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PV

Prairie View A&M 28 at Rice 31

RICE
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 25, 2018 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadPV aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scorePV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:05 · Jack Fox punt for 41 yds, downed at the PraVw 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 115Pregame prior+21.4Home team on offense−10.4Score differential−4.4Garbage-time factor−3.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:06: Jalen Morton pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 20 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK) — PV win probability +10.8 pts (now 26%) (top driver: PV has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:05: Bernard Goodwater run for 27 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK) — PV win probability +17.6 pts (now 47%) (top driver: PV has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:46: Austin Walter run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK) — RICE win probability +22.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. SAFETY · Q4 10:15: TEAM run for a loss of 31 yards for a SAFETY — RICE win probability +9.3 pts (now 66%) (top driver: Tied - offense's timeout count is neutral here).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Jack Fox 23 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +35.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 10PV made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00PV 4th & 9 at RICE 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:29PV 4th & 14 at PV 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:53PV 4th & 6 at PV 43, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:03RICE 4th & 12 at PV 15, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:17RICE 4th & 8 at PV 18, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.5%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.7%
    79% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−2.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:17PV 4th & 1 at RICE 46, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−1.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:49RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 33, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 3 at PV 46, down 2
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    76.6%−2.7
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:05RICE 4th & 8 at PV 45, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    54.1%−2.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:58PV 4th & 2 at PV 12, up 9
    Close callPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:00RICE 4th & 5 at PV 33, down 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.8%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−3.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:00PV 4th & 3 at PV 40, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:24RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 30, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−4.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:56RICE 4th & 1 at PV 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.7%−6.5
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:56RICE 4th & 3 at PV 39, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.4 ptsPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    62.5%−5.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−5.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:37PV 4th & 1 at PV 11, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.0 ptsPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%−5.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00RICE 4th & 3 at PV 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−10.7
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.1%
    93% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−34.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 3PV made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:29RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:53RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:06PV Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:33PV Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:06PV Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:05PV Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:46RICE Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PVDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
93.3%
Jalen Morton run for 14 yds to the PraVw 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
93.3%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Jatece Wright) to the PraVw 24Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 25
OWN 24
+3
93.3%
Jalen Morton run for 3 yds to the PraVw 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 22
OWN 27
+33
93.3%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 33 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
93.3%
Dawonya Tucker run for no gain to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
93.3%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Dawonya Tucker for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
93.3%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Zarrian HolcombeSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-5
93.3%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, false start (Dejohn Jones) to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
93.3%
Amaury Martinez punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
14 plays · 86 yds · 7:5293% → 92%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+11
92.6%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 11 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
92.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 8 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.7%
Austin Walter run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+8
92.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Walter for 8 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+8
92.7%
Shawn Stankavage run for 8 yds to the PraVw 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
92.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 8 yds to the PraVw 41Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+3
92.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the PraVw 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
92.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 8 yds to the PraVw 30Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+3
92.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the PraVw 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
92.8%
Shawn Stankavage run for a loss of 2 yards to the PraVw 29Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+1
92.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the PraVw 28Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 11
OPP 28
+18
92.7%
Shawn Stankavage run for 18 yds to the PraVw 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
92.0%
Austin Walter run for 10 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
91.7%
Dawonya Tucker run for no gain to the PraVw 8Similar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 8
0
91.7%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Xavier JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 10
OWN 8
-4
91.8%
Jalen Morton run for a loss of 4 yards to the PraVw 4Similar
Q1 4:29
4TH & 14
OWN 4
0
91.9%
Amaury Martinez punt for 40 yds, downed at the PraVw 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4TD
4 plays · 44 yds · 0:5792% → 93%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+34
91.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 34 yds to the PraVw 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
91.8%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the PraVw 15Similar
Q1 2:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
0
91.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Emmanuel EsukpaSimilar
Q1 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
+15
93.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 15 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
92.5%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Kalen Riles for 3 yds to the PraVw 24 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (Dylan Silcox) to the PraVw 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.4%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Zarrian HolcombeSimilar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+1
92.4%
Dawonya Tucker run for 1 yd to the PraVw 40Similar
Q1 1:53
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+3
92.5%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Dawonya Tucker for 3 yds to the PraVw 43Similar
Q1 1:53
4TH & 6
OWN 43
+31
92.5%
Amaury Martinez punt for 31 yds , Austin Trammell returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:0993% → 94%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.0%
Will Phillips run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+19
93.1%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Jordan Myers for 4 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST down PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, personal foul (Reggie Stubblefield) to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
93.3%
Austin Walter run for 1 yd to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+15
93.3%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Ju'Anthony Parker) to the PraVw 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
93.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the PraVw 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
-5
93.4%
RICE Penalty, false start (Sam Pierce) to the PraVw 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+26
93.3%
Austin Walter run for 26 yds to the PraVw 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
93.4%
Jackson Tyner pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-2
93.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 2 yards to the PraVw 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 15
0
93.2%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Jaeger BullSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+33
93.5%
Jack Fox 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 7TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:577% → 11%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.6%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Zarrian Holcombe, broken up by George NyakwolSimilar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+36
92.6%
Dawonya Tucker run for 36 yds to the Rice 32 Dawonya Tucker fumbled, forced by Myles Adams, recovered by PraVw Kalen Riles for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
92.0%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Tristen WallaceSimilar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-5
92.0%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Christian Rice) to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+13
93.2%
Jalen Morton run for 13 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 10:03
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+4
92.8%
Caleb Broach run for 4 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
89.5%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Zarrian Holcombe for 20 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:4991% → 93%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
90.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+8
91.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 8 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
91.1%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Aaron Cephus for 10 yds to the PraVw 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
91.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the PraVw 43Similar
Q2 9:06
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
91.1%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q2 9:06
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+23
90.8%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Trammell for 23 yds to the PraVw 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
91.3%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Rhett Cardwell for 2 yds to the PraVw 18Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+5
91.4%
Jackson Tyner pass complete to Austin Trammell for 5 yds to the PraVw 13Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
91.0%
RICE Penalty, false start (Shea Baker) to the PraVw 18Similar
Q2 5:14
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
91.0%
Jackson Tyner pass incomplete to Jordan MyersSimilar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+36
92.8%
Haden Tobola 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 9TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:448% → 15%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
92.5%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Jose Medrano for 14 yds to the PraVw 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
92.3%
Jalen Morton sacked by Dylan Silcox for a loss of 5 yards to the PraVw 40Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 15
OWN 40
0
92.7%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Tristen Wallace, broken up by Elijah GarciaSimilar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 15
OWN 40
+14
92.8%
Jalen Morton run for 14 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+22
92.1%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 22 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+18
91.5%
Jalen Morton run for 18 yds to the Rice 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
91.5%
RICE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jorian Clark) to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.3%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Jose Medrano for 2 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:4487% → 86%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
87.3%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
87.2%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin TrammellSimilar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+3
86.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for 3 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 0:49
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
86.3%
Jack Fox punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tristen Wallace at the PraVw 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 11TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 0:3412% → 26%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
87.9%
Jalen Morton run for 7 yds to the PraVw 38Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+42
86.4%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 42 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
85.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
74.4%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 20 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
78.7%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
79.1%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
79.4%
Austin Walter run for 11 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
80.7%
Shawn Stankavage run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
80.7%
Austin Walter run for 6 yds to the PraVw 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
-1
80.8%
Austin Walter run for a loss of 1 yard to the PraVw 46Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
79.6%
Jack Fox punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PraVw 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 14TD
8 plays · 94 yds · 3:0425% → 47%
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+9
74.7%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Jeffery Rector for 9 yds to the PraVw 15Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 1
OWN 15
+2
74.2%
Jalen Morton run for 2 yds to the PraVw 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
74.2%
Dawonya Tucker run for 3 yds to the PraVw 20Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+30
74.4%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Tristen Wallace for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
50
+13
71.7%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Jeffery Rector for 13 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
71.7%
Caleb Broach run for 3 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+7
70.5%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Kalen Riles for 7 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
52.9%
Bernard Goodwater run for 27 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
57.9%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+13
58.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 13 yds to the PraVw 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
60.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Jordan Myers, broken up by Ju'Anthony ParkerSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
59.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the PraVw 45Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
58.9%
Shawn Stankavage run for no gain to the PraVw 45Similar
Q3 8:05
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
56.5%
Jack Fox punt for 41 yds, downed at the PraVw 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
51.4%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Zarrian Holcombe, broken up by Martin NwakammaSimilar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+8
51.8%
Dawonya Tucker run for 8 yds to the PraVw 12Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 2
OWN 12
0
52.8%
Dawonya Tucker run for no gain to the PraVw 12Similar
Q3 4:58
4TH & 2
OWN 12
0
53.3%
Amaury Martinez punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the PraVw 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17MISSED FG
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3953% → 46%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
53.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Jaeger Bull for 10 yds to the PraVw 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
53.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the PraVw 33Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
54.9%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Austin Walter, broken up by Willie GreenSimilar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
52.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 33
+51
45.5%
Jack Fox 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
42.4%
Dawonya Tucker run for 7 yds to the PraVw 40Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 3
OWN 40
0
40.7%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Tristen WallaceSimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
41.5%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Kalen RilesSimilar
Q3 2:00
4TH & 3
OWN 40
0
43.2%
Amaury Martinez punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0044% → 40%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
44.1%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 1:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
43.8%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron CephusSimilar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-5
42.0%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 15
OWN 30
0
41.3%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Aaron Cephus, broken up by Jaylen HarrisSimilar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 15
OWN 30
0
40.0%
Jack Fox punt for 63 yds, downed at the PraVw 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:1060% → 62%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
40.3%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Zarrian HolcombeSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+6
40.7%
Dawonya Tucker run for 6 yds to the PraVw 13Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+16
41.1%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Jeffery Rector for 16 yds to the PraVw 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
38.3%
Caleb Broach run for 2 yds to the PraVw 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+4
38.3%
Jalen Morton pass complete to Kalen Riles for 4 yds to the PraVw 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-10
38.5%
Jalen Morton sacked by Anthony Ekpe for a loss of 10 yards to the PraVw 25 Jalen Morton fumbled, recovered by Rice Dylan Silcox , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:5345% → 68%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
45.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the PraVw 22Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 7
OPP 22
-15
45.2%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the PraVw 37Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 22
OPP 37
+23
41.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 23 yds to the PraVw 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
45.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 6 yds to the PraVw 8Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
67.5%
Austin Walter run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 22SF
6 plays · -25 yds · 1:3146% → 35%
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.3%
Dawonya Tucker run for 5 yds to the PraVw 30Similar
Q4 11:46
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-7
53.0%
Jalen Morton sacked by Roe Wilkins for a loss of 7 yards to the PraVw 23 Jalen Morton fumbled, recovered by PraVw Jamal Fontenot , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
56.2%
Jalen Morton run for 8 yds to the PraVw 31Similar
Q4 10:15
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-31
65.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 31 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 2:1971% → 67%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
70.6%
PRAIRIE VIEW Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 5
OWN 43
+2
72.5%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 10:15
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
72.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+4
71.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 4 yds to the PraVw 48Similar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+2
66.4%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 2 yds to the PraVw 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
69.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 3 yds to the PraVw 43Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+4
69.7%
Austin Walter run for 4 yds to the PraVw 39Similar
Q4 7:56
3RD & 3
OPP 39
0
69.0%
Shawn Stankavage pass incomplete to Jordan Myers, broken up by Reggie StubblefieldSimilar
Q4 7:56
4TH & 3
OPP 39
0
66.6%
Jack Fox punt for 37 yds, downed at the PraVw 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PVDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5744% → 39%
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
56.4%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Jeffery RectorSimilar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
57.1%
Jalen Morton pass incomplete to Tristen WallaceSimilar
Q4 5:34
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+9
58.9%
Caleb Broach run for 9 yds to the PraVw 11Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 1
OWN 11
0
61.3%
Caleb Darbone punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Austin Trammell at the Rice 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 4:2868% → 95%
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
68.2%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 1 yd to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+12
67.9%
Austin Walter run for 12 yds to the PraVw 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
69.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Austin Trammell for a loss of 2 yards to the PraVw 45Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+8
67.7%
Shawn Stankavage pass complete to Brendan Harmon for 8 yds to the PraVw 37Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+26
69.4%
Aston Walter run for 26 yds to the PraVw 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
72.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the PraVw 6Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 5
OPP 6
-3
72.0%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for a loss of 3 yards to the PraVw 9Similar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+5
69.8%
Emmanuel Esukpa run for 5 yds to the PraVw 4Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+23
94.7%
Jack Fox 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Jack Fox 23 yd FG GOOD
+35.1
TD · Q4 11:46
Austin Walter run for 8 yds for a TD, (Jack Fox KICK)
+22.3
TD · Q3 8:05
Bernard Goodwater run for 27 yds for a TD, (Zach Elder KICK)
-17.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com