Try the model
UNT

North Texas 27 at UTEP 24

UTEP
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Sun Bowl
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:28 · Mitchell Crawford punt for 42 yds , Keegan Brewer returns for 12 yds to the NoTex 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior−39.9Home team on offense+1.5Score differential+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:54: Ryan Metz pass complete to Quardraiz Wadley for 29 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +2.7 pts (now 12%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 0:55: Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — UNT win probability +7.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 10:43: Ryan Metz run for 1 yd for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +18.4 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 5:46: Nic Smith run for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +14.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:05: Ryan Metz pass complete to Keynan Foster for 67 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +24.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:05UTEP 4th & 10 at UNT 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:05UNT 4th & 10 at UTEP 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:57UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:33UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:54UNT 4th & 5 at UNT 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:20UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:26UNT 4th & 1 at UTEP 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−0.8
    56% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:28UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:12UNT 4th & 10 at UTEP 35, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.1%
    45% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:51UNT 4th & 6 at UTEP 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−8.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:27UTEP 4th & 7 at UNT 35, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.3%−0.7
    45% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−1.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:55UNT 4th & 2 at UTEP 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    72.7%−2.0
    87% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−12.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:56UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 27, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 6.9 ptsPunted · 76.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%−6.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:41UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 24, down 3
    Close callWent for it · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 1:41UNT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:54UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 0:55UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 10:43UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:46UNT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:05UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.2 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:554% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
4.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+38
4.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 38 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
4.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
4.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+7
4.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 7 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
4.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Tre'Shon Wolf, broken up by Khairi MuhammadSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
4.2%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
4.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
5.0%
Jason Filley 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
5.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 7 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-4
5.0%
Mason Fine run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 28 Mason Fine fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by NoTex DeAndre TorreySimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+17
5.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 17 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
5.0%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
5.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 11 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the UTEP 44Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
5.0%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
5.0%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3INT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
6.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 15 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
6.0%
METZ, Ryan pass incomplete to REDIX, Warren, PENALTY UNT pass interference (BROOKS, Nate) 15 yards to the UTEP48, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
6.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
6.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Keynan Foster for 9 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+5
6.2%
Ryan Metz run for 5 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
6.2%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted Tyreke Davis return for no gain to the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
6.8%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to DeAndre TorreySimilar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
6.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
6.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q1 6:57
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
7.0%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
7.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-1
7.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 6:33
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
6.8%
Ryan Metz pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:33
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
6.8%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 3:2892% → 92%
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
7.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
7.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
7.4%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+38
7.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 38 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
7.2%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-1
7.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
7.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 3:428% → 12%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+17
8.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 17 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
8.0%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+14
8.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to David Lucero for 14 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
9.1%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+3
8.7%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 3 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
8.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Nik NeedhamSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 47
+23
8.6%
Ryan Metz run for 23 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
9.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+29
12.1%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Quardraiz Wadley for 29 yds for a TD, (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
11.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 7 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
10.9%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
11.2%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael Lawrence, broken up by A.J. HotchkinsSimilar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
11.3%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+1
11.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Evan Johnson for 1 yd to the NoTex 40Similar
Q2 12:54
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+17
11.5%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 49 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 17 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
12.9%
Ryan Metz run for no gain to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
12.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
12.4%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
12.2%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
13.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 25 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
12.6%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
12.5%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Michael LawrenceSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+6
12.7%
Evan Johnson run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
13.0%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Kelvin Smith, broken up by Michael LewisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
15.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
15.5%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Keynan FosterSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-3
15.0%
Ryan Metz run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 7:28
4TH & 12
OWN 28
+12
14.6%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 42 yds , Keegan Brewer returns for 12 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:4384% → 84%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
15.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the NoTex 42Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
15.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+23
16.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 23 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
14.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
14.8%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-10
15.5%
JOHNSON, Evan rush for 4 yards to the UTEP31 (HOTCHKINS, A.J.;ROGERS, Justin), PENALTY UNT holding (MURRAY, Jordan) 10 yards to the UTEP45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:55
3RD & 20
OPP 45
+10
16.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 10 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+52
15.8%
Cole Hedlund 52 yd FG GOOD UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13INT
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:3318% → 22%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
17.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+33
17.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Winston Dimel for 33 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
19.3%
Keynan Foster run for 5 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+9
19.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 9 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
19.7%
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
22.1%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted, touchback. Nate Brooks return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 35 yds · 0:0083% → 84%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
17.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 21Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
17.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 13 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+21
16.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 21 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 7:0982% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
17.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
17.4%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 4 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
17.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
17.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 2 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+9
16.7%
Nic Smith run for 9 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
16.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 4 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+3
16.0%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
16.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for no gain to the UTEP 45Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+4
17.1%
FINE, Mason pass incomplete to GUYTON, Jalen (BEVERLY, Kalon), PENALTY UTEP pass interference (BEVERLY, Kalon) 4 yards to the UTEP41, 1ST DOWN UNT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+25
16.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 25 yds to the UTEP 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-2
15.4%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 18
-2
15.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 20
+8
17.1%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 8 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
19.2%
Cole Hedlund 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16MISSED FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:1821% → 25%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
21.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 8 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+20
22.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 20 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
24.1%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+7
24.2%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 7 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
24.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
25.3%
Ryan Metz run for no gain to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 7
OPP 35
0
23.8%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 7
OPP 35
+53
25.1%
Jason Filley 53 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dion Novil TEAM return for no gain to the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:3279% → 87%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+46
21.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 46 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
18.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 5 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
18.7%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q3 3:27
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
19.7%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the UTEP 11Similar
Q3 0:55
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+11
12.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 11 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) UTEP Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:0812% → 34%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
11.9%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 10
OWN 10
-3
11.9%
Ryan Metz sacked by Dion Novil and Caleb Colvin for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 7Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 13
OWN 7
+42
11.0%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 42 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
13.8%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Winston Dimel for 14 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-4
14.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 41
0
13.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete, broken up by Ulaiasi TauaaloSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 41
+23
12.9%
Ryan Metz run for 23 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
15.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 8 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+6
15.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 6 yds to the NoTex 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
15.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
15.4%
Quardraiz Wadley run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.8%
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5776% → 92%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
24.5%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
24.5%
SMITH, Nic rush for 4 yards to the UNT30 (SMITH, Jamar;TUPOU, Sione), PENALTY UTEP offside (REESE, C.J.) 5 yards to the UNT31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
23.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 8 yds to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
22.3%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 41
-1
22.1%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+18
23.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 18 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
21.4%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q4 10:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
21.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 10:43
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+18
21.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 18 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
7.8%
Nic Smith run for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:419% → 34%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
9.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+67
33.5%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Keynan Foster for 67 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:0577% → 76%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
23.3%
Nic Smith run for 7 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+1
22.3%
Nic Smith run for 1 yd to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+1
23.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 2:56
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
23.6%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 57 yds, downed at the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:0430% → 23%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
30.2%
METZ, Ryan pass incomplete to FOSTER, Keynan (ROBINSON, T.), PENALTY UNT roughing passer 15 yards to the UTEP31, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
31.1%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Keynan Foster, broken up by Nate BrooksSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
30.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Quardraiz Wadley for 3 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-10
29.9%
Ryan Metz sacked by Bryce English and E.J. Ejiya for a loss of 10 yards to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 17
OWN 24
0
23.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23Uncategorized
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:1291% → 92%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
8.9%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+3
8.0%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 3 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:05
Ryan Metz pass complete to Keynan Foster for 67 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)
+24.2
TD · Q4 10:43
Ryan Metz run for 1 yd for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)
+18.4
TD · Q4 5:46
Nic Smith run for 20 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)
-14.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com