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SOU

Southern 17 at Louisiana Tech 54

LT
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadSOU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreSOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDSAFETYTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:45 · Davan Dyer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Demerio Houston at the Sthrn 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Pregame prior+18.6Home team on offense+34.4Score differential+26.4Garbage-time factor+11.3Blowout margin+12.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:59: John Lampley run for 1 yd for a TD (Cesar Barajas KICK) — SOU win probability +1.3 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:02: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 17 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:15: Cesar Barajas 22 yd FG GOOD — SOU win probability +1.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: SOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:12: Jaqwis Dancy run for 32 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 34 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK) — LT win probability +1.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5SOU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:05SOU 4th & 5 at SOU 40, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:59SOU 4th & 1 at LT 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−1.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:27LT 4th & 10 at SOU 35, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%
    45% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:40SOU 4th & 19 at LT 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.4
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.5%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:24LT 4th & 1 at SOU 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.5%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05LT 4th & 4 at SOU 7, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.6%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00SOU 4th & 1 at LT 9, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:15SOU 4th & 5 at LT 5, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.7%
    92% to make
    Punt
    0.8%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:12SOU 4th & 11 at SOU 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00SOU 4th & 10 at SOU 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:45LT 4th & 3 at LT 32, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:24SOU 4th & 14 at SOU 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:42LT 4th & 10 at LT 29, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:41LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:05LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 5:22LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:24SOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 10:59SOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:02LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:12LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:00LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:06LT Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:1998% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-6
97.9%
J'Mar Smith sacked by Jahmal Tillman for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 15
+12
97.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 12 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+21
97.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 21 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
97.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 9 yds to the Sthrn 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+5
97.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 5 yds to the Sthrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+36
97.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 36 yds to the Sthrn 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.9%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 1Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 2FUMBLE
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.6%
John Lampley run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
97.6%
Devon Benn run for 12 yds to the Sthrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
97.6%
John Lampley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Sthrn 36 John Lampley fumbled, recovered by LaTch James JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:2698% → 98%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
97.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 11 yds to the Sthrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.5%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
97.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 25 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.6%
Devon Benn run for 4 yds to the Sthrn 39Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
97.6%
Devon Benn run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-1
97.6%
John Lampley sacked by Keonatye Garner and Jaylon Ferguson for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+54
97.6%
Cesar Barajas punt for 48 yds, downed at the LATECH 12 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (6 Yards) to the LaTch 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 2:4198% → 98%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
97.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+14
97.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 14 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
97.6%
Israel Tucker run for 5 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+28
97.6%
J'Mar Smith run for 28 yds to the Sthrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+22
97.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 22 yds to the Sthrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
97.6%
Israel Tucker run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 19Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
97.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
97.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 19 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 6TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:582% → 3%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
97.8%
John Lampley sacked by Immanuel Turner for a loss of 5 yards to the Sthrn 15Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 15
OWN 15
0
97.8%
Devon Benn run for no gain to the Sthrn 15Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+25
97.9%
John Lampley pass complete to Cameron Mackey for 25 yds to the Sthrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
97.8%
John Lampley pass incomplete to Devon BennSimilar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+1
97.8%
Devon Benn run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 41Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+11
97.8%
John Lampley pass complete to Hunter Register for 11 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
97.8%
John Lampley pass complete to Hunter Register for 6 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 4
OPP 42
0
97.7%
John Lampley pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+4
97.8%
John Lampley pass complete to Hunter Register for 4 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
96.8%
John Lampley pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 38 yds for a TD (Cesar Barajas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 37 yds · 1:2497% → 97%
Q1 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
97.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Israel Tucker for 4 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q1 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 19
-1
97.1%
Israel Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 18Similar
Q1 1:24
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+21
97.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Alfred Smith for 21 yds Alfred Smith fumbled, forced by Chase Foster, recovered by LaTch Alfred Smith for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
97.2%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.1%
Israel Tucker run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 48 Israel Tucker fumbled, forced by Dakavion Champion, recovered by Sthrn Calvin LunkinsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 52 yds · 3:493% → 5%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+37
96.7%
Kendall Catalon pass complete to Trey Smith for 37 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
96.5%
K. Catalon pass complete to J. Carter for loss of 7 yards to the TECH22 (BRADFORD, J.;FERGUSON, J.), PENALTY SUBR illegal touching off-setting, PENALTY TECH personal foul off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
96.5%
John Lampley run for 9 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+1
96.5%
Carlos Stephens run for 1 yd to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
96.5%
Carlos Stephens run for 4 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 12:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.5%
Carlos Stephens run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.6%
Devon Benn run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
John Lampley run for 1 yd for a TD (Cesar Barajas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
9 plays · 85 yds · 1:5796% → 97%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+50
95.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 50 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for no gain to the Sthrn 35Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Teddy VealSimilar
Q2 10:27
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
95.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 10:27
4TH & 10
OPP 35
+13
95.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 13 yds to the Sthrn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 5 yds to the Sthrn 17Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+17
97.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 17 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 10MISSED FG
18 plays · 56 yds · 6:223% → 4%
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
96.6%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
96.6%
John Lampley pass complete to Devon Benn for 6 yds to the Sthrn 32Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+3
96.6%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
96.7%
John Lampley run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+19
96.5%
Cameron Mackey run for 4 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (James Jackson) to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
96.4%
J. Lampley rush for 4 yards to the TECH37 (TAYLOR, Connor), PENALTY SUBR holding (A. Opara) 10 yards to the SUBR49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+1
96.7%
John Lampley pass complete to Devon Benn for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 19
50
+5
96.7%
J. Lampley pass incomplete to C. Mackey (LEWIS, Daniel), PENALTY TECH offside (ROBERTSON, Amik) 5 yards to the TECH45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+10
96.6%
John Lampley pass complete to Trey Smith for 10 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+11
96.4%
John Lampley pass complete to Jamar Washington for 11 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
96.3%
John Lampley pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 3 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+9
96.3%
Devon Benn run for 9 yds to the LaTch 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
96.3%
John Lampley sacked by Matthew Ydarraga and L'Jarius Sneed for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 17Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
96.5%
John Lampley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 15
OPP 17
-4
96.7%
John Lampley sacked by Willie Baker for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 19
OPP 21
+38
96.5%
Cesar Barajas 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Amik Robertson Amik Robertson return for no gain to the LaTch 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11FG
14 plays · 72 yds · 2:3596% → 97%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+28
96.4%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Rhashid Bonnette for 13 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
96.6%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 16 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
96.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Rhashid BonnetteSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
96.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+11
96.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 11 yds to the Sthrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 33 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaTch J'Mar SmithSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 19
OPP 33
0
96.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 19
OPP 33
+18
96.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Teddy Veal for 18 yds to the Sthrn 15Similar
Q2 1:24
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
96.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
96.7%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Alfred SmithSimilar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
96.7%
J'Mar Smith run for 6 yds to the Sthrn 7Similar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
96.6%
J'Mar Smith pass incomplete to Adrian HardySimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
97.0%
Bailey Hale 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 13FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 6:453% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
96.6%
Devon Benn run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
96.4%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the Sthrn 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+23
96.4%
John Lampley pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 23 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
96.2%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+16
95.9%
John Lampley pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 16 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
95.9%
John Lampley pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 3 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+2
95.9%
John Lampley run for 2 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+4
96.1%
John Lampley run for 4 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+3
96.1%
Devon Benn run for 3 yds to the LaTch 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
95.9%
John Lampley run for 5 yds to the LaTch 1Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
95.9%
Devon Benn run for no gain to the LaTch 1Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
96.1%
Carlos Stephens run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 8:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
94.7%
Cesar Barajas 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:0396% → 99%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
95.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Adrian Hardy for 14 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+24
96.1%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Jaqwis Dancy for 9 yds to the LATECH 47 for a 1ST down SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Sthrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.1%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
98.7%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 32 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
98.4%
Christopher Chaney run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 28Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-4
98.4%
John Lampley pass complete to Christopher Chaney for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 24Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 15
OWN 24
+17
98.5%
John Lampley pass complete to Trey Smith for 17 yds to the Sthrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
98.4%
Christopher Chaney run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 1
50
-10
98.3%
J. Lampley pass complete to C. Mackey for no gain to the 50 yardline, PENALTY SUBR holding 10 yards to the SUBR40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 11
OWN 40
0
98.4%
John Lampley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
98.4%
John Lampley pass incomplete to Kendall CatalonSimilar
Q3 7:12
4TH & 11
OWN 40
0
98.5%
Cesar Barajas punt for 44 yds, downed at the LaTch 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 4:1398% → 100%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
98.4%
Kam McKnight run for 3 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+6
98.3%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 6 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+2
98.4%
Jaqwis Dancy run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
98.4%
SMITH, J'Mar pass incomplete to SCOTT, George, PENALTY SUBR pass interference (T. Thompson) 13 yards to the TECH40, 1ST DOWN TECH, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.4%
Kam McKnight run for 3 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+11
98.5%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Javonte Woodard for 11 yds to the Sthrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
98.5%
Justin Henderson run for 11 yds to the Sthrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.5%
Kam McKnight run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 34Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+34
99.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 34 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Devon Benn run for a loss of 1 yard to the Sthrn 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
John Lampley run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
John Lampley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 56 yds , Smoke Harris returns for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 22 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, IB (8 Yards) to the LaTch 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
99.9%
J'Mar Smith pass complete to George Scott for 5 yds to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+12
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 12 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kam McKnight run for no gain to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
J'Mar Smith run for 7 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
J'Mar Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:45
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Davan Dyer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Demerio Houston at the Sthrn 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:400% → 0%
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
99.9%
John Lampley pass complete to Kendall Catalon for 6 yds to the Sthrn 36Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
99.9%
John Lampley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
John Lampley run for 5 yds to the Sthrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
John Lampley pass complete to Jamar Washington for 3 yds to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q4 10:24
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
99.9%
John Lampley run for no gain to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-7
99.9%
John Lampley sacked by Charles Adeola and Milton Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Sthrn 37Similar
Q4 10:24
4TH & 14
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Cesar Barajas punt for 34 yds, downed at the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-2
99.9%
Aaron Allen sacked by Tyran Nash for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:42
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Davan Dyer punt for 66 yds, downed at the Sthrn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SOUDrive 21SF
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:370% → 0%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 5
0
100.0%
Joe Davis run for no gain to the Sthrn 5Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 5
0
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY TEAM fumbled, recovered by Sthrn for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:24100% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 10 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 8 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
100.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jake Norris for 9 yds to the Sthrn 44Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 1
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Aaron Allen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+1
99.9%
Justin Henderson run for 1 yd to the Sthrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
100.0%
Justin Henderson run for 7 yds to the Sthrn 36Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+8
100.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Jake Norris for 8 yds to the Sthrn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
100.0%
Jordan Myles run for 2 yds to the Sthrn 26Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-4
100.0%
Aaron Allen run for a loss of 4 yards to the Sthrn 30Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 12
OPP 30
+30
100.0%
Aaron Allen pass complete to Smoke Harris for 30 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:12
Jaqwis Dancy run for 32 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+2.6
FG · Q3 8:15
Cesar Barajas 22 yd FG GOOD
-1.4
TD · Q3 0:00
J'Mar Smith pass complete to Smoke Harris for 34 yds for a TD (Bailey Hale KICK)
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com