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ULM

UL Monroe 21 at Southern Miss 20

USM
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadULM aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreULM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:20 · Jared Porter punt for 43 yds, downed at the SoMis 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingGarbage-time factor
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 65Pregame prior+9.7Home team on offense−1.9Score differential−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:37: Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 49 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +5.1 pts (now 41%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:36: Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 5 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +5.5 pts (now 67%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:03: Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 4 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK) — ULM win probability +12.3 pts (now 52%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27: Tez Parks run for no gain to the SoMis 5 — USM win probability +16.0 pts (now 47%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:07: TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 21 — ULM win probability +39.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 5 of 7ULM made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 14:47ULM 4th & 8 at USM 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58USM 4th & 10 at USM 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:01USM 4th & 3 at ULM 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%−0.5
    66% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:38ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:20ULM 4th & 8 at ULM 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:15ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:38USM 4th & 15 at ULM 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    42% to make
    Punt
    63.6%−1.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:29ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:51USM 4th & 5 at ULM 30, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.2%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−2.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:51ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 26, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:08USM 4th & 7 at USM 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00ULM 4th & 11 at ULM 11, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%−5.7
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:52USM 4th & 1 at ULM 37, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    48.8%−6.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−7.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:15ULM 4th & 16 at USM 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−5.6
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−19.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:42USM 4th & 5 at ULM 32, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.1%−2.7
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.7%
    51% to make
    Punt
    43.6%−8.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:42ULM 4th & 1 at USM 49, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    52.5%−7.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:38ULM 4th & 4 at USM 39, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.9 ptsPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    62.8%−6.0
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%−7.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 14:47USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:37ULM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:36USM Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:03ULM Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
64.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 75 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
64.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 15 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
64.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 9 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
64.2%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
50
+2
64.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Derrick Gore for 2 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q1 14:47
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
64.2%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:47
3RD & 8
OPP 48
0
64.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q1 14:47
4TH & 8
OPP 48
0
64.2%
Jared Porter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:4265% → 64%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
64.8%
Tez Parks run for 1 yd to the SoMis 10Similar
Q1 12:47
2ND & 9
OWN 10
0
64.8%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 9
OWN 10
0
63.8%
Jack Abraham sacked by Donald Louis Jr. for a loss of 6 yards Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by LaMon Sam Miller , return for 0 yards for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:5764% → 64%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
64.1%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 28Similar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
64.0%
T'Rod Daniels run for no gain to the SoMis 28Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+15
64.0%
ABRAHAM, Jack deep pass incomplete to ADAMS, Jaylond (Hubbard, M.), PENALTY ULM roughing passer (Gore, Derrick) 15 yards to the USM43, 1ST DOWN USM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
64.3%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
64.2%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond AdamsSimilar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
64.2%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
64.0%
Zac Everett punt for 36 yds, downed at the LaMon 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 78 yds · 0:0036% → 37%
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
64.0%
Derrick Gore run for 3 yds to the LaMon 24Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-5
64.0%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 12
OWN 19
+17
64.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 17 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
63.8%
Derrick Gore run for 2 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
63.7%
Caleb Evans pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:43
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+9
63.9%
Caleb Evans run for 9 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
63.5%
Kayin White run for 6 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+8
63.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Sloan Spiller for 8 yds to the SoMis 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+34
63.5%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 34 yds Marcus Green fumbled, forced by Tyler Barnes, recovered by SoMis Tyler BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 6INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
63.7%
Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the SoMis 3Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+9
63.7%
Tez Parks run for 9 yds to the SoMis 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
63.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 5 yds to the SoMis 17Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+5
63.8%
Tez Parks run for 5 yds to the SoMis 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
63.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 1 yd to the SoMis 23Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-2
63.8%
Jack Abraham pass intercepted Marcus Hubbard return for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
1 play · 49 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
58.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 49 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 8FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:3160% → 62%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+34
59.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tez Parks for 34 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
60.8%
T'Rod Daniels run for no gain to the SoMis 49Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+19
60.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 19 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
61.6%
Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
61.6%
Tez Parks run for 5 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 3
OPP 25
0
61.0%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tez Parks, broken up by Cortez Sisco Jr.Similar
Q1 2:01
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
62.0%
Parker Shaunfield 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:2339% → 39%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.1%
Markis McCray run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
60.1%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
60.4%
Evans, Caleb roll out pass complete to McCray, Markis for 6 yards to the ULM37 (WILLIAMS, Ty), PENALTY ULM illegal shift 5 yards to the ULM26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
61.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Brandius Batiste for 2 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 1:38
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
61.4%
Jared Porter punt for 49 yds, downed at the SoMis 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · -12 yds · 0:1360% → 59%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
60.2%
Tez Parks run for 3 yds to the SoMis 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
60.2%
Jaylond Adams run for 5 yds to the SoMis 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+2
59.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Neil McLaurin for 2 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
60.3%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond Adams, broken up by Kenderick MarblesSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+2
60.2%
Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the SoMis 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 35
-15
59.8%
ABRAHAM, Jack flair pass complete to PARKS, Tez for 7 yards to the USM42 (Bell, Bobby;Ingram, Nick), PENALTY USM ULT (CLOPTON, Trace) 15 yards to the USM20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 23
OWN 20
+3
59.3%
Jack Abraham sacked by Kerry Starks for a loss of 12 yards to the SoMis 11 Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by SoMis Trace Clopton , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the SoMis 11Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 32
OWN 11
0
59.0%
Zac Everett punt for 70 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaMon 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
58.8%
Jabari Johnson run for 3 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
58.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q2 11:20
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-1
59.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Jabari Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 21Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
60.1%
Jared Porter punt for 43 yds, downed at the SoMis 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 12TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 3:0959% → 67%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
58.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tez Parks for 24 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
60.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 10 yds to the LaMon 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
61.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 8 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+14
61.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 14 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
61.5%
Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the LaMon 6Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
61.5%
Tez Parks run for 1 yd to the LaMon 5Similar
Q2 6:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 5 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 15 yds · 2:2135% → 35%
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
64.8%
Derrick Gore run for 6 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-10
63.8%
Evans, Caleb rush quarterback draw for loss of 2 yards to the ULM29 (GUNN, Ernest), PENALTY ULM holding 10 yards to the ULM21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
65.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. Turner, broken up by Ernest GunnSimilar
Q2 6:36
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+16
66.0%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Xavier Brown for 16 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
63.9%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the LaMon 38Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-5
63.7%
Evans, Caleb curl pass complete to Turner, R.J. for 10 yards to the ULM48 (NELSON, Jr., P.), PENALTY ULM ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the ULM33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
65.1%
Kayin White run for no gain to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 14
OWN 33
-5
65.5%
UL MONROE Penalty, illegal participation (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 28Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 19
OWN 28
+12
65.5%
Caleb Evans run for 12 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+33
64.9%
Jared Porter punt for 36 yds , Jaylond Adams returns for 33 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 7 yds · 2:4668% → 64%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
68.2%
Jack Abraham run for 7 yds to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
68.2%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond AdamsSimilar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
67.4%
T'Rod Daniels run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
68.4%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Quez Watkins, broken up by Marcus HubbardSimilar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
68.3%
T'Rod Daniels run for 4 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 3:24
3RD & 6
OPP 27
-9
67.6%
Jack Abraham sacked by Donald Louis Jr. for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 0:38
4TH & 15
OPP 36
+53
64.2%
Parker Shaunfield 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0937% → 33%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
63.4%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 5 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
63.7%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Markis McCraySimilar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
64.9%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier Brown, broken up by Racheem BootheSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
66.6%
Jared Porter punt for 42 yds, downed at the SoMis 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 0:5736% → 52%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+56
63.9%
Austin Vaughn run for 56 yds to the SoMis 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
60.2%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the SoMis 4Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
47.9%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 4 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17FG
15 plays · 48 yds · 7:0553% → 58%
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
53.3%
Tez Parks run for no gain to the SoMis 22Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+4
53.2%
Tez Parks run for 4 yds to the SoMis 26Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+7
52.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 7 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
53.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 3 yds to the SoMis 36Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+7
55.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 7 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
55.9%
Jack Abraham run for no gain to the SoMis 43Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
54.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 3
50
+1
56.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 11 yds to the SOUMISS 39 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (Jaylond Adams) to the LaMon 49Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+3
56.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 3 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
57.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 11 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
58.7%
Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q3 13:56
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
58.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 3 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
56.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jack Abraham, broken up by Kenderick MarblesSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+47
57.8%
Parker Shaunfield 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
54.2%
Derrick Gore run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
54.2%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
55.5%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Brandius BatisteSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
56.9%
Mark Deaves punt for 37 yds , Ty Williams returns for no gain to the SoMis 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19FUMBLE
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
57.0%
Jack Abraham sacked by Sam Miller for a loss of 6 yards to the SoMis 36 Jack Abraham fumbled, recovered by LaMon Mason Husmann , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20INT
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
50.1%
Austin Vaughn run for 5 yds to the SoMis 31Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 5
OPP 31
0
48.4%
Caleb Evans pass intercepted Ky'el Hemby return for no gain to the SoMis 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
54.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 7 yds to the SoMis 15Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 3
OWN 15
+4
55.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tez Parks for 4 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
55.2%
Jack Abraham run for 4 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+7
55.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 7 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
55.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 1 yd to the SoMis 31Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+14
55.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 14 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-3
58.9%
Jack Abraham sacked by Chase Day for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 42Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 13
OWN 42
0
56.1%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tez ParksSimilar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 13
OWN 42
+6
54.3%
Tez Parks run for 6 yds to the SoMis 48Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
54.6%
Zac Everett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Marcus Green at the LaMon 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5648% → 46%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
52.4%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 7Similar
Q3 0:56
1ST & 15
OWN 7
0
52.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Marcus GreenSimilar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 15
OWN 7
-1
53.2%
Caleb Evans run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 0:56
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+5
54.7%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Austin Vaughn for 5 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 11
0
54.0%
Jared Porter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the LaMon 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0058% → 54%
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
57.5%
Tez Parks run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 14
50
+11
53.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 11 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
56.8%
T'Rod Daniels run for 2 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
54.3%
T'Rod Daniels run for no gain to the LaMon 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:4352% → 50%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
48.0%
Marcus Green run for 9 yds to the LaMon 46Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
45.3%
Austin Vaughn run for 5 yds to the SoMis 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
45.1%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+16
45.2%
Caleb Evans pass complete to Markis McCray for 16 yds to the SoMis 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
43.1%
Austin Vaughn run for 10 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
43.1%
Austin Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 20Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
43.7%
Derrick Gore run for no gain to the SoMis 20Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 11
OPP 20
-5
45.8%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 25Similar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 16
OPP 25
0
47.8%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to R.J. TurnerSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+42
49.6%
Craig Ford 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 25MISSED FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 3:3351% → 52%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
50.7%
T'Rod Daniels run for 19 yds to the SoMis 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
55.5%
ABRAHAM, Jack deep pass complete to WATKINS, Quez for 36 yards to the ULM20, PENALTY USM pass interference (WATKINS, Quez) 15 yards to the USM29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+18
50.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jay'Shawn Washington for 18 yds to the SoMis 47Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+16
56.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 16 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
57.0%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond Adams, broken up by Kenderick MarblesSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
56.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tez Parks for 3 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+2
56.3%
T'Rod Daniels run for 2 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 5
OPP 32
+49
51.7%
Parker Shaunfield 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 26PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:0460% → 69%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
40.1%
Caleb Evans pass complete to R.J. Turner for 10 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
37.8%
Austin Vaughn run for 3 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
37.4%
Caleb Evans run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 2
50
+1
37.2%
Caleb Evans run for 1 yd to the SoMis 49Similar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+4
39.8%
Austin Vaughn run for 4 yds to the SoMis 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
36.5%
Austin Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 46Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+7
37.0%
Caleb Evans run for 7 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
27.6%
Caleb Evans pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q4 1:38
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
31.0%
Mark Deaves punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaylond Adams at the SoMis 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 27INT
9 plays · 50 yds · 1:0547% → 47%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
47.0%
Tez Parks run for no gain to the SoMis 5Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 5
+25
46.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 25 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
49.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 11 yds to the SoMis 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
52.6%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tez ParksSimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
49.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim JonesSimilar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+12
48.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 12 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
55.6%
Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+46
46.8%
Jack Abraham pass intercepted Cortez Sisco Jr. return for 46 yds to the SoMis 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
7.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 0:07
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 21
-39.6
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:27
Tez Parks run for no gain to the SoMis 5
+16
TD · Q3 14:03
Caleb Evans pass complete to Marcus Green for 4 yds for a TD (Craig Ford KICK)
-12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com