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AF

Air Force 26 at Florida Atlantic 33

FAU
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreAF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:16 · Charlie Scott punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlAtl 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+26.0+13.00−13.0−26.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+16.0Home team on offense+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:12: Devin Singletary run for 36 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK) — FAU win probability +8.5 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:27: Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 17 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — FAU win probability +8.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:46: Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 12 yds for a TD — AF win probability +11.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 11:46: Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 8 yds to the AFA 33 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (Reggie Bain) to the AFA 48 — FAU win probability +18.6 pts (now 84%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:40: Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 7 — AF win probability +20.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6AF made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 10:16FAU 4th & 6 at AF 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    70.3%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:16AF 4th & 10 at AF 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:22FAU 4th & 9 at AF 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00AF 4th & 2 at FAU 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    28.0%−1.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:51AF 4th & 1 at AF 41, down 6
    Close callPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:50AF 4th & 1 at FAU 1, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    13.1%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:15AF 4th & 1 at AF 13, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.4
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:00FAU 4th & 11 at FAU 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−1.7
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:07AF 4th & 8 at AF 24, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:35FAU 4th & 12 at AF 49, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−3.0
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00AF 4th & 6 at FAU 47, down 5
    Close callPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.4%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:41AF 4th & 18 at FAU 40, down 5
    Numbers favored punt by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.1%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    26.2%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    26.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:23FAU 4th & 1 at FAU 34, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.6%−2.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:25AF 4th & 2 at FAU 25, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    21.3%−3.4
    66% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−13.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:50FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 24, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−2.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2AF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:12FAU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:50AF Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:27FAU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    82.7%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    82.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:46AF Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:4467% → 68%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
67.4%
Devin Singletary run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
67.4%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
67.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 2 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
67.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to DeSean Holmes for 9 yds to the FlAtl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
67.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+15
67.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 15 yds to the AFA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
67.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 7 yds to the AFA 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+9
67.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 9 yds to the AFA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
67.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Dante Cousart for 10 yds to the AFA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
67.4%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the AFA 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
67.4%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
67.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 6 yds to the AFA 6Similar
Q1 10:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
67.5%
Vladimir Rivas 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0033% → 32%
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
67.3%
Isaiah Sanders run for 9 yds to the AFA 26Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+3
67.1%
Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
67.3%
Cole Fagan run for 7 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-4
67.0%
Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 32Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 7
OWN 32
-3
67.4%
Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the AFA 29 AIR FORCE Penalty, IB ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
67.6%
Charlie Scott punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlAtl 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 3:5967% → 70%
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
67.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 6 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+3
67.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 43 lat. to Willie Wright for no gain to the FlAtl 43 to Willie Wright for 3 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+7
67.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 10
50
-5
67.8%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal motion (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q1 7:21
1ST & 15
OWN 45
+1
67.4%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 46Similar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 14
OWN 46
+5
67.3%
Devin Singletary run for 5 yds to the AFA 49Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 9
OPP 49
+5
67.7%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to HARRISON, T, PENALTY AF offside (JACKSON, Jordan) 5 yards to the AF44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+15
68.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 15 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
68.6%
Willie Wright run for 12 yds to the AFA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
68.6%
Chris Robison run for no gain to the AFA 17Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+1
68.6%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 1 yd to the AFA 16Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 9
OPP 16
0
68.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie WrightSimilar
Q1 3:22
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+34
69.9%
Vladimir Rivas 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:2231% → 31%
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
69.5%
Cole Fagan run for 12 yds to the AFA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
69.2%
Joseph Saucier run for 4 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+9
68.6%
Cole Fagan run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
50
+2
68.4%
Cole Fagan run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+5
68.4%
Garrett Amy run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 43Similar
Q1 3:22
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+1
68.5%
Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 42
+1
69.4%
Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5FUMBLE
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0071% → 72%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
71.2%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Jovon Durante, broken up by Dailen SuttonSimilar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
70.8%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+15
70.7%
Chris Robison pass complete to Ronald Patterson for 15 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
71.3%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the AFA 40Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-6
71.3%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 6 yards to the AFA 46 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, IB ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 15
OPP 46
+17
70.3%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 17 yds to the AFA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
71.5%
Willie Wright run for 1 yd to the AFA 28Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 9
OPP 28
-4
71.5%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 32 Kerrith Whyte Jr. fumbled, recovered by AFA Arion WorthmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
70.3%
Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
69.9%
Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the AFA 37Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+4
70.3%
Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the AFA 41Similar
Q2 11:51
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
70.4%
Charlie Scott punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jalen Young at the FlAtl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:2272% → 82%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
71.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 6 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+12
72.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 12 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
72.9%
ROBISON, Chris sacked for loss of 12 yards to the FAU30 (NOREN, Parker), PENALTY AF personal foul (DARBY, Ryan) 15 yards to the AF43, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.1%
Devin Singletary run for no gain to the AFA 43Similar
Q2 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
73.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 7 yds to the AFA 36Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+36
81.5%
Devin Singletary run for 36 yds for a TD (Vladimir Rivas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 8TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:2221% → 29%
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
79.4%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 38 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
78.3%
Isaiah Sanders run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+4
77.3%
Nolan Eriksen run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
77.3%
Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+14
77.3%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 14 yds to the FlAtl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
77.3%
Nolan Eriksen run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
77.3%
Isaiah Sanders run for no gain to the FlAtl 3Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
78.1%
Isaiah Sanders run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
71.2%
Nolan Eriksen run for 1 yd for a TD (Matthew Philichi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:2374% → 84%
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
73.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 30 yds to the AFA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
75.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 12 yds to the AFA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
75.6%
Chris Robison pass complete to Harrison Bryant for 19 yds to the AFA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
75.6%
Devin Singletary run for 1 yd to the AFA 13Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-4
75.6%
Chris Robison sacked by Blake Dailey and Ross Connors for a loss of 4 yards to the AFA 17Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+17
84.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 17 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:1218% → 19%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
81.9%
Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the AFA 5Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+3
81.7%
Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 8Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 6
OWN 8
+5
81.3%
Cole Fagan run for 5 yds to the AFA 13Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 1
OWN 13
0
81.1%
Charlie Scott punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
82.5%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Willie Wright FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:1420% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
80.0%
Nolan Eriksen run for 6 yds to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
79.5%
Nolan Eriksen run for no gain to the AFA 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
79.9%
Nolan Eriksen run for 10 yds to the AFA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
79.4%
Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+49
79.9%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Marcus Bennett for 49 yds to the FlAtl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
77.4%
Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 13 Isaiah Sanders fumbled, recovered by AFA Marcus Bennett , return for 2 yds to the FlAtl 13Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 13
+1
77.7%
Cole Fagan run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
65.8%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 12 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 13TD
1 play · 92 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
84.4%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 8 yds to the AFA 33 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (Reggie Bain) to the AFA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 14TD
1 play · 69 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q3 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-3
63.9%
Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15PUNT
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q3 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 49
0
71.7%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Ronald Patterson, broken up by Dailen SuttonSimilar
Q3 6:00
4TH & 11
OWN 49
0
70.4%
Sebastian Riella punt for 29 yds, downed at the AFA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
69.0%
Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the AFA 26Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
68.6%
Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Marcus BennettSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-2
70.2%
Isaiah Sanders run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 24Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 8
OWN 24
0
71.3%
Charlie Scott punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dante Cousart at the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0072% → 70%
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
72.2%
Chris Robison pass complete to Tavaris Harrison for 20 yds to the AFA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
75.0%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 2 yards to the AFA 49Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 12
OPP 49
0
73.4%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Tavaris HarrisonSimilar
Q3 2:35
3RD & 12
OPP 49
0
72.3%
Chris Robison pass incomplete to Harrison Bryant, broken up by Garrett KauppilaSimilar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 12
OPP 49
+31
69.9%
Sebastian Riella punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Ronald Cleveland at the AFA 18 AIR FORCE Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 1:2831% → 32%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
69.1%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Ronald Cleveland for 9 yds to the AFA 27Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+3
67.2%
Cole Fagan run for 3 yds to the AFA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
68.6%
Cole Fagan run for 9 yds to the AFA 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
0
65.6%
Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Ronald ClevelandSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+10
65.9%
Taven Birdow run for 10 yds to the AFA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
64.9%
Isaiah Sanders run for no gain to the AFA 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
66.1%
AIR FORCE Penalty, false start (Parker Ferguson) to the AFA 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
68.5%
Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Taven BirdowSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 44
+9
69.4%
Taven Birdow run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
68.2%
Charlie Scott punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5875% → 81%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+49
75.1%
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 49 yds to the AFA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
79.3%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the AFA 29Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+2
79.3%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the AFA 27Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+6
77.8%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 6 yds to the AFA 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-5
79.3%
ROBISON, Chris pass incomplete to HARRISON, T, PENALTY FAU ineligible downfield on pass (BRYANT, Harriso) 5 yards to the AF26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 15
OPP 26
+26
80.5%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 26 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 20DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
69.6%
Nolan Eriksen run for 8 yds to the AFA 34Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+4
66.4%
Cole Fagan run for 4 yds to the AFA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
67.9%
Andrew Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the AFA 37Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+18
69.1%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Geraud Sanders for 18 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
64.1%
Taven Birdow run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+10
64.1%
Isaiah Sanders run for 10 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
62.4%
Isaiah Sanders run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 31Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
62.6%
Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 6
OPP 28
-12
64.0%
Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25 AIR FORCE Penalty, illegal block (Nolan Laufenberg) to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 18
OPP 40
0
68.7%
Isaiah Sanders pass incomplete to Geraud Sanders, broken up by James PierreSimilar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 18
OPP 40
+15
70.6%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Andrew Smith for 15 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5884% → 87%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
84.3%
SINGLETARY, D rush for 75 yards to the AF0, clock 05:21, PENALTY FAU holding (RILES, Antonio) 10 yards to the FAU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:21
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+13
84.0%
Chris Robison pass complete to Willie Wright for 13 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
84.4%
Kerrith Whyte Jr. run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q4 5:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
84.0%
Devin Singletary run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
87.4%
Devin Singletary run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0024% → 20%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-4
76.5%
Isaiah Sanders sacked by Ernest Bagner for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 14
OPP 37
+9
80.5%
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Nolan Eriksen for 9 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+3
78.4%
Isaiah Sanders run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+1
80.0%
Ronald Cleveland run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23PUNT TD
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:1092% → 96%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
92.3%
Devin Singletary run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+1
92.7%
Chris Robison run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-4
92.4%
Chris Robison run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+5
95.6%
Sebastian Riella punt blocked by Garrett Kauppila blocked by Garrett Kauppila Lakota Wills return for 5 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 24INT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:008% → 9%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
92.0%
SANDERS, Isaiah pass incomplete to SANDERS, Geraud, PENALTY AF holding (HATTOK, Scott) 10 yards to the AF27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+5
92.8%
Isaiah Sanders run for 5 yds to the AFA 32Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 15
OWN 32
+14
93.0%
SANDERS, Isaiah pass incomplete to BENNETT, Marcus, PENALTY FAU pass interference (GILBERT, Zyon) 14 yards to the AF46, 1ST DOWN AF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
91.3%
Isaiah Sanders pass intercepted Ocie Rose return for no gain to the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -7 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
96.6%
Team run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlAtl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:40
Ronald Cleveland run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlAtl 7
-20.5
TD · Q3 11:46
Chris Robison pass complete to Jovon Durante for 8 yds to the AFA 33 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (Reggie Bain) to the AFA 48
+18.6
TD · Q3 11:46
Isaiah Sanders pass complete to Kade Waguespack for 12 yds for a TD
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com