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EKU

Eastern Kentucky 16 at Marshall 32

MRSH
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:28 · Robert LeFevre punt for 31 yds, downed at the EKent 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Pregame prior+5.0Home team on offense+29.2Score differential+12.7Garbage-time factor+14.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+5.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:41: LJ Scott run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — EKU win probability +1.8 pts (now 6%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q2 4:38: Tyler King run for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +2.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:28: Alonzo Booth run for 7 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK) — EKU win probability +4.9 pts (now 10%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:49: Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 40 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +2.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:19: Samuel Hayworth 29 yd FG GOOD — EKU win probability +2.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8EKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00EKU 4th & 15 at EKU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:37EKU 4th & 14 at MRSH 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00MRSH 4th & 5 at MRSH 27, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:17EKU 4th & 3 at EKU 37, down 13
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:41MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:24EKU 4th & 3 at EKU 17, down 7
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:04EKU 4th & 1 at MRSH 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:48MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:17EKU 4th & 7 at MRSH 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−2.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:17MRSH 4th & 13 at MRSH 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−1.0
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00EKU 4th & 11 at EKU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:27MRSH 4th & 15 at EKU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−2.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:17MRSH 4th & 18 at MRSH 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:19EKU 4th & 12 at MRSH 12, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:28MRSH 4th & 5 at EKU 38, up 14
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    97.4%−0.3
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:06MRSH 4th & 1 at EKU 22, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.6%−0.4
    72% to make
    Punt
    96.6%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 4:28MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:14MRSH Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:41EKU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    5.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    5.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:38MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:28EKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:49MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EKUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
97.6%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Dan Paul for 9 yds to the EKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
97.6%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Jaelin Carter for 3 yds to the EKent 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
97.6%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-5
97.6%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the EKent 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-3
97.6%
Dakota Allen sacked by Channing Hames for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Dakota Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 24
0
97.6%
Phillip Richards punt for 39 yds , Jestin Morrow returns for no gain to the Marsh 37 Jestin Morrow fumbled, recovered by EKent Jaelin CarterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
97.1%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 1 yd to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+2
97.1%
Dakota Allen run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 7
OPP 34
-2
97.1%
Dakota Allen sacked by Chase Hancock for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 36Similar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 9
OPP 36
-5
97.1%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 41Similar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
97.1%
Samuel Hayworth punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3TD
13 plays · 94 yds · 4:5497% → 96%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
96.8%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+17
96.8%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Ben Bascom) to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
96.8%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+29
96.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 29 yds to the EKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
96.9%
Isaiah Green run for 7 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+1
96.9%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the EKent 39Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+6
96.9%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the EKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
96.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 8 yds to the EKent 25Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+5
96.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the EKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
96.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the EKent 24Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 14
OPP 24
-1
96.8%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 25Similar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+5
96.8%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to OBIALO, Obi (TUCKER, Jared), PENALTY EKU offside (EVANS, Taquan) 5 yards to the EKU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:28
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 20 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Justin Rohrwasser PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
Austin Scott pass intercepted Brandon Drayton return for no gain to the EKent 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5TD
7 plays · 38 yds · 3:0797% → 97%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
96.5%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Simino Walden for 6 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+6
96.5%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the EKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
96.5%
Tyler King run for 3 yds to the EKent 23Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+20
96.5%
Willie Johnson run for 20 yds to the EKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
96.5%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 6Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
96.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 6 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
96.4%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 3 yds to the EKent 33Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
96.4%
Austin Scott pass intercepted Jaylon McClain-Sapp return for no gain to the Marsh 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:2397% → 97%
Q1 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q1 0:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
96.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for 5 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
96.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
96.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:334% → 4%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.3%
LJ Scott run for no gain to the EKent 30Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
96.3%
Dakota Allen run for 1 yd to the EKent 31Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+6
96.2%
Dakota Allen run for 6 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 13:17
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
96.1%
Phillip Richards punt for 44 yds , Xavier Gaines returns for no gain to the Marsh 19 Xavier Gaines fumbled, recovered by EKent Alonzo BoothSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 9TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:404% → 6%
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
95.6%
Alonzo Booth run for no gain to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 12:21
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+8
95.6%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Alex Cabrera for 8 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-5
95.7%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 12:21
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+14
95.7%
ALLEN, Dakota pass incomplete to CARTER, Jaelin, PENALTY MAR pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 14 yards to the MAR2, 1ST DOWN EKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.9%
LJ Scott run for 2 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
94.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (Isaiah Green) to the Marsh 28Similar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 15
OWN 28
0
94.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 15
OWN 28
+14
94.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 14 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
94.8%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
94.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
94.4%
LJ Scott run for 3 yds to the EKent 13Similar
Q2 9:24
2ND & 7
OWN 13
0
94.5%
Austin Scott pass incomplete to LJ Scott, broken up by Chase HancockSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 7
OWN 13
+4
94.6%
Austin Scott pass complete to Dan Paul for 4 yds to the EKent 17Similar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
94.7%
Phillip Richards punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12INT
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
94.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 9 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+7
94.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 7 yds to the EKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
94.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
94.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 9 yds to the EKent 28Similar
Q2 7:58
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+5
94.6%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the EKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.7%
Isaiah Green pass intercepted Leodis Moore III return for no gain to the EKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 13INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
93.6%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for no gain to the EKent 24Similar
Q2 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+29
93.7%
Austin Scott pass intercepted Frankie Hernandez return for 29 yds to the EKent 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.7%
Tyler King run for 5 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 34 yds · 4:345% → 6%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
95.3%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 2 yds to the EKent 27Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
95.2%
Austin Scott pass complete to Adam Valiga for 6 yds to the EKent 33Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
95.2%
Dakota Allen run for 5 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
95.1%
Dakota Allen sacked by Ty Tyler for a loss of 7 yards to the EKent 31Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+12
95.3%
Daryl McCleskey Jr. run for 12 yds to the EKent 43Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+7
95.1%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Jackson Beerman for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
50
+11
94.9%
Dakota Allen pass complete to Jackson Beerman for 11 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
94.8%
Dakota Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
94.8%
Dakota Allen run for 8 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+1
94.1%
Dakota Allen run for 1 yd to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 1
OPP 30
-11
94.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 2:325% → 10%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.8%
Alphonso Howard run for no gain to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+7
94.8%
LJ Scott run for 7 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+15
95.0%
LJ Scott run for 15 yds to the Marsh 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
94.7%
Alphonso Howard run for 1 yd to the Marsh 7Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.7%
Alonzo Booth run for 7 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:3993% → 96%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
92.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 5
50
+11
92.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Artie Henry III for 11 yds to the EKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
92.8%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 40Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 11
OPP 40
0
92.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Willie JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+40
95.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 40 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
95.0%
Alphonso Howard run for 6 yds to the EKent 35Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+19
94.8%
Alphonso Howard run for 19 yds to the Marsh 37 Alphonso Howard fumbled, forced by Ty Tyler, recovered by Marsh Artis JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
95.7%
Isaiah Green sacked by Taquan Evans and Gavin Bryant for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+2
95.7%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
95.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 9:48
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
95.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 21MISSED FG
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:555% → 6%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
94.7%
Alphonso Howard pass incomplete to Jaelin CarterSimilar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
95.0%
Jason Lewis run for 8 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+5
94.5%
Alphonso Howard run for 5 yds to the EKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
94.5%
Alphonso Howard run for 12 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
94.2%
Alonzo Booth run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Frankie Hernandez) to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
93.7%
Alonzo Booth run for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
93.7%
Alphonso Howard pass incomplete to Dan Paul, broken up by Malik GantSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-1
94.1%
Alphonso Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
94.4%
Samuel Hayworth 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
95.8%
Willie Johnson run for 16 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
96.1%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 2 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
96.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Keion DavisSimilar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
95.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 8
OWN 48
-5
95.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 4:17
4TH & 13
OWN 43
0
95.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 23PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 2:305% → 5%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
95.0%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Justin Myles) to the EKent 19Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+3
95.1%
Alphonso Howard run for 3 yds to the EKent 22Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+8
95.2%
Jaelin Carter run for 8 yds to the EKent 30Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+5
94.7%
Alphonso Howard run for 5 yds to the EKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
94.6%
LJ Scott run for 5 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
94.8%
Alphonso Howard pass incomplete to Daryl McCleskey Jr.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+4
94.8%
Alphonso Howard run for 4 yds to the EKent 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+4
94.9%
Alphonso Howard run for 4 yds to the EKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
94.7%
Alphonso Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+2
94.8%
Jason Lewis run for 2 yds to the EKent 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-2
94.7%
Alphonso Howard sacked by Channing Hames for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
95.4%
Phillip Richards punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24FG
14 plays · 71 yds · 4:1497% → 98%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
96.5%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 12 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (Alex Mollette) to the Marsh 6Similar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 15
OWN 6
0
96.4%
Tyler King run for no gain to the Marsh 6Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 15
OWN 6
0
96.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 15
OWN 6
+20
96.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 20 yds to the Marsh 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+22
96.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 22 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani LeviasSimilar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Jordan WhitfieldSimilar
Q4 11:41
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+39
96.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 39 yds to the MARSHALL 13 for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
96.9%
DAVIS, Keion rush for 1 yard to the EKU12 (CROWDER, Steven;FOOS, Connor), PENALTY MAR holding (MOLLETTE, Alex) 10 yards to the EKU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:41
1ST & 20
OPP 23
0
96.9%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 20
OPP 23
+5
97.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for 5 yds to the EKent 18Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 15
OPP 18
0
97.1%
Tyler King run for no gain to the EKent 18Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 15
OPP 18
+35
97.8%
Justin Rohrwasser 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.2%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Armani Levias, broken up by Leodis Moore IIISimilar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-10
98.2%
KING, Tyler rush for 8 yards to the EKU36 (PATRICK, Aaron), PENALTY MAR holding (LOCKLEAR, Alex) 10 yards to the MAR46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:17
2ND & 20
OWN 46
+1
98.0%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 19
OWN 47
+1
98.0%
Tyler King run for 1 yd to the Marsh 48Similar
Q4 7:17
4TH & 18
OWN 48
0
97.8%
TEAM punt blocked by Darien Tipps-Clemons blocked by Darien Tipps-ClemonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 27FG
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:593% → 5%
Q4 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
97.4%
Dakota Allen sacked by Ty Tyler for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
97.5%
Dakota Allen pass incomplete to Jaelin CarterSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+3
97.8%
Dakota Allen run for 3 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
95.5%
Samuel Hayworth 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:5198% → 99%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
97.7%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
97.7%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
98.3%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the EKent 38Similar
Q4 3:28
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
98.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 31 yds, downed at the EKent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 29SF
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:152% → 2%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
97.9%
Dakota Allen pass incomplete to Neiko CreamerSimilar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
97.9%
Dakota Allen pass incomplete to Alex CabreraSimilar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 10
OWN 7
-7
98.3%
Dakota Allen sacked by Malik Thompson for a loss of 7 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30END OF GAME
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
98.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 17 yds to the EKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
98.8%
Tyler King run for 9 yds to the EKent 22Similar
Q4 3:06
2ND & 1
OPP 22
0
98.8%
Tyler King run for no gain to the EKent 22Similar
Q4 3:06
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
98.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Marcel WilliamsSimilar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+4
98.7%
Keion Davis run for 4 yds to the EKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
98.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:28
Alonzo Booth run for 7 yds for a TD (Samuel Hayworth KICK)
-4.9
TD · Q3 10:49
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 40 yds for a TD EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
+2.9
FG · Q4 4:19
Samuel Hayworth 29 yd FG GOOD
-2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com