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CLT

Charlotte 7 at UAB 28

UAB
2018 · Week 5 · Sep 29, 2018 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadCLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreCLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:47 · Kyle Corbett punt for 30 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 66Pregame prior+19.9Home team on offense+16.9Score differential+11.6Garbage-time factor+3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:41: Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +2.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:28: A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +6.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:35: A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre Wilson — UAB win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:51: Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +5.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:50: Timeout UAB, clock 05:50 — UAB win probability +2.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 5CLT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 3:41CLT 4th & 30 at CLT 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.0%
    average punt
  2. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 2 at CLT 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    86.1%−1.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:27CLT 4th & 18 at CLT 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:47CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 35, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:20UAB 4th & 15 at UAB 30, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−1.0
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:30UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 35, up 21
    Close callPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:24CLT 4th & 4 at UAB 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−1.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    4.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:35UAB 4th & 4 at midfield, up 21
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00CLT 4th & 18 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:15UAB 4th & 14 at UAB 12, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CLT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 11:15UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:41UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:28UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:51CLT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.4%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:30UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:4585% → 85%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
84.6%
Jarrion Street run for 21 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
84.6%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-15
84.6%
ERDELY, A.J. pass complete to STREET, Jarrion for 5 yards to the CHA40 (LYON, Nafees), PENALTY UAB clipping (DAVIS, James) 15 yards to the UAB40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+11
84.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Austin Watkins for 11 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+11
84.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kendall Parham for 11 yds to the Charl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
84.6%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
84.6%
Andre Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+35
84.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 35 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2INT
7 plays · 33 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
84.2%
Benny LeMay run for 12 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
84.1%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 7
50
+18
84.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 18 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
83.9%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
83.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
84.1%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted Brontae Harris return for no gain to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 4:4884% → 87%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
84.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 9 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+3
84.3%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
84.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+11
84.4%
A.J. Erdely run for 11 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
84.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 1 yd to the Charl 45Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+6
84.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Spencer Brown for 6 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+37
84.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for 37 yds to the Charl 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.9%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 0:0014% → 13%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
86.4%
Team run for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 20 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Tre' Crawford) to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.4%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+23
86.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass complete to ARNOLD, Rico for 8 yards to the CHA43 (JOHNSTON, T.), PENALTY UAB personal foul 23 yards to the UAB42, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
86.0%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+6
86.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for 6 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-15
85.9%
KLUGH, Hassan rush for 3 yards to the UAB32 (WOOLBRIGHT, C.), PENALTY CHA personal foul (FISHER, Jaelin) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 18
50
-12
86.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Tre' Crawford for a loss of 12 yards to the Charl 38Similar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 30
OWN 38
0
86.6%
Kyle Corbett punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 41 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+32
87.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 32 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
87.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kailon CarterSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
87.8%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+8
87.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 8 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 40
+1
87.4%
Tyler Johnston III run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
86.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+9
86.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 9 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
86.4%
Cameron Bent run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 45 Cameron Bent fumbled, recovered by Charl Cameron BentSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 14
OWN 45
-5
86.9%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 19
OWN 40
0
86.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:27
3RD & 19
OWN 40
+1
87.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 1 yd to the Charl 41Similar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 18
OWN 41
+8
87.1%
Kyle Corbett punt for 42 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 8 yds to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:4588% → 95%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.1%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
88.1%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 10:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+18
87.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 18 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
88.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds to the Charl 45Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+16
88.8%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 16 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
88.8%
Spencer Brown run for 13 yds to the Charl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
88.8%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+1
88.8%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Charl 12Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+8
87.9%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Austin Watkins for 8 yds to the Charl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
88.2%
Jarrion Street run for no gain to the Charl 4Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:417% → 6%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
93.5%
Benny LeMay run for 20 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
93.1%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass complete to QUATTLEBAUM, M. for 8 yards to the UAB47, out-of-bounds (THOMAS, B.), PENALTY CHA holding 10 yards to the CHA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 20
OWN 35
0
93.6%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 35Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+5
93.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 5 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 15
OWN 40
-5
93.7%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Jamell Garcia-Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Charl 35Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
94.3%
Kyle Corbett punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:1396% → 96%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-12
95.7%
STANLEY, L. rush for 3 yards to the UAB38 (LYON, Nafees), PENALTY UAB personal foul (JOHNSON, M.) 12 yards to the UAB23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 22
OWN 23
+7
95.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 7 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+5
95.7%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
96.1%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
96.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Benny LeMaySimilar
Q2 0:13
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
96.8%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Charl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to R.J. Tyler for 3 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
94.6%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
94.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
94.8%
Kyle Corbett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
96.0%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
96.1%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 13:30
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+2
95.9%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 13:30
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+5
95.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 50 yds , Mark Quattlebaum returns for 5 yds to the Charl 40 CHARLOTTE Penalty, illegal block (11 Yards) to the Charl 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13DOWNS
13 plays · 47 yds · 0:004% → 5%
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
95.9%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 10Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+12
95.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Chris Phillips for 12 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
95.7%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+8
95.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds to the Charl 26Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+6
95.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 6 yds to the Charl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-4
95.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Chris Woolbright for a loss of 4 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 14
OWN 28
+2
95.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+5
95.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 5 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+15
95.8%
CORBETT, Kyle punt 41 yards to the UAB24, downed, PENALTY UAB roughing the kicker (TALAN, Adrienne) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
50
+1
95.4%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 11:24
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+4
95.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 11:24
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+1
95.4%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 11:24
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
95.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+6
97.8%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 4
50
0
97.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Kendall Parham for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:35
4TH & 4
50
0
97.6%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 37 yds · 2:082% → 2%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
97.8%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+8
97.8%
Chris Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Charl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.8%
Benny LeMay run for no gain to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+12
97.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 12 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
98.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 12 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.4%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-5
98.4%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass complete to QUATTLEBAUM, M. for 7 yards to the UAB44 (WILLIAMS, D.A.), PENALTY CHA illegal formation 5 yards to the CHA44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 44
+3
98.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 3 yds to the Charl 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+11
98.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 11 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
98.4%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 42
-8
98.4%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Craig Kanyangarara for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
50
0
98.5%
Kyle Corbett punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
98.9%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
98.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 21
-9
98.9%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Jeff Gemmell for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 14
OWN 12
0
98.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
4 plays · 55 yds · 2:061% → 7%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+48
99.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 48 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.8%
Aaron McAllister run for no gain to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 3 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q4 5:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
93.5%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
13 plays · 53 yds · 2:2097% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+22
97.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 22 yds to the Charl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
97.0%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the Charl 25Similar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-1
97.0%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+5
97.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
97.7%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the Charl 17Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
98.4%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the Charl 17Similar
Q4 3:42
3RD & 6
OPP 17
+15
98.4%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to LISA, Collin (LYON, Nafees), PENALTY CHA pass interference (LYON, Nafees) 15 yards to the CHA2, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.8%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 72 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 22 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 8 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
99.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Rico ArnoldSimilar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+11
99.7%
Benny LeMay run for 11 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-8
99.7%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Jamell Garcia-Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 18
OPP 42
+16
99.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Rico Arnold for 16 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+18
99.7%
Benny LeMay run for 18 yds to the UAB 3 Benny LeMay fumbled, forced by Will Dawkins, recovered by UAB Will DawkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
99.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 11
OWN 2
-1
99.9%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:28
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q4 5:51
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
-5.4
TD · Q1 3:41
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+2.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com