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UAB

UAB 28 at Louisiana Tech 7

LT
2018 · Week 6 · Oct 6, 2018 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:31 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 129Home team on offense−14.5Pregame prior+4.3Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−5.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:26: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 40 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +7.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 9:45: A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 31 — UAB win probability +11.2 pts (now 46%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:18: Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +17.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:11: Israel Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 33 — LT win probability +6.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:08: Spencer Brown run for 26 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UAB 35 — UAB win probability +21.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:24UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:19LT 4th & 4 at LT 42, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:51UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:21LT 4th & 20 at LT 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:58UAB 4th & 9 at LT 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 44, down 7
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:26LT 4th & 3 at LT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:33UAB 4th & 2 at LT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−0.9
    68% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:58LT 4th & 17 at LT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−2.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:12UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:44LT 4th & 2 at LT 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−0.8
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:22LT 4th & 14 at UAB 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.8%−2.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−7.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:22UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:11LT 4th & 19 at UAB 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.1%−2.5
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    43.0%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:31UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 26, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%−2.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:18LT 4th & 6 at LT 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:08LT 4th & 9 at LT 46, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:26UAB 4th & 4 at LT 23, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 13:24LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:26UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:18UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:08UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.4%−0.8
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:35UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
68.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
68.0%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
68.0%
A.J. Erdely pass intercepted James Jackson return for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:4468% → 69%
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
68.0%
Kam McKnight run for 12 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+15
68.0%
Kam McKnight run for 15 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
68.5%
Kam McKnight run for 5 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
68.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q1 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
68.3%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 13:24
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
68.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
68.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
68.6%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+9
68.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 9 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
68.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 6 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
68.8%
Justin Henderson run for no gain to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
68.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete, broken up by Quindarius ThagardSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+3
68.5%
Davan Dyer punt for 39 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 3 yds to the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
68.9%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
68.8%
A.J. Erdely run for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 8
OWN 35
0
68.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Spencer BrownSimilar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 8
OWN 35
0
69.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete, broken up by Jaylon FergusonSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 8
OWN 35
0
69.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
69.5%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 16
OWN 23
-4
69.4%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Quindarius Thagard for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 19Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 20
OWN 19
0
69.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Kam McKnightSimilar
Q1 8:21
4TH & 20
OWN 19
0
69.0%
Davan Dyer punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5231% → 30%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
50
0
68.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:50
2ND & 10
50
+1
69.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 9
OPP 49
0
69.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
69.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
70.2%
Justin Henderson run for 9 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+3
70.4%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
70.4%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+7
70.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
70.5%
Kam McKnight run for 6 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
70.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 4 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-7
70.9%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Jamell Garcia-Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 17
OWN 39
0
70.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 17
OWN 39
+21
70.2%
Davan Dyer punt for 44 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 21 yds to the UAB 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5030% → 29%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
70.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
69.9%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
70.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
71.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+17
71.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 17 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
71.9%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 18
OWN 29
+27
71.3%
Kam McKnight run for 27 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
72.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+15
72.5%
J'Mar Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 30 J'Mar Smith fumbled, recovered by UAB Fitzgerald Mofor , return for no gain to the UAB 42 UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Stacy Keely) to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 2:0629% → 37%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
71.4%
A.J. Erdely run for 7 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+12
70.5%
Jarrion Street run for 12 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
70.2%
Jarrion Street run for 11 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
70.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+40
62.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 40 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.3%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.2%
Kam McKnight run for 6 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 10:26
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
66.0%
J'Mar Smith run for 1 yd to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 10:26
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
65.6%
Davan Dyer punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:5136% → 38%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
64.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+10
63.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 10 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
62.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
62.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+23
63.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kailon Carter for 23 yds to the LaTch 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
61.6%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
61.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+8
60.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kailon Carter for 8 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 2
OPP 24
0
61.9%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the LaTch 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:4966% → 64%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
66.2%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd to the LaTch 25Similar
Q2 4:58
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
66.0%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 9
OWN 25
-12
65.2%
SMITH, J'Mar pass complete to HARDY, Adrian for 14 yards to the LATECH39 (TURNER, Dy'jonn), PENALTY LATECH personal foul (RODRIGUEZ, M.) 12 yards to the LATECH13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:58
3RD & 21
OWN 13
+4
65.0%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 4 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 4:58
4TH & 17
OWN 17
0
64.4%
Davan Dyer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2840% → 39%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
60.2%
Jarrion Street run for 1 yd to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+3
60.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Jarrion Street for 3 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 3:40
3RD & 6
OWN 49
-2
60.2%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Jacorion Andrews for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 8
OWN 47
0
61.5%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:2064% → 63%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
64.3%
Kam McKnight run for 4 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+1
64.3%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd to the LaTch 15Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-5
63.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+8
63.2%
J'Mar Smith run for 8 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
62.9%
Davan Dyer punt for 39 yds, downed at the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
58.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Lucious StanleySimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
59.7%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18MISSED FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:3864% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
63.7%
Kam McKnight run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+58
63.3%
J'Mar Smith run for 58 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
67.4%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd to the UAB 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-5
67.4%
Kam McKnight run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 27
0
64.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 14
OPP 27
+44
61.5%
Bailey Hale 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
59.2%
Andre Wilson run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+1
59.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 1 yd to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 12:22
3RD & 7
OWN 30
0
60.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kailon CarterSimilar
Q3 12:22
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
61.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0064% → 65%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
63.5%
Kam McKnight run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+6
64.5%
Kam McKnight run for 6 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+5
64.6%
Kam McKnight run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
50
0
65.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 10
50
+20
65.3%
Justin Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 27 Justin Henderson fumbled, forced by Kristopher Moll, recovered by UAB Dy'jonn Turner , return for 20 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21TD
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:2746% → 63%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-4
54.1%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 14
OPP 31
+23
56.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 23 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
54.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
54.1%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
43.3%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+8
44.6%
Israel Tucker run for 8 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
45.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
44.4%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+28
43.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 28 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
49.1%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 12
OPP 33
+1
48.1%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 11
OPP 32
-8
45.8%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Adrienne Talan for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 19
OPP 40
0
41.6%
Davan Dyer punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 3:1264% → 67%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
36.3%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 7Similar
Q3 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+4
36.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds to the UAB 11 A.J. Erdely fumbled, forced by Dae'Von Washington, recovered by UAB Lee DufourSimilar
Q3 2:43
3RD & 6
OWN 11
+6
37.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 6 yds to the UAB 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
35.7%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-3
34.9%
Jarrion Street run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 16
+10
35.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 10 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 1
OWN 26
0
33.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Teddy Veal at the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
38.5%
Rhashid Bonnette run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 14:18
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
40.0%
Israel Tucker run for 2 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 14:18
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
39.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q4 14:18
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
37.0%
Davan Dyer punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25TD
10 plays · 89 yds · 4:4069% → 96%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
31.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 10 yds to the UAB 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
30.8%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+4
29.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
29.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+23
30.2%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 23 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
26.3%
A.J. Erdely run for 6 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+5
26.2%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
25.5%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 12:48
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
25.4%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+26
3.8%
Spencer Brown run for 26 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
8.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds to the LaTch 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
9.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:08
2ND & 5
50
0
9.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q4 8:08
3RD & 5
50
-4
9.4%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Tre' Crawford for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 8:08
4TH & 9
OWN 46
0
8.8%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27TD
3 plays · 46 yds · 1:4497% → 100%
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
3.0%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
3.1%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+38
0.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 38 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
1.3%
SMITH, J'Mar sacked for loss of 5 yards to the LATECH25 (KANYANGARARA, C), PENALTY UAB holding (MOLL, Kris) 10 yards to the LATECH40, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
1.3%
J'Mar Smith pass intercepted Mar'Sean Diggs return for no gain to the UAB 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 29DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:3999% → 100%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
0.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 18 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
0.5%
Lucious Stanley run for 10 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
0.5%
Lucious Stanley run for no gain to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+4
0.4%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+2
0.4%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 1:26
4TH & 4
OPP 23
0
0.3%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the LaTch 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
0.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 15 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.7%
J'Mar Smith run for no gain to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
0.7%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Cee Jay Powell for 8 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 1:21
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
0.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:08
Spencer Brown run for 26 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK) LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the UAB 35
-21.6
TD · Q3 7:18
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)
-17
KEY PLAY · Q3 9:45
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 31
-11.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com