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TXST

Texas State 21 at UTSA 25

UTSA
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadTXST aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreTXST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:59 · Yannis Routsas punt for 53 yds, downed at the TexSt 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+22.0+11.00−11.0−22.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Pregame prior+0.8Home team on offense+12.7Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.4Score differential+1.1Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 2:03: Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 21 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK) — TXST win probability +13.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 13:31: Jared Sackett 40 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +8.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:14: Jared Sackett 44 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +5.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:08: Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 13 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK) — TXST win probability +27.8 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. SAFETY · Q4 1:49: Tyler Vitt run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY — UTSA win probability +8.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 12TXST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 14:07TXST 4th & 6 at TXST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:56TXST 4th & 9 at TXST 12, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.8%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:46UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.7%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:44TXST 4th & 7 at UTSA 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:44UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.8%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:06TXST 4th & 21 at TXST 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.8%−2.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:41UTSA 4th & 1 at TXST 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%−1.4
    60% to make
    Punt
    70.1%−4.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:40UTSA 4th & 10 at TXST 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−1.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    69.8%−4.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.3%−1.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:31TXST 4th & 18 at TXST 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−2.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:17UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UTSA 4th & 1 at TXST 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    64.2%−5.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    64.0%−5.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:31UTSA 4th & 11 at TXST 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.8%
    70% to make
    Punt
    58.9%−11.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:14UTSA 4th & 9 at TXST 27, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−7.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:14TXST 4th & 11 at TXST 24, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:40UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 45, up 9
    Close callPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−0.3
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:59UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 45, up 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%−5.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:56UTSA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:21TXST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:03TXST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 5:08TXST Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.0%−0.8
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1FUMBLE TD
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5333% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
67.0%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the TexSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 35
+1
67.0%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 1 yd to the TexSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
67.0%
Willie Jones III pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+27
67.1%
Willie Jones III sacked by Josiah Tauaefa for a loss of 11 yards Willie Jones III fumbled, recovered by TexSA Lorenzo Dantzler , return for 0 yards , return for 27 yds (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
67.2%
Willie Jones III run for no gain to the TexSt 18Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
67.2%
Jaylen Gipson pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 4 yds to the TexSt 22Similar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 6
OWN 22
0
67.2%
Jaylen Gipson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:07
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
67.2%
Clayton Stewart punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 4:4468% → 72%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
67.7%
Jalen Rhodes run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 2
50
+1
67.7%
Jalen Rhodes run for 1 yd to the TexSt 49Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+12
67.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 12 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
67.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the TexSt 32Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+10
67.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 10 yds to the TexSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
67.8%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexSt 18Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 18
0
67.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+9
67.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 9 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
67.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSt 7Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
72.0%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg for 7 yds for a TD (Jared Sackett KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
70.9%
Jaylen Gipson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+1
71.0%
Jaylen Gipson run for 1 yd to the TexSt 12Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 9
OWN 12
0
71.1%
Jaylen Gipson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:56
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
71.1%
Clayton Stewart punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
72.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for 10 yds to the TexSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
72.8%
UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 38Similar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+1
72.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 1 yd Kirk Johnson Jr. fumbled, forced by Frankie Griffin, recovered by TexSt Anthony J. TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 2:3428% → 32%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+23
71.7%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 23 yds to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
71.3%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 3 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+26
71.3%
Hutch White pass complete to Tyler Vitt for 26 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
70.8%
Tyler Vitt run for 7 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+4
70.8%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 4 yds to the TexSA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
67.7%
Tyler Vitt run for 1 yd for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:2170% → 70%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+10
69.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 10 yds to the TexSA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
69.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
69.6%
Sheldon Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+10
69.3%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 10 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
70.0%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 6 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 0:48
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
70.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
70.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
69.6%
Yannis Routsas punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 8INT
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:0031% → 32%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+27
69.0%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 27 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
67.9%
Tyler Vitt pass intercepted Les Maruo return for no gain to the TexSA 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
70.4%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-6
70.4%
Cordale Grundy sacked by Hal Vinson for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+13
69.1%
Cordale Grundy run for 13 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
69.8%
Yannis Routsas punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 63 yds · 4:4830% → 28%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
69.9%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 13 yds to the TexSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
69.3%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 11 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+21
68.6%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 21 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
67.2%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
66.9%
Robert Brown Jr. run for 2 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+9
67.9%
Tyler Vitt run for 9 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-8
66.9%
Tyler Vitt sacked by DeQuarius Henry for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 18
OPP 28
0
70.2%
Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to T.J. BedfordSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+11
71.6%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to T.J. Bedford for 11 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
71.7%
Clayton Stewart 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0073% → 71%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
72.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 19Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
72.3%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 4 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
71.7%
Cordale Grundy pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
71.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 51 yds, downed at the TexSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
72.6%
Tyler Vitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-10
73.0%
Taylor,AnthonyD rush up middle for 10 yards to the TXST36 (GODFREY, Darryl), PENALTY TXST holding (Thompson,Hunter) 10 yards to the TXST16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 20
OWN 16
+4
73.2%
Tyler Vitt run for 4 yds to the TexSt 20Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 16
OWN 20
0
73.9%
Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Anthony D. Taylor, broken up by C.J. LevineSimilar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 16
OWN 20
-5
74.4%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 15Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 21
OWN 15
0
74.4%
Clayton Stewart punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Greg Campbell Jr. at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:0175% → 77%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
50
0
75.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Sheldon Jones, broken up by JaShon WaddySimilar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
50
+1
74.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 1 yd to the TexSt 49Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+12
73.6%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 12 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
75.1%
Jalen Rhodes run for 2 yds to the TexSt 35Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+7
75.3%
Jalen Rhodes run for 7 yds to the TexSt 28Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 1
OPP 28
0
74.6%
Cordale Grundy run for no gain to the TexSt 28Similar
Q2 3:41
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+5
73.7%
Cordale Grundy run for 5 yds to the TexSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
75.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q2 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
75.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
74.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Gavin SharpSimilar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 10
OPP 23
+40
77.0%
Jared Sackett 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 14INT
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:0023% → 25%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
77.0%
Tyler Vitt run for 8 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST down UT SAN ANTONIO Penalty, personal foul (C.J. Levine) to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
75.1%
Tyler Vitt pass intercepted Clayton Johnson return for 11 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3779% → 78%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
78.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 4 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
78.8%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 2 yds to the TexSt 41Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
78.1%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg, broken up by Josh NewmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
77.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-Kellogg, broken up by Ishmael DavisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
77.2%
Cordale Grundy run for 5 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
76.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Kirk Johnson Jr. for 5 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
77.5%
Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
77.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
76.4%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 30
+32
75.7%
Yannis Routsas punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 47 , Hutch White returns for 32 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:0024% → 21%
Q3 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
76.2%
Tyler Vitt sacked by Josiah Tauaefa for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSt 48Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+5
77.7%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 5 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-8
77.4%
Tyler Vitt sacked by Baylen Baker and Josiah Tauaefa for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSt 45Similar
Q3 12:31
4TH & 18
OWN 45
0
79.4%
Clayton Stewart punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
79.6%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 10 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
79.8%
Jalen Rhodes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+6
79.3%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 6 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+4
79.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Tariq Woolen for 4 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 10:17
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
79.0%
Yannis Routsas punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Hutch White at the TexSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 19TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 5:5320% → 34%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
79.9%
Tyler Vitt run for 6 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+13
79.5%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 13 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-4
79.2%
Javen Banks run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 33Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+6
82.9%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 6 yds to the TexSt 39Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+19
82.3%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to T.J. Bedford for 19 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
80.5%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 13 yds to the TexSA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
79.3%
Anthony D. Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 11
OPP 30
+15
79.6%
Vitt,Tyler deep out pass incomplete to Haydel,Jeremiah, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (GRADY, Cassius) 15 yards to the UTSA15, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
79.3%
Javen Banks run for no gain to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
79.3%
Vitt,Tyler rush over left tackle for 4 yards to the UTSA11 (LEVINE, C.J.), PENALTY TXST illegal motion (Banks,Javen) 5 yards to the UTSA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 15
OPP 20
-1
80.2%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 21Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 16
OPP 21
+21
66.5%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 21 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20FG
12 plays · 47 yds · 3:3269% → 80%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
69.3%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
68.6%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+22
67.5%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 22 yds to the TexSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
72.4%
Cordale Grundy run for 4 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
72.6%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 4 yds to the TexSt 39Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
72.1%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSt 38Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+16
70.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 16 yds to the TexSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
74.2%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Jalen RhodesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-1
74.1%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Jalen Rhodes for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 23Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 23
0
72.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Greg Campbell Jr.Similar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+40
80.3%
Jared Sackett 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:1783% → 88%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
83.0%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Gavin Sharp for 10 yds to the TexSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
83.4%
Cordale Grundy run for 6 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
83.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for no gain to the TexSt 38Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+10
82.7%
Cordale Grundy pass complete to Greg Campbell Jr. for 10 yds to the TexSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
84.0%
B.J. Daniels run for 1 yd to the TexSt 27Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
84.0%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Halen StewardSimilar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
82.6%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Tykee Ogle-KelloggSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+44
87.7%
Jared Sackett 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
88.4%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 1 yd to the TexSt 26Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
88.4%
Tyler Vitt sacked by Eric Banks for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 24Similar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
89.1%
Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Jeremiah HaydelSimilar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+13
89.5%
Clayton Stewart punt for 51 yds , Greg Campbell Jr. returns for 13 yds to the TexSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
89.4%
B.J. Daniels run for 4 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
89.5%
B.J. Daniels run for 3 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
88.8%
Cordale Grundy pass incomplete to Blaze MoorheadSimilar
Q4 8:40
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
88.3%
Yannis Routsas punt blocked by Anthony D. Taylor blocked by Anthony D. TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 24TD
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:1214% → 38%
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
86.5%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to T.J. Bedford for 9 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+1
86.5%
Tyler Vitt run for 1 yd to the TexSA 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
86.5%
Anthony D. Taylor run for 1 yd to the TexSA 3Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-10
89.2%
Vitt,Tyler rush left for 3 yards to the UTSA0, clock 05:20, PENALTY TXST holding (Tachie,David) 10 yards to the UTSA13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
0
89.5%
Tyler Vitt pass incomplete to Hutch WhiteSimilar
Q4 5:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
61.7%
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 13 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:0974% → 79%
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
73.6%
Jalen Rhodes run for 8 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
75.6%
Cordale Grundy run for 4 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
74.9%
Jalen Rhodes run for 4 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
76.4%
Jalen Rhodes run for 5 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
80.0%
B.J. Daniels run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 2:59
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
78.8%
Yannis Routsas punt for 53 yds, downed at the TexSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 26SF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-2
87.0%
Tyler Vitt run for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
92.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 11
OWN 48
-1
92.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 47Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-1
90.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:08
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Hutch White for 13 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)
-27.8
TD · Q3 2:03
Tyler Vitt pass complete to Keenen Brown for 21 yds for a TD (Clayton Stewart KICK)
-13.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com