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UTEP

UTEP 24 at UNLV 52

UNLV
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Sam Boyd Stadium
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Win probability · UNLV
modelUNLV aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUNLV scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:23 · Mitchell Crawford punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 70Pregame prior+32.5Home team on offense+10.6Score differential+3.5Blowout margin+0.7Garbage-time factor+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:58: Kai Locksley 1 Yd Run (Jason Filley Kick) — UTEP win probability +1.6 pts (now 9%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 3:02: Jason Filley 33 Yd Field Goal — UTEP win probability +1.0 pts (now 9%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 8:23: Lexington Thomas 40 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick) — UNLV win probability +2.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 3:38: Evan Pantels 35 Yd Field Goal — UNLV win probability +2.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:22: Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 22 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK) — UNLV win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNLV made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 3:02UTEP 4th & 8 at UNLV 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−0.8
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:52UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:20UNLV 4th & 11 at UNLV 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:30UTEP 4th & 22 at UTEP 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:23UTEP 4th & 19 at UTEP 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:38UNLV 4th & 9 at UTEP 17, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    91.1%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:35UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:13UNLV 4th & 16 at UNLV 37, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:05UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 36, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:20UNLV 4th & 3 at UNLV 34, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:42UNLV 4th & 14 at UNLV 18, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:50UTEP 4th & 11 at UTEP 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:26UNLV 4th & 8 at UNLV 39, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:42UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:58UTEP Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:55UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:52UNLV Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:23UNLV Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:22UNLV Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:35UNLV Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:49UTEP Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:43UNLV Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:26UTEP Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 2:1894% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
93.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds to the UNLV 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
93.5%
Lexington Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+5
93.5%
Charles Williams run for 5 yds to the UNLV 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+51
93.3%
Mekhi Stevenson 51 Yd pass from Armani Rogers (Evan Pantels Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
11 plays · 79 yds · 4:447% → 9%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
93.2%
Kai Locksley run for 11 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
93.2%
Kai Locksley pass complete to David Lucero for 4 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+41
93.2%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 41 yds to the UNLV 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
93.1%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 28Similar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+14
93.1%
Kai Locksley run for 14 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 1
OPP 14
0
93.1%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+5
93.1%
Treyvon Hughes run for 5 yds to the UNLV 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
93.1%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the UNLV 4Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
93.1%
Kavika Johnson run for 3 yds to the UNLV 1Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.5%
Kai Locksley 1 Yd Run (Jason Filley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 3TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:0392% → 92%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.7%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 30Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
91.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 9 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
91.8%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+4
91.9%
Charles Williams run for 4 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 1
OWN 48
0
91.9%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q1 7:58
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+17
91.9%
ROGERS,Armani pass incomplete to PRESLEY,Brandon, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (BEVERLY, Kalon) 17 yards to the UTEP35, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
92.0%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 12 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
91.7%
THOMAS,L. rush for 9 yards to the UTEP14 (NEEDHAM, Nik), PENALTY UNLV illegal shift off-setting, PENALTY UTEP holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+13
92.0%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 13 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
92.0%
Lexington Thomas run for 5 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.3%
Tyleek Collins 5 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4FG
6 plays · 43 yds · 1:538% → 9%
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+41
91.8%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 41 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
91.5%
Kai Locksley run for 3 yds to the UNLV 15Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
91.5%
Kai Locksley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 7
OPP 15
-1
91.6%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 16Similar
Q1 3:02
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
90.6%
Jason Filley 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1091% → 92%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.8%
CAMPBELL,X. rush for no gain to the UNLV25 (HOTCHKINS, A.J.), PENALTY UTEP holding (BEVERLY, Kalon) 10 yards to the UNLV35, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 1 yd to the UNLV 36Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+8
90.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 8 yds to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 3:02
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
91.0%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
91.1%
Lexington Thomas run for 2 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
91.1%
ROGERS,Armani pass incomplete to PRESLEY,Brandon, PENALTY UTEP personal foul (HOTCHKINS, A.J.) 15 yards to the UTEP36, 1ST DOWN UNLV, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
91.2%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+9
91.1%
Armani Rogers run for 9 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+28
91.9%
Armani Rogers 28 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.6%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
91.6%
Treyvon Hughes run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
91.8%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Terry Juniel for 6 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
91.8%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
91.9%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 24Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+8
91.9%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the UNLV 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
91.9%
Lexington Thomas run for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 30Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
91.8%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 12
OWN 30
-4
91.6%
Armani Rogers run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 26Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+5
91.4%
UTEP Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UNLV 31Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 11
OWN 31
+3
91.5%
Hayes Hicken punt for 53 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
91.2%
Kai Locksley run for no gain to the UTEP 19 Kai Locksley fumbled, forced by Evan Austrie, recovered by UTEP Warren RedixSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
91.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to David Lucero, broken up by Javin WhiteSimilar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 10
OWN 19
-12
91.5%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 12 yards to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 10:30
4TH & 22
OWN 7
-2
91.7%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 45 yds , Brandon Presley returns for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 9TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:3292% → 95%
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
91.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Brandon Presley for 14 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
94.7%
Lexington Thomas 40 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.2%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
94.3%
Kai Locksley run for 9 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
94.1%
Walter Dawn Jr. run for 10 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
94.0%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Terry Juniel, broken up by Bailey LaolagiSimilar
Q2 8:23
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-2
94.1%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 12
OWN 37
-7
94.3%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Joshua Fields for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 8:23
4TH & 19
OWN 30
0
94.4%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UNLV 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:2194% → 97%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
94.4%
Charles Williams run for 13 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
94.4%
Charles Williams run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+20
94.4%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 20 yds to the UTEP 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
94.3%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Kendal Keys, broken up by Kahani SmithSimilar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
94.4%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
94.3%
Armani Rogers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:38
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
96.9%
Evan Pantels 35 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12INT
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Keynan Foster for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
96.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
96.3%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Terry Juniel for 6 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.2%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr.Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.3%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr., broken up by Jameer OutseySimilar
Q2 3:38
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+27
96.4%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Walter Dawn Jr. for 27 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.1%
Ryan Metz pass incomplete to Walter Dawn Jr.Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
96.1%
Ryan Metz pass intercepted Javin White return for no gain to the UNLV 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13TD
7 plays · 93 yds · 1:2797% → 99%
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
97.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 7 yds to the UNLV 14Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+1
97.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 1 yd to the UNLV 15Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+3
97.2%
Lexington Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+35
97.3%
Armani Rogers run for 35 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
97.4%
Lexington Thomas run for 14 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
97.5%
Armani Rogers run for 11 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.3%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 22 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 16 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.9%
Treyvon Hughes run for 6 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · -13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 12 Quardraiz Wadley fumbled, recovered by UNLV Farrell Hester IISimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16TD
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:1899% → 99%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
99.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 8 yds to the UTEP 4Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Lexington Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.3%
Kai Locksley run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.3%
Kai Locksley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 14:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q3 14:35
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 46 yds, downed at the UNLV 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
99.5%
Tyleek Collins run for 4 yds to the UNLV 26Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+17
99.5%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 17 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr.Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-6
99.5%
Armani Rogers sacked by Jamar Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 37Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 16
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Darren Woods Jr., broken up by Kalon BeverlySimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+5
99.4%
Hayes Hicken punt for 48 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 5 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
99.6%
Kai Locksley run for 9 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
99.5%
Quardraiz Wadley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 11
OWN 30
0
99.6%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Terry JunielSimilar
Q3 11:05
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+6
99.6%
Kai Locksley run for 6 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q3 11:05
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 37 yds, downed at the UNLV 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.7%
Evan Owens run for 7 yds to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Evan Owens run for no gain to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Tyleek Collins run for no gain to the UNLV 34Similar
Q3 8:20
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+8
99.7%
Hayes Hicken punt for 61 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 8 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
7 plays · 87 yds · 2:380% → 0%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+19
99.7%
Kai Locksley run for 19 yds to the UTEP 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
99.7%
Ryan Metz run for 12 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Ryan Metz run for no gain to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Kavika Johnson, broken up by Ty'Jason RobertsSimilar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+14
99.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Treyvon Hughes for 14 yds to the UNLV 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+22
99.7%
Kai Locksley pass complete to David Lucero for 22 yds to the UNLV 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.7%
Kai Locksley run for 20 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
99.8%
Armani Rogers run for 1 yd to the UNLV 23Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Brandon PresleySimilar
Q3 3:42
3RD & 9
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Armani Rogers pass incomplete to Mekhi StevensonSimilar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 9
OWN 23
-5
99.8%
UNLV Penalty, false start (Demitrious Gibbs) to the UNLV 18Similar
Q3 3:42
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Hayes Hicken punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
99.8%
Kai Locksley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q3 2:50
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Warren RedixSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 11
OWN 23
0
99.8%
Mitchell Crawford punt for 41 yds, downed at the UNLV 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 24TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:49100% → 100%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 3 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 1:32
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+8
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 8 yds to the UNLV 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
99.8%
Armani Rogers run for 25 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
99.8%
Charles Williams run for no gain to the UTEP 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
99.8%
Armani Rogers run for 3 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+15
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 15 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
99.8%
Charles Williams run for 7 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the UTEP 3Similar
Q4 12:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Armani Rogers pass complete to Tyleek Collins for 3 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25TD
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:170% → 0%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
99.9%
Kai Locksley run for 7 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-5
99.9%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to David LuceroSimilar
Q4 12:43
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+8
99.9%
Kai Locksley run for 8 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+16
99.9%
Kai Locksley run for 16 yds to the UNLV 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Erik BrownSimilar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+18
99.9%
Kai Locksley pass complete to Nik Needham for 18 yds to the UNLV 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
99.9%
UTEP Penalty, (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 22Similar
Q4 12:43
1ST & 15
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Kai Locksley pass incomplete to Kavika JohnsonSimilar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 15
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Quardraiz Wadley run for 22 yds for a TD (Jason Filley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Charles Williams run for 12 yds to the UNLV 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
99.9%
WILLIAMS,C. rush for loss of 11 yards to the UNLV26 (LEWIS, Michael;HOTCHKINS, A.J.), PENALTY UNLV holding 10 yards to the UNLV27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:26
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 6 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+6
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 6 yds to the UNLV 39Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Max Gilliam pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+12
99.9%
Hayes Hicken punt for 61 yds , Terry Juniel returns for 12 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 27FUMBLE
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
99.9%
Ryan Metz run for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 6
OWN 16
+28
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Warren Redix for 28 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Ryan Metz pass complete to Joshua Fields for no gain to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Ryan Metz run for no gain to the UTEP 37 Ryan Metz fumbled, recovered by UNLV Soli AfalavaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 28END OF GAME
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 11 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for 7 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 3
OPP 19
0
99.9%
Xzaviar Campbell run for no gain to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+10
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 10 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
99.9%
Evan Owens run for 6 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:23
Lexington Thomas 40 Yd Run (Evan Pantels Kick)
+2.8
FG · Q2 3:38
Evan Pantels 35 Yd Field Goal
+2.6
TD · Q2 0:22
Armani Rogers pass complete to Darren Woods Jr. for 22 yds for a TD (Evan Pantels KICK)
+1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com