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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 34 at Marshall 24

MRSH
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 5, 2018 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:23 · Alex Thomson pass complete to Obi Obialo for 15 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 185Home team on offense−32.2Pregame prior+0.8Score differential−17.7Garbage-time factor−14.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:09: Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +14.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:17: Alex Thomson pass complete to Armani Levias for 11 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +8.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:20: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +16.1 pts (now 52%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:00: Tavares Thomas run for 8 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +20.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:35: Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 18 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK) — MTSU win probability +17.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MTSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:42MTSU 4th & 16 at MRSH 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42MRSH 4th & 13 at MRSH 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.6%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:14MRSH 4th & 13 at MTSU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    54.7%−2.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:14MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:25MRSH 4th & 1 at MTSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−3.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:25MTSU 4th & 13 at MTSU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:58MTSU 4th & 14 at MTSU 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−1.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:41MRSH 4th & 4 at MTSU 26, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.6%−0.6
    64% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−7.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:20MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:00MTSU 4th & 1 at MRSH 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    42.7%−5.5
    90% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−20.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 22 at MRSH 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−6.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:35MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.1%−2.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:23MTSU 4th & 1 at MRSH 1, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.7%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−6.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:23MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.9%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:23MRSH 4th & 5 at MTSU 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:23MTSU 4th & 12 at MTSU 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 13:25MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:09MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:17MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:20MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:00MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:35MTSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.5
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:37MRSH Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1FG
17 plays · 59 yds · 5:1842% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 7 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
58.3%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
58.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 7 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+5
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 5 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
58.3%
Brent Stockstill run for 3 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+19
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 19 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-3
58.3%
Tavares Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 23
+19
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 19 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
58.3%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the Marsh 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
58.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Gatlin Casey, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
58.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-8
58.3%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Ty Tyler for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 16Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & GOAL
OPP 16
+34
58.3%
Crews Holt 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
58.4%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 5
OWN 48
0
58.5%
Alex Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-8
58.3%
Alex Thomson sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 8 yards to the Marsh 40Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
57.7%
Robert LeFevre punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3FUMBLE
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+25
57.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 25 yds to the MTnSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
57.4%
Brad Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+10
57.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 10 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
57.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 5 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
57.2%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q1 8:27
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-6
57.3%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Juwon Young for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 42 Brent Stockstill fumbled, recovered by Marsh Frankie Hernandez , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 4:1458% → 58%
Q1 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
58.3%
Alex Thomson sacked by Trae Philpots for a loss of 10 yards to the Marsh 32Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 20
OWN 32
+5
57.4%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+19
56.2%
Tyler King run for 19 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
57.9%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+13
57.9%
Tyler King run for 13 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
58.3%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, illegal helmet contact (12 Yards) to the MTnSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
58.3%
Anthony Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
58.3%
Alex Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:07
3RD & 7
OPP 10
-1
57.8%
Anthony Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 11Similar
Q1 5:07
4TH & 8
OPP 11
-5
57.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 13
OPP 16
+33
58.2%
Justin Rohrwasser 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 2:14
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
57.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
57.9%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Gatlin Casey, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 7
OPP 0
0
56.7%
BONADIES, Matt punt 49 yards to the MAR23, WILLIAMS, M. return to the MAR20 (ANDERSON, D.;WEST, Terelle), PENALTY MT holding off-setting, PENALTY MAR illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+7
58.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 52 yds , Marcel Williams returns for 7 yds to the Marsh 35 MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
12 plays · 87 yds · 2:4258% → 64%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
58.3%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+15
58.3%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Rosheem Collins) to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
58.6%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Tyre Brady for 14 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
59.8%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Darryl RandolphSimilar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
59.5%
Alex Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+15
58.5%
THOMSON, Alex pass incomplete to LEVIAS, Armani, PENALTY MT illegal helmet contact (PHILPOTS, Trae) 15 yards to the MT37, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+8
60.1%
Tyler King run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 29
+21
60.5%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Willie Johnson for 21 yds to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
60.5%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.5%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
59.9%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 13:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
64.4%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
63.6%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Ty Tyler for a loss of 8 yards to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+5
63.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 5 yds to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
64.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Gatlin CaseySimilar
Q2 13:25
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+42
64.8%
Matt Bonadies punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marcel Williams at the MARSHALL 36 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8INT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0065% → 66%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
65.1%
Tyler King run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
64.5%
Alex Thomson run for no gain to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+12
63.7%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Armani Levias for 12 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
66.0%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+10
66.1%
Tyler King run for 10 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
66.2%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+7
66.2%
Alex Thomson pass intercepted Wesley Bush return for 7 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0035% → 34%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
64.7%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 31
-6
64.8%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Darius Hodge for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+22
66.2%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 22 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
63.3%
Brad Anderson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+3
63.2%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 5
OPP 48
-9
63.2%
Brent Stockstill sacked by Malik Thompson for a loss of 9 yards to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 14
OWN 43
0
66.3%
Matt Bonadies punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FUMBLE
9 plays · 50 yds · 0:0068% → 70%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
67.6%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+3
67.6%
Anthony Anderson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+5
67.0%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
67.8%
Anthony Anderson run for 9 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+8
69.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
69.6%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+9
69.3%
Alex Thomson run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
69.9%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+6
69.8%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 33 Tyler King fumbled, forced by Jovante Moffatt, recovered by MTnSt Tyshun RenderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 0:5433% → 51%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+39
66.9%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jocquez Bruce for 39 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
63.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 15
OPP 33
0
64.5%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 15
OPP 33
+17
65.0%
Brent Stockstill run for 17 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
63.0%
Brent Stockstill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+11
63.0%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to SALTER, Tavonn, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 11 yards to the MAR5, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
49.0%
Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 0:5259% → 71%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
58.5%
Tyler King run for 11 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
60.6%
Tyler King run for 31 yds to the MTnSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
62.3%
Anthony Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+3
62.2%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Obi Obialo for 3 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+7
60.8%
Anthony Anderson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
62.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
62.2%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
70.6%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Armani Levias for 11 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
68.2%
Tavares Thomas run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14MISSED FG
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:1971% → 71%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
71.4%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
72.1%
Alex Thomson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+23
71.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 23 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
72.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+3
72.5%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Tyre Brady for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 26
0
71.7%
Tyler King run for no gain to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 11:41
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
71.2%
Justin Rohrwasser 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 3:2131% → 52%
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
69.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+8
68.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Jocquez Bruce for 8 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
68.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 4 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+4
67.2%
Brent Stockstill run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
67.1%
Brad Anderson run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
50
0
66.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Gatlin Casey, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
50
+18
67.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 18 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
64.7%
Terelle West run for 3 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
64.1%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Ty Lee, broken up by Kereon MerrellSimilar
Q3 11:41
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+18
66.6%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Gatlin Casey for 6 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Juwon Young) to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
64.1%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Watkins for 2 yds to the Marsh 9Similar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
64.1%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass incomplete to SMITH, Patrick, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JOHNSON, Nazeeh) 7 yards to the MAR2, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
58.1%
Tyler King run for 11 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
60.9%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-1
61.3%
Tyler King run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
59.8%
Alex Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
57.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 17TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 4:3446% → 69%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
54.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 11 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
52.9%
Brent Stockstill run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
50.8%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
50.3%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Gatlin CaseySimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+10
51.1%
STOCKSTILL, B. pass intercepted by JOHNSON, Nazeeh at the MAR42, JOHNSON, Nazeeh return to the MAR42, PENALTY MAR pass interference (MERRELL, Kereon) 10 yards to the MAR44, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
49.5%
Brent Stockstill run for 5 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+22
49.0%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 22 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-12
47.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 3 yds to the Marsh 14 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Ty Lee) to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 22
OPP 29
0
48.8%
Tavares Thomas run for no gain to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 22
OPP 29
0
49.7%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Tavonn SalterSimilar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 22
OPP 29
+21
52.4%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavonn Salter for 21 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+8
30.6%
Tavares Thomas run for 8 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:0035% → 29%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.8%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by O.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
34.6%
Tyler King run for 9 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
35.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
36.0%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
35.6%
Tyler King run for a loss of 3 yards to the Marsh 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-9
30.0%
Alex Thomson sacked by DQ Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 24
0
28.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:4272% → 93%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+18
28.3%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Ty Lee for 18 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+3
25.5%
Tavares Thomas run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+19
25.5%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Brad Anderson for 19 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
23.8%
Brent Stockstill run for 11 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
23.8%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Gatlin Casey, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
6.7%
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 18 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 7 yds · 0:0013% → 14%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
13.3%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Tyre Brady for 7 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
13.9%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
13.9%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+4
13.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
13.7%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Marcel Williams, broken up by Jovante MoffattSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-7
13.5%
Alex Thomson sacked by Darius Harris for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 27 Alex Thomson fumbled, recovered by MTnSt DQ Thomas , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21FG
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:0295% → 98%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
5.2%
Tavares Thomas run for no gain to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+17
5.4%
Tavares Thomas run for 17 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
5.2%
Tavares Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
5.4%
Brent Stockstill pass incomplete to Patrick SmithSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+11
5.7%
Brad Anderson run for 11 yds to the Marsh 1Similar
Q4 6:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
1.9%
Crews Holt 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
13 plays · 67 yds · 3:465% → 10%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
5.1%
Alex Thomson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
5.1%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Obi Obialo for 8 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
5.4%
Anthony Anderson run for no gain to the Marsh 41Similar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 2
OWN 41
+13
5.4%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Marcel Williams for 13 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
5.7%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Artie Henry III for 9 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+5
6.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
6.5%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
6.3%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 6:23
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+5
5.9%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Obi Obialo for 5 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q4 6:23
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+15
5.8%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Obi Obialo for 15 yds to the MTnSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
6.9%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
9.8%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Obi Obialo for 10 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 0:1495% → 95%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
50
+2
4.6%
Tavares Thomas run for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+1
4.6%
Tavares Thomas run for 1 yd to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
4.3%
Tavares Thomas run for no gain to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 7
OPP 47
-5
4.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, delay of game (Brent Stockstill) to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
4.9%
Rakavian Poydras punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24END OF GAME
9 plays · 55 yds · 0:003% → 5%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
2.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
2.9%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Obi Obialo, broken up by Jovante MoffattSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 10
OWN 6
+35
2.8%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Tyre Brady for 20 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, roughing passer (Darius Harris) to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
3.4%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Obi Obialo for 8 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+9
3.8%
Alex Thomson pass complete to Tyre Brady for 9 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
3.8%
Alex Thomson pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-6
3.7%
Alex Thomson sacked by Khalil Brooks for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 48Similar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+15
3.2%
THOMSON, Alex pass intercepted by MOFFATT, J. at the MT16, MOFFATT, J. return to the MT16, PENALTY MT pass interference (RANDOLPH, D.) 15 yards to the MT33, 1ST DOWN MAR, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-6
4.7%
Alex Thomson sacked by DQ Thomas for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:00
Tavares Thomas run for 8 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-20.2
TD · Q4 11:35
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Tavares Thomas for 18 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-17.1
TD · Q3 8:20
Brent Stockstill pass complete to Patrick Smith for 2 yds for a TD (Crews Holt KICK)
-16.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com