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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 21 at Florida International 24

FIU
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:48 · Jose Borregales 49 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 120Home team on offense−13.0Score differential−5.7Garbage-time factor−5.0Pregame prior+0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:33: James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 26 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — FIU win probability +7.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:36: Asher O'Hara run for 11 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +13.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:09: Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +16.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 10:43: Jose Borregales 45 yd FG GOOD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declined — FIU win probability +8.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:55: James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 23 yds for a TD Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 03:55 (Maurice Alexander pass for Two-Point Conversion) — FIU win probability +41.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 10:58FIU 4th & 3 at MTSU 27, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.3%−0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58MTSU 4th & 2 at FIU 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    42.4%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.5%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:33FIU 4th & 2 at MTSU 9, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.1%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    56.4%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00MTSU 4th & 1 at FIU 24, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−3.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:06FIU 4th & 1 at MTSU 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    52.1%−2.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    51.5%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 43, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−2.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:25FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 16, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:48FIU 4th & 20 at MTSU 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−3.6
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%
    51% to make
    Punt
    26.1%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:48MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 38, up 8
    Close callPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:43FIU 4th & 8 at MTSU 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.4
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.7%
    60% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−10.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:43MTSU 4th & 6 at MTSU 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:38MTSU 4th & 10 at FIU 43, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.7 ptsWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.1%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    20.7%
    28% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−6.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MTSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 9:06MTSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:33FIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:36MTSU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:09MTSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:55FIU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.1 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    65.5%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 4:0253% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
53.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
53.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+4
53.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
53.0%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 8 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+5
53.0%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
53.0%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
53.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+5
53.0%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 5 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+44
54.1%
Jose Borregales 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 1 yd to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+24
53.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
50
+4
53.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
53.5%
Brad Anderson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+2
53.6%
Brent Stockstill run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 2
OPP 42
0
53.8%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 82 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
54.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 4 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+4
54.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 2
OWN 18
+4
54.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Maurice Alexander for 4 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
54.3%
Maurice Alexander run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
54.3%
James Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+58
54.0%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 58 yds to the MTnSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
55.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-7
55.2%
Maurice Alexander run for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 16
OPP 23
-5
54.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 21
OPP 28
+19
54.5%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 19 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+1
54.7%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
24 plays · 92 yds · 8:5244% → 52%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
56.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for no gain to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
56.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 10
OWN 8
+13
56.7%
Brent Stockstill run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
55.9%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+5
55.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jocquez Bruce for 5 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+7
55.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 7 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
55.5%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+2
55.2%
Jocquez Bruce run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+11
55.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 11 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
54.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+4
54.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+2
54.5%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
54.5%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+5
54.5%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to CASEY, Gatlin (DAMES, Rishard), PENALTY FIU pass interference (DAMES, Rishard) 5 yards to the FIU33, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
54.0%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 3 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
53.8%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+6
54.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+1
55.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
53.8%
Asher O'Hara pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
54.0%
Asher O'Hara run for no gain to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+11
54.7%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Brad Anderson for 11 yds to the FlaIn 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
53.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 17
+10
54.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
47.7%
Tavares Thomas run for 7 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 6:3351% → 61%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
50.6%
D'Vonte Price run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+3
50.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+14
49.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 14 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
52.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 6 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 4
OWN 47
0
52.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+10
52.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 10 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
53.2%
James Morgan pass complete to Tony Gaiter IV for 5 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
53.2%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
52.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Darrius Scott for 2 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q2 9:06
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+2
51.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
54.0%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+5
53.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 5 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+26
61.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Shemar Thornton for 26 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 1:5742% → 57%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+23
57.4%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 23 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
55.6%
Brad Anderson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
55.3%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Gatlin CaseySimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+17
55.9%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Luke Shiflett for 17 yds to the FlaIn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-3
54.3%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 13
OPP 26
+4
55.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 9
OPP 22
+11
56.3%
O'HARA, Asher pass incomplete to SALTER, Tavonn, PENALTY FIU roughing passer (CURTIS, Noah) 11 yards to the FIU11, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
43.3%
Asher O'Hara run for 11 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:3650% → 56%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
49.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 6 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+14
51.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 14 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
50.9%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
50.4%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to SINGLETON, B., PENALTY MT pass interference (RANDOLPH, D.) 15 yards to the MT36, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
49.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Bryce SingletonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+53
55.6%
Jose Borregales 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
50.0%
Tavares Thomas run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
48.8%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
49.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
49.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
47.7%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-5
48.5%
Asher O'Hara sacked by Jermaine Sheriff for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
47.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Luke ShiflettSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
51.7%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlaIn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0052% → 49%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
51.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 5
OWN 16
0
51.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 5
OWN 16
0
50.1%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Maurice Alexander, broken up by Wesley BushSimilar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 5
OWN 16
+25
49.3%
Stone Wilson punt for 54 yds , Ty Lee returns for 25 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 1:4053% → 71%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
46.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+18
46.9%
Brad Anderson run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+20
45.3%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 20 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
45.3%
ANDERSON, Brad rush for no gain to the FIU5 (FREEMAN, Edwin;DAMES, Richard), PENALTY FIU IS 3 yards to the FIU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
29.1%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11MISSED FG
15 plays · 43 yds · 5:2134% → 27%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
33.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
33.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Ivan Thomas for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
33.7%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 11 yds to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
34.8%
James Morgan run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
34.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Tony Gaiter IVSimilar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-2
34.2%
D'Vonte Price run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+12
32.5%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to WORTON, C., PENALTY MT pass interference (JOHNSON, OJ) 12 yards to the FIU45, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
36.4%
D'Vonte Price run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
38.0%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+15
37.9%
MORGAN, James pass incomplete to WORTON, C., PENALTY MT personal foul 15 yards to the MT22, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
39.5%
D'Vonte Price run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-7
39.5%
Darrius Scott run for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 15
OPP 27
-5
35.3%
James Morgan sacked by DQ Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 20
OPP 32
+49
26.6%
Jose Borregales 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
26.6%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Tavares Thomas for no gain to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+8
27.0%
Asher O'Hara run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 2
OWN 40
-2
26.0%
Tavares Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 2:48
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
27.3%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13FG
15 plays · 42 yds · 6:0328% → 38%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
28.1%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+13
27.5%
James Morgan pass complete to Sterling Palmer for 13 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
30.3%
James Morgan pass incomplete to CJ WortonSimilar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
29.1%
Maurice Alexander run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+12
27.4%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 12 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
31.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+2
31.3%
Shawndarrius Phillips run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+5
30.8%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 5 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+5
29.3%
MORGAN, James rush for 2 yards to the MT33 (MANCIEL, Malik), PENALTY MT offside defense (SMITH, Cody) 5 yards to the MT30, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
33.1%
MORGAN, James pass complete to ALEXANDER, M. for 10 yards to the MT20 (HARRIS, Darius), PENALTY FIU pass interference (THOMAS, Ivan) 15 yards to the MT45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+12
29.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 12 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 33
+6
31.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+4
30.9%
James Morgan pass complete to Shawndarrius Phillips for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 23
-5
28.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+45
37.7%
Jose Borregales 45 yd FG GOOD MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
30.5%
Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
29.4%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
29.8%
Asher O'Hara run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
29.1%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
29.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Tavares Thomas for no gain to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+4
31.4%
Terelle West run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 10:43
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
31.8%
Matthew Stephenson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Maurice Alexander at the FlaIn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 4:0736% → 83%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
35.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
35.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+14
33.3%
James Morgan pass complete to Austin Maloney for 14 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
36.4%
James Morgan pass incomplete to Austin MaloneySimilar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
36.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+27
34.1%
James Morgan pass complete to Bryce Singleton for 27 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
41.9%
D'Vonte Price run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
42.0%
D'Vonte Price run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+10
41.4%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
82.7%
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 23 yds for a TD Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 03:55 (Maurice Alexander pass for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16INT
14 plays · 59 yds · 2:1733% → 33%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.7%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Tavonn SalterSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
67.2%
Asher O'Hara run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
63.5%
Asher O'Hara run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+1
60.6%
Asher O'Hara run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+12
60.8%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 12 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
59.0%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
59.6%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Tavares ThomasSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
69.9%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Gatlin CaseySimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 10
OPP 43
+28
73.1%
Asher O'Hara pass complete to Ty Lee for 28 yds to the FlaIn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
62.2%
Asher O'Hara run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 11
OPP 16
0
63.9%
Asher O'Hara pass incomplete to Ty LeeSimilar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+20
67.1%
Asher O'Hara pass intercepted Olin Cushion III return for 20 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
92.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:55
James Morgan pass complete to CJ Worton for 23 yds for a TD Timeout FLORIDA INTL, clock 03:55 (Maurice Alexander pass for Two-Point Conversion)
+41.2
TD · Q3 8:09
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-16.2
TD · Q2 0:36
Asher O'Hara run for 11 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com