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CLT

Charlotte 13 at Middle Tennessee 21

MTSU
2018 · Week 8 · Oct 20, 2018 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:29 · Kyle Corbett punt for 16 yds, downed at the MTnSt 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Pregame prior+5.6Home team on offense+22.1Score differential+8.5Garbage-time factor+5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:23: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 29 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +6.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:24: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +4.8 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:29: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 24 yds for a TD Gatlin Casey fumbled, forced by Nafees Lyon, recovered by MTnSt Gatlin Casey for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +5.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:27: Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 23 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +9.5 pts (now 10%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27: Jonathan Cruz on-side kick recovered by MIDDLE TENN at the Charl 49 — MTSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9CLT made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:58MTSU 4th & 10 at MTSU 25, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:56CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:40CLT 4th & 13 at CLT 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:39MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CLT 4th & 2 at CLT 36, up 6
    Close callPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:40MTSU 4th & 17 at MTSU 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.0%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:27CLT 4th & 9 at MTSU 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:24CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 43, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:12CLT 4th & 22 at MTSU 35, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.7%
    45% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 7 at MTSU 38, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    16.3%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    16.8%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:50MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 46, up 8
    Close callPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:05CLT 4th & 27 at CLT 22, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−4.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 42, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:49CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 13, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−3.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:36MTSU 4th & 5 at CLT 45, up 8
    Close callPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.2%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:29CLT 4th & 15 at MTSU 46, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:02MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 37, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%−0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:51CLT 4th & 5 at CLT 45, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.5%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:38MTSU 4th & 8 at CLT 43, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CLT made the numbers' call on 0 of 2
  1. Q1 12:58CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    16.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:23MTSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:24MTSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:27CLT Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for no gain to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
82.1%
Matt Bonadies punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:3118% → 19%
Q1 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
82.0%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
82.0%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+57
81.3%
Benny LeMay run for 57 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Tavares Thomas run for no gain to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
81.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 68 yds, downed at the Charl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
81.0%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+19
81.0%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Tyshun Render for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 19 Evan Shirreffs fumbled, recovered by Charl Aaron McAllister , return for 0 yards for a 1ST down , return for 19 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
81.0%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 11:56
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+4
80.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Benny LeMay for 4 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q1 11:56
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+1
81.0%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 27Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 2
OWN 27
-14
81.0%
Team run for a loss of 14 yards to the Charl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
79.6%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 7Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+7
79.6%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+23
79.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Ryan Carriere for 23 yds to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
79.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
79.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 8:40
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-7
79.2%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Darius Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 8:40
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
79.7%
Kyle Corbett punt for 48 yds, downed at the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
80.2%
Brent Stockstill pass intercepted Jeff Gemmell return for 8 yds to the Charl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
77.3%
Tavares Thomas run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+5
77.3%
Tavares Thomas run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+4
77.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 4 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
77.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 5 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q1 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+2
77.8%
Brent Stockstill run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 3
OWN 38
+2
77.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Terelle West for 2 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-5
77.4%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q1 4:39
4TH & 6
OWN 35
+1
77.0%
Matt Bonadies punt for 49 yds , Mark Quattlebaum returns for 1 yd to the Charl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:1325% → 26%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
74.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
75.0%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 1:13
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+6
75.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
73.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+1
73.7%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+4
74.0%
Evan Shirreffs run for 4 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
74.1%
Kyle Corbett punt for 43 yds, downed at the MTnSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
72.4%
Chaton Mobley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
72.5%
Chaton Mobley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-11
71.9%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Ed Rolle for a loss of 11 yards to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 17
OWN 14
0
71.4%
Matt Bonadies punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:3031% → 32%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
69.2%
Evan Shirreffs run for 6 yds to the MIDDLETENN 47 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Trae Philpots) to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
68.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
68.8%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Chris PhillipsSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
69.2%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Benny LeMaySimilar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
68.4%
Jonathan Cruz 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 3:0470% → 79%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
70.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+1
70.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 1 yd to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+5
69.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, Defensive offside (Timmy Horne) to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
70.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
71.2%
Brent Stockstill run for 10 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+16
71.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 16 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
72.6%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+29
78.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 29 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+28
75.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass intercepted Wesley Bush return for 28 yds to the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:4279% → 84%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
78.8%
Tavares Thomas run for 5 yds to the Charl 10Similar
Q2 6:06
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
78.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+5
78.1%
Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
78.8%
Brent Stockstill run for no gain to the Charl 5Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
82.4%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+17
82.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Victor Tucker for 17 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+10
82.0%
Benny LeMay run for 10 yds to the Charl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
81.6%
Workpeh Kofa run for no gain to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
81.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Benny LeMay, broken up by Khalil BrooksSimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
82.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Calvin Camp, broken up by Tyshun RenderSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
83.1%
Kyle Corbett punt for 39 yds, downed at the MTnSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3683% → 84%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
82.8%
Terelle West run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+7
82.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 7 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-7
83.7%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Henry Segura for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 23 Brent Stockstill fumbled, recovered by Charl Henry Segura , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 16MISSED FG
6 plays · -12 yds · 0:3221% → 16%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
79.2%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Chris Phillips for 2 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
79.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 7
OPP 20
-15
81.1%
SHIRREFFS, Evan pass complete to CAMP, Calvin for 20 yards to the MT0, clock 00:23, PENALTY CHA pass interference 15 yards to the MT35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 22
OPP 35
0
83.0%
Evan Shirreffs pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 22
OPP 35
+52
83.9%
Jonathan Cruz 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
84.6%
Tavares Thomas run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 55 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
82.7%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+12
82.7%
Benny LeMay run for 12 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
82.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+7
82.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+6
82.5%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
81.8%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+7
81.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
80.8%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 5 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
80.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
80.5%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 42
+5
80.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 5 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 37
-1
80.8%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Malik Manciel for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
82.0%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Mark Quattlebaum, broken up by Darius HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
85.0%
Tavares Thomas run for no gain to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
84.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+5
84.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
83.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20PUNT
12 plays · 10 yds · 0:0017% → 15%
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
83.5%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 9Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
83.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Rico Arnold, broken up by Darryl RandolphSimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 13
OWN 9
+15
84.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 15 yds to the Charl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
83.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Cameron Dollar for no gain to the Charl 24Similar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
83.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 9 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+6
82.9%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
82.1%
SHIRREFFS, Evan pass incomplete to FOGGIE, Juwan (RANDOLPH, D.), QB hurry by COLLINS, R., PENALTY CHA holding (DAVIS, Nate) 10 yards to the CHA29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:05
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
83.3%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 20
OWN 29
-2
83.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Victor Tucker for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 22
OWN 27
-5
84.4%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 22Similar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 27
OWN 22
0
84.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Juwan FoggieSimilar
Q3 6:05
4TH & 27
OWN 22
0
84.9%
Kyle Corbett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ty Lee at the MTnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1089% → 87%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
88.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 40 Brent Stockstill fumbled, forced by Jeff Gemmell, recovered by MTnSt Robert BehananSimilar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
88.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Chaton Mobley for 6 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 1:10
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-4
88.0%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Tyriq Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
86.9%
Luke Shiflett punt for 43 yds, downed at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
86.2%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+2
86.3%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the Charl 19Similar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 6
OWN 19
-6
87.1%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Trae Philpots for a loss of 6 yards to the Charl 13Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 12
OWN 13
+1
87.7%
Kyle Corbett punt for 38 yds , Ty Lee returns for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0090% → 88%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
50
-1
89.7%
Maurice Gordon run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+4
89.4%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+2
89.2%
Brent Stockstill run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
88.4%
Luke Shiflett punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
86.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass intercepted O.J. Johnson return for 8 yds to the Charl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 22 yds · 0:5891% → 96%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
90.5%
Ty Lee run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 13
OPP 25
0
96.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 24 yds for a TD Gatlin Casey fumbled, forced by Nafees Lyon, recovered by MTnSt Gatlin Casey for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
94.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 11 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
94.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Victor Tucker for 13 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
94.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
94.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 9:29
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
94.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 10
OPP 41
-5
94.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 9:29
4TH & 15
OPP 46
0
95.2%
Kyle Corbett punt for 16 yds, downed at the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3696% → 97%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
96.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+1
96.3%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 7:38
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+1
96.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+8
97.2%
Matt Bonadies punt for 46 yds , Mark Quattlebaum returns for 8 yds to the Charl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 8 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
96.4%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Malik MancielSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
96.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Benny LeMay for 5 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Darryl RandolphSimilar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Workpeh Kofa, broken up by Reed BlankenshipSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:0098% → 98%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
97.8%
Terelle West run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+2
97.8%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+2
97.9%
Terelle West run for 2 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
98.2%
Luke Shiflett punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 30TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:041% → 10%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
99.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+2
99.0%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Chris Phillips for 2 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
99.0%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
Evan Shirreffs run for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 3:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+49
99.1%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Benny LeMay for 49 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
89.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 23 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 31END OF GAME
4 plays · -15 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
97.3%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 15
OWN 46
-5
97.0%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 20
OWN 41
-5
96.9%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:27
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 23 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q2 6:23
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 29 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
+6.2
TD · Q4 9:29
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 24 yds for a TD Gatlin Casey fumbled, forced by Nafees Lyon, recovered by MTnSt Gatlin Casey for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
+5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com