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MRSH

Marshall 35 at Miami (OH) 28

M-OH
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Yager Stadium
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Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:02 · Gus Ragland pass incomplete, broken up by Channing Hames
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 186Home team on offense−24.8Score differential−3.1Garbage-time factor−9.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.4Pregame prior+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:21: Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +10.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:32: Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 30 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +14.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 9:20: Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 6 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +20.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 5:27: Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 21 yds for a TD MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Justin Rohrwasser KICK) — MRSH win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:31: Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK) — M-OH win probability +21.7 pts (now 30%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 10 of 10MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 12:26M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:28M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−1.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:55MRSH 4th & 5 at M-OH 30, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    56.2%−0.1
    56% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:37M-OH 4th & 2 at MRSH 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.9%−0.9
    56% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:44MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 33, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−1.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:59M-OH 4th & 5 at MRSH 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.4%−0.5
    45% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:32M-OH 4th & 4 at MRSH 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    33.9%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    30.4%−3.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00M-OH 4th & 8 at M-OH 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:56MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 28, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.8%−2.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:25M-OH 4th & 9 at M-OH 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:32MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−1.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00M-OH 4th & 2 at MRSH 2, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    18.3%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−8.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:17MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 28, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:11MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−1.8
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:39M-OH 4th & 19 at M-OH 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.6%−4.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:09MRSH 4th & 2 at MRSH 10, up 7
    Close callPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:02M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.3%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:26MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:28MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:32M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:21MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:32MRSH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:32M-OH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:20M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:27MRSH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.9
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:31M-OH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.5%−1.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3447% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
53.3%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
53.3%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
53.3%
MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
53.3%
Keion Davis run for 10 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
53.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 9 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+10
53.3%
Isaiah Green run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
53.3%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Obi ObialoSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+33
53.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Xavier Gaines for 33 yds to the MiaOh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
52.4%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
52.7%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to YOUNG, Kenny, PENALTY MIAMI false start (DOYLE, Tommy) 5 yards to the MIAMI20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+1
52.6%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+9
52.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 9 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
52.6%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 7 yds to the MiaOh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
52.7%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete, broken up by Chase HancockSimilar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
52.7%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q1 12:26
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
52.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
52.5%
Kyle Kramer punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 6:2248% → 56%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
51.9%
Tyler King run for 6 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+5
51.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
51.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 6 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+12
51.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for 12 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
51.5%
Keion Davis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+15
51.4%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete to BRADY, Tyre, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (DANIELS, D.) 15 yards to the MIAMI33, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
51.4%
Tyler King run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 25Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
51.4%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+4
51.5%
Anthony Anderson run for 4 yds to the MiaOh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
51.4%
Isaiah Green run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 16Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+7
51.4%
Isaiah Green run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
51.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 8 yds to the MiaOh 1Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
44.1%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
45.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 15 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
45.8%
Jaylon Bester run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 35 Jaylon Bester fumbled, recovered by MiaOh Jaylon Bester , return for no gain to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 15
OWN 35
0
45.1%
Gus Ragland run for no gain to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 15
OWN 35
0
44.8%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 15
OWN 35
0
44.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 42 yds , Tyler King returns for no gain to the Marsh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:0557% → 59%
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
43.5%
Keion Davis run for 15 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
42.9%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+21
42.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Marcel Williams for 21 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
42.8%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
41.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
40.7%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
41.4%
Isaiah Green punt for 26 yds, downed at the MiaOh 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 6DOWNS
14 plays · 67 yds · 0:0042% → 43%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
41.6%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 7Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+13
41.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 13 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
42.0%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+8
41.9%
Alonzo Smith run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
42.2%
Kenny Young run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
42.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+18
42.1%
Alonzo Smith run for 18 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
43.4%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+2
43.2%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+11
43.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 11 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
43.4%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
43.4%
Jaylon Bester run for 4 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 14:37
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+4
43.3%
Gus Ragland run for 4 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 14:37
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+1
43.2%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd to the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 64%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
35.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 7 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 3
OWN 36
-10
34.9%
DAVIS, Keion rush over right end for 2 yards to the MARSHALL38 (COSTIN, Doug), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (BROWN, Levi) 10 yards to the MARSHALL26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 13
OWN 26
+7
35.6%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Armani Levias for 7 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
35.6%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
36.1%
Robert LeFevre punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kenny Young at the MiaOh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8TD
11 plays · 76 yds · 4:2734% → 43%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
34.4%
Kenny Young run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
35.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 24 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-7
36.3%
Gus Ragland sacked by Malik Gant for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 47 MIAMI OH Penalty, intentional grounding (Gus Ragland) to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 17
OPP 47
+1
35.6%
Jaylon Bester run for 1 yd to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 16
OPP 46
+11
35.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 11 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q2 6:59
4TH & 5
OPP 35
+10
35.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 10 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
36.8%
Alonzo Smith run for 4 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-5
36.8%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+7
36.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 7 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 6:59
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
36.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+19
42.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 19 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:1161% → 75%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
39.1%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre Brady, broken up by Deondre DanielsSimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
39.8%
Tyler King run for 10 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
38.3%
Isaiah Green sacked by Nate Trawick and Dean Lemon for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+14
39.9%
Isaiah Green run for 14 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+12
37.6%
Tyler King run for 12 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
36.5%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+8
36.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 8 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+7
36.4%
Tyler King run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
35.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 7 yds to the MiaOh 22Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+21
35.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 21 yds to the MiaOh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
25.2%
Anthony Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
28.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
29.1%
THOMAS, Maurice rush over left end for 10 yards to the MIAMI35 (JOHNSON, Nazeeh), PENALTY MIAMI holding (BECKER, Nate) 10 yards to the MIAMI15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+2
28.9%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+10
28.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 10 yds to the MiaOh 27Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
28.6%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
28.6%
Kyle Kramer punt for 58 yds, downed at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
26.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 5 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+12
26.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 12 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
26.0%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-10
26.0%
GREEN, Isaiah pass incomplete, QB hurry by KOENIG, Brad, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (DAVIS, Keion) 10 yards to the MARSHALL23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 19
OWN 23
+5
26.5%
Isaiah Green run for 5 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 14
OWN 28
0
27.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete, broken up by Deondre DanielsSimilar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 14
OWN 28
0
27.5%
Robert LeFevre punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
26.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q3 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
25.4%
Gus Ragland run for 1 yd to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 10:25
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
25.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
24.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Tyler King at the Marsh 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:5778% → 94%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
21.8%
Tyler King run for 4 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+15
21.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 15 yds to the Marsh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
21.4%
Tyler King run for 11 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
20.3%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for 16 yds to the MiaOh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
20.0%
Tyler King run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
19.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Willie Johnson for 4 yds to the MiaOh 35Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+5
20.0%
Keion Davis run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
5.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 30 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 15TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 1:5411% → 23%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
11.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Luke MayockSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
10.7%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+10
11.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 10 yds to the MiaOh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+56
11.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 54 yds to the MIAMIOH 3 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (Brandon Drayton) to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
17.8%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
17.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, offside defense (Marquis Couch) to the Marsh 1Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.5%
Alonzo Smith run for 1 yd for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
17.0%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Xavier GainesSimilar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
17.0%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
17.2%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Keion Davis for 4 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
16.8%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
16.4%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 37
0
16.8%
Isaiah Green pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q3 4:32
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+9
17.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 43 yds , Kenny Young returns for 9 yds to the MiaOh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 69 yds · 2:1918% → 18%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
17.9%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 4 yds to the MiaOh 33Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+13
18.5%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 13 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
19.8%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to GARDNER, James, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (MCCLAIN-SAPP, J) 15 yards to the MARSHALL39, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
20.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Nate Becker for 16 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
21.1%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Jaylon McClain-SappSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+19
20.7%
Maurice Thomas run for 19 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
21.1%
Gus Ragland run for 2 yds to the Marsh 2Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
19.3%
Alonzo Smith run for no gain to the Marsh 2Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
18.7%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
18.2%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James Gardner, broken up by Chris JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
11.9%
Keion Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 3Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+5
12.0%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Obi Obialo for 5 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+12
12.4%
Keion Davis run for 12 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
11.7%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyler King for 4 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q4 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
11.7%
Tyler King run for 2 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 14:17
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+2
11.9%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 2 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q4 14:17
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+6
12.3%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 yds , Kenny Young returns for 6 yds to the MiaOh 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:4912% → 34%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+33
11.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jack Sorenson for 33 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+22
14.3%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 22 yds to the Marsh 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
34.4%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 6 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0079% → 77%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
21.0%
Isaiah Green sacked by Brad Koenig for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 25Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 17
OWN 25
+10
22.4%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 10 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
21.6%
Isaiah Green pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:11
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
22.9%
Robert LeFevre punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Kenny Young at the MiaOh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0026% → 24%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
26.2%
Kenny Young run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 31Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 5
OWN 31
0
26.6%
Gus Ragland pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-16
25.4%
RAGLAND, Gus pass complete to GARDNER, James for 20 yards to the MARSHALL49 (MERRELL, Kereon), PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (GARDNER, James) 16 yards to the MIAMI15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 19
OWN 17
+50
22.8%
Kyle Kramer punt for 44 yds , Tyler King returns for 50 yds to the MiaOh 11Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 21
OWN 15
+2
24.0%
Kenny Young run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0586% → 95%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
13.8%
DAVIS, Keion rush over left end for 11 yards to the MIAMI0, clock 05:32, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (DOWREY, Jordan) 10 yards to the MIAMI21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+21
4.8%
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 21 yds for a TD MIAMI OH Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:566% → 30%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.8%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 9 yds to the MiaOh 34Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
6.4%
Alonzo Smith run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
6.2%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Luke Mayock for 13 yds to the MiaOh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
6.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Alonzo Smith for 10 yds to the Marsh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
7.1%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete to MAYOCK, Luke, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (JACKSON, Chris) 15 yards to the MARSHALL26, 1ST DOWN MIAMI, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+23
8.0%
Gus Ragland pass complete to James Gardner for 23 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
29.7%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:1787% → 87%
Q4 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
13.0%
Keion Davis run for no gain to the Marsh 2Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+6
12.5%
Keion Davis run for 6 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & 4
OWN 8
+2
12.9%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q4 3:09
4TH & 2
OWN 10
0
12.6%
Robert LeFevre punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Kenny Young at the MiaOh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0018% → 15%
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
18.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to Kenny YoungSimilar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-10
16.9%
RAGLAND, Gus pass incomplete, PENALTY MIAMI holding (DOYLE, Tommy) 10 yards to the MIAMI33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:02
2ND & 20
OWN 33
0
15.5%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete to James GardnerSimilar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 20
OWN 33
+5
15.1%
Gus Ragland pass complete to Jaylon Bester for 5 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 3:02
4TH & 15
OWN 38
0
15.0%
Gus Ragland pass incomplete, broken up by Channing HamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26END OF GAME
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3592% → 96%
Q4 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
8.0%
Keion Davis run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 36Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-1
8.0%
Keion Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 9
OPP 37
-7
4.4%
Isaiah Green run for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:31
Gus Ragland pass complete to Kenny Young for 3 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)
+21.7
TD · Q4 9:20
Gus Ragland pass complete to Andrew Homer for 6 yds for a TD (Samuel Sloman KICK)
+20.1
TD · Q3 6:32
Isaiah Green pass complete to Tyre Brady for 30 yds for a TD (Justin Rohrwasser KICK)
-14.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com