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UIW

Incarnate Word 16 at North Texas 58

UNT
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadUIW aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreUIW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:56 · Anthony Wyche run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:08: DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UIW win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:28: DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD INCARNATEW Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the InWrd 3 (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +0.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:48: Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:56: DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UIW win probability +0.4 pts (now 2%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:11: Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK) — UNT win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7UIW made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:08UIW 4th & 13 at UIW 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:22UNT 4th & 4 at UIW 12, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:32UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 46, up 4
    Close callPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:29UIW 4th & 16 at UIW 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:28UNT 4th & 1 at UIW 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:47UIW 4th & 2 at UIW 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:48UIW 4th & 12 at UIW 38, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:56UIW 4th & 3 at UIW 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:04UNT 4th & 8 at UIW 43, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:15UIW 4th & 3 at UNT 11, down 35
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:02UIW 4th & 12 at UIW 23, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:49UNT 4th & 8 at UIW 8, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:49UIW 4th & 7 at UIW 27, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:11UNT 4th & 4 at UIW 39, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:15UIW 4th & 4 at UNT 49, down 42
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:56UNT 4th & 9 at UIW 33, up 42
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UIW made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:08UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:32UIW Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:28UNT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:48UNT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:56UNT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:11UNT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:02UNT Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:04UNT Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:30UIW Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:5299% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+11
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 11 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.3%
Jaelon Darden run for 9 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the InWrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+17
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to DeAndre Torrey for 17 yds to the InWrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.3%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr., broken up by Ce'Cori ToldsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+13
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 13 yds to the InWrd 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
99.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+9
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Quinetin Jackson for 9 yds to the InWrd 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+10
99.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 10 yds to the InWrd 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the InWrd 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for no gain to the InWrd 1Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.0%
Jon Copeland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:08
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-3
99.0%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 13Similar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 13
OWN 13
0
99.0%
Jon Copeland run for no gain to the InWrd 13Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 13
OWN 13
0
99.0%
David Balcomb punt for 44 yds, downed at the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3FG
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:0699% → 99%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+26
98.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 26 yds to the InWrd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
98.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 13 yds to the InWrd 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.9%
Mason Fine run for 2 yds to the InWrd 16Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
98.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 4 yds to the InWrd 12Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
98.9%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+29
98.8%
Cole Hedlund 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 4TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:501% → 2%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
98.7%
INCARNATEW Penalty, personal foul (Cameron Wilson) to the InWrd 13Similar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+32
98.7%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 32 yds to the InWrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.7%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip Baptiste, broken up by Kemon HallSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+55
98.5%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 55 yds for a TD (Cody Seidel PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q1 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+6
98.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q1 5:32
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 47 yds, downed at the InWrd 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
98.5%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 3 yds to the InWrd 10Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+1
98.5%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 1 yd to the InWrd 11Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 6
OWN 11
-10
98.5%
Jon Copeland sacked by Brandon Garner and LaDarius Hamilton for a loss of 10 yards to the InWrd 1Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 16
OWN 1
0
98.5%
INCARNATEW Penalty, substitution infraction (Brandon McDuffie) to the InWrd 1Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 16
OWN 1
+3
98.5%
David Balcomb punt for 40 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 3 yds to the InWrd 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7TD
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:0098% → 98%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
98.3%
Nic Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 39Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+4
98.3%
Mason Fine run for 4 yds to the InWrd 35Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+6
98.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jaelon Darden for 6 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+2
98.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the InWrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
98.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 19 yds to the InWrd 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
98.3%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 4 yds to the InWrd 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
98.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 3 yds to the InWrd 1Similar
Q2 14:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD INCARNATEW Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the InWrd 3 (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.2%
Jon Copeland pass intercepted Nate Brooks return for 4 yds to the InWrd 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
98.3%
Nic Smith run for 3 yds to the InWrd 29Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+13
98.3%
Mason Fine pass intercepted Silas Stewart return for 13 yds to the InWrd 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 10DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.1%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 3 yds to the InWrd 42Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+6
98.1%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 6 yds to the InWrd 48Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-1
98.1%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 47Similar
Q2 13:47
4TH & 2
OWN 47
-1
98.1%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 1:0798% → 99%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+17
98.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 17 yds to the InWrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
98.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 6 yds to the InWrd 23Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+8
98.2%
Nic Smith run for 8 yds to the InWrd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 3 yds to the InWrd 28Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
98.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Garner) to the InWrd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.5%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-2
98.5%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ra'Quanne Dickens for a loss of 2 yards to the InWrd 38Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 12
OWN 38
0
98.6%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip Baptiste, broken up by Kemon HallSimilar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 12
OWN 38
0
98.6%
Cade Kostroun punt for 46 yds, downed at the NoTex 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:2099% → 98%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+30
98.5%
Mason Fine pass complete to Keegan Brewer for 30 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
98.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jason Pirtle for 22 yds to the InWrd 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
98.6%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the InWrd 30Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 8
OPP 30
-15
98.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Quinetin Jackson) to the InWrd 45Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 23
OPP 45
+15
98.6%
INCARNATEW Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jamarkese Williams) to the InWrd 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
98.6%
DeAndre Torrey run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 31Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+30
98.6%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 30 yds to the InWrd 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.6%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.2%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip BaptisteSimilar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip BaptisteSimilar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.4%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Jaelin Campbell for 7 yds to the InWrd 32Similar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+25
98.4%
Cade Kostroun punt for 38 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 25 yds to the InWrd 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.1%
Nic Smith run for 2 yds to the InWrd 43Similar
Q2 6:04
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
99.1%
Mason Fine pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:04
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.0%
Alvin Kenworthy punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
98.5%
Dorland Fields run for 2 yds to the InWrd 8Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+6
98.5%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 6 yds to the InWrd 14Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+11
98.5%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kody Edwards for 11 yds to the InWrd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.5%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Gunnar Henderson for 2 yds to the InWrd 27Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
98.5%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 4 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
98.4%
Jon Copeland run for a loss of 5 yards to the InWrd 29 Jon Copeland fumbled, recovered by NoTex E.J. EjiyaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:4599% → 100%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
99.2%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 8 yds to the InWrd 21Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+1
99.0%
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd to the InWrd 20Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-4
98.9%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Elex Woodworth) to the InWrd 24Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+7
99.1%
Mason Fine run for 7 yds to the InWrd 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
99.2%
Nic Smith run for 4 yds to the InWrd 13Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
99.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 18INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.7%
Jon Copeland run for 16 yds to the InWrd 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Lamont JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Phillip BaptisteSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Jon Copeland pass intercepted Kemon Hall return for no gain to the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:47100% → 100%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Rico Bussey Jr.Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+25
99.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 25 yds to the InWrd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jaelon DardenSimilar
Q2 0:27
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.7%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 6 yds to the InWrd 25Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+15
99.7%
INCARNATEW Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Malick Phillips) to the InWrd 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.7%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
99.8%
Cole Hedlund 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 20FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 5:450% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
99.8%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 1 yd to the InWrd 18Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+6
99.8%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 6 yds to the InWrd 24Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 24
-5
99.8%
INCARNATEW Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the InWrd 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+16
99.8%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ra'Quanne Dickens for 16 yds to the InWrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+11
99.8%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 11 yds to the InWrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kam Williams, broken up by Khairi MuhammadSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+20
99.8%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 20 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
Jon Copeland run for no gain to the NoTex 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+17
99.7%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Lamont Johnson for 17 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
99.7%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 7 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 11
0
99.7%
Kody Edwards run for no gain to the NoTex 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 11
0
99.7%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Ra'Quanne Dickens, broken up by Brandon GarnerSimilar
Q3 9:15
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+29
99.5%
Cody Seidel 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.8%
DeAndre Torrey run for 2 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+31
99.8%
Mason Fine pass complete to Kelvin Smith for 31 yds to the InWrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 35 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Ra'Quanne Dickens for 6 yds to the InWrd 31Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for no gain to the InWrd 31Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-8
99.9%
Jon Copeland sacked by Jamie King for a loss of 8 yards to the InWrd 23Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
David Balcomb punt for 26 yds, downed at the InWrd 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
2 plays · 49 yds · 0:22100% → 100%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+46
99.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 46 yds to the InWrd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 24TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:340% → 0%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 1 yd to the InWrd 26Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for a loss of 1 yard to the InWrd 25Similar
Q3 6:04
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Kody Edwards for 11 yds to the InWrd 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 3 yds to the InWrd 39Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+11
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.9%
INCARNATEW Penalty, false start (Brandon Floores) to the InWrd 45Similar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+13
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass complete to Phillip Baptiste for 13 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Kody EdwardsSimilar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+42
99.9%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 42 yds for a TD (Cody Seidel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:41100% → 100%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Mason Fine pass incomplete to Jalen GuytonSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Michael Lawrence for 3 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 7
OWN 30
+19
99.9%
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 19 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Quinn Shanbour run for 5 yds to the InWrd 46Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+15
99.9%
INCARNATEW Penalty, roughing passer (Malik Harris) to the InWrd 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 6 yds to the InWrd 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+10
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 10 yds to the InWrd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.9%
Quinn Shanbour pass complete to Evan Johnson for 9 yds to the InWrd 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Evan Johnson run for 3 yds to the InWrd 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
99.9%
Quinn Shanbour pass complete to Dennis Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the InWrd 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Quinn Shanbour pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Quinn Shanbour pass incomplete to Dennis SmithSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
99.9%
Cole Hedlund 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Ra'Quanne Dickens run for 2 yds to the InWrd 26Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Keyondrick Philio run for 1 yd to the InWrd 27Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jon Copeland pass incomplete to Ameer KingSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Cade Kostroun punt for 52 yds, downed at the NoTex 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for 5 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 26
-15
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for no gain to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Michael Lawrence) to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
99.9%
Cade Pearson pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 8 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Cade Pearson pass complete to Christian Hosley for 6 yds to the InWrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Cade Pearson pass complete to Cudjoe Young for 3 yds to the InWrd 42Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Christian Hosley run for 3 yds to the InWrd 39Similar
Q4 11:11
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Cade Pearson pass complete to Christian Hosley for no gain to the InWrd 39Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & 4
OPP 39
-6
99.9%
Cade Pearson sacked by West Lambert and Brian Lee for a loss of 6 yards to the InWrd 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UIWDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
100.0%
Dorland Fields run for 1 yd to the InWrd 46Similar
Q4 7:15
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
100.0%
Dorland Fields run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 5
50
+1
100.0%
Dorland Fields run for 1 yd to the NoTex 49Similar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 4
OPP 49
+33
100.0%
Cade Kostroun punt for 42 yds , Jaelon Darden returns for 33 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 29END OF GAME
10 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
100.0%
Anthony Wyche run for 11 yds to the InWrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
100.0%
Anthony Wyche run for 3 yds to the InWrd 46Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+12
100.0%
Anthony Wyche run for 12 yds to the InWrd 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-15
100.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (Jason Pirtle) to the InWrd 49Similar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 25
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Anthony Wyche run for 3 yds to the InWrd 46Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 22
OPP 46
+13
100.0%
Christian Hosley run for 13 yds to the InWrd 33Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 9
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Christian Hosley run for no gain to the InWrd 33Similar
Q4 4:56
4TH & 9
OPP 33
+15
99.9%
Kason Martin pass complete to Jyaire Shorter for 15 yds to the InWrd 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
100.0%
Anthony Wyche run for 4 yds to the InWrd 14Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 6
OPP 14
-3
100.0%
Anthony Wyche run for a loss of 3 yards to the InWrd 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:11
Mason Fine pass complete to Rico Bussey Jr. for 13 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 10:48
Mason Fine pass complete to Jalen Guyton for 15 yds for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 6:56
DeAndre Torrey run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Hedlund KICK)
-0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com