Try the model
WKU

Western Kentucky 14 at Charlotte 40

CLT
2018 · Week 7 · Oct 13, 2018 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:43 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:30: Jonathan Cruz 33 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +6.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:42: Evan Shirreffs run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +17.7 pts (now 71%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:20: Benny LeMay run for 9 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +17.2 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:25: Aaron McAllister run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +7.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 13:57: Jonathan Cruz 51 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 2 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:15WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:18CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 44, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 13 at CLT 38, up 1
    Close callPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:30CLT 4th & 7 at WKU 16, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    32.3%−5.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:45WKU 4th & 15 at CLT 33, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    53.4%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q3 9:42WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.4%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 3:25WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 19, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  8. Q4 13:57CLT 4th & 7 at WKU 34, up 23
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 12:16WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 32, down 26
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:17CLT 4th & 3 at WKU 14, up 26
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:15CLT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    29.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:20WKU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:42CLT Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:20CLT Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:25CLT Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:08CLT Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:55WKU Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1INT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
32.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
32.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 10 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
32.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+27
32.5%
Davis Shanley pass intercepted Juwan Foggie return for 27 yds to the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
34.0%
Benny LeMay run for 35 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
33.7%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 2 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+10
33.7%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 10 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
33.6%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 15 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
33.5%
Davis Shanley sacked by Juwan Foggie for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+5
33.7%
Garland LaFrance run for 5 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
33.7%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Jeff GemmellSimilar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
33.7%
Alex Rinella punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
35.9%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+11
36.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 11 yds to the Charl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
36.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
35.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+10
35.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to QUATTLEBAUM, M., PENALTY WKU holding (KINCADE, Antwon) 10 yards to the CHA44, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-2
36.3%
Chris Reynolds run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 42Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 12
OWN 42
-5
36.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 37Similar
Q1 10:18
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+7
36.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q1 10:18
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
36.0%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Mark Quattlebaum, broken up by Juwuan JonesSimilar
Q1 10:18
4TH & 10
OWN 44
0
35.7%
Kyle Corbett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Roger Cray at the WKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 3:4262% → 65%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
38.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+10
38.0%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 10 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+42
37.9%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 42 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
36.8%
Kevaris Thomas run for 7 yds to the Charl 24Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+2
36.7%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 2 yds to the Charl 22Similar
Q1 7:02
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+3
37.0%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for 3 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
36.7%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 6 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+9
36.7%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kris Leach for 9 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
35.3%
Kevaris Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6FUMBLE
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+11
36.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 11 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
36.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 5 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+9
36.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 9 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
37.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+8
36.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 8 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
37.2%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the 50 yard line Hasaan Klugh fumbled, forced by Antwon Kincade, recovered by WKent Drell Greene , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0164% → 63%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
50
+15
35.6%
Joshua Samuel run for 15 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
35.3%
Joshua Samuel run for 3 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
35.1%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 28
-10
35.7%
SAMUEL, Joshua rush for 8 yards to the CHA20 (IRVIN, Denzel;MARTIN, Luke), PENALTY WKU holding (PATE, Miles) 10 yards to the CHA38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 38
0
36.5%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 38
0
37.5%
Alex Rinella punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8FG
17 plays · 77 yds · 8:3138% → 49%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
38.1%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 12Similar
Q2 13:01
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+3
38.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q2 13:01
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+2
37.5%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the Charl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
39.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 6 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+9
40.0%
Calvin Camp run for 9 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
40.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 14 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
41.5%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
41.7%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+6
41.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
42.0%
Benny LeMay run for 12 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
42.9%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+10
42.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to ARNOLD, Rico, PENALTY WKU holding (RUFFIN, Dionte) 10 yards to the WKU19, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
42.9%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+1
42.9%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 11:06
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
41.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+33
48.8%
Jonathan Cruz 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9MISSED FG
15 plays · 41 yds · 3:4554% → 53%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
45.9%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 10 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
45.1%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
43.6%
Davis Shanley run for 7 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
43.4%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 8 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
43.1%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
43.1%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 3 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+8
42.2%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kris Leach for 8 yds to the Charl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
41.1%
Davis Shanley sacked by Tyriq Harris and Tyler Fain for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 36 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 18
OPP 36
+8
43.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Gino Appleberry Jr. for 8 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
42.7%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 10
OPP 28
-5
45.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Jordan Meredith) to the Charl 33Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 15
OPP 33
+50
47.1%
Alex Rinella 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:4548% → 52%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
48.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 14 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
50.6%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 5 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+10
52.6%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass incomplete to ARNOLD, Rico, PENALTY WKU holding (KEY, Devon) 10 yards to the WKU38, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+22
52.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 22 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
53.2%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Calvin CampSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
53.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Mark Quattlebaum, broken up by Ta'Corian DardenSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+33
52.1%
Jonathan Cruz 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1849% → 71%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
49.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
50.4%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
49.2%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
50.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
49.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+31
48.7%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Benny LeMay for 31 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
52.9%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+25
52.8%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 25 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
52.9%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.6%
Evan Shirreffs run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
65.6%
Joshua Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
65.9%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 6 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
65.9%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Mik'Quan DeaneSimilar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
67.5%
Alex Rinella punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:1670% → 89%
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
70.4%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
70.0%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 15 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
71.1%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
71.2%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+11
70.2%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
71.6%
Benny LeMay run for 8 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 8:36
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+5
71.6%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the WKent 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
71.6%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
88.8%
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.7%
Davis Shanley pass intercepted Juwan Foggie return for no gain to the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:4889% → 97%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
88.9%
Rico Arnold run for 13 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
96.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
95.5%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Jacquez Sloan) to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
95.6%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-1
95.7%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 19Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
95.7%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+3
95.7%
Alex Rinella punt for 41 yds , Mark Quattlebaum returns for 3 yds to the Charl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:2697% → 99%
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
96.9%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
96.9%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+19
96.8%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Calvin Camp for 19 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
96.9%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the WKent 36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+2
97.7%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
97.6%
Evan Shirreffs pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q4 13:57
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+51
99.2%
Jonathan Cruz 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18DOWNS
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:411% → 1%
Q4 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Joshua Samuel for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 13:57
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.5%
Davis Shanley pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 13:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
99.5%
Kevaris Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Davis Shanley pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Henry SeguraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19MISSED FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.5%
Ishod Finger run for 1 yd to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+10
99.5%
Ishod Finger run for 10 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.5%
Ishod Finger run for 4 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+2
99.5%
Ishod Finger run for 2 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+1
99.5%
Ishod Finger run for 1 yd to the WKent 14Similar
Q4 9:17
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+5
99.6%
Jonathan Cruz 32 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by null Roger Cray return for 5 yds to the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.7%
Davis Shanley run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 30 Davis Shanley fumbled, recovered by Charl Jeff GemmellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
99.7%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+5
99.7%
Evan Shirreffs run for 5 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+8
99.7%
Calvin Camp run for 8 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.7%
Calvin Camp run for 2 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-5
99.7%
CAMP, Calvin rush for 4 yards to the WKU8 (DARDEN, T.), PENALTY CHA illegal formation 5 yards to the WKU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 13
OPP 17
-11
99.7%
Evan Shirreffs sacked by Jaylon George for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 24
OPP 28
+28
99.9%
Evan Shirreffs pass complete to Rico Arnold for 28 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 3:130% → 0%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Steven Duncan run for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.9%
DUNCAN, Steven pass incomplete to PEARSON, J. (MCDONALD, AJ), PENALTY CHA 12 men on the field declined, PENALTY CHA pass interference (MCDONALD, AJ) 15 yards to the WKU40, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 13 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 18 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 9 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Xavier Lane for 4 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 2 yds to the Charl 14Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+7
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 7 yds to the Charl 7Similar
Q4 5:08
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
DUNCAN, Steven pass incomplete to LANE, Xavier, PENALTY CHA pass interference (ANDERSON, DJ) 5 yards to the CHA2, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
99.9%
DUNCAN, Steven pass incomplete to LANE, Xavier, PENALTY WKU ineligible downfield on pass (LEACH, Kris) 5 yards to the CHA7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Xavier LaneSimilar
Q4 5:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 1:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Steven Witchoskey for 7 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:12100% → 100%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Ishod Finger run for 2 yds to the Charl 36Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Ishod Finger run for 2 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 1:43
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Ishod Finger run for 7 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 42Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 13
OWN 42
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:42
Evan Shirreffs run for 1 yd for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+17.7
TD · Q3 4:20
Benny LeMay run for 9 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+17.2
TD · Q3 3:25
Aaron McAllister run for 14 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+7.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com