Try the model
TULN

Tulane 24 at UAB 31

UAB
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Legion Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:46 · Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.5+12.80−12.8−25.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 135Home team on offense+4.2Pregame prior−1.7Garbage-time factor+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.6Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:25: Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +9.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:12: Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 44 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +12.0 pts (now 40%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:12: Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 24 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +16.4 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 10:01: Merek Glover 40 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +9.2 pts (now 48%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:19: A.J. Erdely pass complete to Logan Scott for 14 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK) — UAB win probability +32.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8TULN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:18TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:35TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 1 at TULN 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−1.0
    62% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−3.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:25TULN 4th & 2 at UAB 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−1.0
    70% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−6.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:29UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:48TULN 4th & 2 at UAB 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%−1.0
    66% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−6.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:45UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:31TULN 4th & 7 at UAB 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.9%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    38.4%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:49UAB 4th & 5 at TULN 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−7.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:12UAB 4th & 5 at TULN 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%−1.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    59.3%−1.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−4.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:46UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 18, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:01TULN 4th & 13 at UAB 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%−5.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%
    70% to make
    Punt
    22.3%−13.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:53UAB 4th & 1 at TULN 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.2%−11.3
    30% to make
    Punt
    49.0%−8.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:02UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:53TULN 4th & 10 at TULN 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.9%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:18UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:25UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:29TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:12TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:12TULN Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:19UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−2.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 3:4243% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
43.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kendall Parham for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+7
43.0%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+9
43.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Austin Watkins for 9 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+5
43.0%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
43.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kailon Carter for 4 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+3
43.0%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+18
43.0%
Spencer Brown run for 18 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
43.0%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
45.9%
A.J. Erdely run for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
45.4%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
45.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 12 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
45.1%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-1
45.0%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-5
45.2%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Jamell Garcia-Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 40Similar
Q1 11:18
4TH & 12
OWN 40
+6
45.5%
Zachary Block punt for 54 yds , Andre Wilson returns for 6 yds to the UAB 46 UAB Penalty, illegal block (6 Yards) to the UAB 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3INT
10 plays · 86 yds · 0:0047% → 48%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+5
47.3%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 5
OWN 11
-5
47.4%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 6Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+45
47.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kailon Carter for 45 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
48.1%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
48.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 7 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+3
47.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+28
48.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kendall Parham for 28 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
48.2%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-2
48.2%
Kingston Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 8Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
48.0%
A.J. Erdely pass intercepted, touchback. Donnie Lewis Jr. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
50.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete, broken up by Jamell Garcia-WilliamsSimilar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
50.5%
Corey Dauphine run for no gain to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
51.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony RushSimilar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
51.3%
Zachary Block punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 5:1552% → 63%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
52.1%
Spencer Brown run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 1
50
0
52.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 1
50
+2
52.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 2 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
52.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
52.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kendall Parham, broken up by Donnie Lewis Jr.Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+8
52.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 8 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
52.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+5
54.2%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
0
53.7%
Kingston Davis run for no gain to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 27
+21
53.0%
Tyler Johnston III run for 21 yds to the Tulan 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
54.2%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
54.2%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the Tulan 2Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.2%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5640% → 48%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
60.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 44 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
58.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
58.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+8
59.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 8 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+5
59.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
58.3%
Corey Dauphine run for no gain to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+15
58.6%
Darius Bradwell run for 15 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
52.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 3 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0057% → 55%
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
56.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 22 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
58.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
57.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
56.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q2 9:29
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
55.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 34 yds, downed at the Tulan 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8DOWNS
6 plays · 57 yds · 0:0043% → 44%
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
57.4%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+45
57.3%
Corey Dauphine run for 45 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
54.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 7:48
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+3
53.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 7:48
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
54.8%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 2
OPP 25
0
55.9%
Darius Bradwell run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
60.5%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
60.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
59.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:45
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
58.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 15 yds, downed at the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10FUMBLE TD
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:2143% → 28%
Q2 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
57.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Darnell MooneySimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
57.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q2 3:52
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
57.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete TULANE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:31
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+48
72.0%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Kristopher Moll for a loss of 9 yards Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by UAB Garrett Marino , return for 0 yards , return for 48 yds, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4528% → 27%
Q2 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
72.2%
Corey Dauphine run for 2 yds to the Tulan 27Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
72.1%
Corey Dauphine run for 1 yd to the Tulan 28Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
72.8%
Jonathan Banks pass intercepted Kristopher Moll return for 8 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12INT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:0575% → 79%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
75.2%
Kingston Davis run for 12 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
75.2%
Kingston Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+5
76.6%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+9
75.3%
Kingston Davis run for 9 yds to the Tulan 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
78.2%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (A.J. Erdely) to the Tulan 10Similar
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.1%
A.J. Erdely pass intercepted, touchback. Thakarius Keyes return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
75.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4825% → 40%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
74.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 12 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
73.7%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete TULANE Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-2
73.9%
Darius Bradwell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+21
75.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Terren Encalade for 21 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
72.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
60.2%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 44 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FG
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:2365% → 73%
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
64.5%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+14
65.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 14 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
66.8%
Lucious Stanley run for 16 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
67.1%
Kingston Davis run for no gain to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
66.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+13
65.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Austin Watkins for 13 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
67.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q3 13:12
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
67.3%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q3 13:12
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
66.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q3 8:49
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
72.9%
Nick Vogel 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3727% → 47%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
72.6%
Corey Dauphine run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
70.9%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Chris Woolbright for a loss of 5 yards to the Tulan 39Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+21
72.3%
Darius Bradwell run for 21 yds to the UAB 31 Darius Bradwell fumbled, forced by Broderick Thomas, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
68.7%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 13
OPP 34
+10
69.5%
Amare Jones run for 10 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+24
53.1%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 24 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 39 yds · 0:0060% → 61%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
60.3%
Kingston Davis run for 3 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
59.9%
Kingston Davis run for 2 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
59.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 12 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
62.7%
Kingston Davis run for 2 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+10
62.7%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 10 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
63.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 3 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+2
63.5%
Kendall Parham run for 2 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 6:12
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
62.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:12
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
60.7%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:0640% → 36%
Q3 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
59.6%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Brontae Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+1
61.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 1 yd to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
63.4%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
64.3%
Zachary Block punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 59%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
61.7%
UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (Kristopher Moll) to the UAB 9Similar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
60.9%
Kingston Davis run for 2 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
61.1%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+7
59.5%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 7 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 1
OWN 18
0
58.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:1240% → 48%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
59.8%
Corey Dauphine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 44Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+6
61.3%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 5
50
+15
58.8%
BANKS,J. pass incomplete, PENALTY UAB roughing passer 15 yards to the UAB35, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
56.5%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
56.6%
BANKS,J. pass incomplete to ENCALADE,T., PENALTY UAB pass interference (THOMAS, B.) 15 yards to the UAB20, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
56.0%
Stephon Huderson run for no gain to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
56.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 8
OPP 18
-5
58.5%
Darius Bradwell run for 5 yds to the UAB 13 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding (Terren Encalade) to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 13
OPP 23
0
61.2%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:01
4TH & 13
OPP 23
+40
51.9%
Merek Glover 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21TD
14 plays · 93 yds · 7:3454% → 94%
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
53.9%
Lucious Stanley run for 4 yds to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+3
54.2%
Lucious Stanley run for 3 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+4
52.3%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
54.7%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+13
55.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 13 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
56.6%
Lucious Stanley run for 12 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
59.7%
Lucious Stanley run for 2 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+7
60.2%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
59.8%
A.J. Erdely run for no gain to the Tulan 42Similar
Q4 9:53
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+22
57.1%
Tyler Johnston III run for 7 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (P.J. Hall) to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
62.0%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+2
62.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 2 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
94.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Logan Scott for 14 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22FUMBLE
7 plays · 39 yds · 0:0013% → 20%
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.0%
Darius Bradwell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
85.6%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Jabril ClewisSimilar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
87.0%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 11 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+30
84.5%
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Jabril Clewis for 30 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
80.3%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-8
80.5%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Clay Templeton for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 36 Jonathan Banks fumbled, recovered by UAB Jamell Garcia-Williams , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:1395% → 96%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
94.9%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+2
96.2%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 1:05
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+2
96.4%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+4
96.2%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulan 24 , Jacob Robertson Jr. returns for 4 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24END OF GAME
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:407% → 9%
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
92.6%
Jonathan Banks run for 13 yds to the Tulan 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
92.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
93.0%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren Encalade, broken up by D.A. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+25
93.2%
Jonathan Banks run for 25 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
90.1%
Jonathan Banks pass incomplete to Terren EncaladeSimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-4
91.0%
Jonathan Banks sacked by Kylen Binn for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:19
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Logan Scott for 14 yds for a TD, (Nick Vogel KICK)
+32
TD · Q3 6:12
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 24 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-16.4
TD · Q3 13:12
Jonathan Banks pass complete to Darnell Mooney for 44 yds for a TD, (Merek Glover KICK)
-12
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com