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MRSH

Marshall 20 at Western Kentucky 17

WKU
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:48 · Alex Rinella punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior−10.3Home team on offense−0.8Garbage-time factor−0.4Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:38: Steven Duncan run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +8.8 pts (now 53%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 8:39: Justin Rohrwasser 21 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +12.3 pts (now 69%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:50: Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 11 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK) — WKU win probability +50.2 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:44: Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 32 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +54.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:24: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 8 — MRSH win probability +19.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 11MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 17 at WKU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:49MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:31WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:48WKU 4th & 4 at MRSH 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:37MRSH 4th & 12 at MRSH 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:01WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:53MRSH 4th & 11 at MRSH 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.0%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  8. Q1 0:05WKU 4th & 3 at MRSH 6, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.7%−0.5
    91% to make
    Punt
    36.2%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:43WKU 4th & 1 at MRSH 49, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    43.5%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:28WKU 4th & 8 at MRSH 30, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    44.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    43.3%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 9:21MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:32MRSH 4th & 2 at WKU 45, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    45.9%−2.7
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:40WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−0.2
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:36MRSH 4th & 17 at WKU 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−3.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    79% to make
    Punt
    40.0%−6.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:25MRSH 4th & 4 at WKU 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.1%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−8.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 10:25WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−3.1
    average punt
  17. Q3 8:40MRSH 4th & 10 at MRSH 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:16WKU 4th & 2 at MRSH 46, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.4 ptsPunted · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    50.6%−5.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−2.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 15:00MRSH 4th & 4 at MRSH 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.8%−0.2
    average punt
  20. Q4 11:15MRSH 4th & 2 at WKU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    47.6%−4.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−17.5
    average punt
  21. Q4 8:39MRSH 4th & 4 at WKU 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.9%−2.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−24.8
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:23WKU 4th & 11 at MRSH 44, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:48MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:38WKU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 6:50WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.4%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:44MRSH Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−2.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
38.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+12
38.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 12 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
38.8%
Joshua Samuel run for 3 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.8%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
38.8%
Steven Duncan sacked by Frankie Hernandez for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 31
-3
38.8%
Steven Duncan sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
38.8%
Alex Rinella punt for 31 yds, downed at the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
39.4%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
39.3%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 12:49
3RD & 3
OWN 48
0
39.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Keion Davis, broken up by Masai WhyteSimilar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 3
OWN 48
0
39.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Drell Greene at the WKent 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0040% → 40%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
40.0%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
40.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q1 11:31
3RD & 8
OWN 20
-8
39.8%
Steven Duncan sacked by Ty Tyler for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 12Similar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 16
OWN 12
0
39.7%
Alex Rinella punt for 28 yds, downed at the WKent 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
1 play · 40 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
38.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 40 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
12 plays · 26 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.8%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
38.7%
DUNCAN, Steven pass incomplete to JERNIGHAN, Quin, PENALTY MAR pass interference (MERRELL, Kereon) 10 yards to the WKU35, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
38.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 15
OWN 30
-5
38.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+11
38.7%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 11 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-2
38.9%
Steven Duncan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+11
38.5%
Steven Duncan run for 11 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
39.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 4 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
39.3%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 2 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
39.2%
Steven Duncan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
38.9%
Alex Rinella punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-2
38.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 10Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 12
OWN 10
0
38.4%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:37
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
38.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 12
OWN 10
0
38.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 55 yds, downed at the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3839% → 38%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
38.5%
Mik'Quan Deane run for 1 yd to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+1
38.6%
Steven Duncan run for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+6
38.3%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 6 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
38.1%
Alex Rinella punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
37.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
37.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q1 3:53
3RD & 10
OWN 11
-1
38.2%
Isaiah Green sacked by Masai Whyte for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 10Similar
Q1 3:53
4TH & 11
OWN 10
+15
38.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 35 yds , Drell Greene returns for 15 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 2:4140% → 42%
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
39.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Garland LaFrance for 3 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+14
39.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 14 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
39.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+7
39.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 7 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+2
39.2%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 2 yds to the Marsh 6Similar
Q1 0:05
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+23
41.5%
Ryan Nuss 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10FUMBLE
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0060% → 62%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
40.3%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+13
40.6%
Isaiah Green run for 13 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
39.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+27
39.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 27 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
38.5%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 29
-11
38.3%
Willie Johnson run for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 42 Willie Johnson fumbled, recovered by WKent Jeremy DarvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
42.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 4 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q2 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-4
42.7%
Steven Duncan run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 12:43
3RD & 10
OWN 42
+9
40.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 9 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 12:43
4TH & 1
OPP 49
-1
41.7%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
50
0
38.6%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Ta'Corian Darden return for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13DOWNS
8 plays · 25 yds · 1:2843% → 42%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.0%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
42.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 12 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
43.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 11 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
44.2%
Steven Duncan run for 2 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
44.2%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Kyle FourtenbarySimilar
Q2 10:56
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
43.2%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Kereon MerrellSimilar
Q2 9:28
4TH & 8
OPP 30
0
42.1%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
40.4%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-1
39.8%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
40.5%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
41.4%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 yds , Drell Greene returns for no gain to the WKent 25 Drell Greene fumbled, recovered by WKent Drell GreeneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:1740% → 53%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
40.4%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Garland LaFrance for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
40.1%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+43
39.2%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 43 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
43.2%
JACKSON, Lucky pass incomplete to FOURTENBARY, K., PENALTY MAR pass interference (GANT, Malik) 15 yards to the MAR21, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
44.1%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 14 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
44.1%
Mik'Quan Deane run for 4 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
44.1%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for no gain to the Marsh 3Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.8%
Steven Duncan run for 3 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
47.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, substitution infraction (Marcel Williams) to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+13
49.6%
Keion Davis run for 13 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+1
47.1%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-1
47.3%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 2
OPP 45
0
49.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 29 yds, downed at the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0051% → 49%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
50.9%
Joshua Samuel run for 6 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 4
OWN 22
0
51.1%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Kereon MerrellSimilar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
49.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Quin Jernighan, broken up by Kereon MerrellSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+1
48.9%
Alex Rinella punt for 35 yds , Marcel Williams returns for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:0951% → 54%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+18
48.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 18 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+27
47.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 27 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
45.9%
KING, Tyler rush for 3 yards to the WKU8 (GREENE, Drell), PENALTY MAR holding (DAVIS, Keion) 10 yards to the WKU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+3
46.6%
Isaiah Green run for 3 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 17
OPP 18
0
49.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 17
OPP 18
0
51.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 0:36
4TH & 17
OPP 18
+35
45.6%
Justin Rohrwasser 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
48.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20MISSED FG
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2755% → 55%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
45.1%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+25
43.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 25 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
42.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 9 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+2
40.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 2 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
41.2%
Keion Davis run for 7 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+3
40.9%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the WKent 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
40.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
41.3%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+4
42.5%
Isaiah Green run for 4 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
45.1%
Justin Rohrwasser 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Julien Lewis TEAM return for 2 yds to the WKent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
49.7%
Joshua Samuel run for 2 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
49.6%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Quin Jernighan for 4 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+3
48.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Kyle Fourtenbary for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
48.3%
Alex Rinella punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0053% → 51%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
46.8%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+14
47.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 14 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
44.3%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
45.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyler KingSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
46.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
48.7%
Robert LeFevre punt for 51 yds, downed at the WKent 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23PUNT
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:5651% → 53%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
50.5%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 5
OWN 11
+12
50.5%
Steven Duncan run for 12 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
51.0%
Joshua Samuel run for 7 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+4
52.8%
Steven Duncan run for 4 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
51.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Lucky Jackson for 12 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
54.4%
Joshua Samuel run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 6
50
+4
55.1%
Jahcour Pearson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
55.1%
Steven Duncan run for no gain to the Marsh 46Similar
Q3 3:16
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
52.6%
Alex Rinella punt for 43 yds, downed at the Marsh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 2:2452% → 49%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
48.1%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 3Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+7
48.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 7 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+11
49.5%
Keion Davis run for 11 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
47.3%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
48.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 4 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
47.9%
Isaiah Green run for no gain to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
50.8%
Robert LeFevre punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Drell Greene at the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0053% → 57%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
52.9%
DUNCAN, Steven pass incomplete to SLOAN, Jacquez, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 15 yards to the WKU45, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
56.8%
Joshua Samuel run for 8 yds to the Marsh 45 Joshua Samuel fumbled, forced by Donyae Moody, recovered by Marsh Frankie HernandezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:4356% → 69%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
43.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+18
45.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 18 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
42.6%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
41.1%
Isaiah Green run for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+6
43.2%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+2
46.7%
Anthony Anderson run for 2 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
41.0%
Tyler King run for 20 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
41.0%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
41.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 1 yd to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
43.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 8:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
30.9%
Justin Rohrwasser 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0037% → 41%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
36.9%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 15 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
40.5%
Joshua Samuel run for 5 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+24
41.4%
Steven Duncan pass intercepted Nazeeh Johnson return for 24 yds to the WKent 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28INT
2 plays · -15 yds · 0:0073% → 70%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
27.5%
GREEN, Isaiah pass complete to BRADY, Tyre for 24 yards to the WKU20, out-of-bounds, PENALTY MAR pass interference (BRADY, Tyre) 15 yards to the MAR41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 25
OWN 41
+47
30.5%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted DeAndre Farris return for 47 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29TD
1 play · 11 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
80.7%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 11 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
68.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
69.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 8 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+7
65.4%
Keion Davis run for 7 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
65.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+42
66.6%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Masai Whyte return for 27 yds to the WESTERNKY 28 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Dionte Ruffin) to the Marsh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0083% → 79%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
83.1%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky JacksonSimilar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-1
82.9%
Joshua Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 5:23
3RD & 11
OPP 44
0
80.9%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Lucky Jackson, broken up by Nazeeh JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
79.3%
Alex Rinella punt for 42 yds, downed at the Marsh 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 32TD
7 plays · 98 yds · 2:3924% → 90%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+5
75.8%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 7
0
76.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani Levias, broken up by D'Andre FerbySimilar
Q4 4:23
3RD & 5
OWN 7
+20
77.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 20 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+35
73.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 35 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
68.8%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
65.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 3 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+32
10.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 32 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 33FUMBLE
11 plays · 65 yds · 1:0629% → 26%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
28.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Parker Howell) to the WKent 20Similar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
28.3%
Steven Duncan run for 2 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-4
27.8%
Steven Duncan run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 20 Steven Duncan fumbled, forced by Juwon Young, recovered by WKent Steven DuncanSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+60
22.5%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Jacquez Sloan for 60 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
37.8%
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 10 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
37.8%
Gino Appleberry Jr. run for no gain to the Marsh 10Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
33.8%
Steven Duncan pass incomplete to Jacquez SloanSimilar
Q4 0:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
25.8%
Steven Duncan sacked by Ryan Bee for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 10 Steven Duncan fumbled, recovered by Marsh Juwon Young , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 34END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-2
6.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:44
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 32 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
-54.8
TD · Q4 6:50
Steven Duncan pass complete to Mik'Quan Deane for 11 yds for a TD (Ryan Nuss KICK)
+50.2
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:24
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 8
-19.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com