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RICE

Rice 22 at Southern Miss 40

USM
2018 · Week 4 · Sep 22, 2018 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Jack Fox punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 26 , Jaylond Adams returns for 9 yds to the SoMis 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 89Pregame prior+17.2Home team on offense+7.0Score differential+2.8Garbage-time factor−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:06: Jack Abraham pass complete to Tez Parks for 14 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +2.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:24: Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +6.1 pts (now 26%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:15: Steven Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +8.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:58: Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 6 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +7.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:58: Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +2.8 pts (now 4%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00USM 4th & 2 at RICE 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    81.8%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:15RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:32USM 4th & 9 at RICE 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:31USM 4th & 9 at USM 26, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:12RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 37, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:09RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 36, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−0.7
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:58RICE 4th & 18 at RICE 17, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:10USM 4th & 1 at RICE 27, up 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%−1.2
    62% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−4.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 14 at USM 42, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 7:52USM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:31RICE Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    20.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:06USM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:24RICE Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:15USM Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:58USM Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:00USM Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:58RICE Touchdown, down 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1Uncategorized
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
82.2%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+25
82.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 25 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
82.2%
Tez Parks run for 13 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
82.2%
Tez Parks run for no gain to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-8
82.2%
ABRAHAM, Jack rush scramble for 14 yards to the RICE33 (NEWSOME, D.), PENALTY USM holding (ALCIUS, W.) 8 yards to the USM45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 45
+5
82.2%
Tez Parks run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
50
+11
82.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 11 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
82.2%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez WatkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
81.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
81.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
81.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:15
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
81.5%
Jack Fox punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3FG
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:3081% → 81%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+74
81.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 74 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
81.5%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-7
81.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 9 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
81.4%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to De'Michael Harris, broken up by Jorian ClarkSimilar
Q1 9:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+28
80.9%
Parker Shaunfield 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 9:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
81.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 9:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
81.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass intercepted Ty Williams return for 11 yds to the Rice 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5TD
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
82.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 28 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:2118% → 20%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+12
81.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Jordan Myers for 12 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
80.0%
Austin Walter run for 62 yds for a TD (J. Myers Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
80.2%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
80.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Neil McLaurin for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 26Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
80.0%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:31
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
79.8%
Zac Everett punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
79.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
79.8%
Shawn Stankavage run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+1
80.1%
Shawn Stankavage run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
80.3%
Jack Fox punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 4:1479% → 82%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
79.4%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 8 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+6
79.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 6 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
79.5%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+10
79.4%
De'Michael Harris run for 10 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
79.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Trivenskey Mosley for 8 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-10
80.2%
MOSLEY, T. rush up middle for 4 yards to the 50 yardline (NWAKAMMA, M.;ALLDREDGE, B.), PENALTY USM holding (FLETCHER, Arvin) 10 yards to the USM36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+49
79.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 49 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
80.5%
Jack Abraham run for no gain to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+1
79.7%
Steven Anderson run for 1 yd to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+14
81.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tez Parks for 14 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
15 plays · 59 yds · 6:3418% → 26%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
81.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 10 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
81.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the SoMis 48Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+6
81.3%
Shawn Stankavage run for 6 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+4
81.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
81.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+11
81.2%
Austin Walter run for 11 yds to the SoMis 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
80.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 7 yds to the SoMis 20Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+2
80.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the SoMis 18Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+8
81.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 8 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
80.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the SoMis 10Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
79.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 5 yds to the SoMis 5Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
74.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
76.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 9 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
77.9%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 3 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+23
77.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 23 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
78.7%
Jack Abraham run for 5 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 5
OPP 35
-11
79.0%
Jack Abraham sacked by Myles Adams and Houston Robert for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 16
OPP 46
+19
76.9%
Jack Abraham pass intercepted Blaze Alldredge return for 19 yds to the Rice 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12INT
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:0027% → 25%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
73.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-11
73.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 4 yds to the SOUMISS 47 RICE Penalty, personal foul (Aaron Cephus) to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 18
OWN 38
+45
75.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass intercepted Rachuan Mitchell return for 45 yds to the Rice 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 3:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.6%
Steven Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
82.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
82.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+13
83.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 13 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
81.9%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
81.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Trammell, broken up by Ty WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
82.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
83.2%
Jack Fox punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
82.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 1 yd to the SoMis 23Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+12
82.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 12 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.6%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim Jones, broken up by Houston RobertSimilar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
82.4%
Tez Parks run for 5 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 6 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
81.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
82.1%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
82.8%
Jack Fox punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 26 , Jaylond Adams returns for 9 yds to the SoMis 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:2883% → 92%
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
83.1%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez Watkins, broken up by Justin BickhamSimilar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
82.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 11 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
83.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 9 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+6
84.2%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 6 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+13
84.3%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 13 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
84.4%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 3 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 7
OPP 32
-5
84.4%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (Arvin Fletcher) to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+12
84.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 12 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
84.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 11 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
84.4%
Quez Watkins run for 8 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
91.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 6 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
90.3%
ESUKPA, E. rush up middle for no gain to the RICE26 (BOOTHE, Racheem;NELSON, Picasso), PENALTY RICE holding (PIERCE, Sam) 10 yards to the RICE16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+1
90.5%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 17Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
90.6%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
90.7%
Jack Fox punt for 51 yds, downed at the SoMis 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 4:3693% → 96%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
93.4%
De'Michael Harris run for 9 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+6
93.6%
Tez Parks run for 6 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
93.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 4 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+13
93.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 13 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
93.7%
Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
93.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Trivenskey Mosley for no gain to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+7
93.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 7 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+44
95.9%
Parker Shaunfield 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 2:046% → 5%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
93.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
94.0%
Austin Walter run for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+9
93.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 9 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
93.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+15
94.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Jordan Myers for 15 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
94.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
94.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the SoMis 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
94.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin WalterSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 37
-5
94.8%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (Shawn Stankavage) to the SoMis 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 42
0
95.2%
Jack Fox punt for 33 yds, downed at the SoMis 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 2:1597% → 100%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
97.1%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 4 yds to the SoMis 13Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+65
97.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 65 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
98.0%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 1 yd to the Rice 21Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+21
99.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 21 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:542% → 4%
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+29
98.5%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 29 yds to the SoMis 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
98.2%
Shawn Stankavage run for 11 yds to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
98.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Jordan Myers for 8 yds to the SoMis 10Similar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
98.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the SoMis 9Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+2
98.5%
Jordan Myers run for 2 yds to the SoMis 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
98.4%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Will PhillipsSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
98.2%
Austin Walter run for 3 yds to the SoMis 4Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 4 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 61 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
98.8%
Steven Anderson run for 4 yds to the SoMis 10Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+11
99.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 11 yds to the SoMis 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
98.9%
Steven Anderson run for 13 yds to the SoMis 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
99.0%
Steven Anderson run for 8 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+2
99.0%
Steven Anderson run for 2 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.0%
Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+20
99.0%
Steven Anderson run for 20 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.1%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 1 yd to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 6:49
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:15
Steven Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)
+8.6
TD · Q3 8:58
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 6 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q2 7:24
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 5 yds for a TD (Jack Fox KICK)
-6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com