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FOR

Fordham 10 at Charlotte 34

CLT
2018 · Week 1 · Sep 1, 2018 · Jerry Richardson Stadium
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Win probability · CLT
modelCLT aheadFOR aheadconfidence bandkey playCLT scoreFOR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:14 · Jackson Vansickle punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Austin Longi at the Fordh 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+27.8Home team on offense+3.4Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:58: Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 70 yds for a TD FORDHAM Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 8 (Andrew Mevis KICK) — FOR win probability +4.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:48: Benny LeMay run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +4.1 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 12:50: Andrew Mevis 32 yd FG GOOD — FOR win probability +4.8 pts (now 22%) (top driver: FOR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:10: Benny LeMay run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +6.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:44: Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK) — CLT win probability +5.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CLT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8FOR made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00CLT 4th & 22 at CLT 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:08FOR 4th & 7 at CLT 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    14.4%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:04CLT 4th & 9 at CLT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:08FOR 4th & 10 at CLT 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:37CLT 4th & 6 at FOR 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:37FOR 4th & 3 at FOR 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:49CLT 4th & 13 at FOR 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.6
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:48FOR 4th & 6 at FOR 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:14CLT 4th & 17 at CLT 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−1.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:38FOR 4th & 2 at CLT 46, down 6
    Close callPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.1%−1.6
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:48CLT 4th & 6 at FOR 10, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    78.6%−4.0
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:02FOR 4th & 15 at FOR 31, down 6
    Numbers favored punt by 2.2 ptsWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.1%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    17.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 15:00FOR 4th & 8 at FOR 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.7
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 12:50FOR 4th & 6 at CLT 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%
    83% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−5.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:10FOR 4th & 10 at FOR 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:47FOR 4th & 22 at CLT 38, down 17
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.0 ptsWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    38% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:50CLT 4th & 20 at CLT 28, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−1.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:39FOR 4th & 9 at CLT 43, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:59CLT 4th & 12 at FOR 39, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:34FOR 4th & 10 at CLT 33, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4FOR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 11:58FOR Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:48CLT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:10CLT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:44CLT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:34CLT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
88.7%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
88.7%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 23Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 23
-13
88.7%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Glenn Cunningham for a loss of 13 yards to the Charl 10Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OWN 10
0
88.7%
Jackson Vansickle punt for 45 yds, downed at the Fordh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 2DOWNS
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
88.1%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Jalen Ollie for 20 yds to the Charl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
88.0%
Zach Davis run for 2 yds to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+1
88.0%
Zach Davis run for 1 yd to the Charl 32Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
88.1%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Zach Davis, broken up by Ed RolleSimilar
Q1 13:08
4TH & 7
OPP 32
0
88.1%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Joe Ferraro, broken up by Denzel IrvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
87.6%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-10
87.6%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass complete to LEMAY, Benny for 11 yards to the CHA44, out-of-bounds (Menyah, Lawrenc), PENALTY CHA holding (CLARK, Cameron) 10 yards to the CHA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 19
OWN 23
+5
87.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 5 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+5
87.4%
FORDHAM Penalty, encroachment (Anthony Diodato) to the Charl 33Similar
Q1 11:04
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
87.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor TuckerSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
87.4%
Kyle Corbett punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Austin Longi at the Fordh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:2613% → 13%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
87.0%
Luke Medlock pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+15
87.0%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 15 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.8%
Zach Davis run for no gain to the Charl 49Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
86.8%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Austin LongiSimilar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
86.5%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Isaiah SearightSimilar
Q1 8:08
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
86.7%
Andrew Mevis punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 5FG
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:2087% → 86%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
86.7%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 8 yds to the Charl 20Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 2
OWN 20
-1
86.7%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 19Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 3
OWN 19
+71
86.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 71 yds to the Fordh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
87.2%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Fordh 7Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
87.2%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Fordh 6Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
85.9%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Mark Quattlebaum, broken up by Jesse BrambleSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
86.1%
Jonathan Cruz 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
86.2%
Zach Davis run for 7 yds to the Fordh 32Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
85.8%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Austin LongiSimilar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
86.1%
Zach Davis run for no gain to the Fordh 32Similar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+18
86.4%
Andrew Mevis punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Charl 48 , Mark Quattlebaum returns for 18 yds to the Charl 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 7FG
10 plays · 30 yds · 5:0786% → 86%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
86.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 11 yds to the Fordh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
86.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Fordh 37Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+4
86.1%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Fordh 33Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+4
86.0%
Aaron McAllister run for 4 yds to the Fordh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
86.2%
Aaron McAllister run for 8 yds to the Fordh 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+2
85.4%
Aaron McAllister run for 2 yds to the Fordh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Victor Tucker, broken up by Austin KingSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-11
85.4%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Max Roberts for a loss of 11 yards to the Fordh 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 30
+8
84.6%
Chris Reynolds run for 8 yds to the Fordh 22Similar
Q2 12:49
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+39
85.6%
Jonathan Cruz 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 8TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5114% → 19%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.8%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Isaiah SearightSimilar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.9%
Zach Davis run for 5 yds to the Fordh 30Similar
Q2 11:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
81.0%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 70 yds for a TD FORDHAM Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 8 (Andrew Mevis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1082% → 87%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
81.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 15 yds to the Charl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+58
82.5%
Benny LeMay run for 58 yds to the Fordh 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
86.6%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
85.5%
Zach Davis run for 1 yd to the Fordh 21Similar
Q2 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
85.6%
Luke Medlock run for 3 yds to the Fordh 24Similar
Q2 10:48
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
85.9%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Zach DavisSimilar
Q2 10:48
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
86.1%
Andrew Mevis punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
85.5%
Mark Quattlebaum run for 1 yd to the Charl 34Similar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 9
OWN 34
0
85.5%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Aaron McAllisterSimilar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-8
85.1%
Chris Reynolds sacked by Jeremy Imperati and Anthony Diodato for a loss of 8 yards to the Charl 26Similar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 17
OWN 26
0
84.5%
Jackson Vansickle punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Austin Longi at the Fordh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
84.2%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Jonah Isaac for 6 yds to the Charl 48Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+1
83.8%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 1 yd to the Charl 47Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-5
84.1%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Fordh 48Similar
Q2 7:38
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+6
84.6%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 6 yds to the Charl 46Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
84.6%
Andrew Mevis punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Mark Quattlebaum at the Charl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 13MISSED FG
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5785% → 85%
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
85.2%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 16Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+7
85.1%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Benny LeMay for 7 yds to the Charl 23Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+3
84.8%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
85.3%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 29Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+12
85.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds to the Charl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+45
86.2%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Workpeh Kofa for 45 yds to the Fordh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
86.5%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Fordh 11Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+4
86.5%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Fordh 7Similar
Q2 5:45
3RD & 3
OPP 7
-3
86.1%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fordh 10Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
85.3%
Jonathan Cruz 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 0:4616% → 13%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
84.5%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for no gain to the Fordh 20Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+16
84.6%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Joe Ferraro for 16 yds to the Fordh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-6
83.9%
Luke Medlock sacked by Timmy Horne for a loss of 6 yards to the Fordh 30Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 16
OWN 30
-6
86.1%
Luke Medlock sacked by Alex Highsmith for a loss of 6 yards to the Fordh 24Similar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 22
OWN 24
+7
86.5%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Zach Davis for 7 yds to the Fordh 31Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+6
86.6%
Zach Davis run for 6 yds to the Fordh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
82.1%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 16 yds to the Fordh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
80.9%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 2 yds to the Fordh 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
80.7%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to D'Angelo Palladino, broken up by Denzel IrvinSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
81.8%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Isaiah Searight, broken up by Ed RolleSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
82.8%
Andrew Mevis punt for 37 yds , Mark Quattlebaum returns for no gain to the Charl 19 Mark Quattlebaum fumbled, recovered by Fordh Noah FitzgeraldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 16FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:4721% → 21%
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
78.7%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Hunter Harris, broken up by Michael HolmesSimilar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
78.9%
D'Angelo Palladino run for 4 yds to the Charl 15Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
79.8%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Hunter Harris, broken up by Juwan FoggieSimilar
Q3 12:50
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
78.4%
Andrew Mevis 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
-5
79.1%
FORDHAM Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Fordh 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 17TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:4080% → 89%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
80.4%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+60
80.5%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 60 yds to the Fordh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
82.9%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Fordh 12Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+8
82.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 8 yds to the Fordh 4Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+4
89.0%
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
88.1%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Joe Ferraro for 20 yds to the Fordh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
87.3%
Luke Medlock sacked by Tyriq Harris for a loss of 10 yards to the Fordh 35Similar
Q3 10:10
2ND & 20
OWN 35
+10
88.2%
Luke Medlock pass complete to D'Angelo Palladino for 10 yds to the Fordh 45Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 10
OWN 45
0
87.8%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Jalen OllieSimilar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 10
OWN 45
0
88.7%
Andrew Mevis punt for 52 yds, downed at the Charl 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 19TD
15 plays · 97 yds · 8:1888% → 97%
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
88.0%
Benny LeMay run for 2 yds to the Charl 5Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+3
87.9%
Benny LeMay run for 3 yds to the Charl 8Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+14
87.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 14 yds to the Charl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
88.2%
Benny LeMay run for 6 yds to the Charl 28Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-1
88.5%
Benny LeMay run for a loss of 1 yard to the Charl 27Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+5
87.8%
REYNOLDS, Chris rush for 4 yards to the CHA31 (Carter, Deondre), PENALTY FORDHAM offside (Roberts, Max) 5 yards to the CHA32, 1ST DOWN CHA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
88.4%
Chris Reynolds run for 3 yds to the Charl 35Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
88.5%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Charl 36Similar
Q3 8:02
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+13
88.0%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 13 yds to the Charl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
89.1%
Benny LeMay run for 23 yds to the Fordh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
89.7%
Benny LeMay run for 5 yds to the Fordh 23Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 23
+10
89.7%
Benny LeMay run for 10 yds to the Fordh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
89.7%
Benny LeMay run for 1 yd to the Fordh 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
91.4%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Workpeh KofaSimilar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 9
OPP 12
+12
96.9%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 20DOWNS
11 plays · 44 yds · 0:574% → 3%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
95.9%
Medlock, Luke pass incomplete to Longi, Austin, PENALTY CHA pass interference (DELUCA, Ben) 15 yards to the FORDHAM33, 1ST DOWN FORDHAM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
95.7%
Luke Medlock sacked by Tyler Fain and Bryan Wallace for a loss of 4 yards to the Fordh 29Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
96.0%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Tyriek HopkinsSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+45
96.6%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Hunter Harris for 45 yds to the Charl 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
95.7%
FORDHAM Penalty, false start (Jake Trautman) to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 13:47
1ST & 15
OPP 31
-15
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the Charl 46 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Fordh Nick ZakeljSimilar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 30
OPP 46
0
96.4%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Tyriek HopkinsSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 30
OPP 46
+8
96.5%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Tyriek Hopkins for 8 yds to the Charl 38Similar
Q4 13:47
4TH & 22
OPP 38
0
96.6%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Jonathan LumleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:4698% → 97%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
97.5%
Aaron McAllister run for 1 yd to the Charl 39Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-15
97.5%
REYNOLDS, Chris pass complete to ARNOLD, Rico for 61 yards to the FORDHAM0, clock 10:50, PENALTY CHA pass interference (ARNOLD, Rico) 15 yards to the CHA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 24
OWN 24
+7
97.3%
Aaron McAllister run for 7 yds to the Charl 31Similar
Q4 10:50
3RD & 17
OWN 31
-3
97.4%
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Calvin Camp for a loss of 3 yards to the Charl 28Similar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
97.2%
Kyle Corbett punt for 27 yds, downed at the Fordh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 22DOWNS
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
97.0%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Jonathan LumleySimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
97.0%
Zach Davis run for 3 yds to the Fordh 48Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+8
97.1%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Isaiah Searight for 8 yds to the Charl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
96.9%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Jalen OllieSimilar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
96.9%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Zach Davis for 1 yd to the Charl 43Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
97.0%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Hunter HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:39
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
97.1%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Jalen Ollie, broken up by Denzel IrvinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:4298% → 98%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
97.8%
Calvin Camp run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 3
50
+13
97.9%
Calvin Camp run for 13 yds to the Fordh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
97.9%
Calvin Camp run for 1 yd to the Fordh 36Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 9
OPP 36
-3
97.8%
Calvin Camp run for a loss of 3 yards to the Fordh 39Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 12
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Chris Reynolds pass incomplete to Calvin CampSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 12
OPP 39
0
98.4%
Jackson Vansickle punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:112% → 0%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.3%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Isaiah Searight, broken up by Anthony ButlerSimilar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+26
99.6%
Luke Medlock pass intercepted for a TD Juwan Foggie return for 26 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FORDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:000% → 1%
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
99.6%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Hunter Harris for 14 yds to the Fordh 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.5%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 3 yds to the Fordh 44Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+9
99.5%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Hunter Harris for 9 yds to the Charl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
99.5%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Joe Ferraro for 14 yds to the Charl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to D'Angelo PalladinoSimilar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Hunter HarrisSimilar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Luke Medlock pass incomplete to Jalen OllieSimilar
Q4 4:34
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+5
99.5%
Luke Medlock pass complete to Tyriek Hopkins for 5 yds to the Charl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLTDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
99.8%
Keshaun McGaugh run for 9 yds to the Charl 37Similar
Q4 2:04
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+5
99.8%
Keshaun McGaugh run for 5 yds to the Charl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+38
99.8%
Keshaun McGaugh run for 38 yds to the Fordh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
99.8%
N/A run for a loss of 5 yards to the Fordh 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:10
Benny LeMay run for 4 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+6.1
TD · Q4 14:44
Chris Reynolds pass complete to Victor Tucker for 12 yds for a TD (Jonathan Cruz KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q2 11:58
Luke Medlock pass complete to Austin Longi for 70 yds for a TD FORDHAM Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Charl 8 (Andrew Mevis KICK)
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com