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LT

Louisiana Tech 31 at UTSA 3

UTSA
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG-0.1UTSA 4.1%Jared Sackett 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 3 · Q3 1:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:41 · Jared Sackett 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense−33.5Pregame prior−11.5Score differential−20.2Garbage-time factor−11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:22: Kam McKnight run for 2 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — UTSA win probability +0.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:31: Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +8.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:31: Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 2 yds to the TexSA 23 — UTSA win probability +2.6 pts (now 13%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:57: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for no gain to the TexSA 44 — LT win probability +4.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:43: J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 67 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +6.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:22UTSA 4th & 15 at LT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:10LT 4th & 3 at LT 27, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:15LT 4th & 3 at midfield, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:02UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 11, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.7%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:14LT 4th & 2 at UTSA 29, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%−0.5
    58% to make
    Punt
    73.3%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:14UTSA 4th & 5 at LT 42, down 10
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    23.1%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:37LT 4th & 7 at LT 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:44LT 4th & 20 at LT 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:46UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 31, down 10
    Close callPunted · 22.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:19LT 4th & 17 at UTSA 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−1.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−3.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 24 at UTSA 24, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:15UTSA 4th & 5 at LT 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−3.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:41UTSA 4th & 10 at LT 12, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.5%
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.8%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:25UTSA 4th & 10 at LT 27, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    2.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−1.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:27LT 4th & 2 at UTSA 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:22LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:31LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:43LT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:00LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1TD
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:3884% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
16.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 17 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
16.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 8 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+9
16.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the TexSA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
16.0%
SMITH, J'Mar sideline pass incomplete to VEAL, Teddy, PENALTY UTSA offside defense (CARTER-MCLIN, J) 5 yards to the UTSA14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+4
16.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 10
0
16.0%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the TexSA 10Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+4
16.0%
Kam McKnight run for 4 yds to the TexSA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
16.0%
Kam McKnight run for 4 yds to the TexSA 2Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
16.7%
Kam McKnight run for 2 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+52
16.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 52 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
17.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-8
17.3%
Cordale Grundy sacked by Collin Scott for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 15
OPP 40
0
17.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 15
OPP 40
0
16.9%
Yannis Routsas punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
17.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 8 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
-1
17.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
17.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 9:10
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+3
17.6%
Davan Dyer punt for 46 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 3 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
17.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 9 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
18.2%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
18.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
18.2%
B.J. Daniels run for no gain to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
18.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to B.J. DanielsSimilar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
17.8%
Yannis Routsas punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
18.4%
Kam McKnight run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+21
18.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 21 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
17.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnightSimilar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
18.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 3
50
0
17.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 3
50
0
18.2%
Davan Dyer punt for 42 yds, downed at the TexSA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
19.0%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-2
19.1%
B.J. Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 11Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
18.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
18.6%
Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:1182% → 81%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
50
+13
18.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 13 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
18.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Bobby Holly for 2 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
18.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 7 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
-1
18.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+46
18.9%
Bailey Hale 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Gavin Sharp for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+10
18.4%
Cordale Grundy run for 10 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
18.9%
Cordale Grundy run for 13 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
19.4%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Halen Steward for 7 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+2
19.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-4
19.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
18.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
20.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the LaTch 12Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
20.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to George ScottSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 10
OWN 12
+3
20.4%
J'Mar Smith run for 3 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q2 9:37
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
20.7%
Davan Dyer punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
19.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Jalen RhodesSimilar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+19
19.2%
Cordale Grundy pass intercepted L'Jarius Sneed return for 19 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
17.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete, broken up by C.J. LevineSimilar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
18.0%
MCKNIGHT, K. rush over left tackle for 1 yard to the UTSA47 (NEWTON, King;STRONG JR., K.), PENALTY LATECH holding (DUGAS, O'Shea) 10 yards to the LATECH42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 20
OWN 42
0
18.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 20
OWN 42
0
18.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 20
OWN 42
+3
19.4%
Davan Dyer punt for 50 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 3 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:5719% → 18%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
18.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 11 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
18.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
18.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+9
18.1%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 9 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 1
OWN 31
0
18.3%
Yannis Routsas punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:0782% → 91%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
18.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Javonte Woodard for 12 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
17.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Javonte WoodardSimilar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
17.8%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+24
17.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 24 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
17.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+2
17.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 5:38
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
17.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
17.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian Hardy, broken up by Clayton JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+19
17.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 19 yds to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
8.9%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
13.0%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 2 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+15
12.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 15 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
13.8%
Cordale Grundy run for 6 yds to the TexSA 44 Cordale Grundy fumbled, forced by Dae'Von Washington, recovered by LaTch Jordan BradfordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15MISSED FG
9 plays · 16 yds · 0:3891% → 89%
Q2 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
9.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for no gain to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+23
10.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 23 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
9.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-7
9.6%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Lorenzo Dantzler for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 17
OPP 28
0
9.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Javonte WoodardSimilar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 17
OPP 28
+45
11.4%
Bailey Hale 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
13.1%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
12.9%
Cordale Grundy sacked by Immanuel Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
13.1%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 1 yd to the TexSA 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
12.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-15
12.5%
GRUNDY, Cordale sideline pass complete to MCNAIR, Marquez for 11 yards to the 50 yardline, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UTSA personal foul (SHANNON, T.) 15 yards to the UTSA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 24
OWN 24
0
12.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 24
OWN 24
-4
12.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 55 yds , Cee Jay Powell returns for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0088% → 89%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
11.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 1 yd to the LaTch 18Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+4
11.6%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 5
OWN 22
+7
11.8%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
11.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
11.5%
Jaqwis Dancy run for no gain to the LaTch 32Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+23
11.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 23 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
10.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-8
10.7%
J'Mar Smith sacked by DeQuarius Henry for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 43 J'Mar Smith fumbled, recovered by TexSA Les Maruo , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19MISSED FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:4712% → 12%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
12.2%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
12.0%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 12 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
12.5%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg, broken up by Amik RobertsonSimilar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
12.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
11.9%
Cordale Grundy run for no gain to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+5
11.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Amik Robertson) to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 7:15
4TH & 5
OPP 26
+43
11.6%
Jared Sackett 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 1:3290% → 97%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
9.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 10 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
9.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+67
2.8%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 67 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:024% → 4%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
3.7%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+24
3.7%
Cordale Grundy run for 24 yds to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
3.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Marquez McNair for 13 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
4.1%
Cordale Grundy run for 4 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+11
4.4%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Marquez McNair for 11 yds to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
4.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Marquez McNairSimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+9
4.2%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Marquez McNair for 9 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+2
4.4%
Cordale Grundy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
4.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Blaze Moorhead, broken up by L'Jarius SneedSimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
4.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Brenden BradySimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 10
OPP 12
0
4.2%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Marquez McNairSimilar
Q3 1:41
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+29
4.1%
Jared Sackett 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22INT
10 plays · 17 yds · 1:4198% → 98%
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
2.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
2.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
2.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
2.2%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-3
2.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
2.1%
SMITH, J'Mar sacked for loss of 7 yards to the LATECH30 (BANKS, Eric), PENALTY UTSA personal foul (HENRY, D.) 15 yards to the UTSA48, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
2.0%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 3 yds to the LaTch 45 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Cee Jay Powell) to the LaTch 45Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 17
OWN 45
-2
2.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 43
-2
2.0%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted Cassius Grady return for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 67 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+10
2.3%
Cordale Grundy run for 10 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
2.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Marquez McNair, broken up by Ephraim KitchenSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
2.3%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 2 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+12
2.3%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Carter McCarthy for 12 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
2.4%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Marquez McNair for 21 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
2.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+16
2.8%
Cordale Grundy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Willie Baker) to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
2.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Carter McCarthy, broken up by Connor TaylorSimilar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
2.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Carter McCarthySimilar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 27
0
2.7%
Kirk Johnson Jr. run for no gain to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 10
OPP 27
0
2.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Kirk Johnson Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24TD
18 plays · 73 yds · 8:0299% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
1.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+14
1.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 14 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
1.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 3 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+1
1.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+15
1.3%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 15 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
1.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 1 yd to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+5
1.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 5 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+5
1.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 5 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
0.7%
Kam McKnight run for 6 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+2
0.7%
Kam McKnight run for 2 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 3:27
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
0.6%
Kam McKnight run for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 3:27
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+3
0.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Bobby Holly for 3 yds to the TexSA 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
0.5%
Kam McKnight run for 3 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+12
0.5%
Kam McKnight run for 12 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.1%
Kam McKnight run for 7 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
0.0%
Jordan Weeks run for 6 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+4
0.0%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 4 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
0.0%
Jordan Weeks pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:31
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q3 5:43
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 67 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
-6.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:57
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Kam McKnight for no gain to the TexSA 44
-4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com