Try the model
UTEP

UTEP 21 at UTSA 30

UTSA
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Alamodome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:22 · Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Alan Busey, broken up by Clayton Johnson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+1.0Home team on offense+13.8Garbage-time factor+4.7Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8Time remaining+2.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:49: Cordale Grundy pass complete to Carter McCarthy for 9 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +4.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:55: Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 15 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK) — UTSA win probability +5.9 pts (now 84%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:26: Kai Locksley pass complete to David Lucero for 6 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) — UTEP win probability +6.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:08: Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — UTEP win probability +19.4 pts (now 35%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 9:49: Jared Sackett 39 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +8.0 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UTEP made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 22, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:12UTSA 4th & 7 at UTEP 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:07UTEP 4th & 15 at UTEP 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:18UTSA 4th & 7 at UTEP 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 69.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    69.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:55UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.2%−1.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:10UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.4%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:25UTEP 4th & 2 at UTSA 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.0%−0.7
    62% to make
    Punt
    13.9%−3.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:41UTSA 4th & 12 at UTEP 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    87.4%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:26UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:49UTSA 4th & 12 at UTEP 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−4.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.6%
    72% to make
    Punt
    56.9%−15.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:49UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 39, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:27UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 35, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−2.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:22UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.6%−9.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:35UTSA 4th & 1 at UTEP 29, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.7%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−1.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 4:18UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:22UTSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:49UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:55UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:26UTEP Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:08UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
73.7%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+8
73.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 8 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+1
73.7%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 22
0
73.7%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
73.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 2 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+8
73.5%
Greg Campbell Jr. run for 8 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
73.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
73.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q1 13:12
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
73.4%
Yannis Routsas punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:5927% → 27%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
73.0%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Warren Redix for 9 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+4
72.9%
Joshua Fields run for 4 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
72.9%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
72.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by Brenndan JohnsonSimilar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 12
OWN 19
-3
72.9%
Kai Locksley sacked by DeQuarius Henry for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 16 Kai Locksley fumbled, recovered by UTEP Kai Locksley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 9:07
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
73.0%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 41 yds , Greg Campbell Jr. returns for no gain to the TexSA 43 Greg Campbell Jr. fumbled, recovered by UTEP Sione TupouSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4TD
9 plays · 43 yds · 3:5828% → 33%
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
71.8%
Kai Locksley run for 7 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 8:16
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
71.8%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+9
71.9%
Kai Locksley run for 9 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+14
71.7%
Treyvon Hughes run for 14 yds to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-5
71.7%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 18Similar
Q1 8:16
1ST & 15
OPP 18
+7
71.7%
Kai Locksley run for 7 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+8
70.6%
Kai Locksley run for 8 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.8%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
68.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 19 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
69.5%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Kirk Johnson Jr.Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
69.2%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 8 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
69.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
69.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
69.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
69.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:18
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
69.2%
Yannis Routsas punt for 31 yds , Terry Juniel returns for no gain to the UTEP 7 Terry Juniel fumbled, recovered by TexSA Andrew MartelSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
73.3%
Cordale Grundy run for 7 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2229% → 28%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
71.3%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 6Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+4
71.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Terry Juniel for 4 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 10
-6
71.1%
Kai Locksley sacked by Brenndan Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 4Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 4
+1
71.8%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 45 yds , Greg Campbell Jr. returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:2373% → 78%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
72.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Carter McCarthy for 15 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
73.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+4
73.2%
Cordale Grundy run for 4 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
72.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Blaze Moorhead for 6 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
73.2%
Greg Campbell Jr. run for 13 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.2%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Kirk Johnson Jr., broken up by Chris RichardsonSimilar
Q2 10:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
77.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Carter McCarthy for 9 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
76.7%
Kai Locksley pass intercepted Clayton Johnson return for no gain to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10TD
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:4378% → 84%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
77.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 5 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
83.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 15 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
81.7%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+8
81.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Warren Redix for 8 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
81.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 9:55
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+1
81.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 9:55
3RD & 12
OWN 41
0
82.0%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q2 9:55
4TH & 12
OWN 41
-2
82.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 39 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
83.4%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q2 7:10
2ND & 18
OWN 10
+5
83.2%
Cordale Grundy run for 5 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 13
OWN 15
0
82.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q2 7:10
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+1
82.5%
Yannis Routsas punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 31 , Terry Juniel returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
83.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 13 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
82.8%
Treyvon Hughes run for 7 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+2
81.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Winston Dimel for 2 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+12
82.0%
Kai Locksley run for 12 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
81.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
81.3%
Joshua Fields run for 2 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+2
81.9%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 2
OPP 27
0
82.1%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14FG
9 plays · 39 yds · 1:0186% → 89%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
86.1%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 6 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+7
86.3%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 7 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
86.6%
Cordale Grundy run for 12 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
86.7%
Cordale Grundy sacked by A.J. Hotchkins for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 47Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+15
86.6%
GRUNDY, Cordale deep out pass incomplete to JOHNSON JR., K., PENALTY UTEP personal foul 15 yards to the UTEP38, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
86.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 4 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
87.2%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Gavin Sharp, broken up by CJ ReeseSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+51
89.3%
Jared Sackett 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 5:1988% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
87.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Halen Steward for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
87.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 16 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
88.3%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 11 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
88.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 3 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-4
88.2%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+19
87.6%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 19 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+1
88.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 26
-3
88.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
87.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Kirk Johnson Jr., broken up by Justin RogersSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+46
91.2%
Jared Sackett 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:1510% → 18%
Q3 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
89.7%
Kai Locksley run for 1 yd to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
89.8%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+25
90.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Quardraiz Wadley for 25 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+35
89.5%
Kai Locksley run for 35 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
88.7%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
88.7%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Bobby DeHaro) to the TexSA 8Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
88.7%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to David Lucero for 6 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+8
84.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Sheldon Jones for 8 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+4
85.2%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
84.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
84.9%
Cordale Grundy run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 5:26
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
84.7%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:26
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
84.1%
Yannis Routsas punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Richie Rodriguez at the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18TD
11 plays · 69 yds · 5:0715% → 35%
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
84.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Winston Dimel, broken up by Teddrick McGheeSimilar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+3
85.4%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+31
85.4%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Terry Juniel for 31 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
82.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 11
OPP 36
0
83.4%
Treyvon Hughes run for no gain to the TexSA 36Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+4
83.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 4 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+15
86.7%
LOCKSLEY, Kai deep pass incomplete to BUSEY, Alan, PENALTY UTSA personal foul (MARUO, Les) 15 yards to the UTSA17, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
84.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+8
84.2%
Kai Locksley run for 8 yds to the TexSA 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
84.2%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
64.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:1976% → 85%
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
75.2%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+26
74.1%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 26 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+12
78.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 12 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
78.9%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
78.9%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-6
77.4%
Cordale Grundy sacked by Mike Sota for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 12
OPP 22
+39
85.4%
Jared Sackett 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0019% → 17%
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-4
81.2%
Joshua Fields run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 14
OWN 26
+3
82.3%
Joshua Fields run for 3 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+12
82.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 12 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
79.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
81.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for no gain to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 9:49
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
82.1%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the UTEP 39 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:49
4TH & 12
OWN 39
+6
83.1%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 41 yds , Sheldon Jones returns for 6 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0089% → 87%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tariq WoolenSimilar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
88.1%
GRUNDY, Cordale sideline pass incomplete to CAMPBELL JR., G, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (NEEDHAM, Nik) 9 yards to the UTSA35, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
88.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+1
88.4%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for 1 yd to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
87.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+3
87.2%
Yannis Routsas punt for 55 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:1415% → 14%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+16
85.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Alan Busey for 16 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
84.0%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+4
83.6%
Kai Locksley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
83.0%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q4 2:22
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
86.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Alan Busey, broken up by Clayton JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23FG
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4395% → 96%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
95.0%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-15
95.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Treyvion Shannon) to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 23
OWN 49
+14
94.7%
Cordale Grundy run for 14 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 2:12
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+8
95.0%
Cordale Grundy run for 8 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 0:35
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+47
96.2%
Jared Sackett 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+26
96.6%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Tre'Shon Wolf for 26 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
95.7%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
95.7%
Ryan Metz sacked by Kevin Strong Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:08
Quardraiz Wadley run for 3 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK) UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
-19.4
FG · Q4 9:49
Jared Sackett 39 yd FG GOOD
+8
TD · Q3 5:26
Kai Locksley pass complete to David Lucero for 6 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com