN 18
+11
89.4%
Stone Wilson punt for 51 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 11 yds to the Rice 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
88.2%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
88.2%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
88.2%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Stantley Thomas-Oliver IIISimilar
Q1 5:38
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
88.4%
Jack Fox punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4FG
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:3788% → 86%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
87.8%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
87.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+10
87.8%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 10 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
87.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+5
88.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
88.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
88.2%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+14
88.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 14 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
86.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 10 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
86.5%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 12 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
86.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+1
86.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
86.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice AlexanderSimilar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
86.1%
Jose Borregales 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
85.3%
Wiley Green pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
85.0%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-1
85.2%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 12:32
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+18
85.6%
Jack Fox punt for 66 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 21 , Maurice Alexander returns for 18 yds to the FlaIn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 2:4784% → 87%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
84.4%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
84.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+23
83.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 23 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
85.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
84.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+51
87.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 51 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.4%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Trammell for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
85.8%
Evan Marshman run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 7:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
86.0%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
86.0%
Evan Marshman pass intercepted Edwin Freeman return for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:5988% → 90%
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
87.5%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q2 5:27
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
87.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+33
90.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 33 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9FG
13 plays · 46 yds · 4:2810% → 10%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
89.8%
Evan Marshman run for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
89.6%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Giovanni Gentosi for 8 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+5
89.1%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
50
+10
88.9%
Evan Marshman run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
88.9%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Jordan Myers for 8 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+1
88.4%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 1
OPP 31
+3
88.8%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
88.2%
Evan Marshman run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-5
88.2%
Evan Marshman sacked by Josh Little for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
89.5%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 11
OPP 29
+47
90.0%
Haden Tobola 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 3:5590% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
89.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 16 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
90.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
90.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin Maloney, broken up by Tyrae ThorntonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+6
89.6%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 6 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
90.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
90.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 15 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
90.3%
James Morgan run for 11 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-4
90.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Cadarius Gaskin for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 26
+5
90.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Ivan Thomas for 5 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
89.8%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce Singleton, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
88.7%
Jose Borregales 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.1%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+14
87.9%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 14 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
87.3%
Evan Marshman run for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
87.0%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 5
OWN 47
-3
87.2%
Evan Marshman sacked by Sage Lewis for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
88.6%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 4:1389% → 96%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
88.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+8
88.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Ivan Thomas for 8 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
88.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
89.1%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
88.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Ivan Thomas for 3 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+35
89.3%
D'Vonte Price run for 35 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
95.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 29 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:146% → 15%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
94.3%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Trammell for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
93.9%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
93.8%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Jordan Myers for 4 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
93.7%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Jordan Myers, broken up by Richard DamesSimilar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
93.7%
Juma Otoviano run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
93.6%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Trammell for 16 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
85.3%
Evan Marshman run for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:3189% → 97%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
89.1%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
89.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
89.6%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 5 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
0
89.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 43
+20
88.6%
Stone Wilson run for 20 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
90.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
0
90.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-5
89.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+18
89.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 18 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
90.3%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 15 yds to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
90.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.8%
James Morgan run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.8%
Wiley Green pass intercepted Rishard Dames return for no gain to the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 4:2897% → 99%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
96.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 13 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.8%
James Morgan run for no gain to the Rice 49 James Morgan fumbled, recovered by FlaIn James MorganSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+6
96.7%
Maurice Alexander run for 6 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+11
96.7%
James Morgan pass complete to D'Vonte Price for 11 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
96.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+2
96.8%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
96.7%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
98.8%
Jose Borregales 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.3%
Aston Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
98.2%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 5:11
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
98.3%
Jack Fox punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:2599% → 99%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
98.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
98.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+5
98.9%
Maurice Alexander run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.0%
Stone Wilson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.1%
Wiley Green pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+8
98.1%
Wiley Green pass intercepted Isaiah Brown return for 8 yds to the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 10Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
-2
99.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:16
Evan Marshman run for 22 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q3 3:30
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 29 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q4 9:45
James Morgan run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com