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BOIS

Boise State 21 at Oklahoma State 44

OKST
2018 · Week 3 · Sep 15, 2018 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadBOIS aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreBOIS score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:03 · Matt Hockett punt for 47 yds , Khalil Shakir returns for 16 yds to the BoiSt 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Garbage-time factor−0.3Pregame prior−4.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:08: Justice Hill run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +8.2 pts (now 52%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 13:03: Matt Ammendola 48 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +6.5 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:18: Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 34 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +17.3 pts (now 40%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:40: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 32 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +14.6 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:30: Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 5 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK) — BOIS win probability +11.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: BOIS has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 6BOIS made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 12:59BOIS 4th & 4 at BOIS 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:22OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:20BOIS 4th & 3 at OKST 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    52.3%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:21BOIS 4th & 7 at OKST 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:03OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:59BOIS 4th & 16 at BOIS 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:19BOIS 4th & 6 at OKST 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    39.8%−0.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    39.6%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:12OKST 4th & 3 at BOIS 5, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.4%−1.0
    92% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−6.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:03OKST 4th & 9 at BOIS 31, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.2%
    54% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−1.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:11BOIS 4th & 8 at BOIS 27, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:30BOIS 4th & 5 at OKST 5, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    -1.6%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:07OKST 4th & 6 at BOIS 6, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    84.0%−7.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:50BOIS 4th & 10 at BOIS 25, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:12OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 17, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−1.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:48BOIS 4th & 12 at BOIS 39, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:54BOIS 4th & 8 at OKST 20, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−<0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BOIS made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 14:20BOIS Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:08OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:43OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:18BOIS Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:40OKST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:30BOIS Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:16OKST Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BOISDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:4655% → 55%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
44.7%
John Hightower run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 26Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 2
OWN 26
0
44.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 2
OWN 26
+4
44.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 4 yds to the BoiSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
45.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 4
OWN 36
0
45.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chase BlakleySimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 4
OWN 36
0
45.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Robert MahoneSimilar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
45.2%
Quinn Skillin punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:2345% → 45%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
45.3%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 9
OWN 29
0
45.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 12:29
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
45.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
45.2%
Matt Hockett punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BoiSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 3MISSED FG
14 plays · 42 yds · 6:3955% → 54%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
45.1%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+4
45.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+5
45.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 5 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
45.3%
John Hightower run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
-7
45.2%
Khalil Shakir run for 3 yds to the OKSt 35 BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Eric Quevedo) to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+7
45.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 7 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+5
45.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to John Bates for 5 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+4
46.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 4 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
45.3%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+15
45.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to John Bates for 15 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
45.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 1 yd to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+2
45.4%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the OKSt 9Similar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
45.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. RichardsonSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
46.5%
Haden Hoggarth 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5647% → 47%
Q1 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
47.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
47.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 4:38
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
46.9%
Taylor Cornelius run for 3 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
47.4%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 36
-2
48.0%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 3:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
47.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+16
46.7%
Matt Hockett punt for 47 yds , Khalil Shakir returns for 16 yds to the BoiSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 5TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 3:2553% → 60%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
47.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 8 yds to the BoiSt 43Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-1
45.9%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 1 yard to the BoiSt 42Similar
Q1 1:38
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+5
46.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to John Bates for 5 yds to the BoiSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
46.0%
Robert Mahone run for no gain to the BoiSt 47Similar
Q1 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+11
46.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 11 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
45.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 5 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 14:35
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+6
45.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 6 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
40.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to John Hightower for 31 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5942% → 52%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
41.9%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
42.2%
Taylor Cornelius run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+8
41.7%
Taylor Cornelius run for 8 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
42.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to J.D. King for 9 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+43
43.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 43 yds to the BoiSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
51.7%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:3652% → 50%
Q2 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
48.0%
Andrew Van Buren run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 21
-8
48.4%
Brett Rypien sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 8 yards to the BoiSt 13 Brett Rypien fumbled, forced by Jordan Brailford, recovered by BoiSt John Molchon , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 20
OWN 13
+4
49.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 17Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 16
OWN 17
+10
50.2%
Quinn Skillin punt blocked by Amen Ogbongbemiga blocked by Amen Ogbongbemiga Amen Ogbongbemiga return for 10 yds to the BoiSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:1754% → 60%
Q2 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
54.2%
Taylor Cornelius run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
54.3%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q2 8:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 9DOWNS
7 plays · 43 yds · 2:0141% → 40%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
58.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 10 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
59.1%
Brett Rypien pass complete to John Bates for 24 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
57.5%
Brett Rypien run for 8 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
56.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 2
OPP 33
-4
57.9%
Brett Rypien sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 6
OPP 37
+5
59.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Alexander Mattison for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:0762% → 68%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
61.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Teven Jenkins) to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+3
61.6%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 30
0
61.7%
Justice Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 5:17
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+35
61.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 35 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
64.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
64.7%
Taylor Cornelius run for 11 yds to the BoiSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+12
65.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 12 yds to the BoiSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
65.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 9Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+6
66.1%
Taylor Cornelius run for 6 yds to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q2 2:35
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-2
65.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 5Similar
Q2 2:12
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
68.2%
Matt Ammendola 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 11END OF HALF
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:0033% → 29%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
67.5%
Alexander Mattison run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 21Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+7
68.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 7 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
67.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
67.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 8 yds to the BoiSt 40Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
66.0%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to CT ThomasSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+8
66.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 8 yds to the BoiSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
66.2%
Brett Rypien sacked by Jarrick Bernard for a loss of 4 yards to the BoiSt 44 Brett Rypien fumbled, forced by Jarrick Bernard, recovered by BoiSt Robert Mahone , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 14
OWN 44
-10
69.6%
Brett Rypien sacked by Jarrell Owens for a loss of 10 yards to the BoiSt 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 24
OWN 34
+16
71.0%
Alexander Mattison run for 16 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 1:4269% → 76%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
68.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 21 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
70.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
70.8%
Justice Hill run for 14 yds to the OKLAST 40 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 6
50
+18
71.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 18 yds to the BoiSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
71.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+1
71.6%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 31Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
71.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+48
75.8%
Matt Ammendola 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 13TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3927% → 40%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
73.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Khalil Shakir for 19 yds to the BoiSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
72.6%
John Hightower run for no gain to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
73.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chase BlakleySimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+5
74.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+6
72.6%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 6 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
77.0%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 2 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+7
77.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 7 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
77.6%
Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
60.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 34 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 2:0966% → 86%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
66.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 8:37
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+7
65.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+11
65.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 11 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
69.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 18 yds to the BoiSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
69.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the BoiSt 28Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+3
70.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-7
70.9%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Durrant Miles for a loss of 7 yards to the BoiSt 32Similar
Q3 6:40
2ND & 17
OPP 32
+32
85.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 32 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 15PUNT TD
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:0817% → 6%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
82.9%
Alexander Mattison run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
82.0%
Alexander Mattison run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 27Similar
Q3 5:19
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
83.9%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Alexander MattisonSimilar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+13
94.5%
Joel Velazquez punt blocked by Jarrick Bernard blocked by Jarrick Bernard Za'Carrius Green return for 13 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 16TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 3:366% → 16%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
94.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Chase BlakleySimilar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
94.2%
BOISE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q3 4:45
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+6
94.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 6 yds to the BoiSt 36Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+9
94.9%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 9 yds to the BoiSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
94.7%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 4 yds to the BoiSt 49Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
94.8%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+23
95.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 23 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+23
94.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Sean Modster for 23 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.5%
Brett Rypien run for no gain to the OKSt 5Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
95.7%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Sean ModsterSimilar
Q3 1:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
83.8%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 5 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17FG
16 plays · 69 yds · 5:0687% → 97%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
86.7%
Justice Hill run for 12 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+11
88.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
91.9%
Justice Hill run for 14 yds to the BoiSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
92.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 5 yds to the BoiSt 30Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+1
92.3%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 29Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+12
91.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 12 yds to the BoiSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
93.4%
Dillon Stoner pass complete to Taylor Cornelius for 3 yds to the BoiSt 14Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+8
93.8%
Justice Hill run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
94.0%
Taylor Cornelius run for 5 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
94.1%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the BoiSt 3Similar
Q4 11:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
94.2%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the BoiSt 1Similar
Q4 11:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
93.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 6Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
96.7%
Matt Ammendola 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:177% → 6%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
92.9%
BOISE ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BoiSt 20Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-10
93.1%
Rypien, Brett pass incomplete to Modster, Sean, PENALTY BOISEST holding 10 yards to the BOISEST10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:42
1ST & 25
OWN 10
+9
93.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 9 yds to the BoiSt 19Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
94.1%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to A.J. RichardsonSimilar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+6
94.2%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 6 yds to the BoiSt 25Similar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Quinn Skillin punt for 49 yds, downed at the OKSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2897% → 97%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
97.2%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
97.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 9
OWN 27
-10
97.2%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Jabril Frazier for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 19
OWN 17
0
97.2%
Matt Hockett punt for 42 yds, downed at the BoiSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:195% → 5%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
94.6%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Akilian ButlerSimilar
Q4 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
94.8%
Alexander Mattison run for 3 yds to the BoiSt 44Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
-5
95.0%
Brett Rypien sacked by Calvin Bundage and Devin Harper for a loss of 5 yards to the BoiSt 39Similar
Q4 6:48
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
95.5%
Joel Velazquez punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:3498% → 100%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
98.4%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the BoiSt 18Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+8
98.4%
J.D. King run for 8 yds to the BoiSt 10Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+4
98.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for 4 yds to the BoiSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.7%
Taylor Cornelius run for 6 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BOISDrive 22Uncategorized
14 plays · 54 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 6 yds to the BoiSt 41Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+8
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 8 yds to the BoiSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.3%
Brett Rypien run for 2 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+5
99.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 5 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-10
99.4%
BOISE ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the BoiSt 46Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+19
99.5%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 19 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 9 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to Akilian Butler for 4 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+2
99.3%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 2 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 8
OPP 20
0
99.4%
Brett Rypien pass incomplete to Khalil ShakirSimilar
Q4 0:54
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+9
99.4%
Brett Rypien pass complete to CT Thomas for 9 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:18
Brett Rypien pass complete to A.J. Richardson for 34 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
-17.3
TD · Q3 6:40
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 32 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+14.6
TD · Q3 1:30
Brett Rypien pass complete to Chase Blakley for 5 yds for a TD (Haden Hoggarth KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com