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UAB

UAB 24 at Coastal Carolina 47

CCU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:58 · Kilton Anderson punt for 36 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 38Pregame prior−27.3Home team on offense−1.5Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:10: Kilton Anderson pass complete to Torrance Marable for 29 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +6.5 pts (now 25%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q2 5:56: Kilton Anderson run for 26 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED) — CCU win probability +10.3 pts (now 37%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:04: Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +10.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:14: Kilton Anderson pass complete to Alex James for 7 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED) — CCU win probability +14.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:17: Torrance Marable run for 2 yds for a TD (Myles Prosser KICK) — CCU win probability +8.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 9:06CCU 4th & 13 at CCU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:58CCU 4th & 5 at UAB 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    30.7%−0.4
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:10UAB 4th & 15 at CCU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    69.1%−0.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:45UAB 4th & 13 at CCU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.7%−1.4
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    55.5%−4.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:23CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:00UAB 4th & 9 at CCU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−5.9
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:52UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 3:00UAB 4th & 11 at CCU 33, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    41.4%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:05UAB 4th & 12 at CCU 45, down 9
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.1%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    15.4%−2.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    17.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UAB made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:17CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:06UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:42UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:35UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:10CCU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:56CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:14CCU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    84.9%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:17CCU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:00CCU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CCUDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:4318% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.4%
Torrance Marable run for 15 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
18.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+60
18.9%
Marcus Outlow run for 60 yds for a TD COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UAB 8 (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0381% → 79%
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
19.0%
Kailon Carter run for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
19.0%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
19.0%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+14
19.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 14 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
19.0%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+18
19.0%
A.J. Erdely run for 18 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
18.9%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 6
OPP 20
0
18.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q1 14:09
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+11
19.0%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 11 yds to the CCaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
18.9%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the CCaro 4Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.8%
A.J. Erdely run for 4 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q1 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
21.5%
Kilton Anderson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q1 9:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
21.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q1 9:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
21.3%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Garrett Marino for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 22Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
21.1%
Charles Ouverson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Andre Wilson at the UAB 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 3:2278% → 80%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
22.0%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+6
21.8%
A.J. Erdely run for 6 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-10
21.7%
ERDELY, A.J. pass incomplete to BROWN, Spencer, QB hurry by Gunter, Jeffrey, PENALTY UAB holding (POWERS, Justice) 10 yards to the UAB42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 20
OWN 42
-1
22.1%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 41Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & 21
OWN 41
+24
22.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Austin Watkins for 24 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
21.5%
A.J. Erdely run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+16
21.5%
Kingston Davis run for 16 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
20.2%
Kingston Davis run for 14 yds for a TD (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 0:4421% → 22%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
21.2%
Marcus Outlow run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 24Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
21.1%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Marcus OutlowSimilar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+35
21.3%
Kilton Anderson run for 20 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Clay Templeton) to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
22.7%
Alex James run for 1 yd to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
22.6%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+4
22.4%
Alex James run for 4 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 5
OPP 36
0
22.2%
Kilton Anderson punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 2:2278% → 83%
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
21.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
21.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 24 Spencer Brown fumbled, forced by C.J. Brewer,Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-5
22.0%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UAB 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+16
22.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Austin Watkins for 16 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
21.7%
James Noble III run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+64
17.5%
Kendall Parham run for 64 yds for a TD UAB Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 8 (Nick Vogel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2518% → 25%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
18.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
18.3%
UAB Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
18.8%
Torrance Marable run for 6 yds to the CCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+35
18.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 35 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
25.3%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Torrance Marable for 29 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
22.7%
A.J. Erdely run for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
21.9%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
50
+11
21.6%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
21.6%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
21.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kingston Davis, broken up by Preston CareySimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
22.2%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-5
21.7%
UAB Penalty, false start (Justice Powers) to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 15
OPP 44
0
22.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Xavier UbosiSimilar
Q2 12:10
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
23.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 37 yds, downed at the CCaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 3:4423% → 37%
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
23.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the CCaro 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
23.4%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Malcolm WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
23.4%
Kilton Anderson run for 15 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
24.0%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Shadell BellSimilar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+11
24.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 11 yds Jeremiah Miller fumbled, forced by D.A. Williams, recovered by CCaro Brock HoffmanSimilar
Q2 9:40
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+5
24.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
25.1%
Torrance Marable run for 17 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
26.9%
Kilton Anderson run for 5 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+26
37.3%
Kilton Anderson run for 26 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 3:1170% → 67%
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
30.4%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+8
28.9%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+27
28.4%
A.J. Erdely run for 12 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Fitz Wattley) to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
27.7%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q2 5:56
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-5
27.7%
A.J. Erdely run for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 5:56
3RD & 13
OPP 25
0
29.5%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kingston DavisSimilar
Q2 2:45
4TH & 13
OPP 25
+42
33.0%
Nick Vogel 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:2236% → 35%
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.1%
Kilton Anderson run for 4 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
36.4%
Kilton Anderson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
35.7%
Kilton Anderson pass incomplete to Ky'Jon TylerSimilar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
34.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 38 yds, downed at the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 1:1267% → 68%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
32.7%
WILSON, Andre pass incomplete to STANLEY, Lucious, PENALTY CCU unsportsmanlike conduct (Brown, Jave) 15 yards to the UAB47, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
30.6%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Spencer BrownSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
31.2%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin Lisa, broken up by Laqavious PaulSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 47
+24
32.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 24 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
28.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Spencer Brown for no gain to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
28.8%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
29.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
32.4%
Nick Vogel 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
31.1%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+2
30.7%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 5
OWN 46
0
31.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Collin LisaSimilar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
33.3%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 6:4537% → 52%
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
37.0%
Marable, Torrance rush for 6 yards to the CCU21 (DAWKINS, Will), PENALTY CCU personal foul (Carter, Trey) 5 yards to the CCU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 15
OWN 10
-2
37.0%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 8Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 17
OWN 8
+9
36.7%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 9 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 13:49
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+17
35.5%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 17 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
37.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the CCaro 36Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+27
38.2%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 27 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
40.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+17
40.6%
Marcus Outlow run for 17 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+14
41.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 14 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
41.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the UAB 3Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
41.3%
UAB Penalty, substitution infraction (1 Yards) to the UAB 2Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
41.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.7%
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:5854% → 48%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
46.3%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Donnie Lee for 7 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+3
45.4%
Kingston Davis run for 3 yds to the UAB 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
46.2%
Kingston Davis run for 4 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+16
45.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Andre Wilson for 16 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
42.7%
Kingston Davis run for 11 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
42.1%
A.J. Erdely run for 11 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
40.8%
Kingston Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
40.9%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Andre WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:58
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
43.3%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete, broken up by C.J. BrewerSimilar
Q3 3:00
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+50
52.0%
Nick Vogel 50 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Jeffrey Gunter TEAM return for no gain to the CCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16TD
14 plays · 67 yds · 6:4652% → 83%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
52.1%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Ky'Jon Tyler for 1 yd to the CCaro 34Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+11
52.0%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Malcolm Williams for 11 yds to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
54.8%
Alex James run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 44Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+15
53.2%
Anderson, Kilton pass incomplete to Tyler, Ky'Jon, PENALTY UAB pass interference (TURNER, Dy'jonn) 15 yards to the UAB41, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-9
56.1%
Kilton Anderson sacked by Quindarius Thagard for a loss of 9 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 19
50
+28
53.2%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Jeremiah Miller for 13 yds to the COASTALCAR 37 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, roughing passer (Fitzgerald Mofor) to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-8
60.3%
Torrance Marable run for 7 yds to the UAB 15 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 18
OPP 30
+2
59.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+7
58.4%
Kilton Anderson run for 7 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 21
+9
58.3%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Marcus Outlow for 9 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
60.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
60.3%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the UAB 7Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
83.4%
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Alex James for 7 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+40
81.6%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kendall Parham for 40 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
77.4%
Spencer Brown run for 4 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
77.1%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Collin Lisa for 1 yd to the CCaro 38Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-7
77.9%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Tarron Jackson and Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 7 yards to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 12
OPP 45
0
82.0%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 5:1386% → 98%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
86.3%
Marcus Outlow run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 5
50
+30
86.4%
Marcus Outlow run for 15 yds to the COASTALCAR 35 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Broderick Thomas) to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
87.2%
Marcus Outlow run for 4 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-1
89.8%
Kilton Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 17Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+12
89.3%
Kilton Anderson run for 12 yds to the UAB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
89.8%
Marcus Outlow run for 3 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 6:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
89.8%
Marcus Outlow run for no gain to the UAB 2 UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Garrett Marino) to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 6:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
89.8%
Torrance Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 2Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.1%
Torrance Marable run for 2 yds for a TD (Myles Prosser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.1%
A.J. Erdely pass intercepted Chandler Kryst return for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20TD
1 play · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
99.7%
Torrance Marable run for 34 yds for a TD (Myles Prosser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.4%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
99.4%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kendall Parham for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
99.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Kendall Parham for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
50
0
99.4%
A.J. Erdely pass incomplete to Kendall ParhamSimilar
Q4 2:53
2ND & 10
50
-5
99.4%
A.J. Erdely pass complete to Xavier Ubosi for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 45Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-8
99.4%
A.J. Erdely sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 2:53
4TH & 23
OWN 37
-5
99.4%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:14
Kilton Anderson pass complete to Alex James for 7 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)
+14.5
TD · Q3 7:04
Marcus Outlow run for 1 yd for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
+10.4
TD · Q2 5:56
Kilton Anderson run for 26 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com