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JKST

Jackson State 7 at Southern Miss 55

USM
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadJKST aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreJKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFUMBLETDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:27 · Christian Jacquemin punt for 44 yds , Quez Watkins returns for 29 yds to the JckSt 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+42.4Home team on offense+4.1Score differential+1.2Blowout margin+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Garbage-time factor+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:16: Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 28 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — JKST win probability +0.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 3:00: Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 22 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +0.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 14:07: Parker Shaunfield 46 yd FG GOOD — USM win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q2 6:55: Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard Jordan Johnson fumbled, forced by Delmond Landry, recovered by SoMis Xavier Marion , return for 26 yds (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: JKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:53: Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 2 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK) — USM win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 5 of 5JKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:16JKST 4th & 1 at JKST 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:27JKST 4th & 10 at JKST 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.4%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:07USM 4th & 7 at JKST 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:07JKST 4th & 10 at JKST 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:24USM 4th & 19 at USM 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.5
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:04JKST 4th & 9 at JKST 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:55JKST 4th & 10 at JKST 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:20USM 4th & 3 at USM 23, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:47JKST 4th & 8 at JKST 14, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:23USM 4th & 2 at JKST 12, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:13JKST 4th & 6 at USM 42, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:02JKST 4th & 15 at USM 23, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:25JKST 4th & 10 at USM 39, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:57USM 4th & 1 at JKST 47, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:48JKST 4th & 5 at JKST 30, down 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5JKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:16USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:00USM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:53USM Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:13USM Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:00JKST Touchdown, down 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:48USM Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1TD
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:4497% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
97.2%
Tez Parks run for 1 yd to the SoMis 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+18
97.2%
Tez Parks run for 18 yds to the JckSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
97.2%
Jack Abraham sacked by Elvia Payton for a loss of 5 yards to the JckSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+4
97.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 4 yds to the JckSt 39Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 39
+5
97.2%
ABRAHAM, Jack deep pass incomplete to WATKINS, Quez (Holmes, CJ), PENALTY JKST offside defense 5 yards to the JKST34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+6
97.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 6 yds to the JckSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
97.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 28 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.9%
Jordan Johnson run for 2 yds to the JckSt 27Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-2
96.9%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Terrell Kennedy III for a loss of 2 yards to the JckSt 25Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.9%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Carle Ollie for 9 yds to the JckSt 34Similar
Q1 12:16
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-7
96.9%
Christian Jacquemin punt for 57 yds , Quez Watkins returns for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3TD
17 plays · 98 yds · 7:1397% → 97%
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
96.7%
Tez Parks run for 1 yd to the SoMis 3Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+10
96.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 10 yds to the SoMis 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
96.7%
Tez Parks run for 2 yds to the SoMis 15Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+8
96.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 8 yds to the SoMis 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
96.7%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim JonesSimilar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
96.7%
T'Rod Daniels run for 3 yds to the SoMis 26Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+10
96.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 10 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
96.7%
Jack Abraham sacked by Leroy Roddy for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 32Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+13
96.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to T'Rod Daniels for 13 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+11
96.8%
T'Rod Daniels run for 11 yds to the JckSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
96.8%
T'Rod Daniels run for 1 yd to the JckSt 43Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
96.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 10 yds to the JckSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
96.8%
Tez Parks run for 3 yds to the JckSt 30Similar
Q1 10:13
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+5
96.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 5 yds to the JckSt 25Similar
Q1 3:34
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+3
95.9%
Tez Parks run for 3 yds to the JckSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
96.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 22 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:274% → 4%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
96.4%
Jordan Johnson run for 5 yds to the JckSt 22Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 5
OWN 22
-3
96.2%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Terrell Kennedy III for a loss of 3 yards to the JckSt 19Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-2
96.3%
Derrick Ponder sacked by Demarrio Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the JckSt 17Similar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+29
96.3%
Christian Jacquemin punt for 44 yds , Quez Watkins returns for 29 yds to the JckSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:3597% → 98%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for no gain to the JckSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
96.5%
Tez Parks run for 3 yds to the JckSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
96.4%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond AdamsSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
97.6%
Parker Shaunfield 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.8%
Keshawn Harper run for 5 yds to the JckSt 30Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
96.7%
Keshawn Harper run for 4 yds to the JckSt 36 Keshawn Harper fumbled, forced by Sherrod Ruff, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.7%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the JckSt 36Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.7%
Jordan Johnson run for no gain to the JckSt 36Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
96.8%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Carle OllieSimilar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
96.8%
Christian Jacquemin punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Quez Watkins at the SoMis 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 2:3098% → 98%
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+12
97.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Neil McLaurin for 12 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
97.9%
T'Rod Daniels run for 2 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
97.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to T'Rod DanielsSimilar
Q2 11:54
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+10
97.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 10 yds to the JckSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
97.9%
Tez Parks run for a loss of 4 yards to the JckSt 49Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 14
OPP 49
0
97.9%
Tez Parks run for no gain to the JckSt 49Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 14
OPP 49
-5
97.9%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 46Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 19
OWN 46
0
97.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond AdamsSimilar
Q2 9:24
4TH & 19
OWN 46
0
97.8%
Zac Everett punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 8PUNT RETURN TD
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:083% → 2%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
96.6%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Kobe Gates for no gain to the JckSt 12Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+12
96.7%
Jordan Johnson run for 12 yds to the JckSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
96.6%
Ponder, Derrick deep pass incomplete to Wallace, R, PENALTY USM pass interference (MITCHELL, R.) 15 yards to the JKST39, 1ST DOWN JKST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
96.5%
Keshawn Harper run for 1 yd to the JckSt 40Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
96.5%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
96.3%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Terrell Kennedy IIISimilar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 9
OWN 40
+81
97.8%
Christian Jacquemin punt for 41 yds , Quez Watkins returns for 81 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 9FUMBLE TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
99.0%
Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard Jordan Johnson fumbled, forced by Delmond Landry, recovered by SoMis Xavier Marion , return for 26 yds (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Keshawn HarperSimilar
Q2 6:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Carle OllieSimilar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
99.0%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Christian Jacquemin punt for 59 yds, downed at the SoMis 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
99.0%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jaylond Adams for 7 yds to the SoMis 23Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 3
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Tez Parks run for no gain to the SoMis 23Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
99.0%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jaylond AdamsSimilar
Q2 6:20
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
98.9%
Zac Everett punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.3%
Juavon Brown run for 4 yds to the JckSt 43 Juavon Brown fumbled, forced by Xavier Marion, recovered by SoMis Delmond LandrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 13TD
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:5099% → 100%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+24
99.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 24 yds to the JckSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
99.3%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Tim Jones for 17 yds to the JckSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.3%
Tez Parks run for a loss of 1 yard to the JckSt 3Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.3%
Tez Parks run for 1 yd to the JckSt 2Similar
Q2 2:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 2 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Romello Shumake for 2 yds to the JckSt 14Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Cameron HinesSimilar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Ra'Meik WallaceSimilar
Q2 2:47
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
99.6%
Christian Jacquemin punt for 16 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the JckSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 15FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
99.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 10 yds to the JckSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 1 yd to the JckSt 19Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+7
99.5%
Tez Parks run for 7 yds to the JckSt 12Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 2
OPP 12
0
99.5%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Tim JonesSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
99.6%
Parker Shaunfield 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 16INT
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.6%
JACKSON ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the JckSt 20Similar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass intercepted Shannon Showers return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 19 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
50
+19
99.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to De'Michael Harris for 19 yds to the JckSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass intercepted Ky'el Hemby return for 4 yds to the JckSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 19TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
99.7%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 4 yds to the JckSt 22Similar
Q3 14:45
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-2
99.7%
Trivenskey Mosley run for a loss of 2 yards to the JckSt 24Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+24
99.7%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 24 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 20MISSED FG
18 plays · 52 yds · 5:110% → 0%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Keshawn Harper for 6 yds to the JckSt 31Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.7%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Keene Young for 6 yds to the JckSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.7%
Keshawn Harper run for 4 yds to the JckSt 41Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
99.7%
Keshawn Harper run for no gain to the JckSt 41Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+13
99.7%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Romello Shumake for 13 yds to the SoMis 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.7%
Terrell Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Carle OllieSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 6
OPP 42
+11
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Jordan Johnson for 11 yds to the SoMis 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Jordan Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 32Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+14
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Ra'Meik Wallace for 14 yds to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Carle OllieSimilar
Q3 8:03
4TH & 10
OPP 18
-5
99.9%
Jacquemin, C field goal attempt from 35 GOOD, clock 08:03, PENALTY JKST false start (79) 5 yards to the USM23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:02
4TH & 15
OPP 23
+40
99.9%
Christian Jacquemin 40 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAM Darian Yancey return for no gain to the SoMis 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 21INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
99.8%
Steven Anderson run for 14 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
99.8%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 3 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 4 yds to the SoMis 44Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+3
99.8%
Marcelo Rodriguez pass intercepted Keontre Hampton return for 3 yds to the SoMis 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.9%
Derrick Ponder pass complete to Cameron Hines for 7 yds to the SoMis 32Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 3
OPP 32
-2
99.9%
Derrick Ponder sacked by LaDarius Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 34Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 5
OPP 34
-5
99.9%
JACKSON ST Penalty, false start (Donnell Paster) to the SoMis 39Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Cameron Hines, broken up by Rachuan MitchellSimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
99.9%
Derrick Ponder pass incomplete to Benjy Parrish, broken up by Ky'el HembySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 23FUMBLE
5 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
99.9%
Tate Whatley run for 15 yds to the JckSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
99.9%
JACKSON ST Penalty, personal foul (David Arrington) to the JckSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
99.9%
Tate Whatley run for 7 yds to the JckSt 24Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 3
OPP 24
+8
99.9%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 8 yds to the JckSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.9%
Trivenskey Mosley run for no gain to the JckSt 16 Trivenskey Mosley fumbled, recovered by JckSt Charles AndersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 24TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:420% → 0%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Keshawn Harper run for 2 yds to the JckSt 18Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+5
99.9%
Keshawn Harper run for 5 yds to the JckSt 23Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+45
99.9%
Keshawn Harper run for 45 yds to the SoMis 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
99.9%
Quitten Brown run for 1 yd to the SoMis 31Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+3
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Warren Newman for 3 yds to the SoMis 28Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+7
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Keene Young for 7 yds to the SoMis 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Keene Young for 11 yds to the SoMis 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
99.9%
Keshawn Harper run for 1 yd to the SoMis 9Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Kobe Gates for 9 yds for a TD (Christian Jacquemin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 25INT
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:51100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Marcelo Rodriguez pass complete to Jordan Mitchell for 1 yd to the SoMis 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+7
99.9%
Steven Anderson run for 7 yds to the JckSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+1
99.9%
Marcelo Rodriguez pass complete to Kris Reed for 1 yd to the JckSt 47Similar
Q4 12:57
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Steven Anderson run for 3 yds to the JckSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
99.9%
Steven Anderson run for 9 yds to the JckSt 35Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+6
100.0%
Marcelo Rodriguez pass complete to Kris Reed for 6 yds to the JckSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
100.0%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the JckSt 34Similar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 15
OPP 34
+9
100.0%
Marcelo Rodriguez run for 9 yds to the JckSt 25Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Marcelo Rodriguez run for no gain to the JckSt 25Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 6
OPP 25
-100
100.0%
Marcelo Rodriguez pass intercepted Tyler Rogers return for a loss of 100 yards to the JckSt 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 0
+23
100.0%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Robert Washington for 23 yds to the JckSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
100.0%
Quitten Brown run for 3 yds to the JckSt 26Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
100.0%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Jordan Williams for 2 yds to the JckSt 28Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+10
100.0%
Christian Jacquemin punt for 38 yds , Ty Williams returns for 10 yds to the SoMis 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 27TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 5:37100% → 100%
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
100.0%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 12 yds to the JckSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
100.0%
Tate Whatley pass complete to Darian Yancey for 5 yds to the JckSt 39Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 3 yds to the JckSt 36Similar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+4
100.0%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 4 yds to the JckSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
100.0%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 4 yds to the JckSt 28Similar
Q4 8:25
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
100.0%
Tate Whatley run for 4 yds to the JckSt 24Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+5
100.0%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 5 yds to the JckSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
100.0%
Trivenskey Mosley run for 4 yds to the JckSt 15Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+15
100.0%
Tate Whatley run for 15 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JKSTDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Jarrad Hayes pass complete to Warren Newman for 1 yd to the JckSt 26Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Josh Little run for 4 yds to the JckSt 30Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Jarrad Hayes pass incomplete to Josh Little, broken up by Devin ThomasSimilar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+33
100.0%
Christian Jacquemin punt for 39 yds , Ty Williams returns for 33 yds to the SOUMISS 37 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the JckSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 29Uncategorized
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
100.0%
Andre Hale II run for 11 yds to the JckSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
100.0%
Andre Hale II run for 14 yds to the JckSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
100.0%
Andre Hale II run for 2 yds to the JckSt 19Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+1
100.0%
Andre Hale II run for 1 yd to the JckSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 14:07
Parker Shaunfield 46 yd FG GOOD
+1.2
TD · Q1 3:00
Jack Abraham pass complete to Quez Watkins for 22 yds for a TD (Parker Shaunfield KICK)
+0.7
FUMBLE · Q2 6:55
Jordan Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard Jordan Johnson fumbled, forced by Delmond Landry, recovered by SoMis Xavier Marion , return for 26 yds (Parker Shaunfield KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com