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APP

App State 45 at Charlotte 9

CLT
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDFUMBLETDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:28 · Kyle Corbett punt for 40 yds , Clifton Duck returns for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Home team on offense−54.6Pregame prior−4.7Score differential−41.2Garbage-time factor−15.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 10:25: Chandler Staton 31 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +1.8 pts (now 25%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:03: Zac Thomas run for 5 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +2.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:46: Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 27 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +6.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:37: Jonathan Cruz 54 yd FG GOOD — CLT win probability +3.2 pts (now 21%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:43: Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +8.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9APP made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 10:25APP 4th & 3 at CLT 14, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.2%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    79.8%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:25CLT 4th & 1 at CLT 34, down 3
    Close callPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:18APP 4th & 11 at APP 39, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:08CLT 4th & 10 at CLT 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:05CLT 4th & 29 at APP 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:37CLT 4th & 12 at APP 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.0%
    40% to make
    Punt
    15.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00CLT 4th & 3 at CLT 46, down 15
    Close callPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:27APP 4th & 3 at APP 42, up 15
    Close callPunted · 87.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:01CLT 4th & 16 at CLT 7, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:01CLT 4th & 1 at APP 16, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.6%−2.2
    81% to make
    Punt
    -4.3%−9.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:01CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 21, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:04APP 4th & 2 at CLT 11, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:28CLT 4th & 12 at CLT 23, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:11APP 4th & 10 at APP 46, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:03APP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:46APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:43APP Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:45APP Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:3577% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
22.9%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
22.9%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+34
22.9%
Jalin Moore run for 19 yds to the Charl 48 for a 1ST down CHARLOTTE Penalty, personal foul (Ben DeLuca) to the Charl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
22.9%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+13
22.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 13 yds to the Charl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
22.9%
Jalin Moore run for 3 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+5
22.9%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the Charl 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 13
-1
22.9%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 14Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 3
OPP 14
+31
24.7%
Chandler Staton 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
24.9%
Benny LeMay run for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
25.1%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
24.9%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
24.7%
Kyle Corbett punt for 22 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for no gain to the AppSt 40 Thomas Hennigan fumbled, recovered by AppSt Thomas HenniganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
25.4%
Zac Thomas sacked by Anthony Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 34Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+1
25.8%
Jalin Moore run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+4
26.0%
Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
26.0%
Clayton Howell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
26.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
26.8%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
26.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 2 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
26.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
26.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
26.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Mark QuattlebaumSimilar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
25.9%
Jackson Vansickle punt for 35 yds, downed at the AppSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:5873% → 76%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
27.3%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+5
27.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+4
26.9%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+38
26.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 38 yds to the Charl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
26.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 4 yds to the Charl 16Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+11
26.4%
Darrynton Evans run for 11 yds to the Charl 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
23.7%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 6FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 6:5824% → 26%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
23.9%
Cameron Bent run for 1 yd to the Charl 25Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+28
23.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 28 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
24.9%
Chris Reynolds run for no gain to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
24.8%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Darren Drake) to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+13
24.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 13 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+12
24.9%
Hasaan Klugh run for 12 yds to the AppSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
25.5%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+16
25.5%
Benny LeMay run for 16 yds to the AppSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
25.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-21
25.5%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Noel Cook for a loss of 11 yards to the AppSt 22 CHARLOTTE Penalty, intentional grounding (Chris Reynolds) to the AppSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 32
+3
24.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for 3 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 29
+46
25.7%
Jonathan Cruz 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1974% → 82%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
25.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 17 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
24.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 14 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
24.6%
Jalin Moore run for 4 yds to the Charl 40Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+11
24.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 11 yds to the Charl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
24.3%
Jalin Moore run for 2 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+27
17.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 27 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 8FG
14 plays · 39 yds · 5:0919% → 21%
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
19.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Aaron McAllister, broken up by Clifton DuckSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
19.0%
Chris Reynolds run for 1 yd to the Charl 25Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+11
18.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 11 yds to the Charl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
19.6%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 37Similar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+6
19.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 6 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+7
20.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
50
+15
20.4%
LEMAY, Benny rush for loss of 4 yards to the CHA46 (Jackson, D.), PENALTY APP personal foul (Jackson, D.) 15 yards to the APP35, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
20.8%
Hasaan Klugh pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:46
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-2
20.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Mark Quattlebaum for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 6:46
3RD & 12
OPP 37
0
20.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Austin ExfordSimilar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 12
OPP 37
+54
21.2%
Jonathan Cruz 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 0:5478% → 91%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
21.7%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
20.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 3
OWN 47
-1
20.6%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 46Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+9
21.0%
Zac Thomas run for 9 yds to the Charl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+38
20.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 38 yds to the Charl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
9.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 10FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:3515% → 21%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-6
14.8%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Okon Godwin and Jordan Fehr for a loss of 6 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 16
50
+19
20.5%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the CHARLOTTE 46 for a 1ST down APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, personal foul (Josh Thomas) to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
21.1%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
21.0%
Hasaan Klugh pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+48
21.0%
Jonathan Cruz 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
14.4%
Jalin Moore run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
17.0%
LEMAY, Benny rush for 6 yards to the CHA31 (Davis-Gaither;Cook, Noel), PENALTY CHA IB 10 yards to the CHA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+8
16.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 8 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+7
16.8%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 7 yds to the Charl 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
16.9%
Chris Reynolds run for 9 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
18.0%
Calvin Camp run for no gain to the Charl 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
17.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 7 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 46
0
18.1%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Jacob HuntSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 46
0
17.9%
Kyle Corbett punt for 31 yds, downed at the AppSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
13.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 6 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+6
13.3%
Jalin Moore run for 6 yds to the AppSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
13.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Darrynton Evans for 3 yds to the AppSt 38Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
12.8%
Darrynton Evans run for 3 yds to the AppSt 41Similar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+1
12.9%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
13.7%
Clayton Howell punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 14PUNT RETURN TD
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:5714% → 5%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
14.3%
Keshaun McGaugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 14Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 9
OWN 14
+4
14.2%
Chris Reynolds run for 4 yds to the Charl 18Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 18
-5
14.1%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Jaelin Fisher) to the Charl 13Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 10
OWN 13
-5
14.0%
CHARLOTTE Penalty, false start (Chris Brown) to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 15
OWN 8
-1
14.0%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 7Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 16
OWN 7
+59
4.6%
Kyle Corbett punt for 52 yds , Thomas Hennigan returns for 59 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 58 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
4.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass intercepted by Thomas, Josh at the APP38, Thomas, Josh return to the APP38, PENALTY APP personal foul (Flory, Anthony) 15 yards to the CHA40, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
5.0%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 44Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
5.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
5.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
5.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 6 yds to the AppSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
5.4%
Aaron McAllister run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 38Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
5.3%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 11
OPP 38
+13
5.3%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Aaron McAllister for 13 yds to the AppSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
5.8%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the AppSt 21Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+3
5.8%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 3
OPP 18
+2
5.7%
Hasaan Klugh run for 2 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q3 6:01
4TH & 1
OPP 16
-1
5.6%
Hasaan Klugh run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16TD
3 plays · 83 yds · 0:3798% → 99%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
2.3%
Darrynton Evans run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-5
2.3%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Cole Garrison) to the AppSt 10Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+90
0.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 90 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.3%
Keshaun McGaugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 26Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+46
1.3%
Chris Reynolds pass intercepted, touchback. Desmond Franklin return for 46 yds Desmond Franklin fumbled, forced by Chris Reynolds, recovered by CharlSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
0.7%
Keshaun McGaugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 21Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
0.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Chris PhillipsSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
0.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Keshaun McGaugh, broken up by Noel CookSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
0.7%
Kyle Corbett punt for 45 yds, downed at the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19FUMBLE
7 plays · 65 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+27
0.6%
Marc. Williams run for 27 yds to the Charl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
0.6%
Marc. Williams run for 1 yd to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+19
0.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 19 yds to the Charl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
0.5%
Marc. Williams run for 1 yd to the Charl 18Similar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+7
0.5%
D'Andre Hicks run for 7 yds to the Charl 11Similar
Q4 13:04
3RD & 2
OPP 11
0
0.5%
D'Andre Hicks run for no gain to the Charl 11Similar
Q4 13:04
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+9
0.6%
Zac Thomas run for 9 yds to the Charl 1 Zac Thomas fumbled, forced by Denzel Irvin, recovered by Charl Ben DeLucaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 20FUMBLE TD
1 play · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
0.2%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 1 yard Calvin Camp fumbled, recovered by AppSt Austin Exford for a TD APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 8 (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
0.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Charl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the Charl 32Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-2
0.2%
Cameron Dollar run for a loss of 2 yards to the Charl 30Similar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-7
0.2%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Brody Barrett and Ryan Huff for a loss of 7 yards to the Charl 23Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-3
0.2%
Kyle Corbett punt for 40 yds , Clifton Duck returns for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.2%
Marc. Williams run for 2 yds to the AppSt 36Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-1
0.2%
D'Andre Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 35Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+11
0.2%
Peyton Derrick run for 11 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
0.2%
D'Andre Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+2
0.2%
D'Andre Hicks run for 2 yds to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 7:11
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Jacob Huesman pass complete to D'Andre Hicks for no gain to the AppSt 46Similar
Q4 7:11
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 24END OF GAME
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.1%
Calvin Camp run for 6 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
0.1%
Calvin Camp run for 3 yds to the Charl 34Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
0.1%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
0.1%
Calvin Camp run for 4 yds to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 4 yds to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+3
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 3 yds to the Charl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
0.1%
KLUGH, Hassan rush for no gain to the CHA46 (Jolly, Shaun), PENALTY CHA illegal block (CARRIERE, Ryan) 15 yards to the CHA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+1
0.1%
Hasaan Klugh run for 1 yd to the Charl 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:43
Zac Thomas pass complete to Dominique Heath for 7 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
-8.8
TD · Q2 6:46
Zac Thomas pass complete to Corey Sutton for 27 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
-6.4
FG · Q2 1:37
Jonathan Cruz 54 yd FG GOOD
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com