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USA

South Alabama 13 at Oklahoma State 55

OKST
2018 · Week 2 · Sep 8, 2018 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:59 · Matt Hockett punt for 42 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 14Pregame prior+45.8Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.1Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:50: Kawaan Baker run for 12 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK) — USA win probability +1.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:11: Justice Hill run for 3 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the SAlab 1 (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:57: Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson PAT MISSED) — USA win probability +2.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:21: Justice Hill run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +1.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:56: Evan Orth pass intercepted for a TD Devin Harper return for 24 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +2.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11USA made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00USA 4th & 1 at USA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:59OKST 4th & 9 at USA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:22USA 4th & 1 at USA 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:38USA 4th & 29 at USA 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:14OKST 4th & 6 at USA 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:05OKST 4th & 1 at USA 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:20OKST 4th & 21 at USA 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%−0.4
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:20USA 4th & 3 at OKST 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    5.6%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:06OKST 4th & 7 at USA 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:11USA 4th & 9 at USA 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 5:13OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 40, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.9%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:59USA 4th & 2 at USA 37, down 18
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:40OKST 4th & 28 at OKST 41, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:50USA 4th & 9 at OKST 42, down 25
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:24USA 4th & 4 at USA 26, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:44OKST 4th & 10 at USA 20, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:44USA 4th & 7 at USA 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:10USA 4th & 3 at USA 21, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:39OKST 4th & 5 at USA 25, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:26USA 4th & 21 at USA 46, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 7:35OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 43, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  22. Q4 4:39USA 4th & 8 at USA 5, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:50OKST 4th & 4 at USA 29, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 7USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:38OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:05OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:50USA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:11OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:57USA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    6.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:21OKST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:56OKST Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 14:10OKST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:39OKST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
97.2%
Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+11
97.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 11 yds to the SAlab 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
97.2%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+6
97.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 6 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+5
97.2%
Kawaan Baker run for 5 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
97.2%
Kawaan Baker run for no gain to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-4
97.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 34
+13
97.2%
Evan Orth run for 13 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
-4
97.2%
Tra Minter run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
96.7%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
96.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 8
OPP 41
-1
96.7%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Sterrling Fisher for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 42Similar
Q1 10:59
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Matt Hockett punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.5%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Tra MinterSimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
96.5%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 9 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 10:22
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
96.5%
Corliss Waitman punt for 42 yds, downed at the OKSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:2396% → 97%
Q1 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+60
96.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 60 yds to the SAlab 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
96.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -19 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q1 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
96.5%
Evan Orth sacked by Brock Martin for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-3
96.5%
Maurice Mayo run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 16
OWN 19
-5
96.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, DL (Evan Orth) to the SAlab 14Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 21
OWN 14
-8
96.6%
Evan Orth sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 6Similar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 29
OWN 6
0
96.6%
Corliss Waitman punt for 31 yds, downed at the SAlab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:0996% → 97%
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
96.4%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
96.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for no gain to the SAlab 33Similar
Q1 6:14
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
96.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 6:14
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+25
96.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 25 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
96.4%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
96.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 6:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
96.3%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q1 4:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.7%
Tyron Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:154% → 5%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.5%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
96.5%
Kawaan Baker run for 9 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
96.5%
Kawaan Baker run for 11 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
96.4%
Evan Orth run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 5
50
+7
96.4%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 7 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
96.4%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
96.4%
Evan Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+30
96.5%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 18 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, roughing passer (Calvin Bundage) to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
94.8%
Kawaan Baker run for 12 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:3095% → 95%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
95.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 14Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+15
95.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 15 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+16
95.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 16 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
95.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Landon WolfSimilar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+18
95.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 18 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+20
95.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 20 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
95.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
-2
95.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
-13
95.4%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Sterrling Fisher for a loss of 13 yards to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 21
OPP 28
+45
95.0%
Matt Ammendola 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
95.2%
Maurice Mayo run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+22
95.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 7 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul (Kenneth Edison-McGruder) to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
94.9%
Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 9 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+1
94.9%
Tra Minter run for 1 yd to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
94.9%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
94.9%
Evan Orth pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+5
95.0%
Sam Harris run for 5 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 13:20
4TH & 3
OPP 32
0
95.1%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
13 plays · 68 yds · 3:5595% → 97%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
94.7%
J.D. King run for 17 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
94.9%
Cornelius, T. pass incomplete to Stoner, Dillon, PENALTY USA offside (Stewart, Taji) 5 yards to the USA46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 5
OPP 46
-3
95.0%
J.D. King run for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+10
94.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 10 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
95.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+2
95.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+1
94.8%
Taylor Cornelius run for 1 yd to the SAlab 36Similar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+20
94.6%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 20 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
95.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 1 yd to the SAlab 15Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+13
95.0%
Cornelius, T. pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY USA pass interference (Thompson, Jalen) 13 yards to the USA2, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
95.0%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 3Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
95.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
96.8%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the SAlab 1 (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.3%
Orth, Evan pass incomplete to McCray, Jordan, PENALTY OSU pass interference (Green, A.J.) 15 yards to the USA40, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.2%
Evan Orth run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
96.2%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
96.3%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 9
OWN 41
0
96.4%
Corliss Waitman punt for 58 yds, downed at the OKSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FUMBLE
6 plays · 30 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+13
96.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 13 yds to the OKSt 14 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+19
96.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 19 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
96.8%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 5:13
2ND & 1
OWN 42
-2
96.9%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 5:13
3RD & 3
OWN 40
0
96.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 5:13
4TH & 3
OWN 40
+3
96.5%
Matt Hockett run for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 28 Matt Hockett fumbled, forced by DJ Daniels, recovered by SAlab DJ Daniels , return for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:444% → 7%
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
95.6%
Kawaan Baker run for 4 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
93.4%
Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 2:3694% → 97%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.4%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
94.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 19 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+20
94.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 20 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
95.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
95.3%
Justice Hill run for 5 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+8
95.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 8 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
95.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
95.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+13
95.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for 11 yds to the SAlab 4 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, roughing passer (Bull Barge) to the SAlab 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.5%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+11
96.3%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 11 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
96.3%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
96.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
96.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted Tobias Moss return for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
96.3%
Tra Minter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 13:59
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+6
96.3%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jamarius Way for 6 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 13:59
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
96.2%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Collier SmithSimilar
Q3 13:59
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
96.3%
Corliss Waitman punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
97.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 7 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+33
97.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 33 yds to the OKLAST 41 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-15
97.4%
Cornelius, T. rush for 5 yards to the USA36, out-of-bounds (Brown, Sean), PENALTY OSU holding (Hambright, A.) 15 yards to the OSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 25
OWN 44
0
97.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Jalen ThompsonSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 25
OWN 44
-18
97.3%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Jordon Beaton for a loss of 18 yards to the OKSt 26 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, intentional grounding (Taylor Cornelius) to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 43
OWN 26
+15
97.0%
Justice Hill run for 15 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & 28
OWN 41
+5
97.0%
Matt Hockett punt for 47 yds , Tra Minter returns for 5 yds to the SAlab 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19INT TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 2:444% → 1%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
96.3%
Baker, Kawaan rush for no gain to the USA17 (Rodriguez, M.), PENALTY USA holding (Moore, Deonta) 8 yards to the USA9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 18
OWN 9
+5
96.5%
Evan Orth pass complete to Tra Minter for 5 yds to the SAlab 14Similar
Q3 9:56
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+24
98.9%
Evan Orth pass intercepted for a TD Devin Harper return for 24 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 20 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
97.7%
Evan Orth run for 1 yd to the SAlab 39Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
97.7%
Orth, Evan pass intercepted by Green, A.J. at the OSU49, Green, A.J. return to the OSU49, Green, A.J. for loss of 25 yards to the OSU24 (Harris, Sam), PENALTY OSU holding (Green, A.J.) 10 yards to the USA49, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.6%
Tra Minter run for no gain to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
97.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, DL (Evan Orth) to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+2
97.6%
Deonta Moore run for 2 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 13
OWN 46
-4
97.9%
David Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 17
OWN 42
+15
97.7%
Waitman,Corliss punt 52 yards to the OSU6, downed, PENALTY OSU personal foul (Redwine-Bryant) 15 yards to the OSU43, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
97.6%
Maurice Mayo run for 2 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
97.6%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jahmmir TaylorSimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 8
OPP 41
-1
97.7%
Cephus Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
97.7%
Corliss Waitman punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21INT
4 plays · 81 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+32
99.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 32 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+15
99.3%
Cornelius, T. pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan (Thompson, Jalen), PENALTY USA pass interference (Thompson, Jalen) 15 yards to the USA41, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+34
99.3%
Taylor Cornelius run for 34 yds to the SAlab 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted, touchback. Bull Barge return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
98.2%
Evan Orth pass complete to Jordan McCray for 6 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
98.1%
Evan Orth pass incomplete to Deonta MooreSimilar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
98.2%
Corliss Waitman punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:1699% → 100%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
99.2%
LD Brown run for 14 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+32
99.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jelani Woods for 32 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
99.5%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 21Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+1
99.5%
Justice Hill run for 1 yd to the SAlab 20Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
99.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Justice HillSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
99.9%
Matt Ammendola 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Cephus Johnson pass incomplete to Jamarius WaySimilar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Maurice Mayo run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Cephus Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:44
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+14
99.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 40 , Dillon Stoner returns for 14 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:29100% → 100%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+25
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 25 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.8%
Cornelius, T. pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan (Trotter,Desmond), PENALTY USA offside (Thompson, Jalen) 5 yards to the USA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+8
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 8 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Tyron JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 22 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Kawaan Baker for no gain to the SAlab 14Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Jamarius Way, broken up by Justice HillSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+7
99.9%
Cole Garvin run for 7 yds to the SAlab 21Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 3
OWN 21
+11
99.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 47 yds for a 1ST down , Dillon Stoner returns for 11 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 7:59100% → 100%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
99.9%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the SAlab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
99.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul off-setting ( Yards) to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-13
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee run for 2 yds to the SAlab 28 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul (Logan Carter) to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 23
OPP 43
+8
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee run for 8 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+10
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee run for 10 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+25
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee pass complete to J.D. King for 25 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+19
99.9%
Deonta Moore run for 19 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.9%
Deonta Moore run for 4 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 10:26
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+1
99.9%
Deonta Moore run for 1 yd to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 5
OPP 38
-11
99.9%
Cole Garvin sacked by Amen Ogbongbemiga and Cameron Murray for a loss of 11 yards to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 16
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, DL (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 21
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Corliss Waitman punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Landon Wolf at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Ryan Haymaker run for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee run for 8 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.9%
Ryan Haymaker run for 2 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 4
OWN 45
-2
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee sacked by Chason Milner for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Jake McClure punt for 54 yds, downed at the SAlab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-2
100.0%
Maurice Mayo run for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 1Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 12
OWN 1
+3
100.0%
Maurice Mayo run for 3 yds to the SAlab 4Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+1
100.0%
Deonta Moore run for 1 yd to the SAlab 5Similar
Q4 4:39
4TH & 8
OWN 5
0
100.0%
Corliss Waitman punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SAlab 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 31DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
100.0%
Keondre Wudtee run for 4 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+2
100.0%
Ryan Haymaker run for 2 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
100.0%
Ryan Haymaker run for no gain to the SAlab 29Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+1
99.9%
Ryan Haymaker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 32END OF GAME
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
100.0%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Davyn Flenord for 7 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+10
100.0%
Cole Garvin pass complete to Davyn Flenord for 10 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Cade SutherlandSimilar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Cole Garvin pass incomplete to Davyn FlenordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:56
Evan Orth pass intercepted for a TD Devin Harper return for 24 yds for a TD (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q2 2:57
Evan Orth pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 24 yds for a TD (Gavin Patterson PAT MISSED)
-2.2
TD · Q2 6:11
Justice Hill run for 3 yds for a TD SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, substitution infraction (2 Yards) to the SAlab 1 (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com