Try the model
UAB

UAB 42 at Rice 0

RICE
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Rice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 14:21 · Jack Fox punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior−38.3Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:04: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 95 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +3.4 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:40: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 27 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST down — UAB win probability +1.7 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:16: A.J. Erdely run for 19 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +1.7 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:16: RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20 — UAB win probability +2.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:42: TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 14 — RICE win probability +2.2 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 14 of 16UAB made the numbers' call on 4 of 8
  1. Q1 14:21RICE 4th & 13 at RICE 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:58UAB 4th & 1 at RICE 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.6%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:57RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:13RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    15.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:36RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:38UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:16RICE 4th & 5 at UAB 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−1.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:16UAB 4th & 13 at UAB 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:56RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:04RICE 4th & 6 at UAB 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:50UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 6:43RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:19UAB 4th & 3 at RICE 35, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.1%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    91.4%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q2 1:45RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  15. Q2 1:16RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 32, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  16. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 8 at UAB 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:36RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 49, down 42
    Close callPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q3 7:15UAB 4th & 1 at RICE 3, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:43RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 13:20UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 28, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 11:35RICE 4th & 7 at UAB 41, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 8:39RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 36, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 6:57UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 29, up 42
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  24. Q4 4:51RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 37, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 14:21UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:04UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:16UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:10UAB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:36UAB Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:3989% → 88%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
11.5%
Andre Wilson run for 20 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
11.5%
Spencer Brown run for 17 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
11.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
11.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 38 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
11.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
11.7%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by Garrett Marino and Jamell Garcia-Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 14:21
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
11.7%
Jack Fox punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
12.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+4
12.0%
Jarrion Street run for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+4
12.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 4 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+31
12.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 16 yds, downed at the Rice 32 RICE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Rice 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT TD
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:0413% → 12%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
12.6%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+2
12.6%
Giovanni Gentosi run for 2 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 6
OWN 21
-3
12.5%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by Tre' Crawford for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 8:57
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
12.1%
Jack Fox punt blocked by Chase Biles blocked by Chase Biles Chase Biles return for no gain for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4412% → 13%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
12.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
12.3%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
12.3%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 7:13
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
12.5%
Jordan Myers run for no gain to the Rice 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6FUMBLE
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+20
11.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 20 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
11.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 6 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 4
OPP 18
-2
11.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 20 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Rice Zach AbercrumbiaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:4112% → 12%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
12.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Brendan Harmon for 10 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
12.4%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 5:36
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+1
12.4%
Juma Otoviano run for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q1 5:36
3RD & 8
OWN 32
-2
12.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 5:36
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
12.3%
Jack Fox punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
12.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
12.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-10
12.1%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 10 yards to the UAB 15Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
12.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:4813% → 13%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+16
12.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 16 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
12.9%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+8
12.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
13.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 8 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 24
-3
13.3%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 14:25
3RD & 5
OPP 27
0
13.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
13.2%
Jack Fox 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
12.1%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q2 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-7
12.1%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 14:16
3RD & 13
OWN 24
0
12.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 13
OWN 24
0
12.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
13.2%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
13.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+1
12.8%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 12:56
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
12.8%
Jack Fox punt for 54 yds, downed at the UAB 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12TD
3 plays · 99 yds · 1:3288% → 91%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
11.9%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q2 11:36
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+4
12.0%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+95
8.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 95 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 39 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
8.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 35 yds to the RICE 40 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
9.3%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
9.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 4 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
9.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
9.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Brendan HarmonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
8.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-5
8.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Lucious Stanley for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 35 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
8.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
9.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
8.4%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-5
8.4%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
8.3%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Broderick ThomasSimilar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+2
8.2%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
8.2%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16MISSED FG
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:4192% → 91%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
8.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+1
7.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+19
8.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kailon Carter for 19 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
7.7%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
7.7%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
8.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Donnie LeeSimilar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 3
OPP 35
+52
9.3%
Nick Vogel 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:349% → 9%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
8.9%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Walter for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
8.6%
Evan Marshman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+2
8.5%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
8.5%
Jack Fox punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
3 plays · 66 yds · 0:2493% → 96%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+27
6.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 27 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+20
6.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 20 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
4.4%
A.J. Erdely run for 19 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
2.6%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
2.6%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
2.5%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Starling Thomas VSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+12
2.5%
Austin Walter run for 12 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
2.3%
Jack Fox punt for 53 yds, downed at the UAB 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
4.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
3.8%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+24
3.6%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Jordan Myers for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-2
4.1%
Evan Marshman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 48 Evan Marshman fumbled, recovered by Rice Evan MarshmanSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
3.9%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Brontae HarrisSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+4
3.9%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
4.0%
Jack Fox punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:1497% → 99%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+22
3.1%
Jarrion Street run for 22 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
3.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 14 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
3.0%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+41
3.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 36 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Elijah Garcia) to the Rice 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
2.3%
Jarrion Street run for 2 yds to the Rice 2Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.2%
Jarrion Street run for 2 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23FUMBLE
2 plays · -10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
1.1%
Evan Marshman sacked by Stacy Keely for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 3 Evan Marshman fumbled, recovered by UAB Zachary Williams , return for 0 yards , return for 12 yds to the Rice 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2799% → 99%
Q3 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.1%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
0.7%
Evan Marshman run for 2 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Broderick Thomas) to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
0.7%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+2
0.7%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 9:36
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+2
0.7%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 9:36
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+26
0.7%
Jack Fox punt for 39 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 26 yds to the UAB 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 58 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+21
0.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 21 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
0.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 5 yds to the UAB 36 UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Rishard Cook) to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 20
OWN 49
0
0.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kailon CarterSimilar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 20
OWN 49
+20
0.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 20 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
0.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+16
0.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (12 Yards) to the Rice 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
0.8%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the Rice 12Similar
Q3 7:15
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+8
0.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 8 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q3 7:15
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
0.8%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 1
OPP 3
-1
1.2%
Lucious Stanley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:420% → 0%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
0.3%
Aston Walter run for 3 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+13
0.3%
Evan Marshman run for 13 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
0.3%
Austin Walter run for 9 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 1
OWN 29
-2
0.3%
Evan Marshman run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+11
0.2%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Trammell for 11 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
0.2%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
0.2%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Starling Thomas VSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
0.2%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
0.2%
Jack Fox punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.4%
Jarrion Street run for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
0.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
0.4%
Jarrion Street run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
0.2%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Jordan Myers for 14 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
0.2%
Nahshon Ellerbe run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
0.2%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Brendan HarmonSimilar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+4
0.2%
Aston Walter run for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
0.1%
Jack Fox punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 30INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.2%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:24
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
0.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass intercepted Prudy Calderon return for no gain to the Rice 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-12
0.1%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 12 yards to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 22
OWN 31
+5
0.1%
Evan Marshman pass complete to Austin Trammell for 5 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 17
OWN 36
0
0.1%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 17
OWN 36
+11
0.1%
Jack Fox punt for 52 yds , Starling Thomas V returns for 11 yds to the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
0.2%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
0.2%
James Noble III run for no gain to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+5
0.2%
Tyler Johnston III run for 5 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
0.1%
Evan Marshman pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.1%
Evan Marshman run for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+5
0.1%
Evan Marshman run for 5 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 4:51
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
0.1%
Jack Fox punt for 63 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 34END OF GAME
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
0.1%
Lucious Stanley run for 24 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
0.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 4 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
0.1%
James Noble III run for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+5
0.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 5 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:04
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 95 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)
-3.4
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:16
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20
-2.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:42
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 14
+2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com