Try the model
MOST

Missouri State 17 at Oklahoma State 58

OKST
2018 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2018 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadMOST aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreMOST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:18 · Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 8 yds to the MoSt 32 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+40.2Home team on offense+19.5Score differential+13.9Garbage-time factor+6.4Blowout margin−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:37: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 21 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:42: Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jordan Murray for 6 yds for a TD, (Parker Lacina KICK) — MOST win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:59: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:28: Peyton Huslig pass complete to Antwan Woods for 27 yds for a TD, (Parker Lacina KICK) — MOST win probability +0.9 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:14: Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 54 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK) — OKST win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 7MOST made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 12:24MOST 4th & 16 at MOST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:26OKST 4th & 1 at MOST 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:25OKST 4th & 3 at MOST 3, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25MOST 4th & 12 at MOST 23, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:28MOST 4th & 3 at MOST 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:08MOST 4th & 17 at MOST 13, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:17OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 25, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:40MOST 4th & 8 at OKST 44, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:18OKST 4th & 1 at MOST 40, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:28MOST 4th & 9 at OKST 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:28OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:18MOST 4th & 14 at MOST 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:14MOST 4th & 15 at MOST 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:37MOST 4th & 3 at MOST 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:19MOST 4th & 1 at MOST 34, down 41
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:50OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 23, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:51OKST 4th & 17 at MOST 37, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:19MOST 4th & 5 at MOST 41, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 8MOST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:24OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:28OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56OKST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:37OKST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:42MOST Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:59OKST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:28MOST Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:14OKST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:37OKST Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 12:19OKST Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:36100% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.5%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
99.5%
Justice Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+22
99.5%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Justice Hill for 22 yds to the MoSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.5%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the MoSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+10
99.5%
J.D. King run for 10 yds to the MoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+32
99.5%
Taylor Cornelius run for 32 yds to the MoSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.5%
LD Brown run for no gain to the MoSt 3Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Justice Hill run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.4%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jason Randall for 10 yds to the MoSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.4%
Jason Randall run for 1 yd to the MoSt 36Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Peyton Huslig pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:24
3RD & 9
OWN 36
-7
99.4%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Trey Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 29Similar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 16
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Brendan Withrow punt for 42 yds, downed at the OKSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FG
14 plays · 68 yds · 5:0199% → 99%
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
99.4%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+4
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 4 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
99.4%
Justice Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+6
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 6 yds to the MoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+25
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to J.D. King for 25 yds to the MoSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
99.4%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the MoSt 19Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-1
99.4%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 20Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 8
OPP 20
+7
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 7 yds to the MoSt 13Similar
Q1 10:26
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+5
99.4%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the MoSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
99.4%
Justice Hill run for 4 yds to the MoSt 4Similar
Q1 10:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for 2 yds to the MoSt 2Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.4%
Justice Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 3Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
99.1%
Matt Ammendola 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.1%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Calvin Bundage for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 23Similar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+7
99.1%
Brendan Withrow punt for 44 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 30 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
99.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 13 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
99.1%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 5
OWN 48
+10
99.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 10 yds to the MoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.1%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the MoSt 37Similar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+18
99.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 3 yds to the MoSt 34 for a 1ST down MISSOURI ST Penalty, personal foul (Angelo Garbutt) to the MoSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
99.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Landon Wolf for 11 yds to the MoSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
99.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the MoSt 5Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.1%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.2%
Jalen McCleskey run for 5 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Peyton Huslig run for 2 yds to the MoSt 27Similar
Q1 2:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.2%
Jeremiah Wilson run for 5 yds to the MoSt 32Similar
Q1 2:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete, broken up by Justin PhillipsSimilar
Q1 2:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Brendan Withrow punt for 63 yds, downed at the OKSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
4 plays · 95 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+92
99.2%
Justice Hill run for 92 yds to the MoSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.2%
Justice Hill run for 2 yds to the MoSt 1Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.2%
J.D. King run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 3Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Sione Finefeuiaki for 3 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 18 TEAM fumbled,Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Peyton Huslig run for no gain to the MoSt 16 Peyton Huslig fumbled, forced by Kenneth Edison-McGruder, recovered by OKSt Kenneth Edison-McGruderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass intercepted, touchback. Zack Sanders return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
99.4%
Jason Randall run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 18Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-9
99.4%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Lorenzo Thomas for 7 yards to the MSU25 (Bundage, Calvin), PENALTY MSU pass interference (Lorenzo Thomas) 9 yards to the MSU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 21
OWN 9
+4
99.4%
Peyton Huslig run for 4 yds to the MoSt 13Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 17
OWN 13
0
99.4%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete, broken up by A.J. GreenSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 17
OWN 13
0
99.4%
Brendan Withrow punt for 57 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for no gain to the OKSt 13 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.4%
LD Brown run for 5 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 12:17
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Matt Hockett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Matt Rush at the MoSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.3%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jordan Murray for 11 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.3%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jordan Murray for 13 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.3%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Jeremiah Wilson, broken up by Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.3%
Jason Randall run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 8
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete MISSOURI ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 8
OPP 44
0
99.3%
Brendan Withrow punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:0499% → 100%
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
99.4%
J.D. King run for 12 yds to the OKSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius run for no gain to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tyron Johnson for 9 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.4%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+21
99.4%
J.D. King run for 21 yds to the MoSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-7
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius sacked by Skyler Hulse for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 41Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 17
OPP 41
+11
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 11 yds to the MoSt 30Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+7
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the MoSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the MoSt 21Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+21
99.7%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 21 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:550% → 1%
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.6%
Jason Randall run for 1 yd to the MoSt 26Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
99.6%
Peyton Huslig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
99.6%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jason Randall for 13 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
99.6%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Lorenzo Thomas, PENALTY OSU holding (Williams, R.) 10 yards to the MSU49, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.6%
Aaron Denson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+7
99.6%
Peyton Huslig run for 7 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.6%
Peyton Huslig pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:37
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.6%
Peyton Huslig run for 1 yd to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+5
99.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Jordan Brailford) to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+29
99.5%
Peyton Huslig run for 29 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jordan Murray for 6 yds for a TD, (Parker Lacina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FUMBLE
12 plays · 52 yds · 0:2499% → 99%
Q2 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.3%
LD Brown run for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.4%
LD Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
99.4%
Cornelius, T. pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY MSU pass interference (Darius Joseph) 15 yards to the MSU49, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.4%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the MoSt 46Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+4
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 4 yds to the MoSt 42Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
99.4%
LD Brown run for 2 yds to the MoSt 40Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+8
99.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 8 yds to the MoSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.4%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds Tylan Wallace fumbled, forced by Austin Henderson, recovered by MoSt Jordan WilkesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.2%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MoSt 18Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+2
99.2%
Jeremiah Wilson run for 2 yds to the MoSt 20Similar
Q2 0:42
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-1
99.2%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Jarrell Owens for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 17FG
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:321% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.1%
Jason Randall run for 3 yds to the MoSt 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Tyler Currie, broken up by A.J. GreenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+12
99.1%
Peyton Huslig run for 12 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.1%
Peyton Huslig run for 4 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-1
99.0%
Peyton Huslig run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+14
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Tyler Currie for 14 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
99.0%
Jason Randall run for 1 yd to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
0
99.0%
Jeremiah Wilson run for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Lorenzo Thomas, broken up by Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:28
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
99.1%
Parker Lacina 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:2999% → 100%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.3%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 10:28
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+8
99.3%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the MoSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.3%
Cornelius, T. pass complete to Wallace, Tylan for 9 yards to the MSU38 (Zack Sanders), PENALTY OSU ineligible downfield on pass (Williams, Larry) 5 yards to the OSU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+15
99.3%
Cornelius, T. pass incomplete to Stoner, Dillon, PENALTY MSU pass interference (Zack Sanders) 15 yards to the MSU37, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
99.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 19 yds to the MoSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:310% → 1%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Jason Randall run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 24Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+22
99.9%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Damoriea Vick for 22 yds to the MoSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
99.8%
Peyton Huslig run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 45Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+28
99.8%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jason Randall for 28 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Lorenzo ThomasSimilar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
98.9%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Antwan Woods for 27 yds for a TD, (Parker Lacina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 6:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
99.2%
LD Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q3 6:28
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+5
99.1%
Matt Hockett punt for 36 yds , Matt Rush returns for 5 yds to the MoSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-6
99.0%
Aaron Denson run for a loss of 6 yards to the MoSt 31Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 16
OWN 31
+2
99.1%
Jeremiah Wilson run for 2 yds to the MoSt 33Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Antwan WoodsSimilar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 14
OWN 33
0
99.1%
Brendan Withrow punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Landon Wolf at the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:4099% → 100%
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
99.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+7
99.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 7 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.0%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 2 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
99.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+54
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 54 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Antwan WoodsSimilar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Jason Randall for 1 yd to the MoSt 26Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-6
99.9%
Peyton Huslig sacked by Jordan Brailford for a loss of 6 yards to the MoSt 20Similar
Q3 2:14
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Brendan Withrow punt for 34 yds , Landon Wolf returns for no gain to the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 6
50
+9
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 9 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass incomplete to Jalen McCleskeySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+12
99.9%
LD Brown run for 12 yds to the MoSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.9%
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 29 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Peyton Huslig run for 7 yds to the MoSt 32Similar
Q4 14:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Antwan WoodsSimilar
Q4 14:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Damoriea VickSimilar
Q4 14:37
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Brendan Withrow punt for 40 yds , Landon Wolf returns for no gain to the OKSt 20 Landon Wolf fumbled, recovered by OKSt Landon WolfSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.9%
Brown, LD rush for 23 yards to the OSU43 (Jared Beshore;Kam Carter), PENALTY OSU holding (Galloway, Dylan) 10 yards to the OSU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 20
OWN 10
+12
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee run for 12 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 13:38
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee pass complete to Tracin Wallace for 1 yd to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+77
99.9%
LD Brown run for 77 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Aaron Denson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 23Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Jeremiah Wilson run for 1 yd to the MoSt 24Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+5
99.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Brock Martin) to the MoSt 29Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.9%
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Lorenzo Thomas for 5 yds to the MoSt 34Similar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Brendan Withrow punt for 47 yds, downed at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Ryan Haymaker run for no gain to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 9:50
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee run for 4 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 9:50
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Keondre Wudtee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:50
4TH & 6
OWN 23
-2
99.9%
Jake McClure punt for 52 yds , Matt Rush returns for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 29FUMBLE
4 plays · 56 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
100.0%
Jason Randall run for 5 yds to the MoSt 28Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
100.0%
Jason Randall run for 2 yds to the MoSt 30Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+58
99.9%
Peyton Huslig run for 58 yds to the OKSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-9
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OKSt Za'Carrius GreenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.9%
Ryan Haymaker run for 1 yd to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
Ryan Haymaker run for 8 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+30
100.0%
Keondre Wudtee run for 30 yds to the MoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
100.0%
Ryan Haymaker run for 10 yds to the MoSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Keondre Wudtee pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 30
-1
100.0%
Ryan Haymaker run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 31Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 11
OPP 31
-6
100.0%
Keondre Wudtee sacked by Matt McClellan for a loss of 6 yards to the MoSt 37Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 17
OPP 37
+1
99.9%
Ryan Haymaker run for 1 yd to the MoSt 36 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 31PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Peyton Huslig pass incomplete to Antwan Woods, broken up by Kolby PeelSimilar
Q4 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
Peyton Huslig run for 6 yds to the MoSt 42Similar
Q4 4:19
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-1
100.0%
Peyton Huslig run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 41Similar
Q4 4:19
4TH & 5
OWN 41
0
100.0%
Brendan Withrow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Landon Wolf at the OKSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 32END OF GAME
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
100.0%
Ryan Haymaker run for no gain to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+7
100.0%
Keondre Wudtee run for 7 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Ryan Haymaker run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
100.0%
Ryan Haymaker run for 1 yd to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+2
100.0%
Ryan Haymaker run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:28
Peyton Huslig pass complete to Antwan Woods for 27 yds for a TD, (Parker Lacina KICK)
-0.9
TD · Q3 2:14
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Chuba Hubbard for 54 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q3 8:59
Taylor Cornelius pass complete to Jalen McCleskey for 18 yds for a TD, (Matt Ammendola KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com