Try the model
UTSA

UTSA 20 at Rice 3

RICE
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Rice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:06 · Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexSA 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 22Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Pregame prior+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:51: B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +11.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 5:55: Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 23 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST down — UTSA win probability +6.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:14: B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 36 — UTSA win probability +8.1 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q4 5:51: Shawn Stankavage sacked by Lorenzo Dantzler for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 9 Shawn Stankavage fumbled, recovered by Rice Joseph Dill , return for 0 yards — UTSA win probability +7.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:50: Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +8.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 10 of 13UTSA made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 22 at UTSA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:37RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:04UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:06RICE 4th & 6 at UTSA 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    54.9%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:44UTSA 4th & 11 at RICE 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.7%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    43.1%−2.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00RICE 4th & 7 at UTSA 44, down 3
    Close callPunted · 53.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:14UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:20RICE 4th & 2 at UTSA 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 53.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    52.2%−1.6
    42% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:15UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:04UTSA 4th & 19 at RICE 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    54.9%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:04RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 24, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−1.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:40UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%−2.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:09RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 34, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.3
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.1%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 6 at UTSA 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    34.1%−1.0
    30% to make
    Punt
    34.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 8:28RICE 4th & 3 at UTSA 10, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.5%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    23.2%−6.9
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:28UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−3.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 5:55RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.1%
    average punt
  19. Q3 2:09UTSA 4th & 16 at UTSA 25, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−5.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.6%
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 2 at UTSA 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    22.8%−3.7
    27% to make
    Punt
    24.5%−2.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 2 at UTSA 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.9%−2.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    22.8%−3.5
    average punt
  22. Q4 11:14UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    78.1%−3.4
    average punt
  23. Q4 11:14UTSA 4th & 7 at RICE 40, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    78.8%−1.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.2%−1.3
    average punt
  24. Q4 5:51RICE 4th & 1 at RICE 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 6:51UTSA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 1:50UTSA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.5%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr., broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
57.5%
Matt Guidry run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+15
57.5%
Cordale Grundy run for 15 yds to the TexSA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
57.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Gavin Sharp for no gain to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-2
57.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 43
-10
57.5%
Cordale Grundy sacked by Myles Adams for a loss of 10 yards to the TexSA 33Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 33
0
57.5%
Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds, downed at the Rice 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
57.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-2
57.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 11
OWN 27
0
57.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by C.J. LevineSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
57.4%
Jack Fox punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
57.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 33Similar
Q1 10:04
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
57.7%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q1 10:04
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
57.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q1 10:04
4TH & 13
OWN 33
+19
58.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 47 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 19 yds to the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
58.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 13
OWN 36
+16
57.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 16 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
58.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by C.J. LevineSimilar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+3
58.4%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+1
58.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 1 yd to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 6
OPP 44
0
57.9%
Jack Fox punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexSA 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 5:4742% → 44%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
57.7%
B.J. Daniels run for 9 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+6
57.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 6 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
57.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 6
OWN 20
0
57.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 6
OWN 20
+16
57.9%
Cordale Grundy run for 16 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
57.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
57.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+23
57.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 23 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
56.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+17
56.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 17 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
56.4%
Blaze Moorhead run for 1 yd to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-2
56.5%
Greg Campbell Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
56.8%
Cordale Grundy run for no gain to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 0:44
4TH & 11
OPP 27
+44
56.0%
Jared Sackett 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:4456% → 56%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
55.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Josiah Tauaefa) to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
57.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
56.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+11
55.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 11 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
57.5%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-1
57.6%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
0
57.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 44
0
56.3%
Jack Fox punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0045% → 44%
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
55.3%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+2
55.2%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 3
OWN 13
0
55.7%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Kirk Johnson Jr.Similar
Q2 13:14
4TH & 3
OWN 13
+3
56.3%
Yannis Routsas punt for 53 yds , Austin Trammell returns for 3 yds to the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8DOWNS
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:2056% → 57%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
56.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+14
57.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 14 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
57.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
57.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+5
57.1%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
56.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
54.0%
Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-1
53.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
53.5%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
55.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
54.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+27
54.1%
Jackson Tyner pass intercepted Cassius Grady return for 27 yds to the Rice 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11TD
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q2 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
42.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
44.2%
RICE Penalty, false start (Shea Baker) to the Rice 12Similar
Q2 6:51
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+5
44.1%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-3
44.0%
Jackson Tyner run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 14 Jackson Tyner fumbled, recovered by TexSA DeQuarius HenrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13FG
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:5758% → 61%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
42.2%
Cordale Grundy run for 1 yd to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 6:01
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
42.2%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Kirk Johnson Jr., broken up by Prudy CalderonSimilar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
41.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q2 5:17
4TH & 9
OPP 13
-10
43.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 19
OPP 23
+40
39.2%
Jared Sackett 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
40.7%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by Les Maruo for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-3
40.5%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+3
39.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 3 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 5:04
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+7
39.8%
Jack Fox punt for 51 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 7 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 1:0664% → 67%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
35.9%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-5
35.9%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (Gavin Sharp) to the TexSA 30Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
32.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+1
33.0%
Cordale Grundy run for 1 yd to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
32.9%
Yannis Routsas punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2437% → 33%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
36.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-8
37.5%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by King Newton for a loss of 8 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
36.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 11 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 0:09
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
33.1%
Jack Fox punt for 59 yds, downed at the TexSA 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 6:3235% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
35.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal formation (5 Yards) to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
35.3%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 25Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 25
+3
34.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+10
34.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 10 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 38
-1
35.8%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+17
35.1%
Jack Fox pass complete to Jordan Myers for 17 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
37.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+2
37.1%
Giovanni Gentosi run for 2 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
36.7%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+25
35.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 25 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
38.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+5
38.4%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
37.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Teddrick McGheeSimilar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+28
33.7%
Haden Tobola 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
34.0%
Cordale Grundy run for 13 yds to the TexSA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
33.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & 7
OWN 36
0
32.7%
Matt Guidry run for no gain to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 8:28
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
33.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 7
OWN 36
-5
34.8%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
35.8%
Yannis Routsas punt for 57 yds, downed at the Rice 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+23
29.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 23 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
30.1%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
30.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Brenndan JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
29.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q3 5:55
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
27.8%
Jack Fox punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Sheldon Jones at the TexSA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:1672% → 71%
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
28.5%
D.J. Gillins run for 8 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 2
OWN 25
+6
27.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
28.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, illegal procedure (Jordan Wright) to the TexSA 26Similar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+6
28.5%
D.J. Gillins run for 6 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
28.1%
D.J. Gillins run for no gain to the TexSA 25 D.J. Gillins fumbled, recovered by TexSA D.J. Gillins , return for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
28.7%
D.J. Gillins pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
29.4%
Yannis Routsas punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21DOWNS
11 plays · 30 yds · 1:5529% → 28%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
28.5%
Shawn Stankavage run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+3
28.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+8
27.9%
Shawn Stankavage run for 8 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
30.0%
Austin Walter run for 5 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
29.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+1
29.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+2
27.9%
Shawn Stankavage run for 2 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
29.7%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+3
29.8%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+2
29.5%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
27.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Rhett Cardwell, broken up by Teddrick McGheeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
19.7%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+2
19.2%
Matt Guidry run for 2 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
19.0%
D.J. Gillins run for no gain to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+5
20.6%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (5 Yards) to the TexSA 43Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
20.2%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
18.3%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 9
OWN 47
0
18.3%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for no gain to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+10
18.7%
D.J. Gillins pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 10 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
17.9%
Matt Guidry run for 3 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
18.0%
D.J. Gillins run for no gain to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
18.2%
D.J. Gillins pass incomplete to Tariq Woolen, broken up by Brandon Douglas-DotsonSimilar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
19.9%
Yannis Routsas punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
12.3%
Shawn Stankavage sacked by Lorenzo Dantzler for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 9 Shawn Stankavage fumbled, recovered by Rice Joseph Dill , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:51
2ND & 15
OWN 9
0
11.7%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 15
OWN 9
+14
11.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Brendan Harmon for 14 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 5:51
4TH & 1
OWN 23
+12
11.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 32 Emmanuel Esukpa fumbled, forced by Jarrod Carter-McLin, recovered by TexSA Brenndan Johnson , return for 2 yds to the Rice 25 UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, Offensive holding (Jarrod Carter-McLin) to the Rice 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24TD
5 plays · 32 yds · 2:4991% → 99%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+18
9.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 18 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
9.0%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the Rice 13Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+4
9.0%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+8
9.3%
D.J. Gillins run for 8 yds to the Rice 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25INT
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:122% → 2%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
2.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
2.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 2 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
2.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Brendan Harmon for 2 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+12
2.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 12 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-5
2.4%
RICE Penalty, IP (Shawn Stankavage) to the TexSA 46Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 15
OPP 46
0
2.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass intercepted Teddrick McGhee return for no gain to the TexSA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:51
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)
-11.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 11:14
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 36
-8.1
TD · Q4 1:50
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)
-8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com